计划风险管理中英文对照外文翻译文献
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外文文献:This analysis used a case study methodology to analyze the issues surrounding the partial collapse of the roof of a building housing the headquarters of the Standards Association of Zimbabwe (SAZ). In particular, it examined the prior roles played by the team of construction professionals. The analysis revealed that the SAZ’s traditional construction project was generally characterized by high risk. There was a clear indication of the failure of a contractor and architects in preventing and/or mitigating potential construction problems as alleged by the plaintiff. It was reasonable to conclude that between them the defects should have been detected earlier and rectified in good time before the partial roof failure. It appeared justified for the plaintiff to have brought a negligence claim against both the contractor and the architects. The risk analysis facilitated, through its multi-dimensional approach to a critical examination of a construction problem, the identification of an effective risk management strategy for future construction prject and riskThe structural design of the reinforced concrete elements was done by consulting engineers Knight Piesold (KP). Quantity surveying services were provided by Hawkins, Leshnick & Bath (HLB). The contract was awarded to Central African Building Corporation (CABCO) who was also responsible for the provision of a specialist roof structure using patented “gang nail” roof trusses. The building construction proceeded to completion and was handed over to the owners on Sept. 12, 1991. The SAZ took effective occupation of the headquarters building without a certificate of occupation. Also, the defects liability period was only three months .The roof structure was in place 10 years At first the SAZ decided to go to arbitration, but this failed to yield an immediate solution. The SAZ then decided toproceed to litigate in court and to bring a negligence claim against CABCO. The preparation for arbitration was reused for litigation. The SAZ’s quantified losses stood at approximately $ 6 million in Zimbabwe dollars (US $1.2m) .After all parties had examined the facts and evidence before them, it became clear that there was a great probability that the courts might rule that both the architects and the contractor were lia ble. It was at this stage that the defendants’ lawyers requested that the matter be settled out of court. The plaintiff agreed to this suxamined the prior roles played by the project management function and construction professionals in preventing/mitigating potential construction problems. It further assessed the extent to which the employer/client and parties to a construction contract are able to recover damages under that contract. The main objective of this critical analysis was to identify an effective risk management strategy for future construction projects. The importance of this study is its multidimensional examination approach.Experience sugge be misleading. All construction projects are prototypes to some extent and imply change. Change in the construction industry itself suggests that past experience is unlikely to be sufficient on its own. A structured approach is required. Such a structure can not and must not replace the experience and expertise of the participant. Rather, it brings additional benefits that assist to clarify objectives, identify the nature of the uncertainties, introduces effective communication systems, improves decision-making, introduces effective risk control measures, protects the project objectives and provides knowledge of the risk history .Construction professionals need to know how to balance the contingencies of risk with their specific contractual, financial, operational and organizational requirements. Many construction professionals look at risks in dividually with a myopic lens and donot realize the potential impact that other associated risks may have on their business operations. Using a holistic risk management approach will enable a firm to identify all of the organization’s business risks. This will increas e the probability of risk mitigation, with the ultimate goal of total risk elimination .Recommended key construction and risk management strategies for future construction projects have been considered and their explanation follows. J.W. Hinchey stated th at there is and can be no ‘best practice’ standard for risk allocation on a high-profile project or for that matter, any project. He said, instead, successful risk management is a mind-set and a process. According to Hinchey, the ideal mind-set is for the parties and their representatives to, first, be intentional about identifying project risks and then to proceed to develop a systematic and comprehensive process for avoiding, mitigat and its location. This is said to be necessary not only to allow alternative responses to be explored. But also to ensure that the right questions are asked and the major risks identified. Heads of sources of risk are said to be a convenient way of providing a structure for identifying risks to completion of a participant’s pa rt of the project. Effective risk management is said to require a multi-disciplinary approach. Inevitably risk management requires examination of engineering, legal and insurance related solutions .It is stated that the use of analytical techniques based on a statistical approach could be of enormous use in decision making . Many of these techniques are said to be relevant to estimation of the consequences of risk events, and not how allocation of risk is to be achieved. In addition, at the present stage of the development of risk management, Atkinson states that it must be recognized that major decisions will be made that can not be based solely on mathematical analysis. The complexity ofconstruction projects means that the project definition in terms of both physical form and organizational structure will be based on consideration of only a relatively small number of risks . This is said to then allow a general structured approach that can be applied to any construction project to increase the awareness of participants .The new, simplified Construction Design and Management Regulations (CDM Regulations) which came in to f 1996, into a single regulatory package.The new CDM regulations offer an opportunity for a step change in health and safety performance and are used to reemphasize the health, safety and broader business benefits of a well-managed and co-ordinated approach to the management of health and safety in construction. I believe that the development of these skills is imperative to provide the client with the most effective services available, delivering the best value project possible.Construction Management at Risk (CM at Risk), similar to established private sector methods of construction contracting, is gaining popularity in the public sector. It is a process that allows a client to select a construction manager (CM) based on qualifications; make the CM a member of a collaborative project team; centralize responsibility for construction under a single contract; obtain a bonded guaranteed maximum price; produce a more manageable, predictable project; save time and money; and reduce risk for the client, the architect and the CM.CM at Risk, a more professional approach to construction, is taking its place along with design-build, bridging and the more traditional process of design-bid-build as an established method of project delivery.The AE can review to get the projec. Competition in the community is more equitable: all subcontractors have a fair shot at the work .A contingency within the GMP covers unexpected but justifiable costs, and a contingency above the GMP allows for client changes. As long as the subcontractors are within the GMP they are reimbursed to the CM, so the CM represents the client in negotiating inevitable changes with subcontractors.There can be similar problems where each party in a project is separately insured. For this reason a move towards project insurance is recommended. The traditional approach reinforces adversarial attitudes, and even provides incentives for people to overlook or conceal risks in an attempt to avoid or transfer responsibility.A contingency within the GMP covers unexpected but justifiable costs, and a contingency above the GMP allows for client changes. As long as the subcontractors are within the GMP they are reimbursed to the CM, so the CM represents the client in negotiating inevitable changes with subcontractors.There can be similar problems where each party in a project is separately insured. For this reason a move towards project insurance is recommended. The traditional approach reinforces adversarial attitudes, and even provides incentives for people to overlook or conceal risks in an attempt to avoid or transfer responsibility.It was reasonable to assume that between them the defects should have been detected earlier and rectified in good time before the partial roof failure. It did appear justified for the plaintiff to have brought a negligence claim against both the contractor and the architects.In many projects clients do not understand the importance of their role in facilitating cooperation and coordination; the desi recompense. They do not want surprises, and are more likely to engage in litigation when things go wrong.中文译文:国际建设工程风险分析索赔看来是合乎情理的。
财务风险管理中英文资料翻译Financial Risk ManagementAlthough financial risk has increased significantly in recent years,risk and risk management are not contemporary issues. The resultof increasingly global markets is that risk may originate with eventsthousands of miles away that have nothing to do with the domesticmarket。
Information is available instantaneously,which means thatchange, and subsequent market reactions, occur very quickly.The economic climate and markets can be affected very quickly bychanges in exchange rates,interest rates, and commodity prices. Counterpartiescan rapidly become problematic. As a result,it is important toensure financial risks are identified and managed appropriately。
Preparationis a key component of risk management。
What Is Risk?Risk provides the basis for opportunity. The terms risk and exposure havesubtle differences in their meaning. Risk refers to the probability of loss,while exposure is the possibility of loss, although they are often usedinterchangeably。
企业风险管理的英文作文英文:Enterprise risk management (ERM) is a crucial aspect of any business, as it allows companies to identify and mitigate potential risks that could negatively impact their operations. As someone who has worked in risk managementfor several years, I can attest to the importance of having a comprehensive ERM strategy in place.One of the key benefits of ERM is that it enables companies to take a proactive approach to risk management. By identifying potential risks before they occur, businesses can take steps to prevent or mitigate them, rather than simply reacting to them after the fact. This can help to minimize the impact of risks on the company's operations, reputation, and bottom line.Another benefit of ERM is that it can help companies to make more informed decisions. By having a clearunderstanding of the risks associated with differentcourses of action, businesses can make more strategic decisions that are based on a thorough analysis ofpotential risks and rewards.Of course, implementing an effective ERM strategy requires a significant amount of time and resources. However, the benefits of doing so far outweigh the costs.By investing in ERM, companies can protect themselves against potential risks, make more informed decisions, and ultimately improve their overall performance and profitability.中文:企业风险管理(ERM)是任何企业的重要组成部分,因为它可以帮助企业识别和减轻可能对其运营造成负面影响的潜在风险。
外文翻译As one of the important subjects of project management originated the First World War, and now it has been becoming more and more systematic and professional. In China the systematic project risk management framework was developed by the end of last century, but the practical application of project risk management still needs further improvement. With above background, this thesis focused on the medium or large real estate project, research project character, project management, typical Chinese construction project process, risk management, and project risk management. The first chapter briefed the current international and domestic study status of the subject, thesis purpose, and thesis scope, which are risk and its countermeasures research for the implementation phase of medium or large real estate project. The second chapter briefed the concept and character of real estate project, risk of project, and project risk management, which is the theoretical foundation of further risk management study for the implementation phase of medium or large real estate project. Chapter3,4 and 5 are the project risk management practice on the implementation phase of medium or large real estate project. Chapter 3 is for project engineering risk management, which introduced the concept, purpode, and principle of project engineering at the beginning, and then analyzed the engineering objective, including schedule, cost, and quality, at last it identified and analyzed the project engineering risks and provided design change procedure and design company selection procedure as the risk response. Chapter 4 detailed the concept, principle, objective and key roles of project procurement, identified and assessed the project procurement risk, and also provided contractor selection procedure, vendor selection procedure, examples of procurement plans to response and monitor project risk. Chapter 5 firstly introduced the construction concept, character, process and project construction objectives, including quality objective, schedule objective, and safety objective, and then identified and assessed construction quality risk, schedule risk, cost risk and safety risk, The postscript of this thesis briefed the dynamic project risk management concept, restriction and limitation of this thesis, and opportunities for further research. Totally there are 14 appendixes attached after the thesis. These appendixes could be used as guidance and reference of risk management for real estate project. They are provided to be very useful in term of risk management for real estate project implementation phases.Project risk management as a procedure of optimism and decision, in which information will come out gradually in the multistage construction. The key to the risk management is how to select the risk response plan. Directed by the system theory and combined the theory of option pricing and project risk management, this paper adopts criterion method to analyze the management and activity in the stage of engineering project implement on the base of comparison to relative documents. This paper emphatically argues the choice of response plans under the condition of risks according to the established analysis frame. These forecasts are hypotheses abstract form the similar project performed before, whether they are actual or not will hugely affect the success of project The implement stage means project period from the location to product whose target is transform the planto real and mark the aims. The implement stage occupies the most period of project, has huge work, consume the most resource. What is worth to mind is that the implement stage is process not only to form the real proprirty but also product information, for example, the knowledge of field status and the capability of contractor can only be obtained form implement. So in order to mark the target, the manager must test the hypotheses and use the new information assess the status of influence element, choose the best response plan according to the condition. This paper has value in instructing the project investor/manager in how to establish a risk management configuration and making decision under risk condition in the implement stage of construction project.This thesis begins with the knowledge system of project management, analyses the whole course of risk management and sets forth the method and program of project risk identification, risk appraisement and risk monitoring in project minutely. Finally, It shows a risk case of building project focal point for the investment decision of early stage with qualitative and quantitative analysis. Chapter 1 Discuss the important concept, method and knowledge system of project risk management, such as the definition of project, the knowledge system of project management PMBOKX the intension of risk, the content of risk management and so on ,carry out the risk analysis of building project emphatically. Chapter 2 Mainly introduce the tool and technology of project risk identification, such as checking table, the rules of systems analysis(WBS), the method of SWOT technology. Thinking of the demerit for every tool, hence author emphasize that we should appraise the gained information resource synthetically. Chapter 3 Explain how to go on the estimation and assessment of project risk, put forward the tool and technology of project risk analysis (as AHP, probability and sensitivity analysis ). When analyzing project risk quantitatively, first we should have definite warranty, do not surmise risk without foundation; Secondly, distinguish confirmed project from unconfirmed project in quantitative analysis. When using two important tools of quantitative risk analysis—probability and sensitivity analysis, one side is to estimate the probability of risk variable exactly; the other side is to judge and analyze the guidelines of probability analysis truly, as square margin, expected figure, disperse modulus. Through quantifying risk, it can strengthen our sense of risk management. Chapter 4 Elaborate the basic method of monitoring project risk. In order to carry into execution monitoring project risk, it is essential to establish perfect replying risk plan. The main steps is: lessening risk, take precautions against risk (as project method, instructing method, program method), conveying risk selling, inviting public bidding, the contract of absolving obligation, insurance and guarantee), avoidance, leave behind and measure in support. Chapter 5 A risk management example. First, analyze the various possible existent risk factors of this project systematically. Secondly, study its sensitivity factor thorough quantifying assessment risk for the project, as well as establishing and putting in practice a plan in order to control the negative influence in minimum level. The building has total 130500 square in architectural area, superior geographical location and tremendously potential value, its overall investment is 4.26 hundreds million. This chapter first studies the market from place environment all around traffic and market requirement, then analyzes systematically financing risk and organic risk of joint venture. On the basis of foregoing analysis, it establishes some parameter of risk quantifying analysis, calculates its selling revenue running expense and cash flow form, uses sensitivity analysis to gain best sensitivityfactor. As the uncertain essence of risk, it is extremely important to analyze probability factor of the project. So we confirm the probability form of every variable, then calculate present value of each possible event according to different constitutes of risk variable; and sort all possible events according to their present values from small to big, calculate accumulative probability, square margin and disperse modulus, thus analyze the risk of project quantitatively, provide quantitative support for supervisor when they will make a decision. Comparing with international advanced level, our country has great gap on the link of how to apply theory of project risk management to practice of project management, especially short of system research in project risk management. On the basis International project contracting is rather a complex project in the cooperation of international economy and technology, and the implementing of the projects will be influenced by political, economy and social situations Firstly, this paper systemically analyzed the market situation of the international project contracting, and concretely analyzed the market structure in Asia, America, Africa and Europe. It concluded the trend of the development of the international contracting market; projects are becoming large-scale and complex and the contracting pattern is diversified, and the management of the international project contracting is standardized. Secondly, this paper analyzed the development status and characteristic of the international project contracting in our country. Although the internationalization tendency of our country’s international project contracting firm is preferable, there is large gap in the whole strength when compared with firms from the developed countries, and also there are limitations in the distributing of the projects in different regions and industries. Thirdly, this paper summarized the technique of international project contracting risk identification, estimate and appraise in our country. Put forward to finance and non-finance risk treating means, and apply the energy release theory to international project contracting risk management, and research the dominating risk in the bid phase and construction and build the energy release model of each phrase. In the cases of Kun River Hydroelectric Station Project in Vietnam and Aromatic Plant Shali Irrigation Project in Nepal, this paper put forward to the technique of the international project contracting risk identification, estimation, appraise and reply in dealing with the project risk. Finally, in the risk estimation and risk appraise, this paper paid attention to evaluate the losing caused by the risk exactly; in the risk reply ,give attention to two aspects of cost and return, look after the economic and logical risk reply measure, in order to make the project risk least, the operating of companies most efficiently and the return highest外文翻译项目风险管理作为项目管理的重要内容之一,起源于第一次世界大战之后。
中小企业的财务风险管理外文文献翻译2014年译文3000字Financial Risk Management for Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises (SMEs)Financial risk management is an essential aspect of business management。
particularly for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs)。
SMEs face numerous financial risks。
including credit risk。
market risk。
liquidity risk。
and nal risk。
which can significantly impact their financial stability and growth prospects。
Therefore。
the effective management of financial risks is crucialfor SMEs to survive and thrive in today's competitive business environment.One of the primary challenges for SMEs in managing financial risks is their limited resources and expertise。
Unlike large ns。
SMEs often lack the financial resources and specialized staff to develop and implement comprehensive risk management strategies。
As a result。
xxxxxx 大学本科毕业设计外文翻译Project Cost Control: the Way it Works项目成本控制:它的工作方式学院(系): xxxxxxxxxxxx专业: xxxxxxxx学生姓名: xxxxx学号: xxxxxxxxxx指导教师: xxxxxx评阅教师:完成日期:xxxx大学项目成本控制:它的工作方式在最近的一次咨询任务中,我们意识到对于整个项目成本控制体系是如何设置和应用的,仍有一些缺乏理解。
所以我们决定描述它是如何工作的.理论上,项目成本控制不是很难跟随。
首先,建立一组参考基线。
然后,随着工作的深入,监控工作,分析研究结果,预测最终结果并比较参考基准。
如果最终的结果不令人满意,那么你要对正在进行的工作进行必要的调整,并在合适的时间间隔重复。
如果最终的结果确实不符合基线计划,你可能不得不改变计划.更有可能的是,会 (或已经) 有范围变更来改变参考基线,这意味着每次出现这种情况你必须改变基线计划。
但在实践中,项目成本控制要困难得多,通过项目数量无法控制成本也证明了这一点。
正如我们将看到的,它还需要大量的工作,我们不妨从一开始启用它。
所以,要跟随项目成本控制在整个项目的生命周期.同时,我们会利用这一机会来指出几个重要文件的适当的地方。
其中包括商业案例,请求(资本)拨款(执行),工作包和工作分解结构,项目章程(或摘要),项目预算或成本计划、挣值和成本基线。
所有这些有助于提高这个组织的有效地控制项目成本的能力。
业务用例和应用程序(执行)的资金重要的是要注意,当负责的管理者对于项目应如何通过项目生命周期展开有很好的理解时,项目成本控制才是最有效的。
这意味着他们在主要阶段的关键决策点之间行使职责。
他们还必须识别项目风险管理的重要性,至少可以确定并计划阻止最明显的潜在风险事件。
在项目的概念阶段•每个项目始于确定的机会或需要的人.通常是有着重要性和影响力的人,如果项目继续,这个人往往成为项目的赞助。
商业银行风险管理中英文对照外文翻译文献(文档含英文原文和中文翻译)“RISK MANAGEMENT IN COMMERCIAL BANKS”(A CASE STUDY OF PUBLIC AND PRIVATE SECTOR BANKS) - ABSTRACT ONLY1. PREAMBLE:1.1 Risk Management:The future of banking will undoubtedly rest on risk management dynamics. Only those banks that have efficient risk management system will survive in the market in the long run. The effective management of credit risk is a critical component of comprehensive risk management essential for long-term success of a banking institution. Credit risk is the oldest and biggest risk that bank, by virtue of its very nature of business, inherits. This has however, acquired a greater significance in the recent past for various reasons. Foremost among them is the wind of economic liberalization that is blowing across the globe. India is no exception to this swing towards market driven economy. Competition from within and outside the country has intensified. This has resulted in multiplicity of risks both in number and volume resulting in volatile markets. A precursor to successful management of credit risk is a clear understanding about risks involved in lending, quantifications of risks within each item of the portfolio and reaching a conclusion as to the likely composite credit risk profile of a bank.The corner stone of credit risk management is the establishment of a framework that defines corporate priorities, loan approval process, credit risk rating system, risk-adjusted pricing system, loan-review mechanism and comprehensive reporting system.1.2 Significance of the study:The fundamental business of lending has brought trouble to individual banks and entire banking system. It is, therefore, imperative that the banks are adequate systems for credit assessment of individual projects and evaluating risk associated therewith as well as the industry as a whole. Generally, Banks in India evaluate a proposal through the traditional tools of project financing, computing maximum permissible limits, assessing management capabilities and prescribing a ceiling for an industry exposure. As banks move in to a new high powered world of financial operations and trading, with new risks, the need is felt for more sophisticated and versatile instruments for risk assessment, monitoring and controlling risk exposures. It is, therefore, time that banks managements equip themselves fully to grapple with the demands of creating tools and systems capable of assessing, monitoring and controlling risk exposures in a more scientific manner.Credit Risk, that is, default by the borrower to repay lent money, remains the most important risk to manage till date. The predominance of credit risk is even reflected in the composition of economic capital, which banks are required to keep a side for protection against various risks. According to one estimate, Credit Risk takes about 70% and 30%remaining is shared between the other two primary risks, namely Market risk (change in the market price and operational risk i.e., failure of internal controls, etc.). Quality borrowers (Tier-I borrowers) were able to access the capital market directly without going through the debt route. Hence, the credit route is now more open to lesser mortals (Tier-II borrowers).With margin levels going down, banks are unable to absorb the level of loan losses. There has been very little effort to develop a method where risks could be identified and measured. Most of the banks have developed internal rating systems for their borrowers, but there hasbeen very little study to compare such ratings with the final asset classification and also to fine-tune the rating system. Also risks peculiar to each industry are not identified and evaluated openly. Data collection is regular driven. Data on industry-wise, region-wise lending, industry-wise rehabilitated loan, can provide an insight into the future course to be adopted.Better and effective strategic credit risk management process is a better way to Manage portfolio credit risk. The process provides a framework to ensure consistency between strategy and implementation that reduces potential volatility in earnings and maximize shareholders wealth. Beyond and over riding the specifics of risk modeling issues, the challenge is moving towards improved credit risk management lies in addressing banks’readiness and openness to accept change to a more transparent system, to rapidly metamorphosing markets, to more effective and efficient ways of operating and to meet market requirements and increased answerability to stake holders.There is a need for Strategic approach to Credit Risk Management (CRM) in Indian Commercial Banks, particularly in view of;(1) Higher NPAs level in comparison with global benchmark(2) RBI’ s stipulation about dividend distribution by the banks(3) Revised NPAs level and CAR norms(4) New Basel Capital Accord (Basel –II) revolutionAccording to the study conducted by ICRA Limited, the gross NPAs as a proportion of total advances for Indian Banks was 9.40 percent for financial year 2003 and 10.60 percent for financial year 20021. The value of the gross NPAs as ratio for financial year 2003 for the global benchmark banks was as low as 2.26 percent. Net NPAs as a proportion of net advances of Indian banks was 4.33 percent for financial year 2003 and 5.39 percent for financial year 2002. As against this, the value of net NPAs ratio for financial year 2003 for the global benchmark banks was 0.37 percent. Further, it was found that, the total advances of the banking sector to the commercial and agricultural sectors stood at Rs.8,00,000 crore. Of this, Rs.75,000 crore, or 9.40 percent of the total advances is bad and doubtful debt. The size of the NPAs portfolio in the Indian banking industry is close to Rs.1,00,000 crore which is around 6 percent of India’ s GDP2.The RBI has recently announced that the banks should not pay dividends at more than 33.33 percent of their net profit. It has further provided that the banks having NPA levels less than 3 percent and having Capital Adequacy Reserve Ratio (CARR) of more than 11 percent for the last two years will only be eligible to declare dividends without the permission from RBI3. This step is for strengthening the balance sheet of all the banks in the country. The banks should provide sufficient provisions from their profits so as to bring down the net NPAs level to 3 percent of their advances.NPAs are the primary indicators of credit risk. Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) is another measure of credit risk. CAR is supposed to act as a buffer against credit loss, which isset at 9 percent under the RBI stipulation4. With a view to moving towards International best practices and to ensure greater transparency, it has been decided to adopt the ’ 90 days’ ‘ over due’ norm for identification of NPAs from the year ending March 31, 2004.The New Basel Capital Accord is scheduled to be implemented by the end of 2006. All the banking supervisors may have to join the Accord. Even the domestic banks in addition to internationally active banks may have to conform to the Accord principles in the coming decades. The RBI as the regulator of the Indian banking industry has shown keen interest in strengthening the system, and the individual banks have responded in good measure in orienting themselves towards global best practices.1.3 Credit Risk Management(CRM) dynamics:The world over, credit risk has proved to be the most critical of all risks faced by a banking institution. A study of bank failures in New England found that, of the 62 banks in existence before 1984, which failed from 1989 to 1992, in 58 cases it was observed that loans and advances were not being repaid in time 5 . This signifies the role of credit risk management and therefore it forms the basis of present research analysis.Researchers and risk management practitioners have constantly tried to improve on current techniques and in recent years, enormous strides have been made in the art and science of credit risk measurement and management6. Much of the progress in this field has resulted form the limitations of traditional approaches to credit risk management and with the current Bank for International Settlement’ (BIS) regulatory model. Even in banks which regularly fine-tune credit policies and streamline credit processes, it is a real challenge for credit risk managers to correctly identify pockets of risk concentration, quantify extent of risk carried, identify opportunities for diversification and balance the risk-return trade-off in their credit portfolio.The two distinct dimensions of credit risk management can readily be identified as preventive measures and curative measures. Preventive measures include risk assessment, risk measurement and risk pricing, early warning system to pick early signals of future defaults and better credit portfolio diversification. The curative measures, on the other hand, aim at minimizing post-sanction loan losses through such steps as securitization, derivative trading, risk sharing, legal enforcement etc. It is widely believed that an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure. Therefore, the focus of the study is on preventive measures in tune with the norms prescribed by New Basel Capital Accord.The study also intends to throw some light on the two most significant developments impacting the fundamentals of credit risk management practices of banking industry – New Basel Capital Accord and Risk Based Supervision. Apart from highlighting the salient features of credit risk management prescriptions under New Basel Accord, attempts are made to codify the response of Indian banking professionals to various proposals under the accord. Similarly, RBI proposed Risk Based Supervision (RBS) is examined to capture its direction and implementation problems。
商业银行信用卡风险管理外文文献翻译最新译文This article discusses the importance of credit risk management for commercial banks。
Credit risk is a major concern for banks as it can lead to XXX methods used by banks to manage credit risk。
including credit scoring。
credit limits。
and loanXXX to credit risk management。
The article XXX of credit risk to ensure the long-term XXXCredit risk management is a XXX to manage credit risk XXX。
it is essential for banks to adopt us methods to manage credit risk。
These methods include credit scoring。
credit limits。
and loanXXX are used to limit the amount of credit XXXXXX credit risk management。
The credit risk management department should work XXX departments。
such as lending and complianceXXX。
XXX that they are aware of the latest developments in credit risk management。
XXX of credit risk are critical for the long-term XXX that they are effective and up-to-date。
酒店风险管理英文作文英文:Risk management is an essential aspect of running a successful hotel business. As someone who has worked in the hospitality industry for many years, I have seen firsthand the importance of identifying and mitigating potential risks.One of the most common risks in the hotel industry is the risk of injury or accident to guests. To manage this risk, hotels must have comprehensive safety protocols in place, such as regular maintenance checks, staff training on emergency procedures, and clear signage throughout the property.Another risk that hotels must manage is the risk of financial loss due to fraud or theft. This can include everything from credit card fraud to employee theft. To mitigate this risk, hotels should have strict securitymeasures in place, such as background checks for employees, surveillance cameras in public areas, and secure payment processing systems.In addition to these risks, hotels must also beprepared for unexpected events such as natural disasters or pandemics. This requires having a contingency plan in place, such as a plan for evacuating guests in the event of a fire or a plan for handling a widespread illness outbreak.Overall, effective risk management is essential for the success of any hotel business. By identifying potentialrisks and implementing strategies to mitigate them, hotels can ensure the safety and satisfaction of their guestswhile protecting their own financial interests.中文:风险管理是酒店业成功运营的重要方面。
计划风险管理中英文对照外文翻译文献(文档含英文原文和中文翻译)原文:Schedule Risk Management INTRODUCTIONSchedule risks are both threats and opportunities to the success of a project. Threats tend to reduce the success of meeting the project goals and opportunities tend to increase the success. Risk management is the process of identifying, analyzing, qualifying and quantifying the risks, and developing a plan to deal with them. This is routinely done during baseline schedule development as well as during schedule updates. Implementation of riskmanagement starts with early planning in both budgetary cost estimating and preliminary master scheduling in order to determine budgets and schedules with a comfortable level of confidence in the completion date and final cost. While there are entire volumes addressing risk in construction projects, it is important to note that the issue of time-related risk has not been universally incorporated into planning. Assessing cost risk is more intuitive, and very often addressed through the use of heuristics, so it has become more of a standard of the industry than time-related risk management. Most estimators will automatically add a contingency toa cost estimate to cover the risk of performance based on the type of project and circumstances pertaining to the undertaking of the project. Estimators estimate this contingency using their own rules of thumb developed over years of estimating as well as estimate ingmanuals,such as Means’ Cost Data or Cost Works. However, when it comes todeveloping the critical path method (CPM) schedules, risk management is often overlooked or underestimated.The purpose of this chapter is to provide an overview of risk management and the assessment process as well as best practices for incorporation of risk management into CPM schedule development and maintenance. For more detailed information about schedule risk, the reader should refer to risk management books, particularly those that focus on project management. One of the best resources available is David Hulett’s new book, Practical ScheduleRisk Analysis.Any risk management program starts with a good and accurate CPM schedule, created through the use of best practices and checked for quality, reasonableness, and appropriateness of the network model. Without a well-designed and developed CPM baseline schedule, a risk management process will not be effective. The risk analysis depends upon accurate and consistent calculations of the network logic, the appropriateness of the sequencing and phasing, and a reasonable approach to estimating activity durations.Most CPM schedules are not adjusted for risk but rather are developed as if there were one right answer for the schedule’s numerical data. Generally, activity durations are established by calculation of the quantity of work represented by an activity divided by the production rate, or by sheer ‘‘gut feeling’’ of the project manager or crew leader. This production rate is normally established by the contractor’s historical records or an estimating system, such as Means’, that provides an accurate data base of average production rates. Once those durations are calculated, they are often used as deterministic values, which assumes that the durations are accurate and unlikely to change. This assumption ignores the fact that the schedule is attempting to predict how long it will take to complete an activity at some unknown time in the future,using an unknown crew composition, with variable experience, and workingin unknown conditions. Risk management recognizes the uncertainty in duration estimating and provides a system to brain storm other risks that may occur during the project. Probability distributions are the best way to model planned activity durations, as noted by Hulett ‘‘The best way to understand the activity durations that are included in the schedule is as probabilistic statements of possible durations rather than a deterministic statement about how long the future activity will take.’’DEFINITION OF RISK TERMSThe Project Management Institute (PMI) defines project risk in its Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK) as ‘‘an uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs, has a positive or negative effect on at least one project objective, such as time, cost, scope, or quality. A risk may have one or m ore causes and, if it occurs, one or more impacts.’’ PMBOK adds ‘‘Risk conditions could include aspects of the project’s or organization’s environment that may contribute to project risk, such as poor project management practices, or dependency on external participants who cannot be controlled.’’Risk Management: A process designed to examine uncertainties occurring during project delivery and to implement actions dealing with those uncertainties in order to achieve project objectives The definition of risk management in PMBOK, 4th Edition, is: ‘‘systematic process of identifying, analyzing, and responding to project risk.’’Risk definition by AACEi Cost Engineering Terminology7 is: ‘‘the degree of dispersion or variability around the expected or ‘best’ val ue, which is estimated to exist for the economic variable in question, e.g., a quantitative measure of the upper and lower limits which are considered reasonable for the factor being estimated.’’Time Contingency: An amount of time added to the base estimated duration to allow for unknown impacts to the project schedule, or to achieve a certain level of confidence in the estimated duration.Probability: A measure of the likelihood of occurrence of an event.Risk register: A checklist of potential risks developed during the risk identification phase of risk management.Risk allocation: A determination of how to respond to risks, which can include shifting risk, avoiding risks, preventing or eliminating risks, and incorporating risks into the schedule.Deterministic: A calculated approach to estimating single activity duration using work quantity divided by estimated production rate.Probabilistic: The determination of risk likelihood and consequences to establish duration ranges or risk-adjusted durations that can be used in a schedule in recognition that there are no certainties in estimating future durations.Monte Carlo analysis: A probabilistic approach to determining confidence levels of completion dates for a project schedule by calculating durations asprobability distributions.Probability distribution: The spread of durations in a statistically significant population that is used for the range of durations in probabilistic scheduling approaches.Confidence level: A measure of the statistical reliability of the prediction of project completion.What-if scenario: A modeling of a risk for use in a CPM schedule in order to predict the ramifications of an identified risk.Qualitative analysis: Occurring on the project, as well as assessing the severity of that risk should it occur and prioritizing the resultant list of risks. Quantitative analysis: The assigning of a probability to the qualitative description of the risk, ranking the risks, and calculating the potential impact from both individual risks as well as the cumulative effect of all risks identified.Exculpatory clauses: Disclaimer verbiage that is designed to shift risk. TYPES OF RISK IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTSEverything that has ever gone wrong on a construction project is a potential risk on the next project. Many project managers instinctively develop a lessons-learned list of historical risks and take steps to minimize their exposure to those risks in the future.Risks vary by industry and even by construction project type as well as by personnel involved with the project. A roadway or bridge project has adifferent group of risks than a facility or building, and the selected contractors may have different degrees of influence on the level of risks to performance. If an owner attempts to save money in preconstruction services by limiting the extent of field investigation or development of as-built data, there will be a higher risk of discovery of unknown problems. The experience and competence of the architects and engineers handling the design of the project, as well as their quality control indevelopment of working drawings, directly affect the construction effort and, consequently, the risk associated with the plans and specifications.Even if the owner has been proactive in preconstruction investigation, there is always a risk of unforeseen conditions. This can be a function of the type of soils encountered, the local municipality, and its culture and history of keeping good records of obsolete utilities. If the city in which the project is to be built has a history of requiring contractors to remove all abandoned underground lines, there is a much lower risk of underground conflicts.The selection of the project team can impact positively or negatively the probability of successful project completion. Design-bid-build projects that use procurement philosophies allowing all financially capable contractors to participate will likely experience a much higher level of risk to on-time performance than a procurement philosophy that requires qualification of proposed contractors to ensure that they have the appropriate experience and resources to construct the project. A single weak subcontractor on a projectwill increase risk of performance and require more management than may be anticipated. If this is not considered, everyone will be surprised when that subcontractor fails and has to have their work augmented or corrected. Problems related to the management and possible termination of a failing subcontractor usually has serious negative impacts on the project.The reputation of the construction manager (CM) as well as the corporate culture will affect project performance. If the CM defines success with minimum time extensions as the only benchmark, there will likely be more conflict and a higher need for dispute resolution efforts. In addition, the management abilities of the CM directly affect many project tasks, such as review of shop drawings and response to requests for information in order to resolve questions about the construction.Work by outside or third parties can carry significant risks of influence on the project’s success. For example, a light rail station to be built on top of a parking garage under construction by a different contractor will run an increased risk of completion on time. The project has no control over—and little ability to influence—the completion of the parking garage, which quickly becomes vital to completion of the light rail project.Most projects are affected by local weather conditions, which, when adverse, can significantly impede progress. Most specifications require the contractor to take into account the normal local weather conditions in his schedule planning, which includes normal adverse weather, but also allow fortime extensions when unusually adverse weather occurs. Best practices would require the contractor to research the local historical weather records in order to plan for three to five year average weather conditions. Different parts of the country and the world have a wide variance in weather conditions, so planning or failure to plan for the risk of local weather can significantly affect project success.Local political situations, especially in volatile political climates, may hamper all efforts to construct a project efficiently. Countries with unstable political or economical systems will have higher risks in successful project completion than those with more stable systems. Countries or regions subject to wars, terrorism, turmoil, or other typesof violence also run greater risks to successful project completion than others. If the locality has a policy of requiring deep investigation into environmental issues or stringent or complicated bureaucracy, projects built in that locality will have a higher risk of late permits and conflict during construction. Another large risk on any project is the experience and reputation of the project team for safe construction practices. Safety violations and accidents can shut down a job completely. Even minor safety failures can distract the project team and impede timely performance. If a contractor has a poor safety record, the risk of delays because of safety violations is increased and should be taken into account during schedule development.A large volume of change orders on a project will affect employee morale;there is nothing worse than asking a craftsman to rip out recently installed high-quality woodwork for a requested change. If the CM has a good change management program in place, including most importantly good planning, the risks of negative pressure from changes are lowered. Without the program, the risks may be significant enough to derail project completion. Most conversations about risk are related to negative risks that impair successful performance, but often there are opportunities that would be overlooked without good risk assessment. A renovation project that calls for a three-story masonry wall to be demolished to the foundation in order to install a beam and column system might be redesigned with a pin beam temporary support structure, allowing the upper two stories to remain in place, saving time and money, as well as removing some risk. The brainstorming about risks needs to include looking for opportunities that could positively impact the project time for completion.It seems obvious that failure to plan for the myriad of risks that often affect project performance will render the planning less accurate. Without risk management, every item that might appear on a risk register (a checklist of potential risks) is a surprise to the project team should it happen, diverting attention and emphasis from the project management and consuming valuable resources. Most disputes arise from risks that likely were not considered at the inception of the project and might have been eliminated or mitigated with good risk planning.Once a company develops a regular risk management culture, the risk register generates many of the same risks on project after project. However, a company’s ‘‘risk register’’ should not be a fixed template, used as is on all its projects. The list must be updated and customized for each project taking into consideration its own risks. These lessons learned, when incorporated into the project schedule through the risk managementprogram, are invaluable in helping to minimize threats that carry negative impacts and take advantage of opportunities that bring positive impacts to project comp.IMPORTANCE OF GOOD PLANNING FOR RISK MANAGEMENT The quality of the risk management plan will control the usefulness of the risk analysis. This quality is achieved through developing a good and encompassing master risk register in a brainstorming workshop with experienced attendees, and following that process with analysis and risk allocation. This is combined with a process of continuing risk monitoring during updates as well as continuous cycles of risk management. Participants in the workshop will often comment that they cannot take certain risks into account because they do not have control of the risks or they have no idea if that risk will actually happen. One of the typical issues is repeated cycles of shop drawings, where experience tells us that a complicated design may cause structural steel shop drawings to be rejected, requiring revision and resubmission. Some stakeholders feel that this isbeyond their ability to plan for and therefore, the schedule should ignore it and assume the risk will not happen. Accepting this assumption minimizes the risk identification and analysis process. This type of risk should be identified, and then during the qualitative analysis, it will be weeded out as a low priority or incorporated as a high priority. However, if the risk is just not included on the risk register, the opportunity to analyze it is lost.With a thorough and organized risk workshop, based on a good master risk register, and participation by the major stakeholders as well as the project management team, the output of the risk analysis will be very useful. The most likely risks will be identified and analyzed, and with the rest of the risk management steps, the schedule will evolve into a risk-adjusted schedule, capable of reasonable analysis and realistic completion predictions.RISK SHIFTING IN CONTRACTSContract language may have a significant impact on how much of the risk each party carries. Sometimes called exculpatory clauses, this language attempts to shift or apportion undetermined risk. Contracts are often used to control or assign risk to various parties, or just to assign it to a party other than the owner. Many owners, developers, and contractors prefer using standard contract forms, such as those specially developed by organizations such as the American Institute of Architecture (AIA), the Construction Management Association of America (CMAA), and theAssociated General Contractors (AGC) in the United States and FIDIC orNEC in Europe and the Middle East, because such contract forms were written and updated by professionals and are widely known and used. However, many others insist on writing their own contracts or making amendments to the standard forms so that they can change certain conditions, which may—and usually does—affect the risk ofthe contracting parties.One example of this risk shifting is the use of clauses stating that geotechnical reports and information are provided to bidders for information only, and the owner is not responsible for any usage or interpretation of the geotechnical information. This is an attempt to limit the owner’s exposure to delays because of differing site conditions.Another example is that of the typical ‘‘no damages for delay’’ language that sometimes shows up in contracts, which does not typically shift the time performance risk, but only the costs for the delay. This language attempts to move the risk of the costs of delays from the responsibility of the owner to the contractor, so that the sole remedy is a time extension.Construction manager and contractor insurances are means to handle the shifted risk of contracts and limit the liability of those parties. These types of insurance can provide some level of protection against the adverse consequences of unknown problems that might affect the completion of the project. Builder’s risk policies provide insurance that will replace materials and provide for damage repair that can be invoked fairly quickly in the eventof vandalism or property losses, allowing the project to resume production and minimize delayed completion risks.An astute owner realizes that the more that risk is shifted to the contractor, the higher the cost and, sometimes, the longer the performance time of the project will be. A fair risk allocation is essential for a successful, economical, and timely completed project. Unfair risk allocation results in risks being distributed among the construction team, creating disharmony and adversarial relationships among the very team members that are needed to resolve the problems at hand.The risk management plan is the place to identify all risks and determine how to deal with these risks. This provides much better protection through a fair and objective allocation of risk, producing a clear understanding of the risk objectives by the entire project team. In some contracts, owners may try to shift some risks to the contractor as part of what they perceive as negotiation. Contractor’s prof it is usually proportional to the risk taken by the contractor. It is important for any owner to understand that there is always a price for shifting the risk, whether declared or hidden. Perhaps in some instances if the owner knew the real cost of shifting certain risks, he would have preferred not to shift them.An example of the above is when buying a new car or home. A standard warranty comes usually with every new vehicle and covers manufacturer’s defects up to a certain time period (e.g.36 months) or mileage (e.g.36,000miles), whichever comes first. Of course, the salesperson will try to sell the buyer (owner) an ‘‘extended warranty’’policy that extends most of the original warranty terms in time and mileage and perhaps adds a few attractive items. A buyer who considers himself a good negotiator may manage to obtain this extended warranty policy at ‘‘no extra cost.’’ This is a myth! In most cases, the buyer would have received a price discount on the vehicle, roughly equivalent to the dealer’s cost on the extended warranty policy, in lieu of the policy itself.中文:计划风险管理介绍进度风险对于一个项目的成功既是威胁又是机遇。
计划风险管理中英文对照外文翻译文献(文档含英文原文和中文翻译)原文:Schedule Risk Management INTRODUCTIONSchedule risks are both threats and opportunities to the success of a project. Threats tend to reduce the success of meeting the project goals and opportunities tend to increase the success. Risk management is the process of identifying, analyzing, qualifying and quantifying the risks, and developing a plan to deal with them. This is routinely done during baseline schedule development as well as during schedule updates. Implementation of riskmanagement starts with early planning in both budgetary cost estimating and preliminary master scheduling in order to determine budgets and schedules with a comfortable level of confidence in the completion date and final cost. While there are entire volumes addressing risk in construction projects, it is important to note that the issue of time-related risk has not been universally incorporated into planning. Assessing cost risk is more intuitive, and very often addressed through the use of heuristics, so it has become more of a standard of the industry than time-related risk management. Most estimators will automatically add a contingency toa cost estimate to cover the risk of performance based on the type of project and circumstances pertaining to the undertaking of the project. Estimators estimate this contingency using their own rules of thumb developed over years of estimating as well as estimate ingmanuals,such as Means’ Cost Data or Cost Works. However, when it comes todeveloping the critical path method (CPM) schedules, risk management is often overlooked or underestimated.The purpose of this chapter is to provide an overview of risk management and the assessment process as well as best practices for incorporation of risk management into CPM schedule development and maintenance. For more detailed information about schedule risk, the reader should refer to risk management books, particularly those that focus on project management. One of the best resources available is David Hulett’s new book, Practical ScheduleRisk Analysis.Any risk management program starts with a good and accurate CPM schedule, created through the use of best practices and checked for quality, reasonableness, and appropriateness of the network model. Without a well-designed and developed CPM baseline schedule, a risk management process will not be effective. The risk analysis depends upon accurate and consistent calculations of the network logic, the appropriateness of the sequencing and phasing, and a reasonable approach to estimating activity durations.Most CPM schedules are not adjusted for risk but rather are developed as if there were one right answer for the schedule’s numerical data. Generally, activity durations are established by calculation of the quantity of work represented by an activity divided by the production rate, or by sheer ‘‘gut feeling’’ of the project manager or crew leader. This production rate is normally established by the contractor’s historical records or an estimating system, such as Means’, that provides an accurate data base of average production rates. Once those durations are calculated, they are often used as deterministic values, which assumes that the durations are accurate and unlikely to change. This assumption ignores the fact that the schedule is attempting to predict how long it will take to complete an activity at some unknown time in the future,using an unknown crew composition, with variable experience, and workingin unknown conditions. Risk management recognizes the uncertainty in duration estimating and provides a system to brain storm other risks that may occur during the project. Probability distributions are the best way to model planned activity durations, as noted by Hulett ‘‘The best way to understand the activity durations that are included in the schedule is as probabilistic statements of possible durations rather than a deterministic statement about how long the future activity will take.’’DEFINITION OF RISK TERMSThe Project Management Institute (PMI) defines project risk in its Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK) as ‘‘an uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs, has a positive or negative effect on at least one project objective, such as time, cost, scope, or quality. A risk may have one or m ore causes and, if it occurs, one or more impacts.’’ PMBOK adds ‘‘Risk conditions could include aspects of the project’s or organization’s environment that may contribute to project risk, such as poor project management practices, or dependency on external participants who cannot be controlled.’’Risk Management: A process designed to examine uncertainties occurring during project delivery and to implement actions dealing with those uncertainties in order to achieve project objectives The definition of risk management in PMBOK, 4th Edition, is: ‘‘systematic process of identifying, analyzing, and responding to project risk.’’Risk definition by AACEi Cost Engineering Terminology7 is: ‘‘the degree of dispersion or variability around the expected or ‘best’ val ue, which is estimated to exist for the economic variable in question, e.g., a quantitative measure of the upper and lower limits which are considered reasonable for the factor being estimated.’’Time Contingency: An amount of time added to the base estimated duration to allow for unknown impacts to the project schedule, or to achieve a certain level of confidence in the estimated duration.Probability: A measure of the likelihood of occurrence of an event.Risk register: A checklist of potential risks developed during the risk identification phase of risk management.Risk allocation: A determination of how to respond to risks, which can include shifting risk, avoiding risks, preventing or eliminating risks, and incorporating risks into the schedule.Deterministic: A calculated approach to estimating single activity duration using work quantity divided by estimated production rate.Probabilistic: The determination of risk likelihood and consequences to establish duration ranges or risk-adjusted durations that can be used in a schedule in recognition that there are no certainties in estimating future durations.Monte Carlo analysis: A probabilistic approach to determining confidence levels of completion dates for a project schedule by calculating durations asprobability distributions.Probability distribution: The spread of durations in a statistically significant population that is used for the range of durations in probabilistic scheduling approaches.Confidence level: A measure of the statistical reliability of the prediction of project completion.What-if scenario: A modeling of a risk for use in a CPM schedule in order to predict the ramifications of an identified risk.Qualitative analysis: Occurring on the project, as well as assessing the severity of that risk should it occur and prioritizing the resultant list of risks. Quantitative analysis: The assigning of a probability to the qualitative description of the risk, ranking the risks, and calculating the potential impact from both individual risks as well as the cumulative effect of all risks identified.Exculpatory clauses: Disclaimer verbiage that is designed to shift risk. TYPES OF RISK IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTSEverything that has ever gone wrong on a construction project is a potential risk on the next project. Many project managers instinctively develop a lessons-learned list of historical risks and take steps to minimize their exposure to those risks in the future.Risks vary by industry and even by construction project type as well as by personnel involved with the project. A roadway or bridge project has adifferent group of risks than a facility or building, and the selected contractors may have different degrees of influence on the level of risks to performance. If an owner attempts to save money in preconstruction services by limiting the extent of field investigation or development of as-built data, there will be a higher risk of discovery of unknown problems. The experience and competence of the architects and engineers handling the design of the project, as well as their quality control indevelopment of working drawings, directly affect the construction effort and, consequently, the risk associated with the plans and specifications.Even if the owner has been proactive in preconstruction investigation, there is always a risk of unforeseen conditions. This can be a function of the type of soils encountered, the local municipality, and its culture and history of keeping good records of obsolete utilities. If the city in which the project is to be built has a history of requiring contractors to remove all abandoned underground lines, there is a much lower risk of underground conflicts.The selection of the project team can impact positively or negatively the probability of successful project completion. Design-bid-build projects that use procurement philosophies allowing all financially capable contractors to participate will likely experience a much higher level of risk to on-time performance than a procurement philosophy that requires qualification of proposed contractors to ensure that they have the appropriate experience and resources to construct the project. A single weak subcontractor on a projectwill increase risk of performance and require more management than may be anticipated. If this is not considered, everyone will be surprised when that subcontractor fails and has to have their work augmented or corrected. Problems related to the management and possible termination of a failing subcontractor usually has serious negative impacts on the project.The reputation of the construction manager (CM) as well as the corporate culture will affect project performance. If the CM defines success with minimum time extensions as the only benchmark, there will likely be more conflict and a higher need for dispute resolution efforts. In addition, the management abilities of the CM directly affect many project tasks, such as review of shop drawings and response to requests for information in order to resolve questions about the construction.Work by outside or third parties can carry significant risks of influence on the project’s success. For example, a light rail station to be built on top of a parking garage under construction by a different contractor will run an increased risk of completion on time. The project has no control over—and little ability to influence—the completion of the parking garage, which quickly becomes vital to completion of the light rail project.Most projects are affected by local weather conditions, which, when adverse, can significantly impede progress. Most specifications require the contractor to take into account the normal local weather conditions in his schedule planning, which includes normal adverse weather, but also allow fortime extensions when unusually adverse weather occurs. Best practices would require the contractor to research the local historical weather records in order to plan for three to five year average weather conditions. Different parts of the country and the world have a wide variance in weather conditions, so planning or failure to plan for the risk of local weather can significantly affect project success.Local political situations, especially in volatile political climates, may hamper all efforts to construct a project efficiently. Countries with unstable political or economical systems will have higher risks in successful project completion than those with more stable systems. Countries or regions subject to wars, terrorism, turmoil, or other typesof violence also run greater risks to successful project completion than others. If the locality has a policy of requiring deep investigation into environmental issues or stringent or complicated bureaucracy, projects built in that locality will have a higher risk of late permits and conflict during construction. Another large risk on any project is the experience and reputation of the project team for safe construction practices. Safety violations and accidents can shut down a job completely. Even minor safety failures can distract the project team and impede timely performance. If a contractor has a poor safety record, the risk of delays because of safety violations is increased and should be taken into account during schedule development.A large volume of change orders on a project will affect employee morale;there is nothing worse than asking a craftsman to rip out recently installed high-quality woodwork for a requested change. If the CM has a good change management program in place, including most importantly good planning, the risks of negative pressure from changes are lowered. Without the program, the risks may be significant enough to derail project completion. Most conversations about risk are related to negative risks that impair successful performance, but often there are opportunities that would be overlooked without good risk assessment. A renovation project that calls for a three-story masonry wall to be demolished to the foundation in order to install a beam and column system might be redesigned with a pin beam temporary support structure, allowing the upper two stories to remain in place, saving time and money, as well as removing some risk. The brainstorming about risks needs to include looking for opportunities that could positively impact the project time for completion.It seems obvious that failure to plan for the myriad of risks that often affect project performance will render the planning less accurate. Without risk management, every item that might appear on a risk register (a checklist of potential risks) is a surprise to the project team should it happen, diverting attention and emphasis from the project management and consuming valuable resources. Most disputes arise from risks that likely were not considered at the inception of the project and might have been eliminated or mitigated with good risk planning.Once a company develops a regular risk management culture, the risk register generates many of the same risks on project after project. However, a company’s ‘‘risk register’’ should not be a fixed template, used as is on all its projects. The list must be updated and customized for each project taking into consideration its own risks. These lessons learned, when incorporated into the project schedule through the risk managementprogram, are invaluable in helping to minimize threats that carry negative impacts and take advantage of opportunities that bring positive impacts to project comp.IMPORTANCE OF GOOD PLANNING FOR RISK MANAGEMENT The quality of the risk management plan will control the usefulness of the risk analysis. This quality is achieved through developing a good and encompassing master risk register in a brainstorming workshop with experienced attendees, and following that process with analysis and risk allocation. This is combined with a process of continuing risk monitoring during updates as well as continuous cycles of risk management. Participants in the workshop will often comment that they cannot take certain risks into account because they do not have control of the risks or they have no idea if that risk will actually happen. One of the typical issues is repeated cycles of shop drawings, where experience tells us that a complicated design may cause structural steel shop drawings to be rejected, requiring revision and resubmission. Some stakeholders feel that this isbeyond their ability to plan for and therefore, the schedule should ignore it and assume the risk will not happen. Accepting this assumption minimizes the risk identification and analysis process. This type of risk should be identified, and then during the qualitative analysis, it will be weeded out as a low priority or incorporated as a high priority. However, if the risk is just not included on the risk register, the opportunity to analyze it is lost.With a thorough and organized risk workshop, based on a good master risk register, and participation by the major stakeholders as well as the project management team, the output of the risk analysis will be very useful. The most likely risks will be identified and analyzed, and with the rest of the risk management steps, the schedule will evolve into a risk-adjusted schedule, capable of reasonable analysis and realistic completion predictions.RISK SHIFTING IN CONTRACTSContract language may have a significant impact on how much of the risk each party carries. Sometimes called exculpatory clauses, this language attempts to shift or apportion undetermined risk. Contracts are often used to control or assign risk to various parties, or just to assign it to a party other than the owner. Many owners, developers, and contractors prefer using standard contract forms, such as those specially developed by organizations such as the American Institute of Architecture (AIA), the Construction Management Association of America (CMAA), and theAssociated General Contractors (AGC) in the United States and FIDIC orNEC in Europe and the Middle East, because such contract forms were written and updated by professionals and are widely known and used. However, many others insist on writing their own contracts or making amendments to the standard forms so that they can change certain conditions, which may—and usually does—affect the risk ofthe contracting parties.One example of this risk shifting is the use of clauses stating that geotechnical reports and information are provided to bidders for information only, and the owner is not responsible for any usage or interpretation of the geotechnical information. This is an attempt to limit the owner’s exposure to delays because of differing site conditions.Another example is that of the typical ‘‘no damages for delay’’ language that sometimes shows up in contracts, which does not typically shift the time performance risk, but only the costs for the delay. This language attempts to move the risk of the costs of delays from the responsibility of the owner to the contractor, so that the sole remedy is a time extension.Construction manager and contractor insurances are means to handle the shifted risk of contracts and limit the liability of those parties. These types of insurance can provide some level of protection against the adverse consequences of unknown problems that might affect the completion of the project. Builder’s risk policies provide insurance that will replace materials and provide for damage repair that can be invoked fairly quickly in the eventof vandalism or property losses, allowing the project to resume production and minimize delayed completion risks.An astute owner realizes that the more that risk is shifted to the contractor, the higher the cost and, sometimes, the longer the performance time of the project will be. A fair risk allocation is essential for a successful, economical, and timely completed project. Unfair risk allocation results in risks being distributed among the construction team, creating disharmony and adversarial relationships among the very team members that are needed to resolve the problems at hand.The risk management plan is the place to identify all risks and determine how to deal with these risks. This provides much better protection through a fair and objective allocation of risk, producing a clear understanding of the risk objectives by the entire project team. In some contracts, owners may try to shift some risks to the contractor as part of what they perceive as negotiation. Contractor’s prof it is usually proportional to the risk taken by the contractor. It is important for any owner to understand that there is always a price for shifting the risk, whether declared or hidden. Perhaps in some instances if the owner knew the real cost of shifting certain risks, he would have preferred not to shift them.An example of the above is when buying a new car or home. A standard warranty comes usually with every new vehicle and covers manufacturer’s defects up to a certain time period (e.g.36 months) or mileage (e.g.36,000miles), whichever comes first. Of course, the salesperson will try to sell the buyer (owner) an ‘‘extended warranty’’policy that extends most of the original warranty terms in time and mileage and perhaps adds a few attractive items. A buyer who considers himself a good negotiator may manage to obtain this extended warranty policy at ‘‘no extra cost.’’ This is a myth! In most cases, the buyer would have received a price discount on the vehicle, roughly equivalent to the dealer’s cost on the extended warranty policy, in lieu of the policy itself.中文:计划风险管理介绍进度风险对于一个项目的成功既是威胁又是机遇。