电子防空作战目标威胁评估模型

航母编队协同防空作战目标威胁评估季傲;姜礼平;吴强【期刊名称】《兵工自动化》【年(卷),期】2016(035)005【摘要】For precise threat assessment of attack target, and acquiring best interception efficiency for aircraft carrier formation, establish target threat assessment model for aircraft carrier formation cooperative air defense based on cloud model. Through analyzing air defense threat assessment factor, establish threat assessment index system based on target attack capability, attack intent, attack speed and relative value of the ship. Use different value membership degree of every ship, calculate treat sequence of air attack target to whole formation and carry out simulation verification. The simulation results show that: the model can correctly deal with and effectively integrate data, acquire correct results rapidly and provide a reference for the aircraft carrier formation air defense operation.%为准确判断来袭目标的威胁程度，使舰艇编队取得最佳的拦截效果，构建一种基于云模型的航母编队协同防空作战目标威胁评估模型。

收稿日期：2020-03-15修回日期：2020-04-19基金项目：军内科研基金资助项目（LJ20191C020359）作者简介：杨军佳（1987-），男，河南商水人，硕士。

研究方向：防空情报雷达组网及作战使用。

*摘要：针对防空作战中空袭目标威胁评估问题，提出了一种动态评估SPA （Set Pair Analysis ）法。

依据防空作战特点，构建了空袭目标威胁动态评估指标体系；在利用熵权理论确定评估指标主观权重以及AHP （Analytic Hierarchy Process ）法确定客观权重的基础上，运用最小二乘优化模型确定评估指标的综合权重；并在评估指标更新时刻权重的基础上，利用集对分析理论对空袭目标威胁程度进行评判。

实例表明，该方法能够有效解决空袭目标威胁评估问题，为指挥决策提供一定的依据。

关键词：威胁评估，动态评估，熵权，层次分析法，最小二乘优化模型，集对分析中图分类号：TJ762；E917文献标识码：ADOI ：10.3969/j.issn.1002-0640.2021.05.002引用格式：杨军佳，武翠霞，肖健.空袭目标威胁动态评估SPA 法［J ］.火力与指挥控制，2021，46（5）：6-11.空袭目标威胁动态评估SPA 法*杨军佳，武翠霞，肖健（陆军炮兵防空兵学院郑州校区，郑州450000）A Dynamic Assessment Method ofAir Attack Target Threat Based on SPAYANG Jun-jia ，WU Cui-xia ，XIAO Jian（Zhengzhou Campus ，Academy of Artilery and Air Defense ，Zhengzhou 450000，China ）Abstract ：Aiming at the threat assessment problems of air strike targets in air defense operations ，a dynamic assessment method based on SPA is proposed.First of all ，according to the characteristics of air defense operation ，the dynamic assessment index system of air strike target threat is constructed.Secondly ，on the basis of the subjective weight of assessment index determined by entropy weight theory and the objective weight of assessment index determined by AHP ，the comprehensive weight of assessment index is determined by least square optimization model.Finally ，on the basis of the updated time weight of the assessment index ，the threat degree of air strike targets is assessmented by SPA theory.The examples in this paper show that this method can solve the threat evaluation problem of air strike targets effectively and provide some reference for command decision-making.Key words ：threat assessment ，dynamic assessment ，entropy weight ，AHP ，least square optimal model ，SPACitation format ：YANG J J ，WU C X ，XIAO J.A dynamic assessment method of air attack target threat based on SPA ［J ］.Fire Control &Command Control ，2021，46（5）：6-11.0引言随着高科技在空袭兵器中的应用，隐身、超低空以及高速已经成为空袭兵器突防的利器。