数模美国赛摘录2
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Problem A Rotating Grill Design for oscillating fanOne common type of oscillating directional electronic fan is a rotate grill fan. The key technology is the shape and speed of the rotating grill. The special-designed grill rotates to direct air for wide circulation. The clockwise and counter clockwise motion changes airflow direction.Please consider the factors of natural breeze, and build a breeze mode to design the grill to make the air from the fan to be comfortable.一种用于振动风机的旋转格栅设计问题一种常见的振动定向电子风机是一种旋转式格栅风机。
关键技术是旋转格栅的形状和速度。
特别设计的烧烤炉旋转,以直接空气流通。
顺时针和逆时针方向运动改变气流方向。
请考虑自然因素的微风,并建立风模式设计的格栅,使空气从风扇舒适。
Problem B Red Sun in the Morning: find an exit strategyRed sun at night, sailors' delight. Red sun in the morning, sailors take warning.Ten years ago hurricane Katrina had a devastating effect on the economies of several states, causing many deaths and much suffering. Comprehensive evacuation plans have been developed since then, but the authorities still want to improve their effectiveness. Your team has been hired by the Mississippi Emergency Management Administration (MSEMA) to review their current evacuation strategies.Things to keep in mind: All hurricanes are assigned a category: from 1 (the weakest) to 5 (the strongest, like Katrina). The category and the location of landfall are first predicted about 4 days in advance. Predictions are revised using updated information 48 hours later, and the final (most accurate) predictions become available 24 hours ahead of the expected landfall. The category of the hurricane and the actual location of the landfall determine which counties will be flooded. In addition, driving conditions in surrounding counties might be seriously affected by the size of the hurricane.Build a model to advise MSEMA on an optimal strategy: which counties should be ordered to evacuate, when, and where to. The first page of your manuscript should be a one page non-technical, executive summary for the governor of Mississippi. It should describe your main recommendations, the criteria you used to evaluate their effectiveness, and any caveats you believe are important to mention.%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%Time permitting, your model should also account for the fact that evacuations initiated in Louisiana, Alabama, and Mississippi affect each other. For example, a large portion of the New Orleans population will likely evacuate through Jackson, MS using highways 59 and 55. If the population of Jackson needs to evacuate, much of it will be directed North within MS or West toward Monroe, LA. Parts of coastal counties in MS will evacuate through Mobile, AL.Despite these interdependencies, the decisions in each state are rarely made collaboratively. So, if you are a governor in one of these states and you order the evacuation later than the others, the population of your state might be at disadvantage since the roads will be already clogged by then. If thehurricane turns out to be stronger than expected, your constituents might end up stuck in traffic in affected areas. On the other hand, if you order the evacuation too early, this disruption carries a high economic cost –coastal areas generate much revenue for your state and early predictions about the expected hurricane strength/landfall time/location might be inaccurate.夜晚的红太阳,水手们的喜悦。
数模美国赛总结部分英文第一篇:数模美国赛总结部分英文Conclusions1、As our team set out to come up with a strategy on what would be the most efficient way to 我们提出了一种最有效的方法去解决……2、The first aspect that we took into major consideration was…….Other important findings through research made it apparent that the standard 首先我们考虑到……,其他重要的是我们通过研究使4、We have used mathematical modeling in a……to analyze some of the factors associated with such an activity。
为了分析这类问题的一些因素,我们运用数学模型……5、This “cannon problem” has been used in many forms in many differential equations courses in the Department of Mathematical Sciences for several years.这些年这些问题已经以不同的微分方程形式运用于自然科学部门。
6、In conclusion our team is very certain that the methods we came up with in 总之,我们很确定我们提出的方法7、We already know how well our results worked for…… 我们已经知道我们结果对……8、Now that the problem areas have been defined, we offer some ways to reduce the effect of these problems.既然已经定义了结果,我们提出一些方法减少对问题的影响。
CUMCM Newsletter全国大学生数学建模竞赛组织委员会主办创新意识团队精神重在参与公平竞争目录调查研究改进工作——全国大学生数学建模竞赛意见征询结果 (1) 2001年国家级教学成果奖最新的获奖成果——数学类部分成果简介 (3) 北京赛区简讯——推动建模活动促进教学改革 (5) 湖北赛区简讯——教更好的数学,更好地学数学 (5) 重庆赛区简讯——以评优秀指导教师为动力推动竞赛和教改工作 (6) 河北赛区简讯——竞赛与教学改革和人才素质培养结合起来 (6) 全国大学生数学建模夏令营筹备工作进展顺利 (7) 2001年美国大学生数学建模竞赛题目 (7) 2001年美国大学生交叉学科建模竞赛题目 (11) 我国学生参加2001年美国大学生数学建模竞赛(MCM)和交叉学科建模竞赛(ICM)情况简介 (14) ICTMA-10大会报告摘要选登 (16)调查研究改进工作——全国大学生数学建模竞赛意见征询结果2000年1月全国组委会通过各赛区组委会,向全国参赛同学和指导教师发出了《全国大学生数学建模竞赛意见征询》表,这是继1997年初第1次意见征询后,又一次全国范围的调查。
截至2001年1月全国组委会共收回调查表1203份,其中学生883份,教师320份(1997年共收回调查表204份)。
现将初步统计结果公布如下:(二)“全国大学生数学建模竞赛”意见征询(学生),共883份。
以下括号内为该题或该选项的份数及百分比。
一、您参加了哪几次竞赛(778,100%):1996(2,0.3%)1997(17,2%)1998(103,13%)1999(585,75%)2000(71,9%)二、以下各题请选择一个答案,详细情况可补充说明:1)数模竞赛对学生用数学建模方法和计算机技术解决实际问题能力的培养(823,100%)非常有益(560,68%)有益(249,30%)一般(13,2%)无益(1,0.1%)2)数模竞赛对学生创新精神的培养(732,100%)非常有益(416,57%)有益(292,40%)一般(23,3%)无益(1,0.1%)3)数模竞赛对学生团结合作精神的培养(846,100%)非常有益(531,63%)有益(283,33%)一般(31,4%)无益(1,0.1%)4)您在竞赛前参加培训的情况(676,100%)集中两周以上(487,72%)集中一周以上(91,13%)在业余时间培训几次(76,11%)基本上未参加培训(22,4%)5)您所在的队在竞赛中遵守纪律(不与他人包括指导教师讨论、按时收发卷等)的情况(782,100%)严格遵守(572,73%)基本遵守(206,26%)有违反(4,0.5%)严重违反(0)6)据您了解其它大多数队在竞赛中遵守纪律的情况(776,100%)严格遵守(310,40%)基本遵守(420,54%)有违反(46,6%)严重违反(0)7)您对竞赛评奖公正性的印象(689,100%)非常满意(178,26%)基本满意(471,68%)不大满意(40,6%)很不满意(0)8)您对竞赛题的印象(757,100%)非常满意(184,24%)基本满意(507,67%)不大满意(64,8%)很不满意(2,0.3%)9)您参赛的成绩(565,100%)全国奖(141,25%)赛区奖(306,54%)成功参赛奖(118,21%)三、对竞赛活动的建议(以下是归纳的主要建议):1.评阅时应减少对标准答案的依赖,更注重解题过程、方法、能力、合理性和创新性。
摘要第一段:写论文解决什么问题1.问题的重述a. 介绍重点词开头:例1:“Hand move” irrigation, a cheap but labor-intensive system used on small farms, consists of a movable pipe with sprinkler on top that can be attached to a stationary main.例2:……is a real-life common phenomenon with many complexities.例3:An (effective plan) is crucial to………b. 直接指出问题:例 1:We find the optimal number of tollbooths in a highway toll-plaza for a given number of highway lanes: the number of tollbooths that minimizes average delay experienced by cars.例2:A brand-new university needs to balance the cost of information technology security measures with the potential cost of attacks on its systems.例3:We determine the number of sprinklers to use by analyzing the energy and motion of water in the pipe and examining the engineering parameters of sprinklers available in the market.例4: After mathematically analyzing the …… problem, our modeling group would like to present our conclusions, strategies, (and recommendations )to the …….例5:Our goal is... that (minimizes the time )……….2.解决这个问题的伟大意义反面说明。
The expression of ... can be expanded as: ......的表达式可扩展为...A is exponentially smaller than B,so it can be neglected.A对B来说呈指数级减小,所以可以忽略不计。
Equation (1) is reduced to:方程(1)化简为:Substitute the values into equation (3), we get ...把这些值代入方程3,我们得到...According to our first assumption on Page 1,根据我们第一页的第一个假设,Thus we arrive at the conclusion:因此我们得到结论:From the model of ... ,we find that theoretically, it is almost true that ...由...模型,我们从理论上证明了... 是真实可信的。
That is the theoretical basis for ... in many application areas.这是...在很多领域应用的理论基础。
To quantitatively analyze the different requirements of the two applications, we introduce two measures: 为了定量的分析这两种应用的不同要求,我们介绍来两个量度标准。
We give the criterion that ...我们给出了...的判别标准According to the criterion of...根据...的标准So its expression can be derived from equation (3) with small change.所以它的表达式可以由方程3做微小改动而推出。
1999年美国大学生数学建模大赛赛题1999 MCM Problem ADeep ImpactProblem:For some time, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) has been considering the consequences of a large asteroid impact on the earth.As part of this effort, your team has been asked to consider the effects of such an impact were the asteroid to land in Antarctica. There are concerns that an impact there could have considerably different consequences than one striking elsewhere on the planet.You are to assume that an asteroid is on the order of 1000 m in diameter, and that it strikes the Antarctic continent directly at the South Pole.Your team has been asked to provide an assessment of the impact of such an asteroid. In particular, NASA would like an estimate of the amount and location of likely human casualties from this impact, an estimate of the damage done to the food production regions in the oceans of the southern hemisphere, and an estimate of possible coastal flooding caused by large-scale melting of the Antarctic polar ice sheet.1999 MCM Problem BUnlawful AssemblyProblem:Many public facilities have signs in rooms used for public gatherings which state that it is "unlawful" for the rooms to be occupied by more than a specified number of people. Presumably, this number is based on the speed with whichpeople in the room could be evacuated from the room's exits in case of an emergency. Similarly, elevators and other facilities often have"maximum capacities" posted.Develop a mathematical model for deciding what number to post on such a sign as being the "lawful capacity". As part of your solution discuss criteria, other than public safety in the case of a fire or other emergency, that might govern the number of people considered "unlawful" to occupy the room (or space). Also, for the model that you construct, consider the differences between a room with movable furniture such as a cafeteria (with tables and chairs), a gymnasium, a public swimming pool, and a lecture hall with a pattern of rows and aisles. You may wish to compare and contrast what might be done for a variety of different environments: elevator, lecture hall, swimming pool, cafeteria, or gymnasium. Gatherings such as rock concerts and soccer tournaments may present special conditions.Apply your model to one or more public facilities at your institution (or neighboring town). Compare your results with the stated capacity, if one is posted. If used, your model is likely to be challenged by parties with interests in increasing the capacity. Write an article for the local newspaper defending your analysis.1999 ICM ProblemGround Pollution Problem:BackgroundSeveral practically important but theoretically difficult mathematical problems pertain to the assessment of pollution. One such problem consists in deriving accurate estimates of the location and amount of pollutants seeping inaccessibly underground, and the location of their source, on the basis ofvery few measurements taken only around, but not necessarily directly in, the suspected polluted region.ExampleA data set is located at: procdata.xlsThe data set (an Excel file which can be downloaded into most spreadsheets) shows measurements of pollutants in underground water from 10 monitoring wells (MW) from 1990 to 1997. The units are micrograms per liter(μg/l). The location and elevation for eight of the wells is known and given below. The first two numbers are the coordinates of the location of the well on a Cartesian grid on a map. The third number is the altitude in feet above Mean Sea Level of the water level in the well.Well Number(ft)x-Coordinate(ft)y-Coordinate(ft)Elevation (ft)MW-14187.56375.01482.23MW-39062.54375.01387.92MW-77625.05812.51400.19MW-99125.04000.01384.53MW-119062.55187.51394.26MW-129062.54562.51388.94MW-139062.55000.01394.25MW-144750.02562.51412.00The locations and elevations of the other two wells in the data set (MW-27 and MW-33) are not known. In the data set you will also see the letter T, M or B after the well number, indicatingthe measurements were taken at the Top, Middle, or Bottom of the aquifer in the well. Thus, MW-7B and MW-7M are from the same well, but from the bottom and from the middle. Also, other measurements indicate that water tends to flow toward well MW-9 in this area.Problem OneBuild a mathematical model to determine whether any new pollution has begun during this time period in the area represented by the data set. If so, identify the new pollutants and estimate the location and time of their source.Problem TwoBefore the collection of any data, the question arises whether the intended type of data and model can yield the desired assessment of the location and amount of pollutants. Liquid chemicals may have leaked from one of the storage tanks among many similar tanks in a storage facility built over a homogeneous soil. Because probing under the many large tanks would be prohibitively expensive and dangerous, measuring only near the periphery of the storage facility or on the surface of the terrain seemspreferable. Determine what type and number of measurements, taken only outside the boundary or on the surface of the entire storage facility, can be used in a mathematical model to determine whether a leak has occurred, when it occurred, where (from which tank) it occurred, and how much liquid has leaked.。
Dedicated Pipeline for Trip ArrangementSummaryIn the problem of camping, we should set reasonable schedule which can not only increase the utilization of campsites but also meet people's needs. Meanwhile, the carrying capacity of the river is also required. To solve the problem, this thesis will build optimization model with maximum campsite's utilization and river trips as the model's target function.The specific steps are as follows:step1: Determine the number of campsites Y. We use Computer Emulation Simulation to solve this problem by making full use of the given conditions that trips will spend6 to 18 nights on the river and the river is 225 miles long. We get 29 sets of data through programming, then curve fitting them by SPSS software. By comparing the value of sig. and adjusting R square and so on, the ideal number of the campsites is got .Step2: By using the number of the campsites 39 as well as the goal programming equation built in the first step, we get the number of river trips that are allowed to enter, namely the carrying capacity of the river.Step3: By using the campsites 39, we adjust the campsites of different camping program and then divide them into 4 kinds through clustering analysis using SPSS. Then we select representatives in various types of camping programs according to repetition rate and the average transfer rate. So we streamline the camping programs into the problem of goal programming for 6, 8, 11, 12, 16 nights.Step4: In those five camping programs, 39 campsites which will not repeat are distributed in 3 dedicated pipelines . The first line accounts for 12 campsites and can only be available for 6 or 12 nights trip. Each day, a couple of 6 nights trips are distributed, and the starting trip camps the campsites in turn according to the even number of the pipeline while the secondary trip camps in turn according to the odd number. The second pipeline accounting for 16 campsites is arranged just as the first one .Under the premise of guaranteeing the variety of camping project, trips start as a pipeline to make the total number of trips camping in this line the biggest and the utilization of the campsites maximum. There are 11 campsites in the third pipeline which are available for 6 to 11 nights trip.According to the above analysis, the carrying capacity of Dedicated Pipeline, namely C_line, is less than that of the river, namely C_river, within 180 days. the park managers need to grasp passenger flow(P) of the river in the following period(T) and calculate P/( C_line/T)The best distribution program: the best utirlization of campsites is P/( C_line/T) in one period.According to the best utilization of campsites, The best distribution program can be got.Key words: Cluster Analysis, Bus Rapid, Transit Pipeline System, Curve Fitting , Computer Emulation SimulationContentsI. Introduction (3)1.1Restatement of the problem (3)1.2 Theory knowledge introduction (3)II. Definitions and Key terms (4)1,The conditions given (4)2,Symbol definition (4)III. General Assumptions (4)IV Model Design (5)4.1Model Establishment (5)4.2 Model Solution (6)4.2.1.To determine Y (6)4.2.1 To Determine the Camping program (11)4.2.3 To find capacity of the river (15)4.2.3 Determine Dedicated Pipeline (15)4.3 Strength and Weakness............................................................. 错误!未定义书签。
1985 年美国大学生数学建模竞赛MCM 试题1985年MCM:动物种群选择合适的鱼类和哺乳动物数据准确模型。
模型动物的自然表达人口水平与环境相互作用的不同群体的环境的重要参数,然后调整账户获取表单模型符合实际的动物提取的方法。
包括任何食物或限制以外的空间限制,得到数据的支持。
考虑所涉及的各种数量的价值,收获数量和人口规模本身,为了设计一个数字量代表的整体价值收获。
找到一个收集政策的人口规模和时间优化的价值收获在很长一段时间。
检查政策优化价值在现实的环境条件。
1985年MCM B:战略储备管理钴、不产生在美国,许多行业至关重要。
(国防占17%的钴生产。
1979年)钴大部分来自非洲中部,一个政治上不稳定的地区。
1946年的战略和关键材料储备法案需要钴储备,将美国政府通过一项为期三年的战争。
建立了库存在1950年代,出售大部分在1970年代初,然后决定在1970年代末建立起来,与8540万磅。
大约一半的库存目标的储备已经在1982年收购了。
建立一个数学模型来管理储备的战略金属钴。
你需要考虑这样的问题:库存应该有多大?以什么速度应该被收购?一个合理的代价是什么金属?你也要考虑这样的问题:什么时候库存应该画下来吗?以什么速度应该是画下来吗?在金属价格是合理出售什么?它应该如何分配?有用的信息在钴政府计划在2500万年需要2500万磅的钴。
美国大约有1亿磅的钴矿床。
生产变得经济可行当价格达到22美元/磅(如发生在1981年)。
要花四年滚动操作,和thsn六百万英镑每年可以生产。
1980年,120万磅的钴回收,总消费的7%。
1986 年美国大学生数学建模竞赛MCM 试题1986年MCM A:水文数据下表给出了Z的水深度尺表面点的直角坐标X,Y在码(14数据点表省略)。
深度测量在退潮。
你的船有一个五英尺的草案。
你应该避免什么地区内的矩形(75200)X(-50、150)?1986年MCM B:Emergency-Facilities位置迄今为止,力拓的乡牧场没有自己的应急设施。
历年美国大学生数学建模赛题目录MCM85问题-A 动物群体的管理 (3)MCM85问题-B 战购物资储备的管理 (3)MCM86问题-A 水道测量数据 (4)MCM86问题-B 应急设施的位置 (4)MCM87问题-A 盐的存贮 (4)MCM87问题-B 停车场 (5)MCM88问题-A 确定毒品走私船的位置 (5)MCM88问题-B 两辆铁路平板车的装货问题 (5)MCM89问题-A 蠓的分类 (5)MCM89问题-B 飞机排队 (6)MCM90-A 药物在脑内的分布 (6)MCM90问题-B 扫雪问题 (6)MCM91问题-B 通讯网络的极小生成树 (6)MCM 91问题-A 估计水塔的水流量 (7)MCM92问题-A 空中交通控制雷达的功率问题 (7)MCM 92问题-B 应急电力修复系统的修复计划 (7)MCM93问题-A 加速餐厅剩菜堆肥的生成 (7)MCM93问题-B 倒煤台的操作方案 (8)MCM94问题-A 住宅的保温 (8)MCM 94问题-B 计算机网络的最短传输时间 (9)MCM-95问题-A 单一螺旋线 (9)MCM95题-B A1uacha Balaclava学院 (10)MCM96问题-A 噪音场中潜艇的探测 (10)MCM96问题-B 竞赛评判问题 (10)MCM97问题-A Velociraptor(疾走龙属)问题 (11)MCM97问题-B为取得富有成果的讨论怎样搭配与会成员 (11)MCM98问题-A 磁共振成像扫描仪 (12)MCM98问题-B 成绩给分的通胀 (13)MCM99问题-A 大碰撞 (13)MCM99问题-B “非法”聚会 (13)MCM2000问题-A空间交通管制 (13)MCM2000问题-B: 无线电信道分配 (14)MCM2001问题- A: 选择自行车车轮 (14)MCM2001问题-B 逃避飓风怒吼(一场恶风...) .. (15)MCM2001问题-C我们的水系-不确定的前景 (15)MCM2002问题-A风和喷水池 (15)MCM2002问题-B航空公司超员订票 (16)MCM2002问题-C (16)MCM2003问题-A: 特技演员 (17)MCM2003问题-B: Gamma刀治疗方案 (18)MCM2003问题-C航空行李的扫描对策 (18)MCM2004问题-A:指纹是独一无二的吗? (18)MCM2004问题-B:更快的快通系统 (18)MCM2004问题-C安全与否? (19)MCM2005问题A.水灾计划 (19)MCM2005B.Tollbooths (19)MCM2005问题C:不可再生的资源 (20)MCM2006问题A: 用于灌溉的自动洒水器的安置和移动调度 (20)MCM2006问题B: 通过机场的轮椅 (20)MCM2006问题C : 抗击艾滋病的协调 (21)MCM2008问题A:给大陆洗个澡 (23)MCM2008问题B:建立数独拼图游戏 (23)MCM85问题-A 动物群体的管理在一个资源有限,即有限的食物、空间、水等等的环境里发现天然存在的动物群体。
目录2000 年美国大学生数学建模竞赛MCM、ICM 试题 (3)2000 MCM A: Air Traffic Control (3)2000 MCM B: Radio Channel Assignments (3)2000 ICM: Elephants: When is Enough, Enough? (5)2001 年美国大学生数学建模竞赛MCM、ICM 试题 (7)2001 MCM A: Choosing a Bicycle Wheel (7)2001 MCM B: Escaping a Hurricane's Wrath (An Ill Wind...). (8)2001 ICM: Our Waterways - An Uncertain Future (10)2002 年美国大学生数学建模竞赛MCM、ICM 试题 (14)2002 MCM A: Wind and Waterspray (14)2002 MCM B: Airline Overbooking (14)2002 ICM: Scrub Lizards (15)2003 年美国大学生数学建模竞赛MCM、ICM 试题 (19)2003 MCM A: The Stunt Person (19)2003 MCM B: Gamma Knife Treatment Planning (19)2003 ICM: Aviation Baggage Screening Strategies: To Screen or Not to Screen, that is the Question (20)2004 年美国大学生数学建模竞赛MCM、ICM 试题 (24)2004 MCM A: Are Fingerprints Unique? (24)2004 MCM B: A Faster QuickPass System (24)2004 ICM: To Be Secure or Not to Be? (24)2005 年美国大学生数学建模竞赛MCM、ICM 试题 (25)2005 MCM A: Flood Planning (25)2005 MCM B: Tollbooths (25)2005 ICM: Nonrenewable Resources (25)2006 年美国大学生数学建模竞赛MCM、ICM 试题 (27)2006 MCM A: Positioning and Moving Sprinkler Systems for Irrigation (27)2006 MCM B: Wheel Chair Access at Airports (27)2006 ICM: Trade-offs in the fight against HIV/AIDS (28)2007 年美国大学生数学建模竞赛MCM、ICM 试题 (32)2007 MCM A: Gerrymandering (32)2007 MCM B: The Airplane Seating Problem (32)2007 ICM: Organ Transplant: The Kidney Exchange Problem (33)2008 年美国大学生数学建模竞赛MCM、ICM 试题 (38)2008 MCM A: Take a Bath (38)2008 MCM B: Creating Sudoku Puzzles (38)2008 ICM: Finding the Good in Health Care Systems (38)2009 年美国大学生数学建模竞赛MCM、ICM 试题 (40)2009 MCM A: Designing a Traffic Circle (40)2009 MCM B: Energy and the Cell Phone (40)2009 ICM: Creating Food Systems: Re-Balancing Human-Influenced Ecosystems41 2010年美国大学生数学建模竞赛 MCM、ICM 试题 (42)2010 MCM A: The Sweet Spot (42)2010 MCM B: Criminology (43)2010 ICM: The Great Pacific Ocean Garbage Patch (44)2011年美国大学生数学建模竞赛 MCM、ICM 试题 (45)2011 MCM A: Snowboard Course (45)2011 MCM B: Repeater Coordination (45)2011 ICM: Environmentally and Economically Sound (46)2012年美国大学生数学建模竞赛 MCM、ICM 试题 (48)2012 MCM A: The Leaves of a Tree (48)2012 MCM B: Camping along the Big Long River (50)2012 ICM: Modeling for Crime Busting (51)2013年美国大学生数学建模竞赛 MCM、ICM 试题 (59)2013 MCM A: The Ultimate Brownie Pan (59)2013 MCM B: Water, Water, Everywhere (61)2013 ICM: NetworkModeling of Earth's Health (62)2000 年美国大学生数学建模竞赛MCM、ICM 试题2000 MCM A: Air Traffic ControlTo improve safety and reduce air traffic controller workload, the Federal Aviation Agency (FAA) is considering adding software to the air traffic control system that would automatically detect potential aircraft flight path conflicts and alert the controller. To that end, an analysit at the FAA has posed the following problems.Requirement A: Given two airplanes flying in space, when should the air traffic controller consider the objects to be too close and to require intervention? Requirement B: And airspace sector is the section of three-dimensional airspace that one air traffic controller controls. Given any airspace sector, how do we measure how complex it is from an air traffic workload perspective? To what extent is complexity determined by the number of aircraft simultaneously passing through that sector1.at any one instant?2.during any given interval of time?3.during a particular time of day?How does the number of potential conflicts arising during those periods affect complexity? Does the presence of additional software tools to automatically predict conflicts and alert the controller reduce or add to this complexity? In addition to the guidelines for your report, write a summary (no more than two pages) that the FAA analyst can present to Jane Garvey, the FAA Administrator, to defend your conclusions.2000 MCM B: Radio Channel AssignmentsWe seek to model the assignment of radio channels to a symmetric network of transmitter locations over a large planar area, so as to avoid interference. One basic approach is to partition the region into regular hexagons in a grix (honeycomb-style), as shown in Figure 1, where a transmitter is located at the center of each hexagon.An interval of the frequency spectrum is to be alloted for transmitter frequencies. The interval will be divided into regularly spaced channels, which we represent by integers 1,2,3, … . Each transmitter wil be assigned one positive integer channel. The same channel can be used at many locations, provided that interference from nearby transmitters is avoided.Our goal is to minimize the width of the interval in the frequency spectrum that is needed to assugn channels subject to some constraints. This is achieved with the concept of a span. The span is the minimum, over all assignments satisfying the constraints, of the largest channel used at any location. It is not required that every channel smaller than the span be used in an assignment that attains the span.Let s be the length of a side of one of the hexagons. We concentrate on the case that there are two levels of interference.Requirement A: There are several contrainsts on the frequency assignments. First, no two transmitters within distance 4s of each other can be given the same channel. Second, due to spectral spreading, transmitters within distance 2s of each other must not be given the same or adjacent channels: Their channels must differ by at least 2. Under these contraints, what can we say about the span in Figure 1?Requirement B: Repeat Requirement A, assuming the grid in the example spreads arbitrarily far in all directions.Requirement C: Repeat Requirements A and B, except assume now more generally that channels for transmitters within distance 2s differ by at least some given integer k, while those at distance at most 4s must still differ by at least one. What cna we say about the span and about efficient strategies for designing assignments, as a function of k?Requirement D: Consider generalizations of the problem, such as several levels of interference or irregular transmitter placements. What other factors may be important to consider?Requirement E: Write an article (no more than 2 pages) for the local newspaper explaining your findings.2000 ICM: Elephants: When is Enough, Enough?“Ultimately, if a habitat is undesirably changed by elephants, then their removal should be considered -even by culling.”National Geographic (Earth Almanac) –December 1999 A large National Park in South Africa contains approximately 11,000 elephants. Management policy requires a healthy environment that can maintain a stable herf of 11,000 elephants. Each year park rangers count the elephant population. During the past 20 years whole herds have been removed to keep the population as close to 11,000 as possible. The process involved shooting (for the most part) and occasionally relocating approximately 600 to 800 elephants per year.Recently, there has been a public outcry against the shooting of these elephants. In addition, it is no longer feasible to relocate even a small population of elephants each year. A contraceptive dart, however, has been developed that can prevent a mature elephant cow from conceiving for a period of two years.Here is some information about eh elephants in the Park:∙There is very little emigration of immigration of elephants.∙The gender ratio is very close to 1:1 and control measures have endeavored to maintain parity.∙The gender ratio of newborn calves is also about 1:1. Twins are bornaverage, a calf every 3.5 years until they reach an age of about 60.Gestation is approximately 22 months.∙The contraceptive dart causes an elephant cow to come into oestrus every month (but not conceiving). Elephants usually have courtship only once in 3.5 years, so the monthly cycle can cause additional stress.∙ A cow can be darted every year without additional detrimental effects. A mature elephant cow will not be able to conceive for 2 years after thelast darting.∙Between 70% and 80% of newborn calves survive to age 1 year.Thereafter, the survival rate is uniform across all ages and is very high(over 95%), until about age 60; it is a good assumption that elephantsdie before reading age 70.There is no hunting and negligible poaching in the Park.The park management has a rough data file of the approximate ages and2 years. This data is available on website: icm2000data.xls. Unfortunately no data is available for the elephants that have been shot or remain in the Park.Your overall task is to develop and use models to investigate how the contraceptive dart might be used for population control. Specifically:Task 1: Develop and use a model to speculate about the likely survival rate for elephants aged 2 to 60. Also speculate about the current age structure of the elephant population.Task 2: Estimate how many cows would need to be darted each year to keep the population fixed at approximately 11,000 elephants. Show how the uncertainty in the data at your disposal affects your estimate. Comment on any changes in the age structure of the population and how this might affect tourists. (You may want to look ahead about 30-60 years.)Task 3: If it were feasible to relocate between 50 and 300 elephants per year, how would this reduce the number of elephants to be darted? Comment on the trade-off between darting and relocation.large number of elephants (due to disease or uncontrolled poaching), even if darting stopped immediately, the ability of the population to grow again would be seriously impeded. Investigate and respond to this concer.Task 5: The management in the Park is skeptical about modeling. In particular, they argue that a lack of complete data makes a mockery of any attempt to use models to guide their decision. In addition to your technical report, include a carefully crafted report (3-page maximum) written explicitly for the park management that responds to their concerns and provides advice. Also suggest ways to increase the park managers confidence in your model and your conclusions.Task 6: If your model works, other elephant parks in Africa would be interested in using it. Prepare a darting plan for parks of various sizes (300-25,000 elephants), with slightly different survival rates and transportation possibilities.2001 年美国大学生数学建模竞赛MCM、ICM 试题2001 MCM A: Choosing a Bicycle WheelCyclists have different types of wheels they can use on their bicycles. The two basic types of wheels are those constructed using wire spokes and those constructed of a solid disk (see Figure 1) The spoked wheels are lighter, but the solid wheels are more aerodynamic. A solid wheel is never used on the front for a road race but can be used on the rear of the bike.Professional cyclists look at a racecourse and make an educated guess as to what kind of wheels should be used. The decision is based on the number and steepness of the hills, the weather, wind speed, the competition, and other considerations. The director sportif of your favorite team would like to have a better system in place and has asked your team for information to help determine what kind of wheel should be used for a given course.Figure 1: A solid wheel is shown on the left and a spoked wheel is shown on the right.The director sportif needs specific information to help make a decision and has asked your team to accomplish the tasks listed below. For each of the tasks assume that the same spoked wheel will always be used on the front but there is a choice of wheels for the rear.Task 1. Provide a table giving the wind speed at which the power required for a solid rear wheel is less than for a spoked rear wheel. The table should include the wind speeds for different road grades startingfrom zero percent to ten percent in one percent increments. (Roadgrade is defined to be the ratio of the total rise of a hill divided by thelength of the road. If the hill is viewed as a triangle, the grade is the sine of the angle at the bottom of the hill.) A rider starts at the bottom of the hill at a speed of 45 kph, and the deceleration of the rider is proportionalto the road grade. A rider will lose about 8 kph for a five percent grade over 100 meters.∙Task 2. Provide an example of how the table could be used for a specific time trial course.∙Task 3. Determine if the table is an adequate means for deciding on the wheel configuration and offer other suggestions as to how to make this decision.2001 MCM B: Escaping a Hurricane's Wrath (An Ill Wind...)Evacuating the coast of South Carolina ahead of the predicted landfall of Hurricane Floyd in 1999 led to a monumental traffic jam. Traffic slowed to a standstill on Interstate I-26, which is the principal route going inland from Charleston to the relatively safe haven of Columbia in the center of the state. What is normally an easy two-hour drive took up to 18 hours to complete. Many cars simply ran out of gas along the way. Fortunately, Floyd turned north and spared the state this time, but the public outcry is forcing state officials to find ways to avoid a repeat of this traffic nightmare.The principal proposal put forth to deal with this problem is the reversal of traffic on I-26, so that both sides, including the coastal-bound lanes, have traffic headed inland from Charleston to Columbia. Plans to carry this out have been prepared (and posted on the Web) by the South Carolina Emergency Preparedness Division. Traffic reversal on principal roads leading inland from Myrtle Beach and Hilton Head is also planned.A simplified map of South Carolina is shown. Charleston has approximately 500,000 people, Myrtle Beach has about 200,000 people, and another 250,000 people are spread out along the rest of the coastal strip. (More accurate data, if sought, are widely available.)The interstates have two lanes of traffic in each direction except in the metropolitan areas where they have three. Columbia, another metro area of around 500,000 people, does not have sufficient hotel space to accommodate the evacuees (including some coming from farther north by other routes), so some traffic continues outbound on I-26 towards Spartanburg; on I-77 north to Charlotte; and on I-20 east to Atlanta. In 1999, traffic leaving Columbia going northwest was moving only very slowly. Construct a model for the problem to investigate what strategies may reduce the congestion observed in 1999. Here are the questions that need to be addressed:1.Under what conditions does the plan for turning the two coastal-boundlanes of I-26 into two lanes of Columbia-bound traffic, essentiallyturning the entire I-26 into one-way traffic, significantly improveevacuation traffic flow?2.In 1999, the simultaneous evacuation of the state's entire coastal regionwas ordered. Would the evacuation traffic flow improve under analternative strategy that staggers the evacuation, perhapscounty-by-county over some time period consistent with the pattern of how hurricanes affect the coast?3.Several smaller highways besides I-26 extend inland from the coast.Under what conditions would it improve evacuation flow to turn around traffic on these?4.What effect would it have on evacuation flow to establish moretemporary shelters in Columbia, to reduce the traffic leaving Columbia?5.In 1999, many families leaving the coast brought along their boats,campers, and motor homes. Many drove all of their cars. Under whatconditions should there be restrictions on vehicle types or numbers ofvehicles brought in order to guarantee timely evacuation?6.It has been suggested that in 1999 some of the coastal residents ofGeorgia and Florida, who were fleeing the earlier predicted landfalls ofHurricane Floyd to the south, came up I-95 and compounded the traffic problems. How big an impact can they have on the evacuation trafficflow? Clearly identify what measures of performance are used tocompare strategies. Required: Prepare a short newspaper article, not to exceed two pages, explaining the results and conclusions of your study to the public.Clearly identify what measures of performance are used to compare strategies. Required: Prepare a short newspaper article, not to exceed two pages, explaining the results and conclusions of your study to the public.2001 ICM: Our Waterways - An Uncertain FutureZebra mussels, Dreissena polymorpha, are small, fingernail-sized, freshwater mollusks unintentionally introduced to North America via ballast water from a transoceanic vessel. Since their introduction in the mid 1980s, they have spread through all of the Great Lakes and to an increasing number of inland waterways in the United States and Canada. Zebra mussels colonize on various surfaces,such as docks, boat hulls, commercial fishing nets, water intake pipes and valves, native mollusks and other zebra mussels. Their only known predators, some diving ducks, freshwater drum, carp, and sturgeon, are not numerous enough to have a significant effect on them. Zebra mussels have significantly impacted the Great Lakes ecosystem and economy. Many communities are trying to control or eliminate these aquatic pests. SOURCE: Great Lakes Sea Grant Network /.Researchers are attempting to identify the environmental variables related to the zebra mussel infestation in North American waterways. The relevant factors that may limit or prevent the spread of the zebra mussel are uncertain. You will have access to some reference data to include listings of several chemicals and substances in the water system that may affect the spread of the zebra mussel throughout waterways. Additionally, you can assume individual zebra mussels grow at a rate of 15 millimeters per year with a life span between 4 - 6 years. The typical mussel can filter 1 liter of water each day.Requirement A: Discuss environmental factors that could influence the spread of zebra mussels.Requirement B: Utilizing the chemical data provided at:ap/undergraduate/contests/icm/imagesdata/LakeAChem1.xls, and the mussel population data provided at:ap/undergraduate/contests/icm/imagesdata/LakeAPopulation 1.xls model the population growth of zebra mussels in Lake A. Be sure to review the Information about the collection of the zebra mussel data. Requirement C: Utilizing additional data on Lake A from another scientist provided at :ap/undergraduate/contests/icm/imagesdata/LakeAChem2.xls and additional mussel population data provided at:ap/undergraduate/contests/icm/imagesdata/LakeAPopulation 2.xls corroborate the reasonableness of your model from Requirement B. As a result of this additional data, adjust your earlier model. Analyze the performance of your model. Discuss the sensitivity of your model. Requirement D: Utilizing the Chemical data from two lakes (Lake B and Lake C) in the United States provided atap/undergraduate/contests/icm/imagesdata/LakeB.xls and ap/undergraduate/contests/icm/imagesdata/LakeC.xls determine if these lakes are vulnerable to the spread of zebra mussels. Discuss your prediction.Requirement E: The community in the vicinity of Lake B (in requirement D) is considering specific policies for the de-icing of roadways near the lake duringthe winter season. Provide guidance to the local government officials regarding a policy on “de-icing agents.”In your guidance include predictions on the long-term impact of de-icing on the zebra mussel population. Requirement F: It has been recommended by a local community in the United States to introduce round goby fish. Zebra mussels are not often eaten by native fish species so they represent a dead end ecologically. However, round gobies greater than 100 mm feed almost exclusively on zebra mussels. Ironically, because of habitat destruction, the goby is endangered in its native habitat of the Black and Caspian Seas in Russia. In addition to your technical report, include a carefully crafted report (3-page maximum) written explicitly for the local community leaders that responds to their recommendation to introduce the round goby. Also suggest ways to help reduce the growth of the mussel within and among waterways.Information about the collection of the zebra mussel dataThe developmental state of the Zebra mussel is categorized by three stages: veligers (larvae), settling juveniles, and adults. Veligers (microscopic zebra mussel larvae) are free-swimming, suspended in the water for one to three weeks, after which they begin searching for a hard surface to attach to and begin their adult life. Looking for zebra mussel veligers is difficult because they are not easily visible by the naked eye. Settled juvenile zebra mussels can be felt on smooth surfaces like boats and motors. An advanced zebra mussel infestation can cover a surface, even forming thick mats sometimes reaching very high densities. The density of juveniles was determined along the lake using three 15×15 cm settling plates. The top plate remained in the water for the entire sampling season (S - seasonal) to estimate seasonal accumulation. The middle and bottom plates are collected after specific periods (A –alternating ) of time denoted by “Lake Days”in the data files.The settling plates are placed under the microscope and all juveniles on the undersides of the plate are counted and densities are reported as juveniles/m^2.2002 年美国大学生数学建模竞赛MCM、ICM 试题2002 MCM A: Wind and WatersprayAn ornamental fountain in a large open plaza surrounded by buildings squirts water high into the air. On gusty days, the wind blows spray from the fountain onto passersby. The water-flow from the fountain is controlled by a mechanism linked to an anemometer (which measures wind speed and direction) located on top of an adjacent building. The objective of this control is to provide passersby with an acceptable balance between an attractive spectacle and a soaking: The harder the wind blows, the lower the water volume and height to which the water is squirted, hence the less spray falls outside the pool area. Your task is to devise an algorithm which uses data provided by the anemometer to adjust the water-flow from the fountain as the wind conditions change.2002 MCM B: Airline OverbookingYou're all packed and ready to go on a trip to visit your best friend in New York City. After you check in at the ticket counter, the airline clerk announces that your flight has been overbooked. Passengers need to check in immediately to determine if they still have a seat.Historically, airlines know that only a certain percentage of passengers who have made reservations on a particular flight will actually take that flight. Consequently, most airlines overbook-that is, they take more reservations than the capacity of the aircraft. Occasionally, more passengers will want to take a flight than the capacity of the plane leading to one or more passengers being bumped and thus unable to take the flight for which they had reservations. Airlines deal with bumped passengers in various ways. Some are given nothing, some are booked on later flights on other airlines, and some are given some kind of cash or airline ticket incentive.Consider the overbooking issue in light of the current situation: Less flights by airlines from point A to point B Heightened security at and around airports Passengers' fear Loss of billions of dollars in revenue by airlines to dateBuild a mathematical model that examines the effects that different overbooking schemes have on the revenue received by an airline company in order to find an optimal overbooking strategy, i.e., the number of people by which an airline should overbook a particular flight so that the company's revenue is maximized. Insure that your model reflects the issues above, andconsider alternatives for handling “bumped”passengers. Additionally, write a short memorandum to the airline's CEO summarizing your findings and analysis.2002 ICM: Scrub LizardsThe Florida scrub lizard is a small, gray or gray-brown lizard that lives throughout upland sandy areas in the Central and Atlantic coast regions of Florida. The Florida Committee on Rare and Endangered Plants classified the scrub lizard as endangered.You will find a fact sheet on the Florida Scrub Lizard at/undergraduate/contests/mcm/contests/2002/problem s/icm2002data/scrublizard.pdfThe long-term survival of the Florida scrub lizard is dependent upon preservation of the proper spatial configuration and size of scrub habitat patches.Task 1: Discuss factors that may contribute to the loss of appropriate habitat for scrub lizards in Florida. What recommendations would you make to the state of Florida to preserve these habitats and discuss obstacles to the implementation of your recommendations?average fecundity of adult lizards); Sj (the survivorship of juvenile lizards- between birth and the first reproductive season); and Sa (the average adult survivorship).Table 1Summary data for a cohort of scrub lizards captured and followed for 4 consecutive years. Hatchling lizards (age 0) do not produce eggs during the summer they are born. Average clutch size for all other females is proportional to body size according to the function y = 0.21*(SVL)-7.5, where y is the clutch size and SVL is the snout-to-vent length in mm.Year Age Total NumberLivingNumber of LivingFemalesAvg. Female Size(mm)1 0 972 495 30.32 1 180 92 45.83 2 20 11 55.84 3 2 2 56.0Task 3: It has been conjectured that the parameters Fa , Sj , and Sa , are related to the size and amount of open sandy area of a scrub patch. Utilize the data provided in Table 2 to develop functions that estimate Fa, Sj , and Sa for different patches. In addition, develop a function that estimates C, the carrying capacity of scrub lizards for a given patch.Table 2Summary data for 8 scrub patches including vital rate data for scrub lizards. Annual female fecundity (Fa), juvenile survivorship (Sj), and adult survivorship (Sa) are presented for each patch along with patch size and the amount of open sandy habitat.Patch Patch Size (ha) Sandy Habitat (ha) Fa Sj Sa Density (lizards/ha)a 11.31 4.80 5.6 0.12 0.06 58b 35.54 11.31 6.6 0.16 0.10 60c 141.76 51.55 9.5 0.17 0.13 75d 14.65 7.55 4.8 0.15 0.09 55e 63.24 20.12 9.7 0.17 0.11 80f 132.35 54.14 9.9 0.18 0.14 82g 8.46 1.67 5.5 0.11 0.05 40h 278.26 84.32 11.0 0.19 0.15 115Task 4: There are many animal studies that indicate that food, space, shelter, or even reproductive partners may be limited within a habitat patch causing individuals to migrate between patches. There is no conclusive evidence on why scrub lizards migrate. However, about 10 percent of juvenile lizards do migrate between patches and this immigration can influence the size of the population within a patch. Adult lizards apparently do not migrate. Utilizing the data provided in the histogram below estimate the probability of lizards surviving the migration between any two patches i and patch j.Table 3HistogramMigration data for juvenile lizards marked, released, and recaptured up to 6 months later. Surveys for recapture were conducted up to 750m from release sites.Task 5: Develop a model to estimate the overall population size of scrub lizards for the landscape given in Table 3. Also, determine which patches are suitable for occupation by scrub lizards and which patches would not support a viable population.Patch size and amount of open sandy habitat for a landscape of 29 patches located on the Avon Park Air Force Range. See:/undergraduate/contests/icm/2002problem/map.jpg for a map of the landscape.Patch Identification Patch Size (ha) Sandy Habitat (ha)1 13.66 5.382 32.74 11.913 1.39 0.234 2.28 0.765 7.03 3.626 14.47 4.387 2.52 1.998 5.87 2.499 22.27 8.44。
IntroductionThe health care industry, now the nation's second-largest employer, has had an increasingly important impact on the United States economy. Public concern about the management and delivery of health care services is near the top of the national agenda, and the factors and policies influencing health care systems in the U.S. and around the world are a natural subject for Wharton researchers. Now pharmaceuticals, biotechnology, and other changes in technology continually create new opportunities and new managerial challenges.Wharton's Health Care Systems Department brings particular strengths in health economics and health management. Disciplines such as law, policy, ethics, and decision analysis are represented by the department's secondary appointments and by faculty who work at the University of Pennsylvania's schools of medicine and nursing. Adjunct faculty members are also drawn from health industry experts in the Philadelphia area.Principles for Reform of the U.S. Health Care SystemRecognizing that many newly elected Members of Congress campaigned on fixing the heath care system, ten of the nation’s leading physician association s established principles to serve as a guide for Congress to improve both individual health and the collective health care system in the U.S.The Principles for Reform of the U.S. Health Care System released today call for the following actions:1.Health care coverage for all is needed to ensure quality of care and to improvethe health status of Americans.2.The health care system in the U.S. must provide appropriate health care toall people within the U.S. borders, without unreasonable financial barriersto care.3.Individuals and families must have catastrophic health coverage to provideprotection from financial ruin.4.Improvement of health care quality and safety must be the goal of all healthinterventions, so that we can assure optimal outcomes for th e resourcesexpended.5.In reforming the health care system, we as a society must respect the ethicalimperative of providing health care to individuals, responsible stewardshipof community resources, and the importance of personal health responsibility.6.Access to and financing for appropriate health services must be a sharedpublic/private cooperative effort, and a system which will allowindividuals/employers to purchase additional services or insurance.7.Cost management by all stakeholders, consistent with achieving quality healthcare, is critical to attaining a workable, affordable and sustainable healthcare system.8.Less complicated administrative systems are essential to reduce costs, createa more efficient health care system, and maximize funding for health careservices.9.Sufficient funds must be available for research (basic, clinical,translational and health services), medical education, and comprehensivehealth information technology infrastructure and implementation.10.Sufficient funds must be available for public health and other essentialmedical services to include, but not be limited to, preventive services,trauma care and mental health services.prehensive medical liability reform is essential to ensure access toquality health care.American Academy of Family PhysiciansAmerican Academy of Orthopaedic SurgeonsAmerican College of CardiologyAmerican College of Emergency PhysiciansAmerican College of Obstetricians and GynecologistsAmerican College of Osteopathic Family PhysiciansAmerican College of PhysiciansAmerican College of SurgeonsAmerican Medical AssociationAmerican Osteopathic AssociationThe national health insurance model is also known as the Canadian model.The social insurance model was first developed in GermanyFigure 1: Typology of public health care systems in the EUSource: Palm, Nickless, 2001: 1405_tajnikar.PdfThe Changing United States Health CareSystem29_changingWhat is important in evaluating health care quality? Aninternational comparison of user views470Health care systems and approaches to health careThe Impact of Consumer- Driven Health Plans on Health Care Costs:Hurricane Katrina: Status of the Health Care System in New Orleans and Difficult Decisions Related to Efforts to Rebuild It Approximately 6 Months After Hurricane Katrina。