美国农业部月度供需报告
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以下为农产品市场重要报告发布时间一览表
2013年美国农业部月度供需报告公布日程预告
美国农业部(USDA)月度供需报告通常于每月8-12日公布,自2013年1月起,当日公布时间调整为北京时间1:00(原为21:30),在美国夏令时的公布时间为北京时间0:00(原为20:30)。
以下为2013年USDA月度供需报告公布时间(北京时间):
2013年美国农业部作物生长报告公布时间一览表
美国农业部(USDA)通常在每年4月初至11月末的农作物生长期间的每周一公布大豆、玉米、小麦、棉花等主要农作物的种植、生长及收割进展情况报告,其中作物种植进度一般于4月初至5月末公布,8月下旬至11月末公布收割进度,同时全程报告作物生长状况,美国标准时间为北京时间周二05:00公布,美国夏令时为北京时间周二04:00公布。
以下为2013年USDA每周作物生长报告公布时间表:
2013年美国农业部出口销售报告公布时间一览表
美国农业部(USDA)通常于每周四公布截至上周四当周美国大豆、小麦、棉花、玉米、稻米等谷物的出口销售数据,包括当前市场年度及下一市场年度的净销售和新销售数据,公布时间为为北京时间每周四21:30(美国夏令时为北京时间每周四20:30)。
以下为2013年USDA周度出口销售报告公布时间表:。
2022年粮食价格走势分析:粮价小幅下降粮食价格走势状况备受关注,当前我国粮食消失产量增加、进口量增加和库存量增加“三量齐增”现象,引起社会广泛关注。
下文是对2022年粮食价格走势分析。
经过10月份国际粮食、油料油脂价格大幅反弹,11月份总体来看,国际粮食市场呈低位稳定走势,而油料油脂价格连续弱势运行。
更多最新粮食市场分析信息请查阅发布的《2022-2022年中国粮食行业市场供需前景猜测深度讨论报告》。
美国农业部在11月份月度供需报告中上调玉米产量预估,同时,美国2022/2022年度小麦结转库存预估也被上调,小麦出口预估下调,对玉米、小麦价格产生持续性打压。
数据显示,美国玉米周度出口销售报告好于预期,但受累于全球谷物供应充裕,价格升幅仍旧受限。
美国2022年大豆种植面积预估提高,全球供应充分,美国大平原和中西部迎来有利作物生长的降水,作物生长环境改善。
粮食价格小幅下降国际谷物价格水平在10月大幅上扬6.6%后,11月略降1.24%,其中小麦、玉米现货价格略有下跌,大米价格持稳。
主要市场中,美国硬麦现货、芝加哥交易所小麦期货月平均价格分别为192美元/吨、183美元/吨,分别比上月下跌1.54%、1.61%;美国玉米现货、芝加哥交易所玉米期货月平均价格分别为144美元/吨、145美元/吨,分别比上月下降0.68%、3.97%;芝加哥糙米期货价263美元/吨,下降3.31%;泰国含碎5%大米出口价格为363美元/吨,越南含碎5%大米出口价格为378美元/吨,稳定。
油脂油料全面走低11月份,国际其他农产品价格综合水平下降5.01%。
其中,大豆、豆油、豆粕、油菜籽、棕榈油价格均消失明显下降。
主要市场中,美国芝加哥交易所大豆期货价格为320美元/吨,环比下降2.14%;美国、巴西大豆现货价格分别为295美元/吨、340美元/吨,环比分别下降2.96%、4.76%;美国豆粕期货价格为292美元/短吨,环比下降4.58%;美国豆油期货价格为27.9美分/磅,环比下降1.41%。
2013年8月12日美国农业部公布了最新农产品月度供需报告.小麦:软红冬麦和硬质小麦产量略上调抵消白小麦、硬红春麦和硬红冬麦产量的下调,本月美国2013/2014年度小麦总供应量略上调。
小麦出口量上调2500万蒲式耳,反映出年度初期出口销售保持强劲以及中国进口将增加的预期。
尽管一些主要出口国产量预测上调,但早季需求强劲及预测全球进口和消费量增加也提振美国小麦装船前景。
本月将美麦年终库存下调2500万蒲式耳。
小麦农场季节平均价格范围下调至6.40~7.60美元/蒲式耳,中间价下调10美分/蒲式耳。
尽管国内供应趋紧,但全球供应量加大及截至目前价格低于预期导致美麦农场平均价格下调。
最大的几个出口国产量上调提振全球2013/2014年度小麦供应量上调750万吨,达到创纪录的7.054亿吨。
其中欧盟产量上调280万吨,增幅最大国家为西班牙、法国和德国,罗马尼亚、匈牙利和保加利亚产量小幅上调。
哈萨克斯坦小麦产量上调250万吨,和邻近的俄罗斯春小麦产区情况非常相似,春夏季充足降雨提振亩产预期。
基于最新收割结果,乌克兰小麦产量上调200万吨。
加拿大小麦产量上调50万吨,西部大平原墒情良好及炎热天气威胁亦提振亩产预期。
基于最新官方预测,印度小麦产量上调50万吨。
土耳其产量上调40万吨,反映出产区生长情况良好的状况。
南美小麦产量下调对上述产量上调起到部分抵消作用。
种植面积减少导致阿根廷小麦产量预测下调100万吨。
巴西产量下调30万吨,反映出7月末以来南部霜冻天气的影响。
一些国家饲用量上调及印度和伊朗食用需求上调提振本月全球2013/2014年度小麦消费量上调690万吨。
中国进口量增加使得饲用需求量再次上调。
欧盟、叙利亚、哈萨克斯坦等国饲用量也上调。
泰美国农业部月度供需报告(2013年08月)国和越南饲用量则下调,预测两国进口量均下调。
伊朗、巴基斯坦、叙利亚和土耳其进口量上调。
全球小麦出口量上调490万吨,其中哈萨克斯坦、欧盟、乌克兰和加拿大出口量总计上调700万吨。
ISSN: 1554-9089 World Agricultural Supply and Demand EstimatesUnited States Department of AgricultureOffice of the Chief Economist Agricultural Marketing ServiceFarm Service AgencyEconomic Research ServiceForeign Agricultural ServiceWASDE - 499 Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board October 12, 2011 WHEAT: Projected U.S. wheat ending stocks for 2011/12 are raised 76 million bushels as lower expected domestic use and exports more than offset reduced production. Production is lowered 69 million bushels, mostly reflecting lower spring wheat output as estimated in the September 30 Small Grains report. With tighter domestic supplies and an increase in production in Canada, U.S. imports are raised 10 million bushels, 5 million bushels each for Durum and Hard Red Spring (HRS) wheat. Domestic use is lowered 84 million bushels with seed use reduced 4 million bushels on lower planted area and feed and residual use projected 80 million bushels lower on indications from the September 1 stocks. Despite competitive wheat prices relative to corn for feeders in many areas, wheat feed and residual use during June-August is indicated 53 million bushels lower than the same quarter last year. All wheat food use for 2011/12 is unchanged; however, food use is lowered 15 million bushels for HRS wheat and raised an offsetting amount for Hard Red Winter (HRW) wheat.U.S. exports for 2011/12 are projected 50 million bushels lower with HRS reduced 40 million and HRW reduced 10 million. Tighter spring wheat supplies in the United States boost export prospects for Canada and larger exportable supplies in Australia and strong shipments by Russia increase competition in the world market. The season-average price received by producers is projected at $7.10 to $7.90 per bushel compared with $7.35 to $8.35 last month. The higher 2011/12 wheat carryout projection and lower corn prices are both expected to limit seasonal price increases.Global wheat supplies for 2011/12 are projected 5.4 million tons higher with larger beginning stocks in Australia and higher production in Kazakhstan, Australia, EU-27, Canada, and South Africa. World beginning stocks are raised 2.3 million tons as a 3.2-million-ton increase for Australia (reflecting the latest government stocks estimate) more than offsets numerous, small, downward revisions elsewhere. Kazakhstan production is raised 3.0 million tons based on harvest results that confirm the impact of abundant moisture and near-perfect summer weather on this year's crop. Australia production is raised 1.0 million tons as September rainfall across most of the country's wheat producing areas boosts yield prospects. Production is raised 0.5 million tons for the EU-27 with further upward revisions to official statistics for France and higher reported output in the Czech Republic and Hungary. Production is raised 0.2 million tons each for Canada and South Africa, in line with the latest government estimates.World wheat trade is raised for 2011/12 as higher expected imports for a number of countries and larger exportable supplies in major exporting countries support increased trade. Imports are raised 0.5 million tons each for Egypt, Morocco, and Turkey. Smaller increases also are projected for Libya, Thailand, Taiwan, and Tunisia. Exports are raised 2.0 million tons each for Australia and Russia. Exports are raised 1.0 million tons each for Canada and Kazakhstan. Reduced competition from U.S. spring wheat boosts prospects for Canada, while the record crop adds to available supplies in Kazakhstan. World wheat feeding is lowered 4.6 million tons led by the 2.2-million-ton reduction for the United States. Wheat feeding is lowered 2.0 million tons for Russia as exports draw wheat away from domestic use. Wheat feeding is also lowered 1.4 million tons for Australia in part reflecting lower usage indications from the latest official stocks estimate. Global ending stocks are raised 7.8million tons this month to 202.4 million. As projected, 2011/12 stocks would be a 10-year high.COARSE GRAINS: U.S. feed grain supplies for 2011/12 are projected higher this month as higher beginning stocks more than offset lower forecast production. Corn production is forecast 64 million bushels lower with planted and harvested area lowered 385,000 acres and 452,000 acres, respectively. The national average corn yield forecast is unchanged this month at 148.1 bushels per acre. Beginning stocks for 2011/12 are raised 208 million bushels from the previous projection based on the September 1 stocks estimate. Corn supplies for 2011/12 are forecast 144 million bushels higher. Total U.S. corn use for 2011/12 is projected 50 million bushels lower with reduced exports. Higher expected Black Sea production and exports increase competition for U.S. corn. U.S. ending stocks are projected 194 million bushels higher at 866 million. The season-average farm price is projected 30 cents per bushel lower on both ends of the range to $6.20 to $7.20 per bushel.Other 2011/12 feed grain changes this month include a 10-million-bushel reduction in projected sorghum exports and a 10-million-bushel increase in feed and residual use. Barley feed and residual use is projected 10 million bushels lower based on June-August disappearance as indicated by the September 1 stocks and updates to June-August trade. For 2010/11, corn feed and residual use is lowered 197 million bushels based on the September 1 stocks estimate and other changes to2010/11 use and supplies. Sweetener and starch use is lowered 15 million bushels based on reported use for the June-August quarter. Corn imports are lowered 3 million bushels for 2010/11. Global coarse grain supplies for 2011/12 are projected 10.4 million tons higher with more than half of the increase reflecting the 5.3-million-ton increase in U.S. corn beginning stocks. Global corn production is raised 5.4 million tons with foreign production increases more than offsetting the U.S. reduction. Production is raised 4.0 million tons for China to a record 182.0 million tons supported by 2011 weather data, information from crop tours, and early forecasts by officials in China. Ukraine corn production is raised 3.0 million tons as summer precipitation and temperature patterns support a sharp year-to-year increase in yield prospects and early harvest results indicate record yields. Production is also raised 0.5 million tons for Russia but lowered 0.3 million tons for Serbia. Estimates of China’s 2009/10 and 2010/11 corn production are raised 6.0 million tons and 4.2 million tons, respectively, in line with data from the China National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). Based on analysis of summer weather data from China’s northeast corn growing region during the past decade, NBS provincial yield estimates for 2000 through 2008, and the recently released provincial yield estimates for 2010, NBS yields for 2009 are consistent with the historical relationship between yields and reported summer rainfall and temperatures. Summer weather data and the same statistical relationship support this month’s upward revisions to 2010 production. Increases in China corn feed and residual use for 2009/10, 2010/11, and 2011/12 offset this month’s production increases leaving China ending stocks nearly unchanged.Global coarse grain trade for 2011/12 is raised slightly driven by increased corn imports by South Korea and higher corn exports from Ukraine and Russia. Exports are raised 2.0 million tons for Ukraine and 0.3 million tons for Russia with larger crops expected in both countries. These changes more than offset the reduction projected for U.S. shipments. Global corn ending stocks are projected 5.8 million tons higher for 2011/12 mostly reflecting the larger U.S. beginning stocks. Despite the increase, 2011/12 world corn ending stocks would be the smallest since 2006/07.RICE: U.S. rice production in 2011/12 is forecast at 186.9 million cwt, down 4.0 million from last month and the smallest crop since 1998/99. The decline is entirely due to a decrease in yield. Average yield is estimated at 7,123 pounds per acre, down 150 pounds from last month. Harvested area is unchanged at 2.62 million acres. Long-grain production is forecast at 116.8 million cwt, 2.5 million below last month and the smallest crop since 1996/97. Combined medium- and short-grain production is still a record forecast at 70.1 million cwt, down 1.5 million from last month. The import forecast is unchanged at 19.0 million cwt. Domestic and residual use for 2011/12 at 127.0 million cwt is unchanged from a month ago. Total rice exports are projected at 91.0 million cwt, down 2.0 millionfrom last month. The decrease is entirely in the milled and brown rice category, as the rough rice export forecast is unchanged. Long-grain and combined medium- and short-grain export projections are each lowered 1.0 million cwt to 60 million and 31.0 million, respectively. Total rice ending stocks are projected at 36.4 million cwt, down 1.9 million from last month.The 2011/12 long-grain season-average farm price range is projected at $13.50 to $14.50 per cwt, unchanged from last month. The combined medium- and short-grain farm price range is projected at $15.50 to $16.50 per cwt, up 50 cents per cwt on each end of the range from last month. The all rice season-average farm price is forecast at $14.00 to $15.00 per cwt, unchanged from a month ago. Projected global 2011/12 rice supply, consumption, trade, and ending stocks are increased from a month ago. World rice production is forecast at a record 461.4 million tons, up 3.0 million from last month due primarily to an increase in India. Thailand’s 2011/12 rice crop is raised 0.5 million in anticipation of a bumper main-season crop in the Northeast and large off-season crop in the North and the Central Plateau that will likely offset the production losses from the recent flooding. India’s 2011/12 rice crop is forecast at a record 100.0 million tons, up 3 percent from last month and up 5 percent from the previous year. India benefitted from a near-record monsoon in 2011. Partially offsetting the production increases are reductions for Pakistan, the Philippines, and the United States. Global consumption is raised 1.8 million mostly due to an increase in India. Global exports are raised with increases for India and Vietnam, partially offset by decreases in the United States and Pakistan. Imports are raised for Bangladesh and Nigeria. Global 2011/12 ending stocks are projected at 101.4 million tons, up 2.8 million from last month, 3.6 million above 2010/11 and the largest stocks since 2002/03. Forecast ending stocks are raised for Bangladesh, India, and the Philippines, but lowered for Vietnam and the United States.OILSEEDS: U.S. oilseed production for 2011/12 is projected at 91.6 million tons, down 0.8 million from last month. Soybean production is forecast at 3.06 billion bushels, down 25 million based on lower harvested area and yield. Harvested area is lowered 147,000 acres to 73.7 million. The soybean yield is projected at 41.5 bushels per acre, down 0.3 bushels. Sunflowerseed and canola production are projected lower this month while peanuts and cottonseed production are projected higher.U.S. soybean exports for 2011/12 are reduced 40 million bushels to 1.375 billion reflecting the slow pace of export sales and strong early season export competition from South America. The September 1 stock estimate of 215 million bushels indicated higher-than-expected residual use for 2010/11. As a result, the 2011/12 residual use is projected at 32 million bushels, up 9 million from the previous estimate. Soybean ending stocks are projected at 160 million bushels, down 5 million from last month.Prices for soybeans and products are all reduced this month. The U.S. season-average soybean price range for 2011/12 is projected at $12.15 to $14.15 per bushel, down 50 cents on both ends of the range. The soybean meal price is projected at $335 to $365 per short ton, down $25 on both ends of the range. The soybean oil price range is projected at 53 to 57 cents per pound, down 2 cents on both ends.Global oilseed production for 2011/12 is projected at 453.5 million tons, up 0.5 million from last month. Global soybean production is projected at 258.6 million tons, down 0.4 million mainly due to the lower U.S. crop. Soybean production is raised for India and Ukraine. Offsetting is a small reduction for Canada based on the latest survey information from Statistics Canada. Global sunflowerseed production is raised this month based on increased yields for Russia, EU-27 and Turkey, and increased area in Argentina. Rapeseed production is reduced for Canada based on lower yields reported in the most recent survey from Statistics Canada. Rapeseed production is also reduced for Russia and Belarus. Other changes include increased peanut production for Argentina,and increased cottonseed production for Brazil. Global oilseed stocks for 2011/12 are increased 0.5 million tons to 73.0 million with soybeans accounting for most of the change.SUGAR: Projected U.S. sugar supply for fiscal year 2011/12 is decreased 138,000 short tons, raw value, from last month, due to lower beginning stocks more than offsetting higher imports. Imports are increased 189,000 tons to account for a shift in entries from the 2010/11 tariff rate quota (TRQ) and the increased refined sugar TRQ, while imports from Mexico are reduced 63,000 tons to reflect reduced supplies in Mexico. Sugar use is increased 100,000 tons, following a similar increase for 2010/11.For 2010/11, lower estimated beet sugar production and imports reduced supplies 227,000 tons. Beet sugar production is lowered 125,000 tons to reflect processors= reduced estimates of September 2011 production, as reported in Sweetener Market Data (SMD). Imports are reduced 105,000 tons, mainly due to shifts between fiscal years. Total use is increased 100,000 tons to reflect cumulative refining losses for the year reported in SMD.Note: Beginning with the November 9, 2011, World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report, Mexico=s sugar supply and use will be reported in A actual weight.@ The WASDE will continue to report U.S. sugar supply and use, including imports from Mexico, in raw value terms. Raw value for Mexico sugar converts from actual weight by multiplying by 1.06. The Foreign Agricultural Service will continue to report world sugar supply and use, including for Mexico, in raw value terms. LIVESTOCK, POULTRY, AND DAIRY: The 2011 forecast of total red meat and poultry production is raised, reflecting higher beef, pork, and turkey production, but lower broiler production. The increase in beef production is largely due to higher expected cow slaughter as drought conditions in much of the Southern Plains and high hay prices will likely keep slaughter high. Higher than expected third-quarter commercial hog slaughter supports the higher pork production forecast. Broiler production is reduced as lower egg sets point to a sharp reduction in later-year bird slaughter. However, continued relatively heavy bird weights result in an increase in expected third-quarter production. Table egg production is increased but is partly offset by lower expected broiler hatching egg production. For 2012, beef and broiler production is reduced from last month, but pork production is increased. First-quarter beef production is raised slightly but is more than offset by reduced production later in the year as feedlot supplies decline. Broiler production is reduced as broiler price forecasts are weakened. Pork production is raised from last month. In the Quarterly Hogs and Pigs report, released on September 28, producers indicated they farrowed about 1 percent fewer sows in June–August and intended to keep farrowings near year-ago levels into early 2012. However, the number of pigs per litter continues to grow and is expected to support increased pig crops and supplies of slaughter hogs in 2012.Beef import forecasts are lowered in 2011 and 2012 as strong demand for beef by competing importers limits shipments to the United States. The beef export forecast is raised as the strong demand in a number of countries is expected to support continued growth in U.S exports. Pork imports are unchanged from last month but the export forecast for 2012 is reduced slightly as expected increased production in several Asian markets may limit export opportunities later in the year. Broiler exports are raised for 2011 but are unchanged for 2012.Cattle prices are forecast higher for the remainder of 2011 and through 2012. Demand remains stronger-than-expected and the strength is expected to carry into 2012. Hog prices are lowered for the last quarter of 2011 and into 2012 as hog supplies and slaughter are forecast higher. Broiler prices are lowered for 2011 as supplies remain relatively large and demand relatively weak. The pace of price recovery in 2012 is expected to be slower than forecast last month.The milk production forecast for 2011 is raised as the dairy herd has been expanding at a more rapid rate and milk per cow during the summer increased more rapidly than expected. However, the forecast for 2012 is reduced as forecast lower milk prices and weakening milk-feed ratios increase the pace of later year declines in cow numbers. Fat basis exports are lowered for 2011 on slightly weaker butter and cheese exports, but are unchanged for 2012. Skim solids exports are unchanged for 2011 but are lowered for 2012. Import forecasts are unchanged.Butter and cheese prices for 2011 are forecast lower, but the nonfat dry milk (NDM) price forecast is unchanged and whey prices are forecast higher. International prices have been weaker which has put some pressure on butter and cheese prices. Butter and cheese price forecasts are also reduced for 2012. NDM prices have also been under pressure from weakening international prices and although the forecast for 2011 is unchanged from last month, the price forecast for 2012 is reduced. Whey prices are raised for both 2011 and 2012 as demand is strong. The Class III price is lowered for 2011, but for 2012 the higher whey price more than offsets a decline in the cheese price, and the Class III price forecast is raised. The Class IV price is lowered for both years due to lower forecast butter and NDM prices. The all milk price forecast is lowered to $20.00 to $20.10 per cwt for 2011, and $17.75 to $18.65 per cwt for 2012.COTTON: The 2011/12 U.S. cotton forecasts feature lower exports and higher ending stocks relative to last month. Production is raised 52,000 bales, as increases for several States, especially Georgia, more than offset a decrease in estimated production for Texas. Domestic mill use is unchanged, but exports are reduced due to lower foreign import demand. Ending stocks are now forecast at 3.9 million bales. The stocks-to-use ratio of 25.5 percent is higher than the previous two seasons but well below the 5-year average. The forecast for the average price received by producers of 87.5 to 102.5 cents per pound is narrowed 2.5 cents on each end of the range.The 2010/11 world cotton forecasts include larger supplies, lower consumption, and higher ending stocks. Beginning stocks are raised about 900,000 bales, due mostly to prior year revisions for Brazil and Bangladesh. World production is raised 1.2 million bales, as increases for Australia, India, Brazil, Pakistan, and Mali more than offset a reduction for China. World consumption is reduced nearly 850,000 bales, reflecting current sluggish demand and weaker forecasts for world economic growth. With larger production and lower consumption, world trade is reduced 2 percent from last month, including a 500,000-bale decrease in China’s imports. Forecast world ending stocks are raised nearly 3 million bales to 54.8 million. The world stocks-to-use ratio of 48 percent is marginally above the preceding 5-year average.Approved by the Secretary of Agriculture and the Chairperson of the World Agricultural Outlook Board, Gerald A. Bange, (202) 720-6030. This report was prepared by the Interagency Commodity Estimates Committees.APPROVED BY:MICHAEL T. SCUSEACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTUREINTERAGENCY COMMODITY ESTIMATES COMMITTEESNote: The World Agricultural Outlook Board reviews and approves the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report. The Board’s analysts chair the Interagency Commodity Estimates Committees (ICECs) that prepare the monthly report.Wheat: Jerry Norton, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: jnorton@Gary Vocke, ERS; Teresa McKeivier, FAS; William Chambers, FSA.Rice: Andrew C. Aaronson, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: aaaronson@ Nathan Childs, ERS; Debbie Rubas, FAS; Mark Simone, FSA.Feed Grains: Jerry Norton, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: jnorton@Tom Capehart, ERS; Richard O=Meara, FAS; Pete Riley, FSA.Oilseeds: Keith Menzie, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: kmenzie@Mark Ash, ERS; Bill George, FAS; Dale Leuck, FSA.Cotton: Carol Skelly, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: cskelly@Darryl Earnest, AMS; Leslie Meyer, ERS; James Johnson, FAS; Eugene Rosera, FSA.Sugar: John Love, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: jlove@Stephen Haley, ERS; Ron Lord, FAS; Barbara Fecso, FSA.Meat Animals: Shayle Shagam, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: sshagam@ Sherry Wise, AMS; Kenneth Mathews, ERS; Claire Mezoughem, FAS; Dale Leuck, FSA.Poultry: Shayle Shagam, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: sshagam@Larry Haller, AMS; David Harvey, ERS; Lazaro Sandoval, FAS; Milton Madison, FSA.Dairy: Shayle Shagam, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: sshagam@Jerry Cessna, AMS; Roger Hoskin, ERS; Paul Kiendl, FAS; Milton Madison, FSA.In 2011, the WASDE report will be released on Nov. 9 and Dec. 9.In 2012, the WASDE report will be released on Jan. 12, Feb. 9, Mar. 9,Apr. 10, May 10, Jun. 12, Jul. 11, Aug. 10, Sep. 12, Oct. 11, Nov. 9, Dec. 11T A B L E OF C O N T E N T SPage Highlights (1)Interagency Commodity Estimates Committees (6)World & U.S. Supply & Use for Grains (8)World & U.S. Supply & Use for Cotton (9)World & U.S. Supply & Use for Oilseeds (10)U.S. Wheat Supply & Use (11)U.S. Wheat Supply & Use by Class (11)U.S. Feed Grain & Corn Supply & Use (12)U.S. Sorghum, Barley & Oats Supply & Use (13)U.S. Rice Supply & Use (14)U.S. Soybeans & Products Supply & Use (15)U.S. Sugar Supply & Use (16)Mexico Sugar Supply and Use (16)U.S. Cotton Supply & Use (17)World Wheat Supply & Use (18)World Coarse Grains Supply & Use (20)World Corn Supply & Use (22)World Rice Supply & Use (24)World Cotton Supply & Use (26)World Soybean Supply & Use (28)World Soybean Meal Supply & Use (29)World Soybean Oil Supply & Use (30)U.S. Quarterly Animal Product Production (31)U.S. Quarterly Prices for Animal Products (31)U.S. Meats Supply and Use (32)U.S. Egg Supply & Use (33)U.S. Milk Supply and Use (33)U.S. Dairy Prices (34)Reliability Tables (35)Related USDA Reports (38)Metric Conversion Factors (38)Electronic Access and Subscriptions (40)World and U.S Supply and Use for Grains 1/Million Metric TonsWorldOutputTotalSupply Trade 2/TotalUseEndingStocksTotal Grains 3/2009/102240.872693.34289.942203.01490.33 2010/11 (Est.) 2198.502688.84278.782227.24461.592011/12 (Proj.) Sep2267.692720.22280.202277.02443.20Oct2278.862740.46285.402280.70459.76 Wheat2009/10684.40851.49135.80650.75200.75 2010/11 (Est.) 648.16848.90131.07653.30195.602011/12 (Proj.) Sep678.12871.45131.89676.86194.59Oct681.20876.80135.30674.43202.37 Coarse Grains 4/2009/101116.151309.99122.951114.60195.39 2010/11 (Est.) 1098.971294.36114.171126.17168.192011/12 (Proj.) Sep1131.201294.10116.461144.14149.96Oct1136.281304.46117.141148.48155.98 Rice, milled2009/10440.33531.8631.19437.6694.20 2010/11 (Est.) 451.38545.5833.54447.7797.802011/12 (Proj.) Sep458.38554.6731.86456.0298.65Oct461.39559.2032.96457.78101.41 United StatesTotal Grains 3/2009/10416.25488.3182.11330.3375.87 2010/11 (Est.) 397.89479.4889.19333.0057.282011/12 (Proj.) Sep390.94448.7575.85331.3141.60Oct386.97450.4172.90329.0748.44 Wheat2009/1060.3781.4623.9330.9826.55 2010/11 (Est.) 60.0689.2535.0830.7123.472011/12 (Proj.) Sep56.5182.9427.9034.3320.71Oct54.6581.3826.5432.0722.78 Coarse Grains 4/2009/10348.76398.1354.66295.3448.13 2010/11 (Est.) 330.23380.8750.63297.9332.302011/12 (Proj.) Sep328.31357.5844.97292.9519.66Oct326.32360.9243.45292.9724.49 Rice, milled2009/107.138.71 3.51 4.02 1.18 2010/11 (Est.) 7.599.36 3.49 4.36 1.512011/12 (Proj.) Sep 6.138.24 2.99 4.03 1.23Oct 6.008.12 2.92 4.03 1.17 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. 3/ Wheat, coarse grains and milled rice. 4/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains).World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains, Continued 1/Million Metric TonsForeign 3/OutputTotalSupply Trade 2/TotalUseEndingStocksTotal Grains 4/2009/101,824.622,205.04207.841,872.68414.47 2010/11 (Est.) 1,800.622,209.36189.581,894.25404.312011/12 (Proj.) Sep1,876.742,271.47204.341,945.71401.61Oct1,891.892,290.04212.491,951.63411.32 Wheat2009/10624.03770.03111.87619.77174.19 2010/11 (Est.) 588.10759.6596.00622.59172.142011/12 (Proj.) Sep621.60788.52103.99642.53173.89Oct626.55795.42108.76642.37179.58 Coarse Grains 5/2009/10767.39911.8668.29819.26147.26 2010/11 (Est.) 768.74913.5063.54828.24135.882011/12 (Proj.) Sep802.89936.5271.49851.20130.30Oct809.95943.5473.70855.51131.49 Rice, milled2009/10433.20523.1527.68433.6593.02 2010/11 (Est.) 443.78536.2230.05443.4196.292011/12 (Proj.) Sep452.25546.4328.87451.9997.42Oct455.40551.0830.04453.76100.25 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. 3/ Total foreign is equal to world minus United States. 4/ Wheat, coarse grains and milled rice. 5/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet and mixed grains.World and U.S. Supply and Use for Cotton 1/Million 480-lb. BalesOutputTotalSupply Trade 2/TotalUseEndingStocksWorld2009/10101.41162.0935.50119.1143.99 2010/11 (Est.) 115.08159.0735.44114.3244.872011/12 (Proj.) Sep122.96166.9337.30115.2251.91Oct124.19169.0536.51114.3854.83 United States2009/1012.1918.5312.04 3.55 2.95 2010/11 (Est.) 18.1021.0614.38 3.90 2.602011/12 (Proj.) Sep16.5619.1712.00 3.80 3.40Oct16.6119.2211.50 3.80 3.90 Foreign 3/2009/1089.22143.5623.46115.5641.05 2010/11 (Est.) 96.97138.0121.07110.4242.272011/12 (Proj.) Sep106.41147.7725.30111.4248.51Oct107.58149.8325.01110.5850.93 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Based on export estimate. 3/ Total Foreign is equal to world minus United States. See global cotton tables for treatment of export/import imbalances.WASDE - 499 - 10World and U.S. Supply and Use for Oilseeds 1/(Million Metric Tons)WorldOutputTotalSupply TradeTotalUse 2/EndingStocksOilseeds2009/10442.62497.70108.07357.4771.22 2010/11 (Est.) 452.78524.00107.01374.2280.022011/12 (Proj.) Sep452.98532.95114.43389.6772.56Oct453.47533.49114.07389.2773.02 Oilmeals2009/10243.67249.7972.01238.527.62 2010/11 (Est.) 255.87263.4976.79250.858.972011/12 (Proj.) Sep266.25274.8679.38262.408.73Oct265.86274.8379.49260.499.69 Vegetable Oils2009/10140.23153.3758.11137.7213.06 2010/11 (Est.) 146.08159.1460.17144.6011.712011/12 (Proj.) Sep151.76163.1362.97150.2210.26Oct151.61163.3262.97149.9810.79 United StatesOilseeds2009/1098.90105.5941.6951.49 5.55 2010/11 (Est.) 100.38106.8841.7949.347.302011/12 (Proj.) Sep92.41101.3839.2748.81 5.47Oct91.62100.2638.1948.61 5.39 Oilmeals2009/1040.0741.6710.3031.020.34 2010/11 (Est.) 38.3140.858.5031.970.382011/12 (Proj.) Sep37.6740.237.9631.930.34Oct37.5640.127.9631.820.34 Vegetable Oils2009/1010.0615.14 1.9511.20 1.99 2010/11 (Est.) 9.8715.49 1.8611.82 1.812011/12 (Proj.) Sep9.7015.21 1.2212.60 1.39Oct9.6115.16 1.2112.57 1.38 Foreign 3/Oilseeds2009/10343.72392.1166.38305.9865.67 2010/11 (Est.) 352.40417.1265.21324.8872.722011/12 (Proj.) Sep360.57431.5775.16340.8767.09Oct361.85433.2375.88340.6667.63 Oilmeals2009/10203.59208.1361.70207.507.28 2010/11 (Est.) 217.56222.6468.29218.888.592011/12 (Proj.) Sep228.58234.6371.42230.478.39Oct228.30234.7171.53228.669.35 Vegetable Oils2009/10130.17138.2356.16126.5111.07 2010/11 (Est.) 136.22143.6558.31132.789.902011/12 (Proj.) Sep142.06147.9261.74137.628.88Oct142.01148.1761.76137.419.41 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years with Brazil and Argentina on an Oct.-Sept. year. 2/ Crush only for oilseeds. 3/ Total foreign is equal to world minus United States.。
以下为农产品市场重要报告发布时间一览表
2013年美国农业部月度供需报告公布日程预告
美国农业部(USDA)月度供需报告通常于每月8-12日公布,自2013年1月起,当日公布时间调整为北京时间1:00(原为21:30),在美国夏令时的公布时间为北京时间0:00(原为20:30)。
以下为2013年USDA月度供需报告公布时间(北京时间):
2013年美国农业部作物生长报告公布时间一览表
美国农业部(USDA)通常在每年4月初至11月末的农作物生长期间的每周一公布大豆、玉米、小麦、棉花等主要农作物的种植、生长及收割进展情况报告,其中作物种植进度一般于4月初至5月末公布,8月下旬至11月末公布收割进度,同时全程报告作物生长状况,美国标准时间为北京时间周二05:00公布,美国夏令时为北京时间周二04:00公布。
以下为2013年USDA每周作物生长报告公布时间表:
2013年美国农业部出口销售报告公布时间一览表
美国农业部(USDA)通常于每周四公布截至上周四当周美国大豆、小麦、棉花、玉米、稻米等谷物的出口销售数据,包括当前市场年度及下一市场年度的净销售和新销售数据,公布时间为为北京时间每周四21:30(美国夏令时为北京时间每周四20:30)。
以下为2013年USDA周度出口销售报告公布时间表:。
农产品市场重要报告发布时间一览表
机构报告内容公布时间
豆类
商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)周度持仓报告每周五
美国农业部(USDA)周度出口检验每周一
美国农业部(USDA)周度作物生长每年4-11月的每周一
美国农业部(USDA)周度出口销售每周四
美国农业部(USDA)月度供需报告每月8-12日
美国农业部(USDA)季度谷物库存每季度最后一个交易日
美国农业部(USDA)作物种植意向每年3月末和6月末
美国油籽加工商协会(NOPA)月度大豆压榨每月13日-16日的周一
阿根廷农业部月度大豆压榨每月最后一日或月初几日
国际谷物理事会(IGC)月度谷物供需多为每月21-26日
中国国家粮油信心中心(CNGOIC)月度大豆进口每月9-15日
棕榈油
ITS/SGS马来西亚棕榈油出口每月10、15、20、25日及月底马来西亚棕榈油局(MPOB)月度棕榈油供需每月10日
MPOA 25日出1~20日的数据
MPOB 10日出上个月的数据
棉花
商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)周度持仓报告每周五
国际棉花咨询委员会(ICAC)棉花供需每月1日(逢周末顺延)
原糖
商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)周度持仓报告每周五
巴西甘蔗行业协会(Unica)甘蔗压榨半月报告每月第二周和第四周
油菜籽
加拿大油籽加工商协会(COPA) 周度压榨报告每周五
进出口
中国海关总署月度进出口(初步数据)每月9-15日
中国海关总署月度进出口(详细数据)每月21-24日
日本财务省(MOF)月度进出口每月月底
美国商务部(USDC)月度进出口每月第二周
巴西贸易部(MDIC)月度进出口每月1日。