财务风险管理系统外文翻译英文文献

文献出处: Comell B., Financial risk control of Mergers and Acquisitions [J]. International Review of Business Research Papers, 2014, 7(2): 57-69.原文Financial risk control of Mergers and AcquisitionsComellAbstractM&A plays a significant part in capital operation activities. M&A is not only important way for capital expansion, but also effective method for resource allocation optimization. In the world around, many firms gained high growth and great achievement through M&A transactions. The cases include: the merger between German company Daimler-Benz and U.S. company Chrysler, Wal-Mart’s acquisition for British company ADSA, Exxon’s merger with Mobil and so on.Keywords: Enterprise mergers and acquisitions; Risk identification; Risk control1 Risk in enterprise mergers and acquisitionsMay encounter in the process of merger and acquisition risk: financial risk, asset risk, labor risk, market risk, cultural risk, macro policy risk and risk of laws and regulations, etc.1. 1 Financial riskRefers to the authenticity of corporate financial statements by M&A and M&A enterprises in financing and operating performance after the possible risks. Financial statements is to evaluate and determine the trading price in acquisition of important basis, its authenticity is very important to the whole deal. False statements beautify the financial and operating conditions of the target enterprise, and even the failing companies packing perfectly. Whether the financial statements of the listed companies or unlisted companies generally exists a certain degree of moisture, financial reporting risk reality In addition, the enterprise because of mergers and acquisitions may face risks, such as shortage of funds, a decline in margins has adverse effects on the development of enterprises.1. 2 Asset riskRefers to the assets of the enterprise M&A below its actual value or the assets after the merger failed to play a role of original and the formation of the risk. Enterprise merger and a variety of strategies, some of them are in order to obtain resources. In fact, enterprise asset accounts consistent with actual situation whether how much has the can be converted into cash, inventory, assets assessment is accurate and reliable, the ownership of the intangible assets is controversial, the assets disposal before delivery will be significantly less than the assets of the buyer to get the value of the contract. Because of the uncertainty of the merger and acquisition of asset quality at the same time, also may affect its role in buying businesses.1. 3 Labor riskRefers to the human resources of the enterprise merger and acquisition conditions affect purchase enterprise. Surplus staff and workers of the target enterprise burden is overweight, on-the-job worker technical proficiency, ability to accept new technology and the key positions of the worker will leave after the merger, etc., are the important factors influencing the expected cost of production.1. 4 Market riskRefers to the enterprise merger is completed, the change of the market risk to the enterprise. One of the purposes of mergers and acquisitions may be to take advantage of the original supply and marketing channels of the target enterprise save new investment enterprise develop the market. Under the condition of market economy, the enterprise reliance on market is more and more big, the original target enterprise the possibility of the scope of supply and marketing channels and to retain, will affect the expected profit of the target enterprise. From another point of view, the lack of a harmonious customer relationship, at least to a certain extent, increase the target enterprise mergers and acquisitions after the start-up capital.1. 5 Culture riskRefers to whether the two enterprise culture fusion to the risks of mergers and acquisitions, two broad and deep resources, structure integration between enterprises, inevitably touches the concept of corporate culture collision, due to incompleteinformation or different regions, and may not be able to organizational culture of the target enterprise become the consensus of the right. If the culture between two enterprises cannot unite, members will make the enterprise loss of cultural uncertainty, which generates the fuzziness and reduce dependence on enterprise, ultimately affect the realization of the expected values of M&A enterprises.2 Financial risk of M&AHowever, there are even more unsuccessful M&A transactions behind these exciting and successful ones. A study shows that 1200 Standard & Poor companies have been conducting frequent M&A transactions in recent years, but almost 70%cases ended up as failures.There are various factors that lead to the failures of M&A transactions, such as strategy, culture and finance, among which the financial factor is the key one. The success or failure of the M&A transactions largely depends upon the effectiveness of financial control activities during the process. Among the books talking about M&A, however, most focus on successful experience but few on lessons drawn from unsuccessful ones; most concentrate on financial evaluation methods but few on financial risk control. Therefore, the innovations of this thesis lie in: the author does not just talk about financial control in general terms, but rather specify the unique financial risks during each step of M&A transaction; the author digs into the factors inducing each type of risks, and then proposes feasible measures for risk prevention and control, based on the financial accounting practices, and the combination of international experience and national conditions.The thesis develops into 3 chapters. Chapter 1 defines “M&A” and several related words, and then looks back on the five M&A waves in western history. Chapter 2 talks about 3 types of financial risks during M&A process and digs into factors inducing each type of risks. Chapter 3 proposes feasible measures for risk prevention and control. At the beginning of chapter 1, the author defines M&A as follows: an advanced form of property right transaction, such as one company (firm) acquires one or more companies (firms), or two or more companies (firms) merge as one company (firm). The aim of M&A transaction is to control the property andbusiness of the other company, by purchasing all or part of its property (asset). In the following paragraph, the thesis compares and contrasts several related words with “M&A”, which are merger, acquisition, consolidation and takeover.In the chapter 1, the author also introduces the five M&A waves in western history. Such waves dramatically changed the outlook of world economy, by making many small and middle-sized companies to become multinational corporations. Therefore, a close look at this period of time would have constructive influence on our view with the emergence and development of M&A transactions. After a comprehensive survey of M&A history, we find that, with the capitalism development, M&A transactions presented diverse features and applied quite different means of financing and payment, ranging from cash, stock to leveraged buyout. Chapter 2 primarily discusses the different types of financial risks during M&A, as well as factors inducing such risks.According to the definition given by the thesis, financial risks during M&A are the possibilities of financial distress or financial loss as a result of decision-making activities, including pricing, financing and payment.Based on the M&A transaction process, financial risks can be grouped into 3 categories: decision-making risks before M&A (Strategic risk), implementation risks during M&A (Evaluation risk, financing risk and payment risk) and integration risks after M&A. Main tasks and characteristics in each step of M&A transaction are different, as well as the risk-driven factors, which interrelate and act upon each other. Considering limited space, the author mainly discusses target evaluation risk, financing and payment risk, and integration risk. In chapter 2, the thesis quotes several unsuccessful M&A cases to illustrate 3 different types of financial risks and risk-driven factors. Target evaluation risk is defined as possible financial loss incurred by acquirer as a result of target evaluation deviation. Target evaluation risk may be caused by: the acquirer’s expectation deviation for the future value and time of target’s revenue, pitfalls of financial statements, distortion of target’s stock price, the deviation of evaluation methods, as well as backward intermediaries. Financing and payment risks mainly reflect in: liquidity risk, credit risk caused by deterioratedcapital structure, financial gearing-induced solvency risk, dilution of EPS and control rights, etc.Integration risks most often present as: financial institution risk, capital management risk and financial entity risk. Chapter 3 concludes characters of financial risks that mentioned above, and then proposes detailed measures for preventing and controlling financial risks. Financial risks during M&A are comprehensive, interrelated, preventable, and dynamic. Therefore, the company should have a whole picture of these risks, and take proactive measures to control them.As for target evaluation risk control, the thesis suggests that (1) Improve information quality, more specifically, conduct financial due diligence so as to have comprehensive knowledge about the target; properly use financial statements; pay close attention to off-balance sheet resource. (2) Choose appropriate evaluation methods according to different situations, by combining other methods to improve the evaluation accuracy. Meanwhile, the author points out that, in practice the evaluation method is only a reference for price negotiation. The target price is determined by the bargaining power of both sides, and influenced by a wealth of factors such as expectation, strategic plan, and exchange rate.In view of financing and payment risk control, the author conducts thorough analysis for pros and cons of different means of financing and payment. Then the author proposes feasible measures such as issuing convertible bonds and commercial paper, considering specific conditions. To control integration risk, the author suggests start with the integration of financial strategy, the integration of financial institution, the integration of accounting system, the integration of asset and liability, and the integration of performance evaluation system. Specific measures include: the acquirer appoints person to be responsible for target’s finance; the acquirer conducts stringent property control over target’s operation; the acquirer conducts comprehensive budgeting, dynamic prevision and internal auditing.3 ConclusionsAt the end of the thesis, the author points out that many aspects still worth further investigation. For instance, this thesis mainly concentrates on qualitativeanalysis, so it would be better if quantitative analysis were introduced. Besides, the thesis can be more complete by introducing financial risk forecast model.译文企业并购中的财务风险控制作者：康奈尔摘要企业并购是资本营运活动的重要组成部分，是企业资本扩张的重要手段，也是实现资源优化配置的有效方式。

How Important is Financial Risk?IntroductionThe financial crisis of 2008 has brought significant attention to the effects of financial leverage. There is no doubt that the high levels of debt financing by financial institutions and households significantly contributed to the crisis. Indeed, evidence indicates that excessive leverage orchestrated by major global banks (e.g., through the mortgage lending and collateralized debt obligations) and the so-called “shadow banking system” may be the underlying cau se of the recent economic and financial dislocation. Less obvious is the role of financial leverage among nonfinancial firms. To date, problems in the U.S. non-financial sector have been minor compared to the distress in the financial sector despite the seizing of capital markets during the crisis. For example, non-financial bankruptcies have been limited given that the economic decline is the largest since the great depression of the 1930s. In fact, bankruptcy filings of non-financial firms have occurred mostly in U.S. industries (e.g., automotive manufacturing, newspapers, and real estate) that faced fundamental economic pressures prior to the financial crisis. This surprising fact begs the question, “How important is financial risk for non-financial firms?” At the heart of this issue is the uncertainty about the determinants of total firm risk as well as components of firm risk.StudyRecent academic research in both asset pricing and corporate finance has rekindled an interest in analyzing equity price risk. A current strand of the asset pricing literature examines the finding of Campbell et al. (2001) that firm-specific (idiosyncratic) risk has tended to increase over the last 40 years. Other work suggests that idiosyncratic risk may be a priced risk factor (see Goyal and Santa-Clara, 2003, among others). Also related to these studies is work by Pástor and Veronesi (2003) showing how investor uncertainty about firm profitability is an important determinant of idiosyncratic risk and firm value. Other research has examined the role of equity volatility in bond pricing (e.g., Dichev, 1998, Campbell, Hilscher, and Szilagyi, 2008).However, much of the empirical work examining equity price risk takes the risk of assets as given or tries to explain the trend in idiosyncratic risk. In contrast, thispaper takes a different tack in the investigation of equity price risk. First, we seek to understand the determinants of equity price risk at the firm level by considering total risk as the product of risks inherent in the firms operations (i.e., economic or business risks) and risks associated with financing the firms operations (i.e., financial risks). Second, we attempt to assess the relative importance of economic and financial risks and the implications for financial policy.Early research by Modigliani and Miller (1958) suggests that financial policy may be largely irrelevant for firm value because investors can replicate many financial decisions by the firm at a low cost (i.e., via homemade leverage) and well-functioning capital markets should be able to distinguish between financial and economic distress. Nonetheless, financial policies, such as adding debt to the capital structure, can magnify the risk of equity. In contrast, recent research on corporate risk management suggests that firms may also be able to reduce risks and increase value with financial policies such as hedging with financial derivatives. However, this research is often motivated by substantial deadweight costs associated with financial distress or other market imperfections associated with financial leverage. Empirical research provides conflicting accounts of how costly financial distress can be for a typical publicly traded firm.We attempt to directly address the roles of economic and financial risk by examining determinants of total firm risk. In our analysis we utilize a large sample of non-financial firms in the United States. Our goal of identifying the most important determinants of equity price risk (volatility) relies on viewing financial policy as transforming asset volatility into equity volatility via financial leverage. Thus, throughout the paper, we consider financial leverage as the wedge between asset volatility and equity volatility. For example, in a static setting, debt provides financial leverage that magnifies operating cash flow volatility. Because financial policy is determined by owners (and managers), we are careful to examine the effects of firms’ asset and operating characteristics on financial policy. Specifically, we examine a variety of characteristics suggested by previous research and, as clearly as possible, distinguish between those associated with the operations of the company (i.e. factors determining economic risk) and those associated with financing the firm (i.e. factors determining financial risk). We then allow economic risk to be a determinant of financial policy in the structural framework of Leland and Toft (1996), or alternatively,in a reduced form model of financial leverage. An advantage of the structural model approach is that we are able to account for both the possibility of financial and operating implications of some factors (e.g., dividends), as well as the endogenous nature of the bankruptcy decision and financial policy in general.Our proxy for firm risk is the volatility of common stock returns derived from calculating the standard deviation of daily equity returns. Our proxies for economic risk are designed to capture the essential characteristics of the firms’ operations and assets that determine the cash flow generating process for the firm. For example, firm size and age provide measures of line of- business maturity; tangible assets (plant, property, and equipment) serve as a proxy for the ‘hardness’ of a firm’s assets; capital expenditures measure capital intensity as well as growth potential. Operating profitability and operating profit volatility serve as measures of the timeliness and riskiness of cash flows. To understand how financial factors affect firm risk, we examine total debt, debt maturity, dividend payouts, and holdings of cash and short-term investments.The primary result of our analysis is surprising: factors determining economic risk for a typical company explain the vast majority of the variation in equity volatility. Correspondingly, measures of implied financial leverage are much lower than observed debt ratios. Specifically, in our sample covering 1964-2008 average actual net financial (market) leverage is about 1.50 compared to our estimates of between 1.03 and 1.11 (depending on model specification and estimation technique). This suggests that firms may undertake other financial policies to manage financial risk and thus lower effective leverage to nearly negligible levels. These policies might include dynamically adjusting financial variables such as debt levels, debt maturity, or cash holdings (see, for example, Acharya, Almeida, and Campello, 2007). In addition, many firms also utilize explicit financial risk management techniques such as the use of financial derivatives, contractual arrangements with investors (e.g. lines of credit, call provisions in debt contracts, or contingencies in supplier contracts), special purpose vehicles (SPVs), or other alternative risk transfer techniques.The effects of our economic risk factors on equity volatility are generally highly statistically significant, with predicted signs. In addition, the magnitudes of the effects are substantial. We find that volatility of equity decreases with the size and age of the firm. This is intuitive since large and mature firms typically have more stable lines ofbusiness, which should be reflected in the volatility of equity returns. Equity volatility tends to decrease with capital expenditures though the effect is weak. Consistent with the predictions of Pástor and Veronesi (2003), we find that firms with higher profitability and lower profit volatility have lower equity volatility. This suggests that companies with higher and more stable operating cash flows are less likely to go bankrupt, and therefore are potentially less risky. Among economic risk variables, the effects of firm size, profit volatility, and dividend policy on equity volatility stand out. Unlike some previous studies, our careful treatment of the endogeneity of financial policy confirms that leverage increases total firm risk. Otherwise, financial risk factors are not reliably related to total risk.Given the large literature on financial policy, it is no surprise that financial variables are,at least in part, determined by the economic risks firms take. However, some of the specific findings are unexpected. For example, in a simple model of capital structure, dividend payouts should increase financial leverage since they represent an outflow of cash from the firm (i.e., increase net debt). We find that dividends are associated with lower risk. This suggests that paying dividends is not as much a product of financial policy as a characteristic of a firm’s operations(e.g., a mature company with limited growth opportunities). We also estimate how sensitivities to different risk factors have changed over time. Our results indicate that most relations are fairly stable. One exception is firm age which prior to 1983 tends to be positively related to risk and has since been consistently negatively related to risk. This is related to findings by Brown and Kapadia (2007) that recent trends in idiosyncratic risk are related to stock listings by younger and riskier firms.Perhaps the most interesting result from our analysis is that our measures of implied financial leverage have declined over the last 30 years at the same time that measures of equity price risk (such as idiosyncratic risk) appear to have been increasing. In fact, measures of implied financial leverage from our structural model settle near 1.0 (i.e., no leverage) by the end of our sample. There are several possible reasons for this. First, total debt ratios for non-financial firms have declined steadily over the last 30 years, so our measure of implied leverage should also decline. Second, firms have significantly increased cash holdings, so measures of net debt (debt minus cash and short-term investments) have also declined. Third, the composition of publicly traded firms has changed with more risky (especially technology-oriented)firms becoming publicly listed. These firms tend to have less debt in their capital structure. Fourth, as mentioned above, firms can undertake a variety of financial risk management activities. To the extent that these activities have increased over the last few decades, firms will have become less exposed to financial risk factors.We conduct some additional tests to provide a reality check of our results. First, we repeat our analysis with a reduced form model that imposes minimum structural rigidity on our estimation and find very similar results. This indicates that our results are unlikely to be driven by model misspecification. We also compare our results with trends in aggregate debt levels for all U.S. non-financial firms and find evidence consistent with our conclusions. Finally, we look at characteristics of publicly traded non-financial firms that file for bankruptcy around the last three recessions and find evidence suggesting that these firms are increasingly being affected by economic distress as opposed to financial distress.ConclusionIn short, our results suggest that, as a practical matter, residual financial risk is now relatively unimportant for the typical U.S. firm. This raises questions about the level of expected financial distress costs since the probability of financial distress is likely to be lower than commonly thought for most companies. For example, our results suggest that estimates of the level of systematic risk in bond pricing may be biased if they do not take into account the trend in implied financial leverage (e.g., Dichev, 1998). Our results also bring into question the appropriateness of financial models used to estimate default probabilities, since financial policies that may be difficult to observe appear to significantly reduce risk. Lastly, our results imply that the fundamental risks born by shareholders are primarily related to underlying economic risks which should lead to a relatively efficient allocation of capital.Some readers may be tempted to interpret our results as indicating that financial risk does not matter. This is not the proper interpretation. Instead, our results suggest that firms are able to manage financial risk so that the resulting exposure to shareholders is low compared to economic risks. Of course, financial risk is important to firms that choose to take on such risks either through high debt levels or a lack of risk management. In contrast, our study suggests that the typical non-financial firm chooses not to take these risks. In short, gross financial risk may be important, but firms can manage it. This contrasts with fundamental economic and business risks thatare more difficult (or undesirable) to hedge because they represent the mechanism by which the firm earns economic profits.References[1]Shyam,Sunder.Theory Accounting and Control[J].An Innternational Theory on PublishingComPany.2005[2]Ogryezak,W,Ruszeznski,A. Rom Stomchastic Dominance to Mean-Risk Models:Semide-Viations as Risk Measures[J].European Journal of Operational Research.[3] Borowski, D.M., and P.J. Elmer. An Expert System Approach to Financial Analysis: the Case of S&L Bankruptcy [J].Financial Management, Autumn.2004;[4] Casey, C.and N. Bartczak. Using Operating Cash Flow Data to Predict Financial Distress: Some Extensions[J]. Journal of Accounting Research,Spring.2005;[5] John M.Mulvey,HafizeGErkan.Applying CVaR for decentralized risk management of financialcompanies[J].Journal of Banking&Finanee.2006;[6] Altman. Credit Rating:Methodologies,Rationale and Default Risk[M]．Risk Books,London.译文：财务风险的重要性引言2008年的金融危机对金融杠杆的作用产生重大影响。

财务风险治理中英文资料翻译Financial Risk ManagementAlthough financial risk has increased significantly in recent years, risk and risk management are not contemporary issues. The result of increasingly global markets is that risk may originate with events thousands of miles away that have nothing to do with the domestic market. Information is available instantaneously, which means that change, and subsequent market reactions, occur very quickly. The economic climate and markets can be affected very quickly by changes in exchange rates, interest rates, and commodity prices. Counterparties can rapidly become problematic. As a result, it is important to ensure financial risks are identified and managed appropriately. Preparation is a key component of risk management. What Is Risk?Risk provides the basis for opportunity. The terms risk and exposure have subtle differences in their meaning. Risk refers to the probability of loss, while exposure is the possibility of loss, although they are often used interchangeably. Risk arises as a result of exposure.Exposure to financial markets affects most organizations, eitherdirectly or indirectly. When an organization has financial market exposure, there is a possibility of loss but also an opportunity for gain or profit. Financial market exposure may provide strategic or competitive benefits.Risk is the likelihood of losses resulting from events such as changes in market prices. Events with a low probability of occurring, but that may result in a high loss, are particularly troublesome because they are often not anticipated. Put another way, risk is the probable variability of returns.Since it is not always possible or desirable to eliminate risk, understanding it is an important step in determining how to manage it. Identifying exposures and risks forms the basis for an appropriate financial risk management strategy.How Does Financial Risk?Financial risk arises through countless transactions of a financial nature, including sales and purchases, investments and loans, and various other business activities. It can arise as a result of legal transactions, new projects, mergers and acquisitions, debt financing, the energy component of costs, or through the activities of management, stakeholders, competitors, foreign governments, or weather. When financial prices change dramatically, it can increase costs, reduce revenues, or otherwise adversely impact theprofitability of an organization. Financial fluctuations may make it more difficult to plan and budget, price goods and services, and allocate capital.There are three main sources of financial risk:1. Financial risks arising from an organization’s exposure to changes in market prices, such as interest rates, exchange rates, and commodity prices.2. Financial risks arising from the actions of, and transactions with, other organizations such as vendors, customers, and counterparties in derivatives transactions3. Financial risks resulting from internal actions or failures of the organization, particularly people, processes, and systemsWhat Is Financial Risk Management?Financial risk management is a process to deal with the uncertainties resulting from financial markets. It involves assessing the financial risks facing an organization and developing management strategies consistent with internal priorities and policies. Addressing financial risks proactively may provide an organization with a competitive advantage. It also ensures that management, operational staff, stakeholders, and the board of directors are in agreement on key issues of risk.Managing financial risk necessitates making organizationaldecisions about risks that are acceptable versus those that are not. The passive strategy of taking no action is the acceptance of all risks by default.Organizations manage financial risk using a variety of strategies and products. It is important to understand how these products and strategies work to reduce risk within the context of the organization’s risk tolerance and objectives.Strategies for risk management often involve derivatives. Derivatives are traded widely among financial institutions and on organized exchanges. The value of derivatives contracts, such as futures, forwards, options, and swaps, is derived from the price of the underlying asset. Derivatives trade on interest rates, exchange rates, commodities, equity and fixed income securities, credit, and even weather.The products and strategies used by market participants to manage financial risk are the same ones used by speculators to increase leverage and risk. Although it can be argued that widespread use of derivatives increases risk, the existence of derivatives enables those who wish to reduce risk to pass it along to those who seek risk and its associated opportunities.The ability to estimate the likelihood of a financial loss is highly desirable. However, standard theories of probability often fail in theanalysis of financial markets. Risks usually do not exist in isolation, and the interactions of several exposures may have to be considered in developing an understanding of how financial risk arises. Sometimes, these interactions are difficult to forecast, since they ultimately depend on human behavior.The process of financial risk management is an ongoing one. Strategies need to be implemented and refined as the market and requirements change. Refinements may reflect changing expectations about market rates, changes to the business environment, or changing international political conditions, for example. In general, the process can be summarized as follows:1、Identify and prioritize key financial risks.2、Determine an appropriate level of risk tolerance.3、Implement risk management strategy in accordance with policy.4、Measure, report, monitor, and refine as needed.DiversificationFor many years, the riskiness of an asset was assessed based only on the variability of its returns. In contrast, modern portfolio theory considers not only an asset’s riskiness, but also its contribution to the overall riskiness of the portfolio to which it is added. Organizations may have an opportunity to reduce risk as a result of risk diversification.In portfolio management terms, the addition of individual components to a portfolio provides opportunities for diversification, within limits. A diversified portfolio contains assets whose returns are dissimilar, in other words, weakly or negatively correlated with one another. It is useful to think of the exposures of an organization as a portfolio and consider the impact of changes or additions on the potential risk of the total.Diversification is an important tool in managing financial risks. Diversification among counterparties may reduce the risk that unexpected events adversely impact the organization through defaults. Diversification among investment assets reduces the magnitude of loss if one issuer fails. Diversification of customers, suppliers, and financing sources reduces the possibility that an organization will have its business adversely affected by changes outside management’s control. Although the risk of loss still exists, diversification may reduce the opportunity for large adverse outcomes.Risk Management ProcessThe process of financial risk management comprises strategies that enable an organization to manage the risks associated with financial markets. Risk management is a dynamic process that should evolve with an organization and its business. It involves and impactsmany parts of an organization including treasury, sales, marketing, legal, tax, commodity, and corporate finance.The risk management process involves both internal and external analysis. The first part of the process involves identifying and prioritizing the financial risks facing an organization and understanding their relevance. It may be necessary to examine the organization and its products, management, customers, suppliers, competitors, pricing, industry trends, balance sheet structure, and position in the industry. It is also necessary to consider stakeholders and their objectives and tolerance for risk.Once a clear understanding of the risks emerges, appropriate strategies can be implemented in conjunction with risk management policy. For example, it might be possible to change where and how business is done, thereby reducing the organization’s exposure and risk. Alternatively, existing exposures may be managed with derivatives. Another strategy for managing risk is to accept all risks and the possibility of losses.There are three broad alternatives for managing risk:1. Do nothing and actively, or passively by default, accept all risks.2. Hedge a portion of exposures by determining which exposures can and should be hedged.3. Hedge all exposures possible.Measurement and reporting of risks provides decision makers with information to execute decisions and monitor outcomes, both before and after strategies are taken to mitigate them. Since the risk management process is ongoing, reporting and feedback can be used to refine the system by modifying or improving strategies.An active decision-making process is an important component of risk management. Decisions about potential loss and risk reduction provide a forum for discussion of important issues and the varying perspectives of stakeholders.Factors that Impact Financial Rates and PricesFinancial rates and prices are affected by a number of factors. It is essential to understand the factors that impact markets because those factors, in turn, impact the potential risk of an organization. Factors that Affect Interest RatesInterest rates are a key component in many market prices and an important economic barometer. They are comprised of the real rate plus a component for expected inflation, since inflation reduces the purchasing power of a lender’s assets.The greater the term to maturity, the greater the uncertainty. Interest rates are also reflective of supply and demand for funds and credit risk.Interest rates are particularly important to companies and governments because they are the key ingredient in the cost ofcapital. Most companies and governments require debt financing for expansion and capital projects. When interest rates increase, the impact can be significant on borrowers. Interest rates also affect prices in other financial markets, so their impact is far-reaching.Other components to the interest rate may include a risk premium to reflect the creditworthiness of a borrower. For example, the threat of political or sovereign risk can cause interest rates to rise, sometimes substantially, as investors demand additional compensation for the increased risk of default.Factors that influence the level of market interest rates include:1、Expected levels of inflation2、General economic conditions3、Monetary policy and the stance of the central bank4、Foreign exchange market activity5、Foreign investor demand for debt securities6、Levels of sovereign debt outstanding7、Financial and political stabilityYield CurveThe yield curve is a graphical representation of yields for a range of terms to maturity. For example, a yield curve might illustrate yields for maturity from one day (overnight) to 30-year terms. Typically, the rates are zero coupon government rates.Since current interest rates reflect expectations, the yield curve provides useful information about the market’s expectations of future interest rates. Implied interest rates for forward-starting terms can be calculated using the information in the yield curve. For example, using rates for one- and two-year maturities, the expected one-year interest rate beginning in one year’s time can be determined.The shape of the yield curve is widely analyzed and monitored by market participants. As a gauge of expectations, it is often considered to be a predictor of future economic activity and may provide signals of a pending change in economic fundamentals.The yield curve normally slopes upward with a positive slope, as lenders/investors demand higher rates from borrowers for longer lending terms. Since the chance of a borrower default increases with term to maturity, lenders demand to be compensated accordingly.Interest rates that make up the yield curve are also affected by the expected rate of inflation. Investors demand at least the expected rate of inflation from borrowers, in addition to lending and risk components. If investors expect future inflation to be higher, they will demand greater premiums for longer terms to compensate for this uncertainty. As a result, the longer the term, the higher the interest rate (all else being equal), resulting in an upward-slopingyield curve.Occasionally, the demand for short-term funds increases substantially, and short-term interest rates may rise above the level of longer term interest rates. This results in an inversion of the yield curve and a downward slope to its appearance. The high cost of short-term funds detracts from gains that would otherwise be obtained through investment and expansion and make the economy vulnerable to slowdown or recession. Eventually, rising interest rates slow the demand for both short-term and long-term funds. A decline in all rates and a return to a normal curve may occur as a result of the slowdown.Source: Karen A. Horcher, 2005. “What Is Financial Risk Management?”. Essentialsof Financial Risk Management, John Wiley & Sons, Inc.pp.1-22.财务风险治理尽管最近几年来金融风险大大增加，但风险和风险治理不是今世的要紧问题。

文献出处: Comell B., Financial risk control of Mergers and Acquisitions [J]. International Review of Business Research Papers, 2014, 7(2): 57-69.原文Financial risk control of Mergers and AcquisitionsComellAbstractM&A plays a significant part in capital operation activities. M&A is not only important way for capital expansion, but also effective method for resource allocation optimization. In the world around, many firms gained high growth and great achievement through M&A transactions. The cases include: the merger between German company Daimler-Benz and U.S. company Chrysler, Wal-Mart’s acquisition for British company ADSA, Exxon’s merger with Mobil and so on.Keywords: Enterprise mergers and acquisitions; Risk identification; Risk control1 Risk in enterprise mergers and acquisitionsMay encounter in the process of merger and acquisition risk: financial risk, asset risk, labor risk, market risk, cultural risk, macro policy risk and risk of laws and regulations, etc.1. 1 Financial riskRefers to the authenticity of corporate financial statements by M&A and M&A enterprises in financing and operating performance after the possible risks. Financial statements is to evaluate and determine the trading price in acquisition of important basis, its authenticity is very important to the whole deal. False statements beautify the financial and operating conditions of the target enterprise, and even the failing companies packing perfectly. Whether the financial statements of the listed companies or unlisted companies generally exists a certain degree of moisture, financial reporting risk reality In addition, the enterprise because of mergers and acquisitions may face risks, such as shortage of funds, a decline in margins has adverse effects on the development of enterprises.1. 2 Asset riskRefers to the assets of the enterprise M&A below its actual value or the assets after the merger failed to play a role of original and the formation of the risk. Enterprise merger and a variety of strategies, some of them are in order to obtain resources. In fact, enterprise asset accounts consistent with actual situation whether how much has the can be converted into cash, inventory, assets assessment is accurate and reliable, the ownership of the intangible assets is controversial, the assets disposal before delivery will be significantly less than the assets of the buyer to get the value of the contract. Because of the uncertainty of the merger and acquisition of asset quality at the same time, also may affect its role in buying businesses.1. 3 Labor riskRefers to the human resources of the enterprise merger and acquisition conditions affect purchase enterprise. Surplus staff and workers of the target enterprise burden is overweight, on-the-job worker technical proficiency, ability to accept new technology and the key positions of the worker will leave after the merger, etc., are the important factors influencing the expected cost of production.1. 4 Market riskRefers to the enterprise merger is completed, the change of the market risk to the enterprise. One of the purposes of mergers and acquisitions may be to take advantage of the original supply and marketing channels of the target enterprise save new investment enterprise develop the market. Under the condition of market economy, the enterprise reliance on market is more and more big, the original target enterprise the possibility of the scope of supply and marketing channels and to retain, will affect the expected profit of the target enterprise. From another point of view, the lack of a harmonious customer relationship, at least to a certain extent, increase the target enterprise mergers and acquisitions after the start-up capital.1. 5 Culture riskRefers to whether the two enterprise culture fusion to the risks of mergers and acquisitions, two broad and deep resources, structure integration between enterprises, inevitably touches the concept of corporate culture collision, due to incompleteinformation or different regions, and may not be able to organizational culture of the target enterprise become the consensus of the right. If the culture between two enterprises cannot unite, members will make the enterprise loss of cultural uncertainty, which generates the fuzziness and reduce dependence on enterprise, ultimately affect the realization of the expected values of M&A enterprises.2 Financial risk of M&AHowever, there are even more unsuccessful M&A transactions behind these exciting and successful ones. A study shows that 1200 Standard & Poor companies have been conducting frequent M&A transactions in recent years, but almost 70%cases ended up as failures.There are various factors that lead to the failures of M&A transactions, such as strategy, culture and finance, among which the financial factor is the key one. The success or failure of the M&A transactions largely depends upon the effectiveness of financial control activities during the process. Among the books talking about M&A, however, most focus on successful experience but few on lessons drawn from unsuccessful ones; most concentrate on financial evaluation methods but few on financial risk control. Therefore, the innovations of this thesis lie in: the author does not just talk about financial control in general terms, but rather specify the unique financial risks during each step of M&A transaction; the author digs into the factors inducing each type of risks, and then proposes feasible measures for risk prevention and control, based on the financial accounting practices, and the combination of international experience and national conditions.The thesis develops into 3 chapters. Chapter 1 defines “M&A” and several related words, and then looks back on the five M&A waves in western history. Chapter 2 talks about 3 types of financial risks during M&A process and digs into factors inducing each type of risks. Chapter 3 proposes feasible measures for risk prevention and control. At the beginning of chapter 1, the author defines M&A as follows: an advanced form of property right transaction, such as one company (firm) acquires one or more companies (firms), or two or more companies (firms) merge as one company (firm). The aim of M&A transaction is to control the property andbusiness of the other company, by purchasing all or part of its property (asset). In the following paragraph, the thesis compares and contrasts several related words with “M&A”, which are merger, acquisition, consolidation and takeover.In the chapter 1, the author also introduces the five M&A waves in western history. Such waves dramatically changed the outlook of world economy, by making many small and middle-sized companies to become multinational corporations. Therefore, a close look at this period of time would have constructive influence on our view with the emergence and development of M&A transactions. After a comprehensive survey of M&A history, we find that, with the capitalism development, M&A transactions presented diverse features and applied quite different means of financing and payment, ranging from cash, stock to leveraged buyout. Chapter 2 primarily discusses the different types of financial risks during M&A, as well as factors inducing such risks.According to the definition given by the thesis, financial risks during M&A are the possibilities of financial distress or financial loss as a result of decision-making activities, including pricing, financing and payment.Based on the M&A transaction process, financial risks can be grouped into 3 categories: decision-making risks before M&A (Strategic risk), implementation risks during M&A (Evaluation risk, financing risk and payment risk) and integration risks after M&A. Main tasks and characteristics in each step of M&A transaction are different, as well as the risk-driven factors, which interrelate and act upon each other. Considering limited space, the author mainly discusses target evaluation risk, financing and payment risk, and integration risk. In chapter 2, the thesis quotes several unsuccessful M&A cases to illustrate 3 different types of financial risks and risk-driven factors. Target evaluation risk is defined as possible financial loss incurred by acquirer as a result of target evaluation deviation. Target evaluation risk may be caused by: the acquirer’s expectation deviation for the future value and time of target’s revenue, pitfalls of financial statements, distortion of target’s stock price, the deviation of evaluation methods, as well as backward intermediaries. Financing and payment risks mainly reflect in: liquidity risk, credit risk caused by deterioratedcapital structure, financial gearing-induced solvency risk, dilution of EPS and control rights, etc.Integration risks most often present as: financial institution risk, capital management risk and financial entity risk. Chapter 3 concludes characters of financial risks that mentioned above, and then proposes detailed measures for preventing and controlling financial risks. Financial risks during M&A are comprehensive, interrelated, preventable, and dynamic. Therefore, the company should have a whole picture of these risks, and take proactive measures to control them.As for target evaluation risk control, the thesis suggests that (1) Improve information quality, more specifically, conduct financial due diligence so as to have comprehensive knowledge about the target; properly use financial statements; pay close attention to off-balance sheet resource. (2) Choose appropriate evaluation methods according to different situations, by combining other methods to improve the evaluation accuracy. Meanwhile, the author points out that, in practice the evaluation method is only a reference for price negotiation. The target price is determined by the bargaining power of both sides, and influenced by a wealth of factors such as expectation, strategic plan, and exchange rate.In view of financing and payment risk control, the author conducts thorough analysis for pros and cons of different means of financing and payment. Then the author proposes feasible measures such as issuing convertible bonds and commercial paper, considering specific conditions. To control integration risk, the author suggests start with the integration of financial strategy, the integration of financial institution, the integration of accounting system, the integration of asset and liability, and the integration of performance evaluation system. Specific measures include: the acquirer appoints person to be responsible for target’s finance; the acquirer conducts stringent property control over target’s operation; the acquirer conducts comprehensive budgeting, dynamic prevision and internal auditing.3 ConclusionsAt the end of the thesis, the author points out that many aspects still worth further investigation. For instance, this thesis mainly concentrates on qualitativeanalysis, so it would be better if quantitative analysis were introduced. Besides, the thesis can be more complete by introducing financial risk forecast model.译文企业并购中的财务风险控制作者：康奈尔摘要企业并购是资本营运活动的重要组成部分，是企业资本扩张的重要手段，也是实现资源优化配置的有效方式。

附录A财务管理和财务分析作为财务学科中应用工具。

本书的写作目的在于交流基本的财务管理和财务分析。

本书用于那些有能力的财务初学者了解财务决策和企业如何做出财务决策。

通过对本书的学习，你将了解我们是如何理解财务的。

我们所说的财务决策作为公司所做决策的一部分，不是一个被分离出来的功能。

财务决策的做出协调了企业会计部、市场部和生产部。

无论企业的形式和规模如何，财务原理和财务工具均适用。

就像对小规模的私营企业而言存在如何筹资的问题，大企业面临所有权和经营权分离时出现的代理问题。

不管公司的规模和形式是如何的，公司财务管理的基本原理是一样的。

例如，无论是独资企业做出的决策还是大企业做出的决策，今天一美元的价值都高于未来一美元的价值。

我们所说的财务原理和财务工具适用于全球的企业，不仅限于美国的企业。

虽然国家习惯和法律可能与国家的原则理论存在着不同，但财务管理用到的工具是一样的。

例如，在评估是否要买一个特殊设备的价值时，你需要评估企业未来现金流的发生（设备成本和支出的时间和设备的不确定性），这个企业位于美国、英国还是在其他的地方?此外，我们相信拥有强大的财务原理和数学相关工具的依据对于你了解如何做出投资和财务决策十分必要。

但是建立这种依据比不费力。

我们试图帮你建立这种依据的途径是通过直觉提出财务原理和财务理论。

而不是原理和证据。

例如，我们引导你通过数字和真实例子对资本结构原理产生直觉，而不是利用公式和证据。

再者我们试图帮助你通过仔细的逐步的例子和大量数据处理财务工具。

财务管理和财务分析分为7个部分。

前两个部分（第一部分和第二部分）涉及到基础部分，它包括财务管理、估价原则的目标以及风险和回报之间的关系。

财务决策涉及到第三、四、五部分的内容，我们提出了长期投资管理（通常被称为资本预算）的长期来源、管理和资金管理工作。

第六部分涉及到财务报表分析，它包括财务比率的分析，盈利分析和现金流量分析。

最后一个部分（第七部分）涉及到一些专业论题：国际财务管理，金融结构性金融交易（例如资产证券化），项目融资，设备租赁贷款和财务规划策略。

财务管理类本科毕业论文外文翻译〔原文+译文〕财务管理类本科毕业论文外文翻译译文：[美]卡伦·A·霍契.《什么是财务风险管理？》.《财务风险管理要点》. 约翰.威立国际出版公司,2022:P1-22.财务风险管理尽管近年来金融风险大大增加，但风险和风险管理不是当代的主要问题。

全球市场越来越多的问题是，风险可能来自几千英里以外的与这些事件无关的国外市场。

意味着需要的信息可以在瞬间得到，而其后的市场反响，很快就发生了。

经济气候和市场可能会快速影响外汇汇率变化、利率及大宗商品价格，交易对手会迅速成为一个问题。

因此，重要的一点是要确保金融风险是可以被识别并且管理得当的。

准备是风险管理工作的一个关键组成局部。

什么是风险？风险给时机提供了根底。

风险和暴露的条款让它们在含义上有了细微的差异。

风险是指有损失的可能性，而暴露是可能的损失，尽管他们通常可以互换。

风险起因是由于暴露。

金融市场的暴露影响大多数机构，包括直接或间接的影响。

当一个组织的金融市场暴露，有损失的可能性，但也是一个获利或利润的时机。

金融市场的暴露可以提供战略性或竞争性的利益。

风险损失的可能性事件来自如市场价格的变化。

事件发生的可能性很小，但这可能导致损失率很高，特别麻烦，因为他们往往比预想的要严重得多。

换句话说，可能就是变异的风险回报。

由于它并不总是可能的，或者能满意地把风险消除，在决定如何管理它中了解它是很重要的一步。

识别暴露和风险形式的根底需要相应的财务风险管理策略。

财务风险是如何产生的呢？无数金融性质的交易包括销售和采购，投资和贷款，以及其他各种业务活动，产生了财务风险。

它可以出现在合法的交易中，新工程中，兼并和收购中，债务融资中，能源局部的本钱中，或通过管理的活动，利益相关者，竞争者，外国政府，或天气出现。

当金融的价格变化很大，它可以增加本钱，降低财政收入，或影响其他有不利影响的盈利能力的组织。

金融波动可能使人们难以规划和预算商品和效劳的价格，并分配资金。

文献出处：Sharifi, Omid. International Journal of Information, Business and Management 6.2 (May 2014): 82-94.2014年，最新文献翻译，译文3000多字原文Financial Risk Management for Small and Medium SizedEnterprises(SMES)Omid SharifiMBA, Department of Commerce and Business Management,Kakatiya University, House No. 2-1-664, Sarawathi negar,Gopalpur, Hanamakonda, A.P., IndiaE-Mail: **********************, Phone: 0091- 8808173339RESEARCH QUESTIONRisk and economic activity are inseparable. Every business decision and entrepreneurial act is connected with risk. This applies also to business of small and medium sized enterprises as they are also facing several and often the same risks as bigger companies. In a real business environment with market imperfections they need to manage those risks in order to secure their business continuity and add additional value by avoiding or reducing transaction costs and cost of financial distress or bankruptcy. However, risk management is a challenge for most SME. In contrast to larger companies they often lack the necessary resources, with regard to manpower, databases and specialty of knowledge to perform a standardized and structured risk management. The result is that many smaller companies do not perform sufficient analysis to identify their risk. This aspect is exacerbated due to a lack in literature about methods for risk management in SME, as stated by Henschel: The two challenging aspects with regard to risk management in SME are therefore:1. SME differ from large corporations in many characteristics2. The existing research lacks a focus on risk management in SMEThe following research question will be central to this work:1.how can SME manage their internal financial risk?2.Which aspects, based on their characteristics, have to be taken into account for this?3.Which mean fulfils the requirements and can be applied to SME? LITERATURE REVIEWIn contrast to larger corporations, in SME one of the owners is often part of the management team. His intuition and experience are important for managing the company.Therefore, in small companies, the (owner-) manager is often responsible for many different tasks and important decisions. Most SME do not have the necessary resources to employ specialists on every position in the company. They focus on their core business and have generalists for the administrative functions. Behr and Guttler find that SME on average have equity ratios lower than 20%. The different characteristics of management, position on procurement and capital markets and the legal framework need to be taken into account when applying management instruments like risk management. Therefore the risk management techniques of larger corporations cannot easily be applied to SME.In practice it can therefore be observed that although SME are not facing less risks and uncertainties than large companies, their risk management differs from the practices in larger companies. The latter have the resources to employ a risk manager and a professional, structured and standardized risk management system. In contrast to that, risk management in SME differs in the degree of implementation and the techniques applied. Jonen & Simgen-Weber With regard to firm size and the use of risk management. Beyer, Hachmeister & Lampenius observe in a study from 2010 that increasing firm size among SME enhances the use of risk management. This observation matches with the opinion of nearly 10% of SME, which are of the opinion, that risk management is only reasonable in larger corporations. Beyer,Hachmeister & Lampenius find that most of the surveyed SME identify risks with help of statistics, checklists, creativity and scenario analyses. reveals similar findings and state that most companies rely on key figure systems for identifying and evaluating the urgency of business risks. That small firms face higher costs of hedging than larger corporations. This fact is reducing the benefits from hedging and therefore he advises to evaluate the usage of hedging for each firm individually. The lacking expertise to decide about hedges in SME is also identified by Eckbo, According to his findings, smaller companies often lack the understanding and management capacities needed to use those instruments.METHODOLOGYUSE OF FINANCIAL ANALYSIS IN SME RISK MANAGEMENTHow financial analysis can be used in SME risk management?Development of financial risk overview for SMEThe following sections show the development of the financial risk overview. After presenting the framework, the different ratios will be discussed to finally present a selection of suitable ratios and choose appropriate comparison data. Framework for financial risk overviewThe idea is to use a set of ratios in an overview as the basis for the financial risk management.This provides even more information than the analysis of historical data and allows reacting fast on critical developments and managing the identified risks. However not only the internal data can be used for the risk management. In addition to that also the information available in the papers can be used.Some of them state average values for the defaulted or bankrupt companies one year prior bankruptcy -and few papers also for a longer time horizon. Those values can be used as a comparison value to evaluate the risk situation of the company. For this an appropriate set of ratios has to be chosen.The ratios, which will be included in the overview and analysis sheet, should fulfill two main requirements. First of all they should match the main financial risks of the company in order to deliver significant information and not miss an importantrisk factor. Secondly the ratios need to be relevant in two different ways. On the one hand they should be applicable independently of other ratios. This means that they also deliver useful information when not used in a regression, as it is applied in many of the papers. On the other hand to be appropriate to use them, the ratios need to show a different development for healthy companies than for those under financial distress. The difference between the values of the two groups should be large enough to see into which the observed company belongs.Evaluation of ratios for financial risk overviewWhen choosing ratios from the different categories, it needs to be evaluated which ones are the most appropriate ones. For this some comparison values are needed in order to see whether the ratios show different values and developments for the two groups of companies. The most convenient source for the comparison values are the research papers as their values are based on large samples of annual reports and by providing average values outweigh outliers in the data. Altman shows a table with the values for 8 different ratios for the five years prior bankruptcy of which he uses 5, while Porporato & Sandin use 13 ratios in their model and Ohlson bases his evaluation on 9 figures and ratios [10]. Khong, Ong & Yap and Cerovac & Ivicic also show the difference in ratios between the two groups, however only directly before bankruptcy and not as a development over time [9]. Therefore this information is not as valuable as the others ([4][15]).In summary, the main internal financial risks in a SME should be covered by financial structure, liquidity and profitability ratios, which are the main categories of ratios applied in the research papers.Financial structureA ratio used in many of the papers is the total debt to total assets ratio, analyzing the financial structure of the company. Next to the papers of Altman, Ohlson and Porporato & Sandin also Khong, Ong & Yap and Cerovac & Ivicic show comparison values for this ratio. Those demonstrate a huge difference in size between the bankrupt and non-bankrupt groups.Figure 1: Development of total debt/ total assets ratioData source: Altman (1968), Porporato & Sandin (2007) and Ohlson (1980), author’s illustrationTherefore the information of total debt/total assets is more reliable and should rather be used for the overview. The other ratios analyzing the financial structure are only used in one of the papers and except for one the reference data only covers the last year before bankruptcy. Therefore a time trend cannot be detected and their relevance cannot be approved.Cost of debtThe costs of debt are another aspect of the financing risk. Porporato & Sandin use the variable interest payments/EBIT for measuring the debt costs. The variable shows how much of the income before tax and interest is spend to finance the debt. This variable also shows a clear trend when firms approach bankruptcy.LiquidityThe ratio used in all five papers to measure liquidity is the current ratio, showing the relation between current liabilities and current assets (with slight differences in the definition). Instead of the current ratio, a liquidity ratio setting the difference between current assets and current liabilities, also defined as working capital, into relation with total assets could be used.Figure 2: Development of working capital / total assets ratioData source: Altman (1968) and Ohlson (1980); author’s illustratioBasically the ratio says whether the firm would be able to pay back all its’ current liabilities by using its’ current assets. In case it is not able to, which is when the liabilities exceed the assets, there is an insolvency risk.ProfitabilityFor measuring the firms’ profitability or productivity a wide range of ratios is used in the different papers. The ratio sales /total assets is used as well by as also Porporato & Sandin (they use total assets / sales, which can easily be transformed to be comparable) and therefore available as a time series.Figure 3: Development of sales / total assets ratioData source: Altman (1968) and Porporato & Sandin (2007), author’s illustratioThe remaining ratios measuring the last period’s profitability are net income / equity, EBIT /debt and net income or EBIT / total assets.The last groups of profitability ratios, which can be found in the literature, are those focusing on retained earnings of the firms. These measures show the cumulated profitability of the firm over time.Retained earnings ratios measure the buffer of funds the company was able to earn over time and which can be used in times of crisis to balance losses.译文中小企业的财务风险管理Omid Sharifi研究问题风险与经济活动是密不可分的。

How Important is Financial Risk?IntroductionThe financial crisis of 2008 has brought significant attention to the effects of financial leverage. There is no doubt that the high levels of debt financing by financial institutions and households significantly contributed to the crisis. Indeed, evidence indicates that excessive leverage orchestrated by major global banks (e.g., through the mortgage lending and collateralized debt obligations) and the so-called “shadow banking system” may be the underlying cau se of the recent economic and financial dislocation. Less obvious is the role of financial leverage among nonfinancial firms. To date, problems in the U.S. non-financial sector have been minor compared to the distress in the financial sector despite the seizing of capital markets during the crisis. For example, non-financial bankruptcies have been limited given that the economic decline is the largest since the great depression of the 1930s. In fact, bankruptcy filings of non-financial firms have occurred mostly in U.S. industries (e.g., automotive manufacturing, newspapers, and real estate) that faced fundamental economic pressures prior to the financial crisis. This surprising fact begs the question, “How important is financial risk for non-financial firms?” At the heart of this issue is the uncertainty about the determinants of total firm risk as well as components of firm risk.StudyRecent academic research in both asset pricing and corporate finance has rekindled an interest in analyzing equity price risk. A current strand of the asset pricing literature examines the finding of Campbell et al. (2001) that firm-specific (idiosyncratic) risk has tended to increase over the last 40 years. Other work suggests that idiosyncratic risk may be a priced risk factor (see Goyal and Santa-Clara, 2003, among others). Also related to these studies is work by Pástor and Veronesi (2003) showing how investor uncertainty about firm profitability is an important determinant of idiosyncratic risk and firm value. Other research has examined the role of equity volatility in bond pricing (e.g., Dichev, 1998, Campbell, Hilscher, and Szilagyi, 2008).However, much of the empirical work examining equity price risk takes the risk of assets as given or tries to explain the trend in idiosyncratic risk. In contrast, thispaper takes a different tack in the investigation of equity price risk. First, we seek to understand the determinants of equity price risk at the firm level by considering total risk as the product of risks inherent in the firms operations (i.e., economic or business risks) and risks associated with financing the firms operations (i.e., financial risks). Second, we attempt to assess the relative importance of economic and financial risks and the implications for financial policy.Early research by Modigliani and Miller (1958) suggests that financial policy may be largely irrelevant for firm value because investors can replicate many financial decisions by the firm at a low cost (i.e., via homemade leverage) and well-functioning capital markets should be able to distinguish between financial and economic distress. Nonetheless, financial policies, such as adding debt to the capital structure, can magnify the risk of equity. In contrast, recent research on corporate risk management suggests that firms may also be able to reduce risks and increase value with financial policies such as hedging with financial derivatives. However, this research is often motivated by substantial deadweight costs associated with financial distress or other market imperfections associated with financial leverage. Empirical research provides conflicting accounts of how costly financial distress can be for a typical publicly traded firm.We attempt to directly address the roles of economic and financial risk by examining determinants of total firm risk. In our analysis we utilize a large sample of non-financial firms in the United States. Our goal of identifying the most important determinants of equity price risk (volatility) relies on viewing financial policy as transforming asset volatility into equity volatility via financial leverage. Thus, throughout the paper, we consider financial leverage as the wedge between asset volatility and equity volatility. For example, in a static setting, debt provides financial leverage that magnifies operating cash flow volatility. Because financial policy is determined by owners (and managers), we are careful to examine the effects of firms’ asset and operating characteristics on financial policy. Specifically, we examine a variety of characteristics suggested by previous research and, as clearly as possible, distinguish between those associated with the operations of the company (i.e. factors determining economic risk) and those associated with financing the firm (i.e. factors determining financial risk). We then allow economic risk to be a determinant of financial policy in the structural framework of Leland and Toft (1996), or alternatively,in a reduced form model of financial leverage. An advantage of the structural model approach is that we are able to account for both the possibility of financial and operating implications of some factors (e.g., dividends), as well as the endogenous nature of the bankruptcy decision and financial policy in general.Our proxy for firm risk is the volatility of common stock returns derived from calculating the standard deviation of daily equity returns. Our proxies for economic risk are designed to capture the essential characteristics of the firms’ operations and assets that determine the cash flow generating process for the firm. For example, firm size and age provide measures of line of- business maturity; tangible assets (plant, property, and equipment) serve as a proxy for the ‘hardness’ of a firm’s assets; capital expenditures measure capital intensity as well as growth potential. Operating profitability and operating profit volatility serve as measures of the timeliness and riskiness of cash flows. To understand how financial factors affect firm risk, we examine total debt, debt maturity, dividend payouts, and holdings of cash and short-term investments.The primary result of our analysis is surprising: factors determining economic risk for a typical company explain the vast majority of the variation in equity volatility. Correspondingly, measures of implied financial leverage are much lower than observed debt ratios. Specifically, in our sample covering 1964-2008 average actual net financial (market) leverage is about 1.50 compared to our estimates of between 1.03 and 1.11 (depending on model specification and estimation technique). This suggests that firms may undertake other financial policies to manage financial risk and thus lower effective leverage to nearly negligible levels. These policies might include dynamically adjusting financial variables such as debt levels, debt maturity, or cash holdings (see, for example, Acharya, Almeida, and Campello, 2007). In addition, many firms also utilize explicit financial risk management techniques such as the use of financial derivatives, contractual arrangements with investors (e.g. lines of credit, call provisions in debt contracts, or contingencies in supplier contracts), special purpose vehicles (SPVs), or other alternative risk transfer techniques.The effects of our economic risk factors on equity volatility are generally highly statistically significant, with predicted signs. In addition, the magnitudes of the effects are substantial. We find that volatility of equity decreases with the size and age of the firm. This is intuitive since large and mature firms typically have more stable lines ofbusiness, which should be reflected in the volatility of equity returns. Equity volatility tends to decrease with capital expenditures though the effect is weak. Consistent with the predictions of Pástor and Veronesi (2003), we find that firms with higher profitability and lower profit volatility have lower equity volatility. This suggests that companies with higher and more stable operating cash flows are less likely to go bankrupt, and therefore are potentially less risky. Among economic risk variables, the effects of firm size, profit volatility, and dividend policy on equity volatility stand out. Unlike some previous studies, our careful treatment of the endogeneity of financial policy confirms that leverage increases total firm risk. Otherwise, financial risk factors are not reliably related to total risk.Given the large literature on financial policy, it is no surprise that financial variables are,at least in part, determined by the economic risks firms take. However, some of the specific findings are unexpected. For example, in a simple model of capital structure, dividend payouts should increase financial leverage since they represent an outflow of cash from the firm (i.e., increase net debt). We find that dividends are associated with lower risk. This suggests that paying dividends is not as much a product of financial policy as a characteristic of a firm’s operations(e.g., a mature company with limited growth opportunities). We also estimate how sensitivities to different risk factors have changed over time. Our results indicate that most relations are fairly stable. One exception is firm age which prior to 1983 tends to be positively related to risk and has since been consistently negatively related to risk. This is related to findings by Brown and Kapadia (2007) that recent trends in idiosyncratic risk are related to stock listings by younger and riskier firms.Perhaps the most interesting result from our analysis is that our measures of implied financial leverage have declined over the last 30 years at the same time that measures of equity price risk (such as idiosyncratic risk) appear to have been increasing. In fact, measures of implied financial leverage from our structural model settle near 1.0 (i.e., no leverage) by the end of our sample. There are several possible reasons for this. First, total debt ratios for non-financial firms have declined steadily over the last 30 years, so our measure of implied leverage should also decline. Second, firms have significantly increased cash holdings, so measures of net debt (debt minus cash and short-term investments) have also declined. Third, the composition of publicly traded firms has changed with more risky (especially technology-oriented)firms becoming publicly listed. These firms tend to have less debt in their capital structure. Fourth, as mentioned above, firms can undertake a variety of financial risk management activities. To the extent that these activities have increased over the last few decades, firms will have become less exposed to financial risk factors.We conduct some additional tests to provide a reality check of our results. First, we repeat our analysis with a reduced form model that imposes minimum structural rigidity on our estimation and find very similar results. This indicates that our results are unlikely to be driven by model misspecification. We also compare our results with trends in aggregate debt levels for all U.S. non-financial firms and find evidence consistent with our conclusions. Finally, we look at characteristics of publicly traded non-financial firms that file for bankruptcy around the last three recessions and find evidence suggesting that these firms are increasingly being affected by economic distress as opposed to financial distress.ConclusionIn short, our results suggest that, as a practical matter, residual financial risk is now relatively unimportant for the typical U.S. firm. This raises questions about the level of expected financial distress costs since the probability of financial distress is likely to be lower than commonly thought for most companies. For example, our results suggest that estimates of the level of systematic risk in bond pricing may be biased if they do not take into account the trend in implied financial leverage (e.g., Dichev, 1998). Our results also bring into question the appropriateness of financial models used to estimate default probabilities, since financial policies that may be difficult to observe appear to significantly reduce risk. Lastly, our results imply that the fundamental risks born by shareholders are primarily related to underlying economic risks which should lead to a relatively efficient allocation of capital.Some readers may be tempted to interpret our results as indicating that financial risk does not matter. This is not the proper interpretation. Instead, our results suggest that firms are able to manage financial risk so that the resulting exposure to shareholders is low compared to economic risks. Of course, financial risk is important to firms that choose to take on such risks either through high debt levels or a lack of risk management. In contrast, our study suggests that the typical non-financial firm chooses not to take these risks. In short, gross financial risk may be important, but firms can manage it. This contrasts with fundamental economic and business risks thatare more difficult (or undesirable) to hedge because they represent the mechanism by which the firm earns economic profits.References[1]Shyam,Sunder.Theory Accounting and Control[J].An Innternational Theory on PublishingComPany.2005[2]Ogryezak,W,Ruszeznski,A. Rom Stomchastic Dominance to Mean-Risk Models:Semide-Viations as Risk Measures[J].European Journal of Operational Research.[3] Borowski, D.M., and P.J. Elmer. An Expert System Approach to Financial Analysis: the Case of S&L Bankruptcy [J].Financial Management, Autumn.2004;[4] Casey, C.and N. Bartczak. Using Operating Cash Flow Data to Predict Financial Distress: Some Extensions[J]. Journal of Accounting Research,Spring.2005;[5] John M.Mulvey,HafizeGErkan.Applying CVaR for decentralized risk management of financialcompanies[J].Journal of Banking&Finanee.2006;[6] Altman. Credit Rating:Methodologies,Rationale and Default Risk[M]．Risk Books,London.译文：财务风险的重要性引言2008年的金融危机对金融杠杆的作用产生重大影响。

本份文档包含：关于该选题的外文文献、文献综述一、外文文献Evaluating Enterprise Risk Management (ERM); Bahrain Financial Sectors as a CaseStudyAbstractEnterprise Risk Management (ERM) is a process used by firms to manage risks and seize opportunities related to the achievement of their objectives. ERM provides a proactive framework for risk management, which typically involves identifying particular events relevant to the organization's objectives, assessing them and magnitude of impact, determining a response strategy, and monitoring progress. This research measures the awareness of Bahrain financial sector of ERM and if companies maintain an effective ERM framework. The results show success since all companies are aware of ERM and have an effective ERM framework in place.Keywords: Enterprise Risk Management, Financial sectors, ERM framework1. Introduction1.1 OverviewThe pace of change and characteristics of the new economy are exposing organizations to take risks more than ever before. Therefore mastering these risks can be a real source of opportunity and challenge and a powerful way of sustaining a competitive edge. Especially for companies to sustain and survive in the long run where companies need an effective &continuous risk management. Risk influences every aspect of business as they say "Risk is a risk is a risk". Understanding the risks Bahraini Companies face and managing them appropriately will enhance their ability to make better decisions, deliver company's objectives and hence subsequently improve performance. It is also important to note that risk is categorized into: financial, operational, strategic, and reputation risk. Enterprise Risk Management is any significant event or circumstance, which could impact the achievement of business objectives, including strategic, operational, financial, and compliance risks. ERM helps create a comprehensive approach to anticipating, identifying, prioritizing,and managing material risks of the Company.1.2 Research ObjectiveThe objective of this research is to take a more strategic and consistent approach to managing risk across, Bahrain's financial sector through the introduction of an Enterprise Risk Management ("ERM") framework and associated activities assisting the protection and the creation of value. When looking back at the corporate scandals i.e. Enron &world com, financial crisis of 1997, 2009 misled the investors and resulted in investors loosing confident &dissatisfaction. The result of that crisis was not limited to the country of origin. However it spread globally due to globalization.Global marketplace = Increased risksThis means that global risks combined with rapidly evolving business conditions are prompting financial sector to turn to ERM. It is very important for Bahrain Financial sector to have ERM. Bahrain does international business with other, therefore it is effected by downturns and since no company can prevent an economic downturn, those who map out the steps they would take to respond to a downturn won't find themselves taking quick decisions which will ultimately affect the firm negatively.1.3 Research MethodologyA questionnaire will be constructing and publish on Google document targeting only Bahraini financial sector. SPSS application will be utilized to analyze results. In addition, the questionnaire will measure how important of ERM factors to establish a good ERM practice.1.4 Research ChallengesThe goal of any firm is to achieve its objectives and create value; therefore each company has value chain which is divided into key and support activities. The company must be successful in each and every process in order to deliver a good result and achieve competitive advantage. Each of the processes in the value chain might result in more than five risks. If firms were not able to identify and put appropriate controls then all firms will end up bankrupt, in crisis, investor's dissatisfaction, etc. This research focuses on the importance of addressing key riskswhich helps and organization understand accountability-who owns the risks and whether the risks are being properly monitored. Often, because companies are organized by function or geography and not by risk, the highest risks might not have designated risk owners or risk monitors. Risk Management is the responsibility of each and every staff. This research will allocate one full section which will be called "Challenges" where it will mention what kind of risk will the bank face of proper ERM framework was not in place.2. Literature ReviewWhen EJ Smith (1912) was asked if he has encountered any risks during his 40 years experience he said "cannot remember any serious risks. I have only once seen a ship in distress." However immediately after that SS Titanic sank. The accident demanded 1500 lives including that of Captain EJ Smith. This article highlights the importance of our subject which is Enterprise risk Management if (EJ Smith, 1912) though of some risks that could occur, then Titanic wouldn't have sunk. This article is too general and it has nothing to do with our ERM on financial sector in Bahrain, however it could help us understand that there are risks in each and every business, process, task, etc we do in our life and ERM should be considered whether it is a financial or non financial sector, however for the purpose of specificity, the research will focus only on the financial sector in Bahrain. This quote also shows that risks always exist and it has nothing to do with the current environment or crisis. In another article Ed O'Donnell, (2005) talked about the framework for ERM and he stated "The guidelines establish objectives for event identification and suggest general procedures for identifying events that represent business risks." Internal Audit is concerned about identifying the root cause of the risk however here in ERM it is about identifying the root cause of the root cause. The Author is right as he mentioned that ERM task is to identify the risks which can stop us from achieving our objectives. The author wants companies to be proactive in identifying risks.The project will also highlight the factors according to COSO framework and it will also highlight what type of risks the company is going to face if it didn't have ERM framework implemented. In Nocco, Brian W &Stulz, René M article publishedon (2006) He state That " ERM adds value by ensuring that all material risks are owned and risk - return tradeoffs carefully evaluated, by operating managers and employees throughout the firm. ".It is strongly believed that implementing ERM adds value to the firm if it was effective and the action points were implemented correctly. Also supports what (Ed O'Donnell, 2005) said in his article that ERM improves the performance of the firms which will ultimately add value to the firm "there is growing support for the general argument that organizations will improve their performance by employing the ERM concept". Rao, Ananth (2009) has conducted a case on private sector organization which uses ERM within strategic control process. (Rao, Ananth 2009) uses risk identification, risk assessment, value at risk as the quantitative risk assessment techniques. Rao recommends the implementation of COSO (2004) which focuses on the Internal controls, (Rao, Ananth 2009) research stated "This case study demonstrates the prudence and practicality of the recommendations of COSO (2004) framework and Turnbull report for integrating the management of risk and organizational performance in general as part of a coherent approach to corporate governance." .However Our case study will differ than the above research as we are going to focus on COSO frame work in financial institutions .this research will focus on all supply chain areas not only strategic.(Please refer to Challenges section in this research for more details). Arena, and Giovanni, (2010) stated that "ERM is the main form taken by firms' increasing efforts to organize uncertainty, which 'exploded' in the 1990s." This project supports Arena and Giovanni article's that ERM &Risk Management are important and that is because uncertainty always exist, we agree with this article somehow because all our plans are for the future and as we know the only thing we are sure about the future is that many things might change in future so we are not certain .It is impossible to have no risk however by preparing ourselves and implementing ERM we can minimize it.In the article above the researcher used longitudinal multiple case study however we are going to build a questionnaire to test if companies are aware with the concept of ERM and they are implementing effective ERM framework. We agree with the researcher as there is a strong link between risk management &business strategytherefore financial institutions should maintain Disaster recovery plan and business continuity plan when doing their business strategy which ensures backup of all information and which reduces the safety hazards such us fire (Umbrella insurance). He also used the longitudinal multiple case study to make readers understand more about ERM process. Mark S. Beasley, Richard Clune, and Dana R. Hermanson,(2005) stated that "there is little research on factors associated with the implementation of ERM. Research is needed to provide insights as to why some organizations are responding to changing risk profiles by embracing ERM and others are not."(Mark S. Beasley, Richard Clune, and Dana R. Hermanson 2005) and it focuses on US, however as a result of our research and discussions with our managers we were informed that Bahraini corporations and specifically financial sector are aware of the ERM concept. It came to our attention that Central Bank of Bahrain force institutions to have independent auditors, however ERM is still grey area to many banks. We also noticed that now ERM factors are clearly defined, and frameworks have been established.The following article supports the idea that if a company has established good risk management process then this will help it reduce the risk and therefore the cost of having consultants to check compliance against the Central Bank. We are going to test if banks in Bahrain maintain a compliance checklist against CBB rulebook and if there is adequate monitoring and follow up with this checklist .This will be tested as part of our questionnaire. Standard &Poor's Ratings Services( 2005 )"The HP Compliance Suite for Financial Institutions is a collection of HP products, market offerings, and services that help financial services firms reduce the cost of achieving regulatory compliance, improve risk management capabilities, and also reduce the cost of sustaining compliance. This paper explains how with the Enterprise Risk Management component of its compliance suite, HP can help organizations". Craig Faris (2010) states "Climbing out of a recession can be heavy going. At the same time, it can be a stimulating wake-up call." We agree that the recession was like a wakeup call for many financial institutions which didn't give risk management attention; in our introduction we mentioned briefly that because of the financial crisis and scandals(i.e. Enron &Worldcom) Bahrain's financial sector need to establish and implement ERM framework. In another article for Walker, Paul L and Shenkir, William G. (2008) his article highlights Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) practices that improve a company's ability to manage risks effectively. "The authors argue that ERM allows companies to proactively manage risk, clarify the organization's risk philosophy, and develop a risk strategy." Further, the article discusses how the ERM process forces companies to consider those events that might stand in the way of achieving corporate goals. Then companies can assess these risks and develop strategic plans. Discussion of contingency plans, measuring effectiveness, and communications strategies is also presented. Referring to Paul, shenkir &William (2008) article we mentioned that Bahrain financial sector need to establish &implement ERM framework, this article highlights one way to start implementing ERM which is establishing good internal controls which we will also consider it one of the ERM factors in later stages of this project.This article explains how we can implement ERM. We strongly agree with Walker as ERM is trying to imagine what could happen to the company in the worst scenario therefore the company should establish Internal controls for each and every department and those controls should be communicated to all employees &implemented. As we said we agree with the author when he said that "ERM allows companies to proactively manage risk"Cokins, Gary (2010) stated that "It notes that the four types of alternative risk categorization are market and price risk, credit risk and operational risk". This article talks about risk categorization .We disagree somehow with the researcher when he categorized risks into Market, Price, credit &Operational. As we would classify them to: Strategic, financial, Operational &Reputation. He could have done better job by listing price and credit under financial. In another article for Richard S.Warr &Donald P.Pagach, (2010) said in his article "We study the effect of adoption of enterprise risk management (ERM) principles on firms' long-term performance by examining how financial, asset and market characteristics change around the time of ERM adoption. Overall, our results fail to find support for the proposition that ERM is value creating, although further study is called for."( Richard S.Warr &Donald P. Pagach, 2010) failto support that ERM is value creating, we mentioned earlier that implementing ERM does not only mitigate the risks, however it also adds value .During our detailed testing in Bahrain financial sector we are either going to agree with this article or disagree. McAliney, Peter J (2009) said "providing readers the operational considerations to implement this program within their organization to enhance performance improvement. At the individual initiative level, readers will recognize elements used in developing retrospective return on investments (ROIs) for learning programs. " We agree with (McAliney, Peter J, 2009) in teaching and communicating ERM concept with the line executive as all employees in the company must be aware of what possible risk might take place to better appreciate the internal controls which will be established by the Management in later stages. We are going to test how whether financial sector in Bahrain have well established internal controls while doing their business. If Management doesn't communicate such issues with employees then they won't understand the reason for policies &procedure changes, etc. We also agree that by performing good and effective ERM the ROI's will improve as we believe that ERM adds value to all business processes. In another SHABUDIN, Ebrahim, DREW, John O. &PEROTTI, William L. (2007), said that" noted that risk management is not just about mitigation but also about optimization. "We think that this article will help us in writing the project as they segregated risk into other classification which is quantitative &qualitative risk. We might need to through light on the difference between quantitative &qualitative as part of the introduction. We also agree with the researcher when he mentioned that it is not about mitigation but optimization however we would also like to add that ERM is also about "value adding" to the corporations.While Ohio State University, (2006) stated that "we explain how enterprise risk management creates value for shareholders", this article highlights the role of ERM in creating value, and as we learnt in our finance courses that the goal of any firm is to increase the value of stockholders. This article also draws attention on the risk appetite which we will explain later as one of the ERM factors. David L. Olson, (2010), stated that "This paper demonstrates support to risk management through validation of predictive scorecards for a large bank. The bank developed a model toassess account creditworthiness". This article supports our project. It writes about financial sector (Bank), it talks about scorecards which we are going to consider it as one of the ERM factors which falls under Internal Controls. This article also supports benchmarking and evaluating actual performance against competitors which will also be tested in our questionnaire.3. Research MethodologyThis project was conducted by analyzing results of distributed questionnaires about Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) in Bahrain Financial Sector. A questionnaire was published on the web and sent to banks in Bahrain and specifically to risk management and internal audit department. The questionnaire will cover the following areas being: (1) general questions, (2) questions relating to risk awareness and (3) questions relating to ERM factors. This research is trying to identify the extent to which good enterprise risk management (ERM) practices are being implemented and communicated throughout the banks. In addition, we are going to test how important the ERM factors established against a good ERM practice.HypothesisIn order to state the hypothesis we need to identify successful factors defining ERM.As defined by KPMG (one of the big four Auditing firms) the following are the factors of successful ERM:Referring to the above table we can identify the following independent factors which must be in place for an effective and successful ERM:According to the above factors we are going to design a questionnaire tailored for Bahrain corporations (financial sector), published on Google. Results will be analyzed and hence conclude findings.4. ChallengesIf firms don't implement ERM all value chain activities will be subject to risk. As previously mentioned; risk can be divided into strategic/financial/operational. Each of the activities whether its support or primary it is subject to risks. If we ignore deploying clear ERM framework we might end up with financial losses (likebankruptcy/operational risk reputation.5. Result analysisWe have identified 8 factors however due to time constraints we will only choose the 4 most important factors according to KPMG one of the big 4 auditing firms and specialized in ERM.A questionnaire was tailored based on the above mentioned 8 factors and this questionnaire was conducted in 2010 &it was distributed to financial sector in Bahrain; only 33 questionnaires .The results were organized in tables and graphs which facilitate our analysis and help the reader better understand.SPSS was used for the purpose of analyzing the results. SPSS test results were conducted on 4 independent factors &the dependent factor (ERM) using 2 questions for each factor.6. DiscussionsAfter analyzing the results we conclude that F test results show that there is no relationship between risk assessment &ERM, communication &ERM, monitoring &ERM, but there is a relationship between control &ERM.In addition, almost all the respondents answer the questions positively either strongly agree or somewhat agree, and these factors that we used for the analysis were essential factors in COSO framework, so we used T test analysis to examine the three factors separately, and the results for each factor conclude a positive results which mean that all Bahrain financial firms consider risk assessment, control, monitoring and communication while implementing ERM.After reviewing all the published literature reviews written about Enterprise Risk Management .We think that this subject was not fully consumed by researchers, as researchers didn't touch all the areas or in some cases they did but very briefly.This research is more comprehensive as it includes ERM from the very first point, then it will walk easier through the different factors in COSO framework.As we mentioned in the result analysis that financial sector in Bahrain are aware of the importance of ERM however companies can't perform it by themselves and use other professional firms to have effective ERM in place and we can say the reason forthat is due to unavailability of enough sources and explanation of ERM framework.This project agrees with Walker, Paul L and .Shenkir, William G. Research published on (Mar2008) as ERM is trying to imagine what could happen to the company in the worst scenario therefore the company should establish Internal controls for each and every department and those controls should be communicated to all employees &implemented. However our project results disagree somehow with the researcher when he categorized risks into Market, Price, credit &Operational. As we would classify them to: Strategic, financial, Operational &Reputation. He could have done better job by listing price and credit under financial.7. ConclusionThe result of the project concludes that Bahrain financial Corporations are aware of the Concept of ERM and its factors and that awareness can be traced to the fact that companies appreciate that risks are things that might face us in our day to day activities and all companies regardless of its capital and how experienced is their employees are subject to different types of risks. The project conclude that companies are aware of the different classifications of risks and that there is no one standard classification of risk as mentioned in the literature review section Article number 11 where better classification of risk could be put in place.Bahraini Financial Institutions are lead by the Central Bank of Bahrain rules and since having Effective ERM framework is not insisted in the rulebook as the need for independent internal auditors, the corporations will not consider it as priority .As we understand that companies are more concerned with compliance with the CBB rule book .As explained earlier although companies are not required to have ERM process by the Central Bank of Bahrain, it seems that many companies are looking forward to have contracts signed with Professional firms to conduct ERM studies.Keeping in mind that professional firms charge quite a high fee for conducting ERM studies, however as a result of the questionnaire we can say that companies would not matter to pay any amount as long as they can ensure that they are on the safe side by having ERM.文献出处：Jalal, A., AlBayati, F. S., & AlBuainain, N. R. Evaluating Enterprise Risk Management (ERM); Bahrain Financial Sectors as a Case Study [J] International Business Research, 2015, 4(3), 83-92.二、文献综述民营企业财务风险文献综述摘要民营企业在我国的发展进程中具有十分主要的地位，民营企业为我国的经济创造了巨大的价值，对我国的发展产生了很大的推动作用。

跨国并购财务风险外文翻译文献(文档含英文原文和中文翻译)Financial Risks of Chinese Enterprises’Cross-Border Mergers and AcquisitionsAbstractWith overall strength of Chinese enterprises and national going out strategy, cross-border M & As initiated by Chinese enterprises have been booming. However, compared with developed countries, Chinese enterprises started their M & As late and lacked experience and professionals. As a result, Chinese enterprises faced with numerous risks in cross-border M & As, especiallywith the financial risks. This paper, based on the analysis of Chinese enterprises’ cross-border M & As cases in recent years, explained how the financial risks formed and finally came up with efficacious precautionary measures.Key words: Chinese enterprise; M & As; Financial; risks1. OVERVIEW OF FINANCIAL RISKS OF CROSS-BORDER M & ASFinancial risks refer to the reimbursement risks and change of returns to shareholders triggered by financing decision in the process of enterprises’ cross-border mergers and acquisitions (abbr. M & As). Enterprises often go through three phases—valuation, financing, and payment—in the process of cross-border M & As. Based on valuation, financing, and payment, decisions affect enterprises’ assets structure and even their solvency and returns to their shareholders. In addition, cross-border M& As use an international currency for most countries.Change in exchange rates affects corporate earnings, as well as shareholders’ returns. Therefore, there are four main types of financial risks: valuation risk, financing risk, payment risk, and exchange rate risk.2. STATUS OF CHINESE ENTERPRISES’ CROSS-BORDER M & ASCombining with going out strategy, Chinese enterprises upgrade their strength and participate in the context of economic globalization. Chinese enterprises begin to go abroad, merging and acquiring foreign ones. Although Chinese enterprises’ cross-border M & As started late, China has become the world’s fifth cross-border acquiring power in 2009. Status of Chinese enterprises’ cross-border M & As is as follows:2.1 Increases in the Number and Scale of M & AsIn the year of 2008, Chinese companies completed only 30 cases of cross-border M & As, costing less than $ 9 billion. In the year of 2013, Chinese companies completed 99 cross-border M & A, amounting to $ 38.5 billion. The number of M & As doubled, while the total amount grew more than three times.2.2 Large State-Owned Enterprises as M & As SubjectCompared with private enterprises, large state-owned enterprises have more their own capital. It is easy for them to get loans and finance, so Chinese cross-border M & As are mostly done by large state-owned enterprises. On the Summer Davos Forum in 2013, Andrew, Global Chairman of KPMG International, pointed out that 86% of the China’s for eign investment camefrom China’sstate-owned enterprises. By far in China, the largest cross-border M & As was initiated by China’s state-owned enterprises CNOOC. On February 27, 2013, CNOOC successfully acquired Nexen Corp., a Canadian company, by spending $ 15.1 billion.2.3 Cash as the Main Form of PaymentChina’s market economy status has not been recognized by all countries, and, to a certain extent, Chinese enterprises are discriminated in cross-border M & As. In addition, China’s financial market is not perfect. In order to gain direct control of the acquired enterprises, Chinese enterprises mostly pay by cash. According to Bloomberg, 79.4% of China’s cross-border M & As made their payment by cash, 3.3% by stock, and only 1.18% by other mode.2.4 Increased Impact of Exchange Rate on M & AsBefore the year of 2012, the floating range of RMB against U.S. dollar was only 0.5%. Since 2012, China’s central bank adjusted the floating range of RMB against U.S. dollar to 1%, and on March 15, 2014, extended it to 2%. Compared to the previous fixed exchange rate, the change of exchange rate significantly increased, which made the Chinese enterprises begin to consider the impact of exchange rate change on acquisition costs in their M & As.3. FINANCIAL RISKS FACED WITHCHINESE ENTERPRISES IN CROSSBORDER M & AS Chinese enterprises began to participate in cross-border M & As actively only in the past ten years. The lack of experience made it difficult to accurately value the target enterprises. China’s financial mar ket is not mature, it is difficult for Chinese enterprises to finance and choose payment mode. At the same time, the international financial market fluctuates, and RMB is not an international monetary. Cross-border M & As is done by dollar or euro, which brings risks to Chinese cross-border M & As.3.1 The Valuation RiskDetermination of the transaction price of M & As is actually a game playing by initiators and targets of M & As. Under normal circumstances, the initiators can not fully grasp the information of target corporations, so it is difficult to estimate accurately. In general, valuation price will be higher than the actual value of the target enterprise. Overvalued price causes the main type of financial risk faced with the cross-border M & As performing by Chinese enterprises. This risk is reflected in a series of cases, such as TCL and Thomson M & A, China Investment Corporation’s investment in Blackstone USA, acquisition of United CommercialBank (UCB) by China Minsheng Bank (CMB).Take the failure of acquisition of UCB by CMB as an example. After the outbreak of the subprime crisis in American, western banks were shrinking. The CMB decided to merge the UCB in the United States. CMB injected funds to UCB twice in 2008. After the first injection, the bank’s market value shrank by 70%. CMB didn’t take this as a sign of warning, it injected again after that. Until September, 2009, financial investors suddenly announced the existence financial concealment by UCB, and in November UCB was permanently closed. In the process of M & As, CMB overvalued UCB and eventually increased the loss.How much information about target enterprises that acquirers get is vital to evaluation. Even if acquirers get enough information, it is so subjective to calculate target enterprises’ real value. In the CMB M & A case, there existed big difference between subjective evaluation and real value of UCB. After the first injection of capital, the biggest mistake for CMB was that it took the devaluation of UCB’s stock as an oppor tunity of another capital injection instead of warning.3.2 Financing RiskFinancing decision plays a vital role in the M & As. It is the foundation of pricing decision and also the condition of payment decision. The major financing channels used by enterprises in their cross-border M & As are their own funds, stock financing, and bank loans. At present, Chinese enterprises mostly use their own funds in acquisitions, resulting in increasing financial problems.In the case of acquisition of Alcatel by TCL in the year of 2004, the significant adverse effect on TCL was due to bad financing decisions in M & As. In 2003 TCL’s annual profit was only about CNY ¥560 million, while Alcater’s amount of loss on TV sets and DVDs was as high as €120.TCL did not achieve p rofitability immediately after M & As. TCL not only was unable to repay debt generated from acquisition financing, but also increased the new debt. After that, TCL’s financial risks continued to expand.Financing risk is composed of two parts, one is the environmental risk of financing, and the other is the debt risk of financing. Environmental risk of financing associates with the country’s macroenvironment and the maturity of its financial markets, that is, the more capital markets are developed, the better the macroenvironment is; the more financing instrument may be used, the more acquirers can get financing with less cost. Debt risk of financing is related to the structure of repayment period. Although, as a whole, macroeconomic environment is well in China, the financial markets are not mature, and furthermore, unreasonable repayment structure will bring financing risk to acquirers.3.3 Payment RiskPayment decision is based on valuation decision and financing decision. At present there are mainly three kinds of payment mode: cash payment, equity payment, and leverage payment. Chinese enterprises generally use cash payment, which is the most risky one in their cross-border M & As. This payment mode can effectively help enterprises obtain the control of target enterprises successfully, but it increases financial pressure and the debt burden of Chinese enterprises, which easily leads them to liquidity risk and financial difficulties.In the case of acquisition of Fortis Group Belgium by Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China, Ltd. (Ping An), from 2007 to 2008, Ping An bought Fortis’s stocks three times from secondary markets, accounting for 4.99% of the total shares, becoming the largest shareholder of Fortis Group. However, by 2008 November, Fortis’s sh are price fell 96% cumulatively, and Ping An suffered huge losses. In order to make cash payment in the secondary markets to get Fortis shares, Ping An published additionalits own shares and also increased debt. As a result of this M & A, Ping An’s financ ial risk was increased; the ratio of assets and liabilities was as high as 88.47% in 2008.China’s financial market established late, and is in a progressive stage of development. In immature financial markets, there are limited financing instruments that can be used for acquirers. Most of the capital comes from acquirers’ own capital, bank loans, or government grants. The use of their own capital takes up a lot of corporate liquidity, weakening the ability of dealing with emergencies with their liquid capital. For bank loans, in the immature capital markets, banks monopolize capital, ask for monopolized profits, and may have rent-seeking behavior. As a result, enterprises get bank loans only after paying for large cost. Government grants usually support specific industries and the related audit procedures are very complicated. Even if the companies were in the field of government subsidized industry, they might miss opportunities to complete M & A due to complicated procedures and lengthy audit.3.4 Exchange Rate RiskRMB is not an international currency, and its circulation is limited in the world, so it can not be used in international transactions. Therefore, Chinese cross-border M & As need foreign exchange, under normal circumstances, dollars or euros. For Chinese enterprises, whether to borrow or buy foreign exchange, there is time difference between the day of signing contract and of the actual payment, during which the change in exchange rates will affect the costs of M & As, so that enterprises face foreign currency risk. In addition, when enterprises settle their income in foreign currency, or pay debt, exchange rate change will lead to the uncertainty of their future earnings.In the case of acquisition of Aurukun project by Aluminum Corporation of China Limited (CHALCN), exchange rate risk was obvious. In March, 2007, CHALCN bid Australian Aurukunbauxite development project by $2.92 billion. During the period of bid, Australian dollar exchange rate was about 0.68, and in 2008 July, it appreciated to 0.9848. The Australian dollar rate fluctuated nearly 40%. While CHALCN deposits in dollars, the cross-border M & A project led to huge losses because of exchange rate fluctuation.Boundary condition of cash payments is (VAB-VA)/(1+a)≥Cp≥VB, where VAB is the acquirer’s cash flow after M & A, VA is the acquirer’s cash flow before M & A, a is the cost rate of cash payment, Cp is the amount of cash, and VB is the value of target enterprise. When (VABVA)/(1+a)<C, the cash paid could not be recovered, and the acquirer would suffer the loss. Otherwise, VAB is an estimated value and will be affected by the valuation ability of acquirer. Furthermore, the change of a cannot be controlled completely by the acquirer. Therefore, the use of cash payment will lead to uncontrollable risk.In the process of payment, companies must make reasonable arrangement for funding. As to payment arrangement, if enterprises arranged the time structure and scale structure unreasonably, a relevant factor, such as cost of corporate debt, tax cost, and intermediate costs, would increase and make the increase of post-merger cash flows less than the actual cash flow, resulting in acquirers’ ultimate loss, that is, they would suffer enormous pressure and expose themselves to financial distress.4. COUNTERMEASURES OF FINANCIAL RISKSIn this part, we analyzed the causes of financial risks in Chinese enterprises’ cross-border M & As and proposed the corresponding countermeasures.4.1 Prevention of Valuation RiskFor these businesses involved in cross-border M & As, accurate valuation is the first step to the success. Valuation affects the whole process of M & As. Therefore, it is very important to avoid valuation risk.First, hire a professional team of valuation. Since the Chinese enterprises lack experience of cross-border M & As, it is difficult for acquiring enterprises to grasp the main points in the process of valuation of target companies. It is more likely that target firms would hide key information from them. Usually a professional valuation team has rich experience in M & As, better information collection, and analysis ability, and usually it is able to obtain the information needed from analysis through its unique channels; thereby it helps reduce the risk of enterprise valuation.Second, choose scientific methods of valuation. Enterprises can choose a relatively accurate estimation methods based on the actual situation and may also give a certain weight to each valuation approach and make comprehensive valuation, in order to disperse the risks of eachvaluation method.Third, adjust financial statements. Financial statements can only reflect the past performance and cannot reflect the future one. At the same time, the financial statements cannot take the key points of business out of balance sheet included. In order to overcome these adverse factors of valuation, acquiring enterprises can adjust the financial statements of target companies according to the information they got about the target companies. They can include the business other than those shown on balance sheet into account, give the weight coefficient of financial indicators and make a comprehensive valuation of the target companies.4.2 Prevention of Financing RiskFor Chinese corporation, financing risks arise due to the immat urity of China’s financial markets. Chinese enterprises have limited choices of financing channels to fund their M & As, so it is difficult for them to obtain enough funds needed in M & As. At the same time, there is no reasonable capital structure when arranging financing. Therefore, for the above reasons, we proposed three countermeasures.First, improve the financial markets and support the development of private credit in order to provide cheap financing for M & As in the short time. Financial innovation will lead to creation of new financial instruments to meet the needs of companies and investors to facilitate corporate financing and raise enough funds, while decentralizing financing risks Second, use innovative financing methods. For example, in 2010, in order to finance acquisition of V olvo, Geely Automobile used both fund financing and government funding. In order to attract local government funding, Geely promised to build factories in the cities whose local governments have funded it. Eventually, Geely gained $3 billion fund from Chinese local companies, including $1 billion from International Daqing, $1 billion from Jiaerwo Shanghai, and $1 billion from Chengdu Bank.Finally, set up a reasonable set of repayment structure. Before enterprises involve themselves in M & As, they should take fully consideration of how to pay debts in two consequences of success and failure in M & As respectively. When companies fail in M & As, enterprises should have sufficient liquidity to repay debt resulted from the initial investment. And if companies can successfully achieve acquisition, then companies should make sure that their repayment time, scale, and structure can math their cash flow, scale, and structure after the merger of target companies.4.3 Prevention of Payment RiskPayment risk results from the dependence of Chinese enterprises involved in cross-border M & A on cash payment and unreasonable payment structure arranged by these enterprises. Therefore, in order to prevent payment risk, Chinese enterprises should adopt various paymentmethods in their cross-border M & As and arrange payment structure reasonably. Lenovo gives us a very good demonstration. In December, 2004, Lenovo purchased IBM’s PC business by $ 1.25 billion, $ 0.65 billion in cash plus $ 0.6 billion by shares of Lenovo. This payment method greatly reduced the pressure of cash flow pressure on Lenovo. It was shown that debt rate of Lenovo remained at normal level in 2004.4.4 Prevention of Exchange Rate RiskWider scope of Chinese exchange rate volatility helps RMB internationalization and also brings more challenges to enterprises who participate in cross-border M & As. Exchange rate risk will further intensify, so we need to take positive measures to avoid it.First, internationalize RMB gradually. If RMB become an international currency, Chinese cross-border acquiring enterprises can use the RMB directly, and then there is no currency exchange and no exchange rate risk. At present the achievement of RMB regionalization is only a small step in the process of RMB internationalization.Second, adopt different hedging strategies. They may prevent the risk of exchange rate by choosing different financial instruments and combining them to hedge in the foreign exchange market. There are many financial instruments we can use, such as: the foreign exchange forward, foreign exchange futures, foreign exchange options, and currency swaps.CONCLUSIONThe paper introduced the status of Chinese enterprise cross-border M & As, and then analyzed the financial risks faced with Chinese enterprise cross-border M & As, that is, evaluation risk, financing risk, payment risk, and exchange rate risk. In order to overcome or even prevent these risks, Chinese enterprises should accumulate experiences of cross-border M & As performance and take use of innovative financial methods. Chinese government should promote the financial markets, support financial innovation and promote RMB internationalization. By their all efforts, Chinese enterprises will perform better in heir cross-border M & As.中国企业跨国并购的财务风险摘要随着我国企业的综合实力和国家战略的实施，我国企业的跨国并购活动蓬勃发展。