日本燃料电池热电联产项目介绍
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1.4 mil residential FCs installed Achieving a cost for payback time of 7-8 years (PEMFC: 800 K yen, SOFC 1 mil yen)
Around 2030
Around 2040
5.3 mil residential FCs installed Achieving a cost for payback time of 5 years
Source: Agency for Natural Resources and Energy, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry
8
Strategic Roadmap for H2 / FC Phase 2: H2 Power Plant / Mass Supply Chain
Technova Inc
maruta@technova.co.jp
About TECHNOVA
About Technova / Speaker
Technova Inc
www.technova.co.jp
consulting firm, based in Tokyo
Founded: 1978 Fields: Energy, Mobility, Environment (H2/FC, battery, future mobility, renewables, auto-drive) Clients: national government, local governments, agencies (& many private customers) Local host of ICHS (6th International Conference on Hydrogen Safety) in 2015 in Yokohama
Source: Agency for Natural Resources and Energy, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry
* 1 yen = 0.095 EUR
7
Strategic Roadmap for H2 / FC
2. FCVs
Market (in stock) About 40,000 FCVs by 2020, About 200,000 FCVs by 2025 About 800,000 FCVs by 2030 Small-sized FCVs will be launched by around 2025
10/10/2016
Austrian Energy Agency GmbH Open Workshop “Fuel cells: Why is Austria not taking off?”
Japan’s ENE-FARM programme
Aki MARUTA, Ph.D.
Project Manager
Strategic Roadmap for H2 / FC
• published in June 2014, revised in March 2016 • Step by step approach to realize “Hydrogen Society” (toward 2040)
Phase 1
Phase 3
CO2-free Hydrogen
- Systematic RD&D
2020 Tokyo Olympic/ Paralympics 2030
2040
Around 2040 CO2-free H2 by combining CCS and renewable energy
Market on H2 and FC in Japan Approx. 1 trillion yen in 2030 → Approx. 8 trillion yen in 2050
FCs for Residential Application Sales volume (cumulative) 1.4 mil units by 2020 5.3 mil units by 2030
Payback Time (incl. unit price, installation cost) 7-8 years by 2020 5 years by 2030
Oversea market expansion (starting from Europe to other regions)
Price reduction by volume production Price reduction by streamlining and standardizing processes for installation and maintenance Self-sustained market growth - Price reduction by volume production - Price reduction by streamlining and standardizing processes for installation and maintenance
Installation Fuel Cell
2009: Residential FC 2015: FCV 2017: Stationary FC around 2020: FCV fuel cost ≦ HEV fuel cost around 2025: FCV cost competitive ≧ HEV
Application
Commercial and Industrial Application
R&D on SOFC and other type of FCs for cost reduction and long life
Demonstration & regulation review toward commercialization - Demonstration of various conditions (load, weather) - Review of regulations
(Realized in the late 2020s)
4. Hydrogen Power Plant
Reflects a report by study group on H2 power plant (March 2015) , embodies the description
Phase ３:CO2-free Hydrogen
(Realized in the late 2040s)
5. Hydrogen derived from Renewable Energy
States to launch a working group which handles technical and economic issues regarding introduction of CO2-free hydrogen and come to conclusion by March 2017. Describes the promotion of advanced initiatives such as the reform 2020 project and Fukushima new energy society initiative.
Source: Agency for Natural Resources and Energy, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry
9
Strategic Roadmap for H2 / FC: Stationary FCs
Around 2015 Around 2020
Deployment of H2-based FCs for limited areas
Residential application
Support for installation Review: Electricity market to be open for FC
Sustained market growth for residential FCs Domestic market expansion (new houses / standalone existing houses / complexes)
Phase 2
H2 Power Plant/ Mass Supply Chain
- Accelerate RD&D - Realize reasonable H2 price Mid 2020s -H2 Cost (CIF) : JPY30/Nm3 -Enhance Supply Chain in Japan Around 2030 -Import H2 from overseas - Full-scale H2 Power Plant
3. Hydrogen Refueling Stations
Commercial HRS deployment About 160 stations by FY2020 About 320 stations by FY2025 Need about 900 stations (with capacity of 300Nm3/h) by 2030 Establish self-sustaining business by the late 2020s Small-capacity HRS using renewable source About 100 stations by 2020
Unit Price PEFC: 800,000 yen (ca 7,000 EUR) by 2019 SOFC: 1,000,000 yen (ca 8,700 EUR) by 2021 Market should be self-sustained by around 2020 FCs for Commercial / Industrial Application SOFC Commercialization by 2017
Around 2030
Around 2040
5.3 mil residential FCs installed Achieving a cost for payback time of 5 years
Source: Agency for Natural Resources and Energy, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry
8
Strategic Roadmap for H2 / FC Phase 2: H2 Power Plant / Mass Supply Chain
Technova Inc
maruta@technova.co.jp
About TECHNOVA
About Technova / Speaker
Technova Inc
www.technova.co.jp
consulting firm, based in Tokyo
Founded: 1978 Fields: Energy, Mobility, Environment (H2/FC, battery, future mobility, renewables, auto-drive) Clients: national government, local governments, agencies (& many private customers) Local host of ICHS (6th International Conference on Hydrogen Safety) in 2015 in Yokohama
Source: Agency for Natural Resources and Energy, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry
* 1 yen = 0.095 EUR
7
Strategic Roadmap for H2 / FC
2. FCVs
Market (in stock) About 40,000 FCVs by 2020, About 200,000 FCVs by 2025 About 800,000 FCVs by 2030 Small-sized FCVs will be launched by around 2025
10/10/2016
Austrian Energy Agency GmbH Open Workshop “Fuel cells: Why is Austria not taking off?”
Japan’s ENE-FARM programme
Aki MARUTA, Ph.D.
Project Manager
Strategic Roadmap for H2 / FC
• published in June 2014, revised in March 2016 • Step by step approach to realize “Hydrogen Society” (toward 2040)
Phase 1
Phase 3
CO2-free Hydrogen
- Systematic RD&D
2020 Tokyo Olympic/ Paralympics 2030
2040
Around 2040 CO2-free H2 by combining CCS and renewable energy
Market on H2 and FC in Japan Approx. 1 trillion yen in 2030 → Approx. 8 trillion yen in 2050
FCs for Residential Application Sales volume (cumulative) 1.4 mil units by 2020 5.3 mil units by 2030
Payback Time (incl. unit price, installation cost) 7-8 years by 2020 5 years by 2030
Oversea market expansion (starting from Europe to other regions)
Price reduction by volume production Price reduction by streamlining and standardizing processes for installation and maintenance Self-sustained market growth - Price reduction by volume production - Price reduction by streamlining and standardizing processes for installation and maintenance
Installation Fuel Cell
2009: Residential FC 2015: FCV 2017: Stationary FC around 2020: FCV fuel cost ≦ HEV fuel cost around 2025: FCV cost competitive ≧ HEV
Application
Commercial and Industrial Application
R&D on SOFC and other type of FCs for cost reduction and long life
Demonstration & regulation review toward commercialization - Demonstration of various conditions (load, weather) - Review of regulations
(Realized in the late 2020s)
4. Hydrogen Power Plant
Reflects a report by study group on H2 power plant (March 2015) , embodies the description
Phase ３:CO2-free Hydrogen
(Realized in the late 2040s)
5. Hydrogen derived from Renewable Energy
States to launch a working group which handles technical and economic issues regarding introduction of CO2-free hydrogen and come to conclusion by March 2017. Describes the promotion of advanced initiatives such as the reform 2020 project and Fukushima new energy society initiative.
Source: Agency for Natural Resources and Energy, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry
9
Strategic Roadmap for H2 / FC: Stationary FCs
Around 2015 Around 2020
Deployment of H2-based FCs for limited areas
Residential application
Support for installation Review: Electricity market to be open for FC
Sustained market growth for residential FCs Domestic market expansion (new houses / standalone existing houses / complexes)
Phase 2
H2 Power Plant/ Mass Supply Chain
- Accelerate RD&D - Realize reasonable H2 price Mid 2020s -H2 Cost (CIF) : JPY30/Nm3 -Enhance Supply Chain in Japan Around 2030 -Import H2 from overseas - Full-scale H2 Power Plant
3. Hydrogen Refueling Stations
Commercial HRS deployment About 160 stations by FY2020 About 320 stations by FY2025 Need about 900 stations (with capacity of 300Nm3/h) by 2030 Establish self-sustaining business by the late 2020s Small-capacity HRS using renewable source About 100 stations by 2020
Unit Price PEFC: 800,000 yen (ca 7,000 EUR) by 2019 SOFC: 1,000,000 yen (ca 8,700 EUR) by 2021 Market should be self-sustained by around 2020 FCs for Commercial / Industrial Application SOFC Commercialization by 2017
