2the international monetary system in the very long run
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Chapter 18The International Monetary System, 1870–1973Chapter OrganizationMacroeconomic Policy Goals in an Open EconomyInternal Balance: Full Employment and Price-Level StabilityExternal Balance: The Optimal Level of the Current Account International Macroeconomic Policy under the Gold Standard, 1870–1914 Origins of the Gold StandardExternal Balance under the Gold StandardThe Price-Specie-Flow MechanismThe Gold Standard “Rules of the Game”: Myth and RealityBox: Hume v. the MercantilistsInternal Balance under the Gold StandardCase Study: The Political Economy of Exchange Rate Regimes:Conflict over America’s Monetary Standard During the 1890s The Interwar Years, 1918–1939The Fleeting Return to GoldInternational Economic DisintegrationCase Study: The International Gold Standard and the Great DepressionThe Bretton Woods System and the International Monetary Fund Goals and Structure of the IMFConvertibility and the Expansion of Private Capital FlowsSpeculative Capital Flows and CrisesAnalyzing Policy Options under the Bretton Woods System Maintaining Internal BalanceMaintaining External BalanceExpenditure-Changing and Expenditure-Switching PoliciesThe External-Balance Problem of the United StatesCase Study: The Decline and Fall of the Bretton Woods System Worldwide Inflation and the Transition to Floating Rates SummaryChapter OverviewThis is the first of five international monetary policy chapters. These chapters complement the preceding theory chapters in several ways. They provide the historical and institutional background students require to place their theoretical knowledge in a useful context. The chapters also allow students, through study of historical and current events, to sharpen their grasp of the theoretical models and to develop the intuition those models can provide. (Application of the theory to events of current interest will hopefully motivate students to return to earlier chapters and master points that may have been missed on the first pass.)Chapter 18 chronicles the evolution of the international monetary system from the gold standard of1870–1914, through the interwar years, and up to and including the post-World War II Bretton Woods regime that ended in March 1973. The central focus of the chapter is the manner in which each system addressed, or failed to address, the requirements of internal and external balance for its participants.A country is in internal balance when its resources are fully employed and there is price level stability. External balance implies an optimal time path of the current account subject to its being balanced over the long run. Other factors have been important in the definition of external balance at various times, and these are discussed in the text. The basic definition of external balance as an appropriate current-account level, however, seems to capture a goal that most policy-makers share regardless of the particular circumstances.The price-specie-flow mechanism described by David Hume shows how the gold standard could ensure convergence to external balance. You may want to present the following model of the price-specie-flow mechanism. This model is based upon three equations: 1. The balance sheet of the central bank. At the most simple level, this is justgold holdings equals the money supply: G M.2. The quantity theory. With velocity and output assumed constant and bothnormalized to 1, this yields the simple equation M P.3. A balance of payments equation where the current account is a function of thereal exchange rate and there are no private capital flows: CA f(E P*/P)These equations can be combined in a figure like the one below. The 45 line represents the quantity theory, and the vertical line is the price level where the real exchange rate results in a balanced current account. The economy moves along the 45 line back towards the equilibrium Point 0 whenever it is out of equilibrium. For example, the loss of four-fifths of a country’s gold would put that country at Point a with lower prices and a lower money supply. The resulting real exchange rate depreciation causes a current account surplus which restores money balances as the country proceeds up the 45 line froma to 0.FigureThe automatic adjustment process described by the price-specie-flow mechanism is expedited by following “rules of the game” under which governments contract the domestic source components oftheir monetary bases when gold reserves are falling (corresponding to a current-account deficit) and expand when gold reserves are rising (the surplus case).In practice, there was little incentive for countries with expanding gold reserves to follow the “rules of the game.” This increased the contractionary burden shouldered by countries with persistent current account deficits. The gold standard also subjugated internal balance to the demands of external balance. Research suggests price-level stability and high employment were attained less consistently under the gold standard than in the post-1945 period.The interwar years were marked by severe economic instability. The monetization of war debt and of reparation payments led to episodes of hyperinflation in Europe. Anill-fated attempt to return to thepre-war gold parity for the pound led to stagnation in Britain. Competitive devaluations and protectionism were pursued in a futile effort to stimulate domestic economic growth during the Great Depression.These beggar-thy-neighbor policies provoked foreign retaliation and led to the disintegration of the world economy. As one of the case studies shows, strict adherence to the Gold Standard appears to have hurt many countries during the Great Depression.Determined to avoid repeating the mistakes of the interwar years, Allied economic policy-makers metat Bretton Woods in 1944 to forge a new international monetary system for the postwar world. The exchange-rate regime that emerged from this conference had at its center the . dollar. All other currencies had fixed exchange rates against the dollar, which itself had a fixed value in terms of gold.An International Monetary Fund was set up to oversee the system and facilitate its functioning by lending to countries with temporary balance of payments problems.A formal discussion of internal and external balance introduces the concepts of expenditure-switching and expenditure-changing policies. The Bretton Woods system, with its emphasis on infrequent adjustmentof fixed parities, restricted the use of expenditure-switching policies. Increases in U.S. monetary growth to finance fiscal expenditures after the mid-1960s led to a loss of confidence in the dollar and the termination of the dollar’s convertibility into gold. The analysis presented in the text demonstrateshow the Bretton Woods system forced countries to “import” inflation from the United States and shows that the breakdown of the system occurred when countries were no longer willing to accept this burden.Answers to Textbook Problems1. a. Since it takes considerable investment to develop uranium mines, you wouldwant a larger current account deficit to allow your country to finance some of the investment with foreign savings.b. A permanent increase in the world price of copper would cause a short-termcurrent account deficit if the price rise leads you to invest more in coppermining. If there are no investment effects, you would not change yourexternal balance target because it would be optimal simply to spend youradditional income.c. A temporary increase in the world price of copper would cause a currentaccount surplus. You would want to smooth out your country’s consumption bysaving some of its temporarily higher income.d. A temporary rise in the world price of oil would cause a current accountdeficit if you were an importer of oil, but a surplus if you were an exporter of oil.2. Because the marginal propensity to consume out of income is less than 1, atransfer of income from B to A increases savings in A and decreases savings in B.Therefore, A has a current account surplus and B has a corresponding deficit.This corresponds to a balance of payments disequilibrium in Hume’s world, which must be financed by gold flows from B to A. These gold flows increase A’s money supply and decrease B’s money supply, pushing up prices in A and depressingprices in B. These price changes cease once balance of payments equilibrium has been restored.3. Changes in parities reflected both initial misalignments and balance of paymentscrises. Attempts to return to the parities of the prewar period after the war ignored the changes in underlying economic fundamentals that the war caused. This made some exchange rates less than fully credible and encouraged balance ofpayments crises. Central bank commitments to the gold parities were also less than credible after the wartime suspension of the gold standard, and as a result of the increasing concern of governments with internal economic conditions.4. A monetary contraction, under the gold standard, will lead to an increase in thegold holdings of the contracting country’s central bank if other countries do not pursue a similar policy. All countries cannot succeed in doing thissimultaneously since the total stock of gold reserves is fixed in the short run.Under a reserve currency system, however, a monetary contraction causes anincipient rise in the domestic interest rate, which attracts foreign capital. The central bank must accommodate the inflow of foreign capital to preserve theexchange rate parity. There is thus an increase in the central bank’s holdings of foreign reserves equal to the fall in its holdings of domestic assets. There is no obstacle to a simultaneous increase in reserves by all central banksbecause central banks acquire more claims on the reserve currency country while their citizens end up with correspondingly greater liabilities.5. The increase in domestic prices makes home exports less attractive and causes acurrent account deficit. This diminishes the money supply and causescontractionary pressures in the economywhich serve to mitigate and ultimately reverse wage demands and price increases.6. A “demand determined” increase in dollar reserve holdings would not affect theworld supply of money as central banks merely attempt to trade their holdings of domestic assets for dollar rese rves. A “supply determined” increase in reserve holdings, however, would result from expansionary monetary policy in the United States (the reserve center). At least at the end of the Bretton Woods era the increase in world dollar reserves arose in part because of an expansionarymonetary policyin the United States rather than a desire by other central banks to increasetheir holdings of dollar assets. Only the “supply determined” increase indollar reserves is relevant for analyzing the relationship between world holdings of dollar reserves by central banks and inflation.7. An increase in the world interest rate leads to a fall in a central bank’sholdings of foreign reserves as domestic residents trade in their cash forforeign bonds. This leads to a d ecline in the home country’s money supply. The central bank of a “small” country cannot offset these effects sinceit cannot alter the world interest rate. An attempt to sterilize the reserve loss through open market purchases would fail unless bonds are imperfect substitutes.8. Capital account restrictions insulate the domestic interest rate from the worldinterest rate. Monetary policy, as well as fiscal policy, can be used to achieve internal balance. Because there are no offsetting capital flows, monetary policy, as well as fiscal policy, can be used to achieve internal balance. The costs of capital controls include the inefficiency which is introduced when the domestic interest rate differs from the world rate and the high costs of enforcing the controls.9. Yes, it does seem that the external balance problem of a deficit country is moresevere. While the macroeconomic imbalance may be equally problematic in the long run regardless of whether it is a deficit or surplus, large external deficits involve the risk that the market will fix the problem quickly by ceasing to fund the external deficit. In this case, there may have to be rapid adjustment that could be disruptive. Surplus countries are rarely forced into rapid adjustments, making the problems less risky.10. An inflow attack is different from capital flight, but many parallels exist. Inan “outflow” attack, speculators sell the home currency and drain the central bank of its foreign assets. The central bank could always defend if it so chooses (they can raise interest rates to improbably high levels), but if it is unwilling to cripple the economy with tight monetary policy, it must relent. An “inflow”attack is similar in that the central bank can always maintain the peg, it is just that the consequences of doing so may be more unpalatable than breaking the peg. If money flows in, the central bank must buy foreign assets to keep thecurrency from appreciating. If the central bank cannot sterilize all the inflows (eventually they may run out of domestic assets to sell to sterilize thetransactions where they are buying foreign assets), it will have to either let the currency appreciate or let the money supply rise. If it is unwilling to allow and increase in inflation due to a rising money supply, breaking the peg may be preferable.11. a. We know that China has a very large current account surplus, placing them highabove the XX line. They also have moderate inflationary pressures (describedas “gathering” in the question, implying they are not yet very strong). This suggests that China is above the II line, but not too far above it. It wouldbe placed in Zone 1 (see below).b. China needs to appreciate the exchange rate to move down on the graph towardsbalance. (Shown on the graph with the dashed line down)c. China would need to expand government spending to move to the right and hitthe overall balance point. Such a policy would help cushion the negative aggregate demand pressurethat the appreciation might generate.。
International Monetary System国际货币体系New Wordsmonetary adj.system n.agreement n.fund n.purpose n.exchange vt.;n.stability n.balance n.payment n.key n.leading adj.currency n.undertake vt.parity n.fluctuation n.rate n.spot n.limit n.band n.margin n.intervention n.deviate vi.excess n.approval n.imbalance n.result n.permanent adj.improvement n.deterioration n.competitive adj.position n.inflation n.decline vi.demand n.external adj.value n.appreciate vi.peg vt.undervalue v.opposite adj.overvalue vt.aggravate vt.speculative adj.run n.;vi.eventually adv.upvalue vt.devalue v.(=devaluate)单词货币的, 金钱的系统, 体系, 体制协定, 协议资金, 基金目的, 宗旨交换, 兑换稳定;稳定性收支差额, 余额付款, 支付钥匙, 关键第一位的, 最主要的通货;流通承担, 保证等值;平价波动, 起伏比率场所, 现场限度, 限制幅度边缘;极限干涉,干预背离, 偏离超过, 超额承认, 正式批准不平衡, 不均衡结果, 成效永久的, 持久的改进, 进步变坏, 退化竞争的位置, 情况通货膨胀, (物价)暴涨下倾, 下降需求(量), 需要对外的, 外国的价值增值, 涨价固定, 限制低估相对的, 对应的对...定价过高, 估计过高使恶化, 加重投机的快速撤退;进行最后, 终于提高…的价值;将(货币)升值减值, 贬值Phrases and ExpressionsInternational Monetary System International monetary Fund (IMF)Bretton Woodsexchange stabilitymember countriestemporary difficultiesbalance of paymentsIMF systemkey or leading currencyin terms ofexchange ratespot ratewithin the limits of…fluctuation marginupper and the lower intervention point in excess ofcompetitive positionrate of inflationexternal valuesystem of fixed or pegged parities exchange rate fluctuationspeculative run 短语与词组国际货币体系国际货币基金(组织)布雷顿森林汇率稳定成员国暂时困难国际收支国际货币基金体系关键或主要货币根据, 按照兑换率即期汇率在……范围内浮动幅度上下干预点超过竞争状况通货膨胀率对外价值固定或钉住平价制度兑换汇率波动投机活动Notes1.Each member country of the IMF undertakes to establish a parity of its currency in terms of gold and the US dollar and to keep fluctuations of the dollar exchange rate —— or, more exactly, the spot rate within the limits of the band or fluctuation margin.国际货币基金组织的每一个成员国承担着稳定本国货币与黄金和美元平价的责任,并使美元汇率——或者,更准确地说——美元现汇汇率的波动限制在规定的幅度内。
金砖国家领导人第五次会晤德班宣言(二0一三年三月二十七日)Fifth BRICS SummitDurban: 27 March 2013BRICS and Africa: Partnership for Development, Integration and Industrialization eThekwini Declaration1、我们,巴西联邦共和国、俄罗斯联邦、印度共和国、中华人民共和国和南非共和国领导人于2013年3月27日在南非德班举行金砖国家领导人第五次会晤。
我们围绕“金砖国家与非洲:致力于发展、一体化和工业化的伙伴关系”的主题进行了讨论。
本次会晤是金砖国家第一轮领导人会晤的收官之作。
我们重申将致力于维护国际法、多边主义和联合国的中心地位。
我们的讨论表明金砖国家的团结进一步加深,愿为全球和平、稳定、发展与合作做出积极贡献。
我们还讨论了金砖国家在与各国和各国人民团结合作的基础上,在国际体系中发挥的作用。
1. We, the leaders of the Federative Republic of Brazil, the Russian Federation, the Republic of India, the People's Republic of China and the Republic of South Africa, met in Durban, South Africa,on 27 March 2013 at the Fifth BRICS Summit. Our discussions took place under the overarching theme, "BRICS and Africa: Partnership for Development, Integration and Industrialization." The Fifth BRICS Summit concluded the first cycle of BRICS Summits and we reaffirmed our commitment to the promotion of international law, multilateralism and the central role of the United Nations (UN). Our discussions reflected our growing intra-BRICS solidarity as well as our shared goal to contribute positively to global peace, stability, development and cooperation. We also considered our role in the international system as based on an inclusive approach of shared solidarity and cooperation towards all nations and peoples.2、此次会晤举行之时,正需要我们探讨共同关心并具有系统重要性的问题,以解决共同关切,研拟长期解决之道。
国际贸易名词解释Explanation1. Neutral Packaging: Neutral packaging is the one that makes no mention at all the name of the country which produces the goods and the name of the manufacturer on the commodity and on the outer and inner packages.2.Demurrage: it is the cost of delaying a ship,to the ship-owner paid by the charterer.3. Dispatch Money: Dispatch money is an amount of compensation paid by the ship-owner to the charterer when the loading and/or unloading can be completed in less time allowed in the voyage charter party. Dispatch money is normally based on, or as a fraction of, the rate of demurrage.4. Foreign Exchange: Foreign Exchange is the currency of any foreign country which is the authorized instrument and the basis for record keeping in that country. In the context of international trade, foreign exchange means the instruments expressed in foreign currency and employed in making payments between countries—paper currency, notes, checks, bills of exchange, and electronic notifications of international credits and debits.5.B/L (Bill of Lading): It is a shipping document that serves as a proof of delivery of goods to the carrier,a means of transferring rights t the goods by the transfer of the paper document to another party,and an evidence of the contract of carriage between the shipping company and the shipper。
Chapter 3The International Monetary SystemQuestions3-1. The Gold Standard and the Money Supply. Under the gold standard all national governments promised to follow the “rules of the game.” This meant defending a fixed exchange rate. What did this promise imply about a country’s money supply?A country’s money supply was limited to the amount of gold held by its central bank or treasury.For example, if a country had 1,000,000 ounces of gold and its fixed rate of exchange was100 local currency units per ounce of gold, that country could have 100,000,000 local currencyunits outstanding. Any change in its holdings of gold needed to be matched by a change in thenumber of local currency units outstanding.3-2. Causes of Devaluation. If a country follows a fixed exchange rate regime, what macroeconomic variables could cause the fixed exchange rate to be devalued?The following macroeconomic variables could cause the fixed exchange rate to be devalued:•An interest rate that is too low compared to other competing currencies• A continuing balance of payments deficit•An inflation rate consistently higher than in other countries.3-3. Fixed versus Flexible Exchange Rates. What are the advantages and disadvantages of fixed exchange rates?•Fixed rates provide stability in international prices for the conduct of trade. Stable prices aid in the growth of international trade and lessen risks for all businesses.•Fixed exchange rates are inherently anti-inflationary, requiring the country to follow restrictive monetary and fiscal policies. This restrictiveness, however, can often be a burden to a countrywishing to pursue policies that alleviate continuing internal economic problems, such as highunemployment or slow economic growth.•Fixed exchange rate regimes necessitate that central banks maintain large quantities of international reserves (hard currencies and gold) for use in the occasional defense of the fixedrate. As international currency markets have grown rapidly in size and volume, increasingreserve holdings has become a significant burden to many nations.•Fixed rates, once in place, may be maintained at rates that are inconsistent with economic fundamentals. As the structure of a nation’s economy changes, and as its trade relationshipsand balances evolve, the exchange rate itself should change. Flexible exchange rates allow thisto happen gradually and efficiently, but fixed rates must be changed administratively—usuallytoo late, too highly publicized, and at too large a one-time cost to the nation’s economic health.Chapter 3 The International Monetary System 13 3-4. The Impossible Trinity. Explain what is meant by the term impossible trinity and why it is true.•Countries with floating rate regimes can maintain monetary independence and financial integration but must sacrifice exchange rate stability.•Countries with tight control over capital inflows and outflows can retain their monetary independence and stable exchange rate, but surrender being integrated with the world’scapital markets.•Countries that maintain exchange rate stability by having fixed rates give up the ability to have an independent monetary policy.3-5. Currency Board or Dollarization. Fixed exchange rate regimes are sometimes implemented through a currency board (Hong Kong) or dollarization (Ecuador). What is the difference between the two approaches?In a currency board arrangement, the country issues its own currency but that currency is backed 100% by foreign exchange holdings of a hard foreign currency—usually the U.S. dollar.In dollarization, the country abolishes its own currency and uses a foreign currency, such asthe U.S. dollar, for all domestic transactions.3-6. Emerging Market Exchange Rate Regimes. High capital mobility is forcing emerging market nations to choose between free-floating regimes and currency board or dollarization regimes. What are the main outcomes of each of these regimes from the perspective of emerging market nations?There is no doubt that for many emerging markets a currency board, dollarization, and freely-floating exchange rate regimes are all extremes. In fact, many experts feel that the global financial marketplace will drive more and more emerging market nations towards one of these extremes. As illustrated by Exhibit 3.6 (in the chapter and reproduced here), there is a distinct lack of “middle ground” left between rigidly fixed and freely floating. In anecdotal support of this argument,a poll of the general population in Mexico in 1999 indicated that 9 out of 10 people would preferdollarization over a floating-rate peso. Clearly, there are many in the emerging markets of theworld who have little faith in their leadership and institutions to implement an effective exchange rate policy.14 Eiteman/Stonehill/Moffett •Multinational Business Finance, Twelfth Edition3-7. Argentine Currency Board. How did the Argentine currency board function from 1991 to January 2002 and why did it collapse?Argentina’s currency board exchange regime of fixing the value of its peso on a one-to-one basis with the U.S. dollar ended for several reasons.•As the U.S. dollar strengthened against other major world currencies, including the euro, during the 1990s, Argentine export prices rose vis-à-vis the currencies of its major trading partners.•This problem was aggravated by the devaluation of the Brazilian real in the late 1990s.•These two problems, in turn, led to continued trade deficits and a loss of foreign exchange reserves by the Argentine central bank. (4) This problem, in turn, led Argentine residents toflee from the peso and into the dollar, further worsening Argentina’s ability to maintain itsone-to-one peg.Euro.On January 4, 1999, eleven member states of the European Union initiated the3-8. TheEuropean Monetary Union (EMU) and established a single currency, the euro, which replacedthe individual currencies of participating member states. Describe three of the main ways thatthe euro affects the members of the EMU.The euro affects markets in three ways: (1) countries within the euro zone enjoy cheaper transaction costs; (2) currency risks and costs related to exchange rate uncertainty are reduced; and (3) allconsumers and businesses both inside and outside the euro zone enjoy price transparency andincreased price-based competition.The United Kingdom, Denmark, and Sweden have chosen not to adopt the euro but 3-9. Maveri c ks.rather maintain their individual currencies. What are the motivations of each of these three countries that are also members of the European Union?The United Kingdom chose not to adopt the euro because of the extensive use of the U.K. pound in international trade and financial transactions. London is still the world’s most importantfinancial center. The British are also very proud of their long tradition in financial matters when “Britannia ruled the waves.” They are afraid that monetary and financial matters may eventually migrate to Frankfurt where the European Central Bank is located. The British are also worriedabout continued concentration of decision making in Brussels where the main European Unioninstitutions are located.Denmark is also worried about losing its economic independence as a small country surrounded by big neighbors. Denmark’s currency, the krone, is mostly tied to the euro anyway, so it does not suffer a misalignment with the primary currency unit of the surrounding economies. Sweden has strong economic ties to Denmark, Norway, and the United Kingdom, none of which adopted the euro so far. Sweden, like the others, is afraid of over-concentration of power within EuropeanUnion institutions.Despite popular fears and a certain amount of nationalism, all three countries have strong forces within that would like these countries to adopt the euro. This would usually require popularreferendums, so you may see them adopt the euro in the future.Chapter 3 The International Monetary System 15 3-10. International Monetary Fund (IMF). The IMF was established by the Bretton Woods Agreement (1944). What were its original objectives?The IMF was established to render temporary assistance to member countries trying to defend the value of their currencies against cyclical, seasonal, or random occurrences. Additionally it was to assist countries having structural trade problems. More recently it has attempted to help countries, such as Russia, Brazil, Argentina, and Indonesia, to resolve financial crises.3-11. Special Drawing Rights. What are Special Drawing Rights?The Special Drawing Right (SDR) is an international reserve asset created by the IMF to supplement existing foreign exchange reserves. It serves as a unit of account for the IMF and other international and regional organizations and is also the base against which some countries peg the exchangerate for their currencies.Defined initially in terms of a fixed quantity of gold, the SDR has been redefined several times.It is currently the weighted value of currencies of the five IMF members having the largest exports of goods and services. Individual countries hold SDRs in the form of deposits in the IMF. These holdings are part of each country’s international monetary reserves, along with official holdings of gold, foreign exchange, and its reserve position at the IMF. Members may settle transactionsamong themselves by transferring SDRs.3-12. Exchange Rate Regime Classifications. The IMF classifies all exchange rate regimes into eight specific categories that are summarized in this chapter. Under which exchange rate regime would you classify each of the following countries?a. France: Exchange arrangements with no separate legal tender.b. The United States: independent floating.c. Japan: independent floating.d. Thailand: managed floating with no pre-announced path for the exchange rate. Prior to theAsian Crisis of 1997 it was tied to the U.S. dollar.3-13. The Ideal Currency. What are the attributes of the ideal currency?If the ideal currency existed in today’s world, it would possess three attributes (illustrated inExhibit 3.4), often referred to as The Impossible Trinity.a.Exchange rate stability. The value of the currency would be fixed in relationship to othermajor currencies so traders and investors could be relatively certain of the foreign exchangevalue of each currency in the present and into the near future.b. Full financial integration. Complete freedom of monetary flows would be allowed, so tradersand investors could willingly and easily move funds from one country and currency to anotherin response to perceived economic opportunities or risks.c. Monetary independen c e. Domestic monetary and interest rate policies would be set by eachindividual country to pursue desired national economic policies, especially as they mightrelate to limiting inflation, combating recessions, and fostering prosperity and full employment.The reason that it is termed The Impossible Trinity is that a country must give up one of the three goals described by the sides of the triangle, monetary independence, exchange rate stability, orfull financial integration. The forces of economics do not allow the simultaneous achievement of all three.16 Eiteman/Stonehill/Moffett •Multinational Business Finance, Twelfth Edition3-14. Bretton Woods Failure. Why did the fixed exchange rate regime of 1945–1973 eventually fail?The fixed exchange rate regime of 1945–1973 failed because of widely diverging nationalmonetary and fiscal policies, differential rates of inflation, and various unexpected externalshocks. The U.S. dollar was the main reserve currency held by central banks and was the key to the web of exchange rate values. The United States ran persistent and growing deficits in itsbalance of payments, which required a heavy outflow of dollars to finance the deficits. Eventually the heavy overhang of dollars held by foreigners forced the United States to devalue the dollarbecause the United States was no longer able to guarantee conversion of dollars into its diminishing store of gold.3-15. EU and Euro Expansion. With so many new countries joining the European Union in 2004, when will they officially move to the euro—if ever?In January 2007 two more countries were added to the EU’s growing membership—Bulgaria and Romania. Their entry was little more than two years after the EU had added 10 more countriesto its ranks. As illustrated by Global Finance in Practice 3.2, to date only one of these new12 members has actually adopted the euro. Although all members are expected to eventuallyreplace their currencies with the euro, recent years have seen growing debates and continualpostponements by the new members in moving toward full euro adoption.。
Syllabus of International Economics and Trade Names of Main Courses:1.International Clearance2.International Finance3.A Brief Introduction of International Trade4.International Trade Practice5.Customs Clearance Practices6.Management and Practice of Multinational Company7.Business Correspondence8.Trade negotiations9.Western EconomicsSyllabus of International FinanceFor: International Economics and TradeTotal Class Hours: 54Aims:This course introduces students to International Finance and equips them with basic concepts, and methods to study and analyze international economic issues and problems. It will lay a hard foundation for on Finance study and work in the future.Prerequisites:1.To understand properties, tasks and its researching targets; its system,structure overall2.To grasp basic concepts and theories, basic principles and methods,and development of international finance3.To learn to apply theories and principles to practice and analyzefinancial problems and specific cases with relevant theories.Teaching Mode:Lectures and case studyCourse Contents:Chapter one Foreign Currency and Exchange Rate1.1Definition and categories of currency1.2Definition, exchange quotation and categories of currency Rate1.3Currency basis and main factors affecting it1.4Function of currency changes to economyKey points and Difficulties:Exchange Quotation; main factors and functions of currency and currency change Chapter Two Currency System and Exchange Control2.1 Categories of currency system2.2 Fixed exchange rate and floating exchange rate2.3 History and purpose of exchange control2.4 Measures of exchange control2.5 Functions of exchange control2.6 Evolution and contents of foreign currency management in China2.7 RMB exchange rate system and its theoretical parityKey points and difficulties:Fixed exchange rate system and floating exchange rate system; pegging exchange rate, exchange control, complex exchange rate system, evasion, and arbitrage and Currency convertibilityChapter Three Foreign Exchange Market and Foreign Exchange Transactions3.1W hat is foreign exchange market3.2M ajor international markets and their transaction systems3.3T ransaction means3.3.1Spot transactions and forward transactions3.3.2Arbitrage trading and arbitrage trading3.3.4Foreign exchange futures and optionsKey points and difficulties:Foreign exchange market, foreign transaction, spot transaction and forward transaction; arbitrage trading and arbitrage trading, swap, foreign exchange futures and optionsChapter Four Foreign Exchange Risk Management4.1 What is exchange risk4.2 Causes and measures of exchange risk4.3 Enterprise Foreign exchange risk management approaches4.4 Bank Foreign exchange risk management approachKey points and difficulties:Recognize and measure all kinds of risks of foreign exchange and management approachesChapter Five International balance of payments5.1 What is international balance of payments5.2 Economic functions fo balance of payments5.3 Imbalance of international payments and its function5.4 Adjustment methods of imbalance of international paymentsKey points and difficulties:International balance of payments and its preparing methods; causes of imbalance and its functions to economy and adjustment methods Chapter Six International Reserves6.1 What are international reserves6.2 Management principles and policy options of international reserves 6.3 international reserves management in ChinaKey points and difficulties:International reserves, international liquidity, foreign exchange reserves, SDR; management principles and its functions,management principles in China Chapter Seven International Financial Markets7.1 What are international financial markets7.2 Classifications of international financial markets7.2.1 Foreign exchange market7.2.2 Money market7.2.3 Capital markets7.3 What are money markets in Europe7.4 Financial derivatives market7.4.1 Financial futures markets and futures trading rules7.4.2 Financial options market and options trading rulesKey points and difficulties:International financial markets, foreign exchange market, money markets, capital markets, money markets in Europe, offshore financial markets, financial derivatives; differences between offshore financial markets and traditional financial markets; financial derivatives trading rules and its supervision.Chapter Eight International Capital Flows8.1 What is international capital flows8.2 Benefits and risks of international capital flows8.3 International debt and its measurement index8.4 Causes and solutions of international debt crisis8.5 International capital flows and financial crisis in developing countriesKey points and difficulties:Categories, contents and features of international capital flows; benefits and risks of international capital flowsChapter Nine International Settlement9.1N otes and documents in international settlement9.2M eans of international settlementKey points and difficulties:Categories and definitions of notes and documents in international settlement; different settlement means and usage; general business credit, standby letters of credit and bank guaranteeChapter Ten International Monetary Systems10.1 What are international monetary systems10.2 International monetary system10.2.1 International gold standard10.2.2 Bretton Woods system10.2.3 Jamaica monetary system10.3 Regional monetary system10.3.1 Effect of European Monetary System and European Monetary Unionon economy10.4 Functions of European financial institutions in international monetary systemKey points and difficulties:International gold standard, Bretton Woods system, Jamaica monetary system, European Monetary Union, Euro; requirements of developing countries tointernational monetary system; History of Euro and its functions to world economy Chapter Eleven International Finance Theory11.1 International balance of payments theory11.2 Exchange Rate Theory11.3 Theory of international capital flowsKey points and difficulties:Typical views on international balance of payments theory, such as Mercantilism’theory of the balance of trade, Hume-cash’ sflowPricemechanism; Purchasing power parity, psychological exchange, Export of capital, Capital input, Theory of capitalcontrolsClass hour allocation:5 hours per chapter(4 hours for Chapter 11 only, totally 54 hours.Main references:Biaoru, C. (1990. Introduction of International Finance. Shanghai: Huadong Normal University Press.Obstfeld, P. R. K. M. (1998. International Economics. Beijing: RenminUniversity of China Press.Salvatore, D. (1998. International Economics. Beijing: Qinghua University Press.Shunian, L. (1995. International Finance. Beijing: International Businessand Economics University Press.Xiang, T., & Yulu, C. (1996. International Finance and Management.Beijing: Renmin University of China Press.Syllabus of Introduction of International TradeFor: International Economics and TradeTotal Class Hours: 72Aims:This course introduces students to International trade and its theories and policies, and equips them with basic theories, viewpoints and methods to analyze international economic issues and trade problems. It will lay a hard foundation for on Finance study and work in the future.Courses contents:Part One Basis of International TradeChapter One Summary of international tradeAims and requirements:This chapter focuses on the researching objects, means and contents of international trade; students are required to master the basic concepts and the whole frame of international trade system.Key points and difficulties: researching objects, contents and basic conceptsChapter Two International Division of Labor and International Trade Aimsand requirements:This chapter mainly touches on the relation between internationaldivision of labor and international trade; students are required to know factors causing labor division and different features of it at different stages; interactive relation between labor division and international trade. Key points and difficulties: main factors affecting international labor division.Chapter Three International Labor Division and World MarketAims and requirements:Students are required to know production and development of world market, systems and main features of world market and makeup and manifestations of price of world market.Key points and difficulties:Current world market systemChapter Four International Trade and Economic GrowthAims and requirements:Students are required to know the growing role of international trade in economy and the interactive relation between international trade and economic growth.Key points and difficulties:Economic growth’ s effect to balance of international tradeChapter Five International Trade and Economic StructureAims and requirements:Studens are required to know the interactive relation between international trade and economic structure.Key points and difficulties:Infant industries and their protectionChapter Six Strategic Model of International TradeAims and requirements:Students are required to know the definition of Export and import substitution strategy and the main factors and selection principles affecting Export and import substitution strategyKey points and difficulties:Import substitution strategy and its theoretical basis, Export-oriented strategy Part Two International Trade TheoriesChapter Seven Classical International Trade ModelAims and requirements:Students are required to grasp the main theories of Mercantilism, absolutecost theory, comparative cost theory and Dornbush Fisher Samuelson Model.Key points and difficulties:Ricardo - Krugman modelChapter Eight Neoclassical International Trade ModelAims and requirements:Students are required to know Equilibrium open economy, mutual needs theory, factor endowment theory and Leontief MysteryKey points and difficulties:Mutual needs theory and factor endowment theoryChapter Nine Imperfect Competition Model of International TradeAims and requirements:Students are required to master scale economy and international trade, intraindustrial international trade, imperfect competitive market and International Competitive AdvantageKey points and difficulties:Intraindustrial international tradeChapter Ten Dynamic International Trade ModelAims and requirements:Students are required to master product life cycle theory, technological gap theory, technology spillover and“ scientific” model and neoclassicaltheory.Key points and difficulties:Product life cycle theory and technological gap theoryChapter Eleven New Elements Model of International TradeAims and requirements:Students are required to know human capital and international trade; R&D and international trade, information and international trade, systems and international trade.Key points and requirements:Human capital and international tradeChapter Twelve Model of International Factor MobilityAims and requirements:Students are required to master international capital flow model, international factor and goods mobility and international technology mobility model.Key points and difficulties:International capital flow modelPart Three International Trade PolicyChapter Thirteen Introduction of International Trade PolicyAims and requirements:Students are required to know the evolution of international trade, optionsof international trade policy and its features, to lay a basis for future study.Chapter Fourteen Tariff MeasuresAims and requirements:Students are required to grasp rate of tariff protection and tariff effects models and know of tariff, tariff system and types of tariffKey points and difficulties:Tariff effects modelChapter Fifteen Non-tariff MeasuresAims and requirements:Students are required to grasp analysis of non-tariff effects and know types of non-tariff measures and its basic featuresKey points and difficulties:Analysis of non-tariff measure effectsChapter Sixteen Export Promotion and Export ControlAims and requirements:Students are required to grasp measures of export promotion and knowhow to analyze the economic effects export promotion and export control. Key points and difficulties:Measures of export promotionChapter Seventeen Strategic Trade PolicyAims and requirements:Students are required to know the theoretical basis of strategic trade policy, basic model and its applicationKey points and difficulties:Theoretical basis of strategic trade policyChapter Eighteen Political Economy of Trade PolicyAims and requirements:Students are required to know trade policy and political factors, rent-seeking and trade policy; game and coordination in international trade policy.Key points and difficulties:Trade policy and political factorPart Four International Trade TopicsChapter Nineteen World Trade Organization and International Trade Aimsand requirements:Students are required to grasp the principles and main functions of WTO; know features of GATT related with WTO, analyze the relation among WTO, world trade and China.Key points and difficulties:Principles and functions of WTOChapter Twenty Regional Economic Integration and International Trade Aims and requirements:Students are required to know main content and forms, interactive relation and models of regional economic integrationKey points and difficulties:Models of regional economic integrationChapter Twenty One International Investment and TradeAims and requirements:Students are required to learn the main content and forms, interactive relation and theories of international investmentKey points and difficulties:International investment theoryChapter Twenty Two Transnational Corporation and International Trade Aims and requirements:Students are required to know general features of transnational corporation, major features of management and its effect on macro economyKey points and difficulties:Management of transnational corporationChapter Twenty Three International Trade in ServiceAims and requirements:Students are required to general features of transnational corporation, major features of management and its effect on macro economyKey points and difficulties:Models of international trade in serviceChapter Twenty Four International Trade PatternsAims and requirements:Students are required to know trade features of developed countries and developing countries; to know international economic order and trade patterns and their adjustments.Key points and difficulties:International economic order and trade patterns, and their adjustments.\Main referenceSalvatore, D. (1998. International Economics. Beijing: QingHua University Press.Xian, C. (1998. International Trade Shanghai Lixin Accounting Publishing House Xinlei, S. (2001. Theories and Policies of International Economics.Chengdu: Southwestern University of Finance and Economics Press.Syllabus of International Trade PracticeFor: International economics and tradeTotal class hours: 36International Trade Practice is a backbone course of specialty of TradeEconomics,and it is a course of studying the procedure of international exchange of commodities, and it also have characteristics of foreign activities. The task of this courseis: In terms of practice and law, analyzing and studying various kinds of methods of international exchange of commodities, summarizing foreign practical experiences in order to carry out the principles and policies of foreign trade of our country, not only can guarantee the best economic benefits, but also can handle affairs according to the international practice, and make our basic methods can be generally accepted for the international community. Through this course students are required to master basic theories, knowledge and basic skill of the foreign trade business, understand the trade procedure of imports and exports and grasp the method and skill of drafting sales contract clauses.Part One International Trade TermsChapter One International Trade TermsAims:Trade term is the key content of this course. It requires students tograsp the explanations for 13 trade terms of INCO terms 2000 through studying, especially the definitions, characteristic and applications of some important trade term.Key points:The coverage of INCO terms 2000; the meaning of FOB, CFR, CIF, FCA ,CPT, CIP, shipment contract, Symbol Delivery, the varieties of trade term.Teaching difficulties:The same points and different points of FOB, CFR, CIF and the differenceamong FCA, CPT, CIP, summary of trade terms, choosing of trade terms.Teaching contentLaws and practices for sales of international cargo, the main content of sales contracts, general procedure of sale-goods and main content of this course.Part Two International Sale of GoodsChapter Two Name, Quality and PackingAims:This chapter requires students to study and grasp the importance concluding the quality clause and basic method in the sales contract through this Section, and grasp how to stipulate quantity clauses, andstudy the basic content of the packaging clause, and grasp the general description about the goods on the whole.Key points:Choosing the methods of descript quality correctly, using chipping mark, more and short clause and neutral packing.Teaching Difficulties:Related stipulations about quantity clause of ConversionChapter Three Transport of International GoodsAims:This Section is emphasis the modes of transport,how to stipulate the shipment clause in the contract,how to deal with the shipment document, especially the ocean transportation.Key points:Mode of ocean transport, related documents, clause, accounting the freight ofline transportTeaching difficulties:Nature of B/L, kinds of B/L, stipulations about partial shipment andtransshipment in UCP500Chapter Four Insurance of International GoodsAims:This Section tells mainly that transports the range that the cargo insurance gives cover for by sea, our country transports cargo insurance risk and such contents as the clause and transportation insurance practice of cargoes imported and exported, etc. by sea.Key points:Related knowledge about insurance of ocean transportTeaching difficulties:Decision of insurance amount, Choice of insurance averageChapter Five Price of International GoodsAims:Through the studying of this chapter, student can grasp the price of the importedand exported goods correctly, adopting various kinds of and fix a price for the method rationally, selecting the favorable pricing currency for use, using relevant commission and discount properly, and ordering the price clause in the contract.Key points:Accounting the commission and discount, exchange the price. Teaching difficulties: Choice to the method of accounting the priceChapter Six Collection and PaymentAims:This chapter mainly introduces the process of international settlement, such as means of payment, payment time, payment place, etc. Among them the L/C and its related issues are discussed in great details. This Section is a key Section of this book.Key points:Draft, L/C, International Factor and Choice of payment instruments.Teaching difficulties:Transferable L/C, relationship of 3 periods of L/C, Usance L/ C payable at sight.Chapter Seven Inspection, Claim, Arbitration and Force Majeure Aims:This chapter mainly introduces inspection, claim, arbitration, Force Majeureand related knowledge in international merchandise trade.Key points:Choosing the time and the place of inspection, deciding the claim party, stipulating the claim clause, judgment of Force Majeure matter, forms and functions of arbitration, results of arbitrationTeaching difficulties:Commencement and termination of Force MajeurePart Three Trade Negotiation and Contract PreparationChapter Eight Export Business Negotiation and Conclusion of ContractAims:This Section tells the general procedures of business negotiation, thebasically contents and establishment of contract, etc.Key points:This Section is key on offer and accept, effective time, whether to revocableor withdraw.Teaching difficulties:Stipulations about offer and accept in ConventionChapter Nine Performance of Import and Export ContrastAims:This chapter mainly talks about the main steps in the general process in performance of the contract and its related issues that should be pay close attention to.Key points:The key points of Urging establishment of L/C, notices of verify the L/CTeaching difficulties:Auditing of credit amount and Export bill purchasePart Four International Trade Forms Chapter Ten International Trade Forms Aims: This chapter mainly tells about the concept and characteristic of various trade forms; main contents of various trade agreement; and issues of using various trade forms. Key points: Distribution, Sole Distribution, Solo Agent or Exclusive Agent, Consignment,Fairs and Sales, Invitation to Tender and Submission, Auction, Processing trade Teaching difficulties: The Comparison of Sole Distribution and Solo Agent, differences of processing with imported material and supplied material. Main reference: Baifu, W. (1996. Textbook of Import and Export Trade Practice. Shanghai: Shanghai People's Press. Xiaoxian, L. (1994. International Trade Practice. Beijing University Press of International Business and Economics. Yongyou, Y. (1999. International Trade Practice. Wuhan: Hubei People's Press.。
GNP国民生产总值: Gross national Product. The market value of goods and service produced by the property and labor owned by the economy.GDP 国内生产总值: Gross Domestic product. The market value of all goods and services produced within the geographic area of an economy.Anti-dumping duty反倾销税: a tax levied by a country on imports that it believes to constitute dumping in its own market. Anti-monopoly law反垄断法: a law used to prevent companies from fixing prices, carving up the market, and gaining unfair monopoly advantagesBalance of payments国际收支平衡: a statistical system that records all external expenditure and income activities of a country第一部分金融绝对购买力评价:本国货币与外国货币之间的均衡汇率是通过两国货币之间的购买力或物价水平表现出来的Absolute purchasing power evaluation: the exchange rate between domestic and foreign currencies is expressed by the purchasing power or price level between the two currencies 相对购买力评价:两国之间的通货膨胀率决定两种货币之间的均衡汇率Relative purchasing power evaluation: the inflation rate between the two countries determines the exchange rate between the two currencies短期投资是指企业购入的各种能随时变现、持有时间不超过一年的有价证券,以及不超过一年的其他投资Short-term investment refers to all kinds of securities purchased by enterprises that can be realized at any time and held for no more than one year, as well as other investments that do not exceed one year.长期投资是指不准备随时变现,持有时间超过1年的企业对外投资Long-term investment refers to the outward investment of an enterprise that is not ready to be realized at any time and has been held for more than one year.对冲指特意减低另一项投资的风险的投资。
国际金融复习资料英文版International Finance Revision Material - English VersionInternational finance is a field of study that deals with money management and economic activities that take place between nations. It is a crucial component of global trade, as it enables businesses and individuals to conduct transactions across borders and make decisions that impact the world economy. This revision material aims to provide an overview of the fundamental concepts and principles of international finance.1. Exchange RatesExchange rates refer to the value of one currency expressed in terms of another currency. Exchange rates play a significant role in international finance because they affect the competitiveness of a country's exports and also the cost of imports. There are different types of exchange rates, including the fixed exchange rate system, the floating exchange rate system, and the managed floating exchange rate system.2. Balance of PaymentsThe balance of payments is a record of all financial transactions between a country and the rest of the world. It comprises the current account, the capital account, and the financial account. The current account records transactionsrelated to trade in goods and services, while the capital account records transactions related to capital flows, such as foreign investment. The financial account records transactions related to the purchase and sale of financial assets.3. International Capital MarketsInternational capital markets are financial markets where individuals, institutions, and governments can buy and sell financial assets across national borders. Examples of international capital markets include the foreign exchange market, the bond market, and the stock market. These markets facilitate the flow of capital across borders, allowing investors to diversify their portfolios and businesses to access funding from global sources.4. International Monetary SystemThe international monetary system is the framework within which countries conduct transactions and manage their currencies. There are different international monetary systems in history, including the gold standard, the Bretton Woods system, and the floating exchange rate system. The current international monetary system is a managed floating exchange rate system, where exchange rates are determined by market forces but may be influenced by government intervention.5. International TradeInternational trade refers to the exchange of goods and services across borders. International trade is essential foreconomic growth and development because it allows countries to access resources and markets that they do not have domestically. However, international trade can also create imbalances in trade flows, leading to trade deficits or surpluses.6. International Negotiations and AgreementsInternational negotiations and agreements are crucial for maintaining stability and promoting cooperation in international finance. Examples of international negotiations and agreements include the World Trade Organization (WTO), the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and the European Union (EU). These organizations facilitate international trade, promote stable exchange rates, and provide financial assistance to countries in need.In conclusion, understanding the fundamental concepts and principles of international finance is crucial for anyone interested in global trade and economics. This revision material provides a broad overview of the topics covered in international finance and is a useful resource for students, researchers, and professionals in the field. By familiarizing themselves with these concepts, individuals can make informed decisions about international finance and contribute to the stability and growth of the global economy.。