史蒂芬 威廉森 宏观经济学 第四版 课后题答案 最新Solution_CH10
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宏观经济学第四版课后习题答案第12章国民收入核算1.下列项目是否计入GDP,为什么?(1)政府转移支付;(2)购买一辆用过的卡车;(3)购买普通股票;(4)购买一块地产。
答:(1)不计入。
因为政府转移支付只是简单地通过税收把收入从一个人或一个组织转移到另一个人或另一个组织手中,并没有相应的物品或劳务的交换发生。
(2)不计入。
不是该期的实际生产活动。
(3)不计入。
经济学上所讲的投资是增加或替换资本资产的支出,即购买新厂房、设备和存货的行为,而人们购买债券和股票只是一种交易活动,并不是实际的生产经营活动。
(4)不计入。
同(3)。
2.在统计中,社会保险税增加对GDP、NDP、NI、PI和DPI这五个总量中哪个总量有影响?为什么?答:社会保险税实质上是企业和职工为得到社会保障而支付的保险金,它由政府相关部门按一定比率以税收形式征收。
社会保险税是从NI中扣除的,因此,社会保险税的增加并不影响GDP、NDP和NI,但影响个人收入PI。
3.如果甲乙两国并成一个国家,对GDP总和会有什么影响(假定两国产出不变)?答:有影响。
因为合并前的对外贸易变成合并后的国内贸易。
例如合并前,甲国对乙国有出口200亿,对乙国有进口100亿,顺差100亿。
假定他们分别都没有其他贸易伙伴。
对甲国而言,顺差的100亿为GDP加项;对乙国而言,逆差的100亿为GDP减项,两国GDP的总和中的对外贸易部分因此而抵消,为零。
合并后,甲地生产的产品200亿,乙地生产的产品100亿,对合并后的新国家而言,新增的GDP为300亿,总和增加了。
4.某年发生了以下活动(a)一银矿公司支付7.5万美元给矿工开采了50千克银卖给一银器制造商,售价10万美元;(b)银器制造商支付5万美元工资给工人造了一批项链卖给消费者,售价40万美元。
(1)用最终产品生产法计算GDP;(2)每个生产阶段生产多少价值?用增值法计算GDP。
(3)在生产活动中赚得的工资和利润各共为多少?用收入法计算GDP。
第二部分课后习题第1篇导论和衡量问题第1章导论一、复习题1.宏观经济学的主要鲜明特征是什么?答:(1)宏观经济学的研究对象是众多经济主体的行为。
它关注的是消费者和企业的总体行为、政府的行为、单个国家的经济活动总水平、各国间的经济影响,以及财政政策和货币政策的效应。
(2)宏观经济学侧重于总量研究,强调的问题主要是长期增长和经济周期。
其研究的具体内容包括:①持续经济增长的动力;②经济增长是否有极限;③政府应该如何改变经济增长率,促进经济增长;④经济周期的原因;⑤经济增长在大萧条和第二次世界大战期间发生的剧烈波动是否会重现;⑥政府是否应该采取行动以熨平经济周期。
2.宏观经济学与微观经济学有何异同?答:(1)宏观经济学与微观经济学的联系20世纪70年代以来,微观经济学家与宏观经济学家都在使用非常相似的研究工具。
宏观经济学家用来描述消费者与企业的行为、目标与约束,以及它们之间如何相互影响的经济模型,是根据微观经济学原理建立起来的,而且在分析这些模型和拟合数据时通常都用微观经济学家所用的方法。
宏观经济分析建立在微观经济学原理基础之上。
(2)宏观经济学与微观经济学的区别①研究方法不同微观经济学家侧重个量分析,宏观经济学侧重于总量研究。
②研究内容不同微观经济学研究单个家庭和企业的行为。
因为经济作为一个整体是由许多家庭与企业组成的,在总体水平上的相互影响是单个家庭和企业决策的结果。
宏观经济学有别于微观经济学,因为它涉及的是所有经济主体的选择对经济的总影响,而不是单个消费者或企业的选择对经济的影响,它强调的问题主要是长期增长和经济周期。
3.2011年的普通美国人比1900年的普通美国人富多少?答:2011年的普通的美国人比1900年的普通美国人平均来说富近8倍。
实际人均GDP 是衡量一国居民平均收入水平的指标。
1900年,一个美国人的平均收入是4793美元(以2005年美元计),2011年增加到42733美元(以2005年美元计)。
宏观经济学-课后思考题答案_史蒂芬威廉森011Chapter 11Market-Clearing Models of the Business CycleTeaching GoalsPhysics has so far failed to provide a unified theory to explain all physical phenomena. Economics is even further away from achieving such a goal. Keynesian models, while still popular among many policymakers, do not do a very good job of explaining the source and the mechanism by which the typical business cycle comes to pass. Although business cycles are remarkable similar, they are not identical, and they appear to have multiple causes.Equilibrium theorists have proposed a number of business cycle explanations that are based upon microeconomic principles and need not rely on markets failing to equilibrate. Interestingly, in contrastto the most basic of classical models, these models often admit a constructive role for macroeconomic policymaking.The real business cycle model emphasizes the point that shocks to total factor productivity are persistent, and that business cycles may represent the optimal response to such shocks. The segmentation markets model realizes that not everyone participates in financials markets and thus some agents are primarily effected by open market operations. The coordination failure model recognizes the possibility that strategic complementarities generate a kind of externality in production. While all of these considerations may, to a greater or less extent, be important factors in macroeconomic performance, a model that simultaneously considered all of these possibilitieswould be too unwieldy to provide coherent insights. Nevertheless, all of the possibilities of these models shed light on some causes and means of propagating business cycles.Classroom Discussion TopicsThe material in this chapter concludes the study of business cycle phenomena and macroeconomic stabilization policy. At this point it may be useful to revisit students’ original thoughts and prejudices about the proper role of government policy. With so many competing models, how would the students run monetary and fiscal policy if it were their job to do so? Does macroeconomics offer too many competing models and too many points of view? It can be helpful to point out that there is no consensus among macroeconomists on this issue. Should policy be used on a routine basis to fine-tune the economy? Should policymakers simply try to avoid significant fluctuations in the policy instruments? Should aggressive policy measures be employed against very serious shocks like the Great Depression?108 Williamson ? Macroeconomics, Third EditionOutlineI. The Real Business Cycle ModelA. The Workings of the Real Business Cycle Model1. Persistence of the Solow Residual2. Effects of a Persistent Change in Total Factor Productivity3. Qualitative and Quantitative Replication of the Business Cycle FactsB. Real Business Cycles and the Behavior of the Money Supply1. Cyclical Properties of the Money Supplya. Nominal Money Is Procyclicalb. Nominal Money Leads Real GDP2. Endogenous M oneya. Behavior of Bank Deposit Moneyb. Central Banks and Price-Level Stabilization3. Statistical Causality and True CausalityC. Implications of the Real Business Cycle Model for Government Policy1. Money Is Neutral2. Government Spending Based on Optimal Provision of Public Goods3. Other Policy Goalsa. The Friedman Ruleb. The Smoothing of Tax DistortionsD. Critique of the Real Business Cycle Model1. Measurement of Total Factor Productivity2. Labor Hoarding3. Real Business C ycle Theory and the “Volker Recession”II. The Segmented Markets ModelA. Limited Participation in Financial MarketsB. The Workings of the Model1. The Liquidity Effect2. Money Demand as a Function of the Expected Interest Rate3. Money Supply Surprises Are Not NeutralC. Implications1. Real Impact2. Money Injection Increases GDP and Components3. Average Labor Productivity Is Counterfactually Countercyclical4. Central Bank Can Be Welfare Improving: It Alleviates Cash ConstraintsD. Critique1. Relies on Central Bank Fooling Agents2. Relies on Firms Being Cash ConstraintChapter 11 Market-Clearing Models of the Business Cycle 109III. A Keynesian Coordination Failure ModelA. The Workings of the Model1. Coordination Failures2. Strategic Complementarities3.M ultiple Equilibria4. Increasing Returns to ScaleB. The Coordination Failure Model: An Example1. The Downward-Sloping Goods Supply Curve2. Multiple Intersections of Goods Supply and Goods Demand3. SunspotsC. Predictions of the Coordination Failure Model1. Properties of “Good” and “Bad” Equilibria2. The Coordination Failure Model and the Business Cycle FactsD. Policy Implications of the Coordination Failure Model1. Achieving a Single Equilibrium2. Does Policy Improve Performance?E. Critique of the Coordination Failure Model1. Evidence of Increasing Returns2. Unobservable ExpectationsTextbook Question SolutionsQuestions for Review1. Macroeconomic models should be based onmicroeconomic principles. Equilibrium models are the most productive vehicles for studying macroeconomic phenomena.2. Although business cycles are remarkably similar, they may have many causes. Alternative businesscycle models offer insights into one or more key features of the economy and some aspects of the e conomy’s response to macroeconomic shocks. Policymakers need as much insight as possible to guide their actions.3. In the real business cycle model, persistent shocks to total factor productivity cause output tofluctuate.4. Although changes in the money supply change nominal prices in the real business cycle, they changeneither perceived nor actual relative prices. There is therefore no reason for firms or consumers to change their behavior.5. In the real business cycle model, changes in the money supply may be endogenous. In particular,when output increases due to a total factor productivity shock, the banking system is likely toincrease the quantity of deposit money, and the Fed may increase the monetary base in order tostabilize the aggregate price level.6. In the real business cycle model, firms and consumers in the economy make optimal responses tochanges in total factor productivity. Therefore, policy cannot improve matters, and may actually make matters worse.110 Williamson ? Macroeconomics, Third Edition7. The real business cycle provides a good explanation of the business cycle facts, both qualitatively andquantitatively.8. There are some phenomena that the real business cycle model cannot adequately explain. As oneexample, there is good evidence that the U.S. recession of 1981–82 was due to a monetary policy shock. The real business cycle model has no explanation of monetary nonneutrality.9. It is because it affects agents after they have made their money choices and, in this model, allows thefirm to adjust its activities that are cash constrained.10. Only if it does that intelligently. Purely random policy would be detrimental, as it would throw agentsoff their plans. But if it helps them as they face shocks, for example by alleviating cash constraints, then it is good stabilization policy. The central bank, however, needs to have very good information and needs to act quickly.11. Remarkably well, except for the countercyclical average labor productivity.12. Parties are more fun when a lot of people attend. If everyone believes that others will attend,everyone goes to the party and has a good time. However, if most people think that others are not going, they will also choose not to go, few people will show up and the party will be much lesssuccessful. The coordination failure arises because people may not be able to jointly decide whether they will attend.13. In the coordination failure model, business cycles may occur if consumers and firms are alternativelyoptimistic and pessimistic. Aggregate-level increasing returns to scale then set in to amplify the effects of such changes in attitude.14. The coordination failure model is an equilibrium model. In the absence of any other changes inbehavior, changes in the money supply change the aggregate price level, but they do not change relative prices. Therefore, consumers and firms continue to make the same choices.15. The coordination failure model does a very good job in fitting the facts of the typical business cycle.16. The choice of which model is better depends on how we interpret some of the more detailedevidence. However, both models may shed some light on some features of different business cycle events, and both models may offer some insights that may be useful for policymakers.Problems1. The response to a temporary change in government spending in the real business cycle model is thesame as the response to such a disturbance in the monetary intertemporal model, as the two models are equivalent. Government spending shocks in this model wrongly predict that consumption,investment, and the real wage are countercyclical. In response to a temporary increase in government spending, output increases and the real interest rate increases. Because the net effect on moneydemand is ambiguous, the effect on the price level is also ambiguous. Therefore, there can be no contradiction of model’s predictions on the cyclical behavior of the price level.Chapter 11 Market-Clearing Models of the Business Cycle 111 2. We already know that persistent increases in total factorproductivity are consistent with all of thebusiness cycle facts. As developed in the answer to problem 4, above, we noted that temporaryincreases in government spending were not consistent with several of the business cycle facts. If both disturbances are combined, the ability to fit the facts depends on which of the parts of the disturbance are stronger. In particular, if the increase in government spending produces a small increase in total factor productivity, then this type of disturbance will not fit the facts very well. For this type ofdisturbance to fit the business cycle facts, a small increase in government spending would need to generate a large increase in total factor productivity.3. Business optimism about future total factor productivity.(a) First consider the fundamental effects of the increase in expected future total factor productivity.Such a disturbance shifts the aggregate demand curve to the right. In the coordination failuremodel, this results in an increase in output and employment in the good equilibrium and adecrease in output and employment in the bad equilibrium. The increased optimism might alsomove the economy from the original bad equilibrium to the new good equilibrium.(b) Let us focus on the effects of changes in future total factor productivity on the good equilibrium.This disturbance shifts the aggregate demand curve to the right. The good equilibrium is at higher levels of output and employment, and a lower real interest rate. In the labor market, the reduction in the real interest rate also increases the real wagerate. The decrease in the real interest rateincreases consumption spending. The increase in the real interest rate likely mitigates, but doesnot reverse, the direction of the effect of the disturbance on investment. All of these effects areconsistent with the business cycle facts. Finally, the increase in output and the reduction in thereal interest rate both work to increase money demand. The price level therefore decreases, which is also consistent with the business cycle facts.(c) The increased optimism decreases the price level in the good equilibrium. Therefore, themonetary authority should increase the money supply when firms become more optimistic andreduce the money supply when firms become more pessimistic. Note that if the money supply isa sunspot variable, there may be a difficulty with reducing the money supply when firms becomemore pessimistic. This policy response is therefore consistent with the nominal money supplybeing procyclical. Such a change in the money supply may also shift the economy from the good equilibrium to the bad equilibrium, and this factor obviously greatly complicates the analysis.4. Announced policies in the segmented markets model.(a) In this case, the expected real interest rate r e is unaffected, despite the announcement, and moneysupply M s is reduced. This is equivalent to an unexpected decrease of the money supply, and we have the exact opposite situation from what is described in Figure 11.5 of the textbook.Thus, the interest rate and the price level will increase; employment, output, consumption, and investment all decrease.(b) As this announcement is believed, all agents will be able to react to it and there is no marketsegmentation. We are thus back to the monetary model of Chapter 10. Real aggregates areunaffected, only the price level decreases.(c) The price level changes more in the second situation, as there is no real impact that wouldcounterbalance it. Now to make its policy announcements more credible, the central bank would need to show consistently that it is acting like it said it would. This can, for example, be attained by sticking to a well-publicized rule.112 Williamson ? Macroeconomics, Third Edition5. We want to compare here a positive money supply shock as it affects economies a and b that areinitially at steady state. The shock is larger in economy a. The figures below build on Figure 11.5 from the textbook, the only difference being the amplitude of the shocks. The steady states are the same for both countries, with one exception: money demand is lower in country a due to the higher uncertainty about prices. Indeed, households do not like variations, thus all agents will use more banking services to avoid the larger consequences from price variations. The consequence is that all aggregates fluctuate more in country a. While the price level is initially higher in country a, it may fall below the one in the other country, depending on the difference in money demands between the two countries. But the price level fluctuates more for sure in country a. The figures belowillustrate this.Chapter 11 Market-Clearing Models of the Business Cycle 1136. If the money supply were the only variable that shifts the economy between the bad and good states,the monetary authority would need to increase the money supply only if the economy starts out in the bad state. However, once the good state is reached, there is no further need to make any changes in the money supply. Both models are therefore consistent with a predictable money supply as the best way to make consumers better off.On the other hand, if there was a disturbance that shifted the economy into the bad state, it would be optimal for the monetary authority to increase the money supply when output falls. In the money surprise model, changes in the money supply in response to disturbances can only make consumers worse off.7. The reduction in the demand for leisure implies a rightward shift in labor supply. This shift in laborsupply implies an equilibrium in the labor market with less employment and a decreased real wage.The aggregate supply curve therefore shifts to the left. The increase in the demand for consumption goods shifts the aggregate demand curve to the right. Therefore, in the good state, output increases and the real interest rate decreases. In the bad state, output decreases and the real interest rate increases.114 Williamson ? Macroeconomics, Third Edition8. The permanent increase in government spending does not affect the aggregate demand curve, becausethe increase in government spending generates an approximately equal decrease in consumption. The implied increase in taxes shifts the labor supply curve to the right. In the coordination failure model this produces a leftward shift in aggregate supply. Recall that the labor demand curve is upward sloping and steeper than the labor supply curve. A leftward shift in aggregate supply is depicted in the figure below.In the “good” equilibrium, output increases and the real interest rate decreases. That output increases requires that employment increase. The increase in employment moves the economy along the labor demand curve, so that the real wage rate must also increase. Finally, the increase in output combined with the decrease in the real interest rate implies that money demand shifts to the right, and so the price level decreases.In the “bad” equilibrium, output decreases and the real interest rate increases. That output decreases requires that employment decrease. The decrease in employment moves theeconomy along the labor demand curve, so that the real wage rate must also decrease. Finally, the decrease in output combined with the decrease in the real interest rate implies that money demand shifts to the left, and so the price level increases.Chapter 11 Market-Clearing Models of the Business Cycle 115 9. The effects of the decrease in the capital stock depend on the specific model we are working with.The effect of the decrease in capital in the real business cycle is depicted in the figure below.116 Williamson ? Macroeconomics, Third EditionThe real interest rate unambiguously increases. The diagramdepicts a case in which real outputdecreases. In this case, the demand for money unambiguously decreases, and so a decrease in the money supply is required to maintain price stability. If, on the other hand, the increase in investment demand is strong enough, then the aggregate demand curve may shift to the right by more than the shift to the left in aggregate supply. In this case, real output increases. If real output increases enough, then the demand for money may increase. This case would require an increase in the money supply.In the coordination failure model, the situation is more complex. The decrease in the capital stock shifts the aggregate production function downward, as in the figure below. The new aggregateproduction function is flatter, so that the aggregate labor demand curve shifts downward. Employment would therefore increase. The increase in employment coupled with the decrease in the capital stock, may either increase or decrease the level of output. If, as depicted in the figure below, output on net decreases, then the aggregate supply curve shifts to the left.Chapter 11 Market-Clearing Models of the Business Cycle 117 The decrease in the capital stock also shifts the aggregate demand curve to the right. If the aggregate supply curve shiftsto the left, then the situation is as depicted in the figure below. In the bad equilibrium, output decreases and the real interest rate increases. Money demand would therefore decrease, and the money supply would need to decrease to maintain price stability. In the good equilibrium, output increases and the real interest rate decreases. Money demand would increase, and so the money supply would need to increase to maintain price stability.。
Chapter 9Credit Market Imperfections: Credit Frictions,Financial Crises and Social SecurityTextbook Question SolutionsQuestions for Review1. Borrowers face higher interest rates than lenders.2. The Ricardian equivalence does not hold. Credit constraint household will not save at least part of thetax cut an consume it.3. Yes, there is room for government intervention, in the form of social security or by holding positivepublic debt.4. Asymmetric information and limited commitment.5. The default premium can increase if more consumers are likely to default.6. As consumers face a higher interest rate when borrowing, they borrow less and thus consume lesstoday.7. Such a borrower must reduce the size of her loan, and thus her consumption. She may also want todefault, thereby increasing the default premium and the interest rate of other borrowers, who also reduce their consumption.8. Pay-as-you-go Social Security always improves the welfare of the first generation to receive benefits.Later generations only see a welfare improvement if the population growth rate exceeds the real rate of interest.9. Fully funded Social Security has no effects as long as taxes collected are less than the optimal amountof saving. If taxes and benefits are larger, then individuals consume less when working and more when retired relative to what they would prefer.10. The government cannot commit not to take care of destitute senior citizens. This leads to an incentivenot to save, at least for the poor. With social security, there should be no destitute senior citizens, and the aggregate savings rate is higher as everyone saves optimally for retirement.Problems1. (a) The government intertemporal budget constraint is, assuming both t and t′ are positive:84 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Edition 1(1)0(1)bt b at r ′+−=+ (b) We are in a situation where asymmetric information becomes important: the government doesnot know who will be able to pay the future taxes. The relevant interest rate is the onecorresponding to the steeper part of the budget constraint, and the new endowment thus movesthe flatter part down. Consumption choices of the first period consumers are thus impactedthrough a negative income shock, as they have to pay more taxes to compensate for more unpaidtaxes in the future.(c) The Ricardian equivalence does not apply as the change in timing of taxes has changed someconsumption patterns. Indeed, households cannot fully adjust their savings, thus any change inperiodic disposable income has an impact at least for some households.2. (a) The government can only tax in the second period as much as it could get from the collateral:t ′ ≤ pH(b) Now that the government has priority on the collateral, the new collateral constraint is:−s (1 + r ) ≤ pH − t ′which implies(1)/(1)y t pH c r t r −+≤′+−+ (c) As we see from the new collateral constraint, Ricardian equivalence holds, as any shifting oftaxes across periods does not affect the constraint. The consumer makes the same consumptionchoice.3. (a) The bank will be lending so that it will be able to get the loan back in expectation. Thus, the newcollateral constraint isChapter 9 Credit Market Imperfections: Credit Frictions, Financial Crises and Social Security 85−s (1 + r ) ≤ a pHwhich leads to .(1)y t a pH c r −+≤+ This is much like Figure 9.5 in the textbook, simply with a lower collateral value.(b) If the collateral is more likely to be of no value, banks will lend less. Thus, some household willnot be able to borrow as much as they could before, leading for them and in aggregate to areduction of current consumption and an increase in future consumption. Thus we have exactlythe same impact as if we had a reduction in p , as in Figure 9.5 of the textbook.4. Social Security.(a) When the program is first instituted, the current old receive b in benefits and pay nothing.The effect on the current old is as in Figure 9.8 in the text. The current young receive b inbenefits when they are old. This effect is also captured by the shift from BA to FD in thetext’s Figure 9.8. The current young also lend bN to the government in period T and receive(1)r bN + in principal and interest when they are old. In per capita terms, these amounts are/(1)/(1)bN n N b n +=+ and (1)/(1)(1)/(1)r bN n N r b n ++=++ respectively. However, thisborrowing and lending are represented in Figure 9.8 as movements along the budget line.Unless there is a change in the real interest rate, there is no additional shift in the budget line.Therefore, both these generations unambiguously benefit from the program.(b) Once the program is running, it is identical to the pay-as-you-go system in the text. This programbenefits a typical cohort as long as n > r , as is depicted in textbook Figure 9.9. A specialcircumstance applies to the cohort born in period T + 1. These individuals each receive a benefit per capita of b /(1 + r ) in present value terms. However, they pay taxes to support two generations’worth of benefits. They pay taxes to retire the principal and interest on debt incurred in period T . The per capita share of principal and interest on their grandparents’ benefits is equal to(1 + r )b /(1 + n )2. The per capita share of their parents’ benefits is equal to b /(1 + n ). This generation can only benefit if:22(1)(1)1(1)(1)r r n n ++>+++ This requirement is obviously more stringent than .n r >5. Under this regime, disposable income for the young is y , but the price of current consumption is(1 + s ). This implies that the intertemporal budget constraint of the household is now(1)(1)(1)(1)s c c y y b r r r ′′+++=++++ In equibrium, it must be that sc (1 + n ) = b . Thus whether there is going to be a positive income effectis going to depend on n is larger than r . But the is also a substitution effect coming from the change in relative price between c and c ′. This substitution effect has no impact on welfare, though.86 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Edition6. (a) Consumers born in T are the first ones not to get benefits. The government finances the benefitsof the last generation, bN, with bonds D T. Thus each consumer born in T buys D T/N′ bonds, orb/(1 + n) each. In T +1, the government has to reimburse principal and interest, (1 +r)D T, thuseach old consumer at that time obtains (1 +r)b/(1 +n). This means that for the intertemporalbudget constraint in the figure below, the endowment point is shifted b/(1 + n) to the left and(1 +r)b/(1 +I) up. This is on the same budget constraint as before. However, this household isalso losing the old-age benefits it was expecting, thus the new endowment point shifts anadditional b down. However, this generation does not have to pay, when young, for the benefitsof the previous generation, as they are covered by the debt. Thus, the endowment point shiftsb/(1 +n) to the right. As r> n, the new endowment point is now to the right of the old budgetconstraint, see the figure below, and this household is better of. Essentially, it just the opposite of the situation that made it viable to institute a pay-as-you-go system when n > r. The exact samereasoning applies to all future generations.。
第5章封闭经济下的一时期宏观经济模型一、复习题1.学习封闭经济模型为什么有用?答:封闭经济模型反映的对象是一个单独的国家,与其他国家无关,即没有对外贸易往来。
封闭经济比较容易理解,将一个经济体的经济开放时其经济的大部分性质都不会改变,而且将全世界作为一个整体时封闭经济是一个合理的模型。
同时,可以通过分析在封闭经济中,市场中的消费者和企业是如何互动的,来探讨宏观经济模型的构建方法。
2.政府在一时期封闭经济模型中的作用是什么?答:政府在一时期封闭经济模型中的作用是征税和购买商品。
实践中,政府提供许多不同的产品和服务,包括道路和桥梁、国防、空中交通管制以及教育。
经济学家一般认为,政府在提供公共物品中应发挥特殊作用,因为私人部门难以或不可能提供公共物品。
3.在一时期模型中,政府可以有赤字吗?请解释。
答:在一时期模型中,资金的借、贷行为都无法存在,因此政府无法为其赤字融资,即政府没有赤字。
在预算约束下,政府不能通过借债为其支出筹资,税收收入也不能高于其支出。
政府预算赤字,即G-T≡0。
4.模型中的内生变量有哪些?答:内生变量是由模型本身决定的。
模型中的内生变量包括:C(消费)、N s(劳动供给)、N d(劳动需求)、T(税收)、Y(总产出)和w(市场实际工资)。
5.模型中的外生变量有哪些?答:外生变量是由模型以外的因素决定的。
模型中的外生变量有外生变量G(政府支出)、z(全要素生产率)和K(经济的资本存量)。
6.就这个模型而言,竞争性均衡必须满足哪四个条件?答:竞争性均衡必须满足:(1)典型消费者在他的预算约束下会选择C(消费)和N s(劳动供给),以使其境况尽可能得到改善;(2)典型企业会选择N d(劳动需求),以使其利润最大化;(3)劳动力市场出清,即N d=N s;(4)政府预算约束得到满足,即G=T。
7.生产可能性边界的斜率的经济意义是什么?答:生产可能性边界斜率为-MP N,生产可能性边界斜率也被定义为-MRT l,C,MRT l,C为闲暇与消费之间的边际转换率。
Chapter 2MeasurementTextbook Question SolutionsQuestions for Review1. Product, income, and expenditure approaches.2. For each producer, value added is equal to the value of total production minus the cost ofintermediate inputs.3. This identity emphasizes the point that all sales of output provide income somewhere in the economy.The identity also provides two separate ways of measuring total output in the economy.4. GNP is equal to GDP (domestic production) plus net factor payments from abroad. Net factorpayments represent income for domestic residents that are earned from production that takes place in foreign countries.5. GDP provides a reasonable approximation of economic welfare. However, GDP ignores the value ofnonmarket economic activity. GDP also measures only total income without reference to how that income is distributed.6. Measured GDP does not include production in the underground economy, which is difficult toestimate. GDP also measures the value of government spending at its cost of production, which may be greater or less than its true value.7. The largest component is consumption, which represents about 2/3 of GDP.8. Investment is equal to private, domestic expenditure on goods and services (Y − G − NX) minusconsumption. Investment includes residential investment, nonresidential investment, and inventory investment.9. National defense spending represents about 5% of GDP.10. GDP values production at market prices. Real GDP compares different years’ production at a specificset of prices. These prices are those that prevailed in the base year. Real GDP is therefore a weighted average of individual production levels. The weights are determined according to prevailing relative prices in the base year. Because relative prices change over time, comparisons of real GDP across time can differ according to the chosen base year.10 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Edition11. Chain-weighting directly compares production levels only in adjacent years. The price weights aredetermined by averaging the prices of the individual goods and services over the two adjacent years.12. Real GDP is difficult to measure due to changes over time in relative prices, difficulties in estimatingthe extent of quality changes, and how one estimates the value of newly introduced goods.13. Private saving measures additions to private sector wealth. Government saving measures reductionsin government debt (increases in government wealth). National saving measures additions to national wealth. National saving is equal to private saving plus government saving.14. National wealth is accumulated as increases in the domestic stock of capital (domestic investment)and increases in claims against foreigners (the current account surplus).15. Measured unemployment excludes discouraged workers. Measured unemployment only accountsfor the number of individuals unemployed, without reference to how intensively they search for new jobs.Problems1. Product accounting adds up value added by all producers. The wheat producer has no intermediateinputs and produces 30 million bushels at $3/bu. for $90 million. The bread producer produces100 million loaves at $3.50/loaf for $350 million. The bread producer uses $75 million worth of wheat as an input. Therefore, the bread producer’s value added is $275 million. Total GDP istherefore $90 million + $275 million = $365 million.Expenditure accounting adds up the value of expenditures on final output. Consumers buy100 million loaves at $3.50/loaf for $350 million. The wheat producer adds 5 million bushels of wheat to inventory. Therefore, investment spending is equal to 5 million bushels of wheat valued at $3/bu., which costs $15 million. Total GDP is therefore $350 million + $15 million = $365 million.Chapter 2 Measurement 112. Coal producer, steel producer, and consumers.(a) (i) Product approach: Coal producer produces 15 million tons of coal at $5/ton, which adds$75 million to GDP. The steel producer produces 10 million tons of steel at $20/ton, whichis worth $200 million. The steel producer pays $125 million for 25 million tons of coal at$5/ton. The steel producer’s value added is therefore $75 million. GDP is equal to$75 million + $75 million = $150 million.(ii) Expenditure approach: Consumers buy 8 million tons of steel at $20/ton, so consumption is $160 million. There is no investment and no government spending. Exports are 2 milliontons of steel at $20/ton, which is worth $40 million. Imports are 10 million tons of coal at$5/ton, which is worth $50 million. Net exports are therefore equal to $40 million −$50 million =−$10 million. GDP is therefore equal to $160 million + (−$10 million) =$150 million.(iii) Income approach: The coal producer pays $50 million in wages and the steel producer pays $40 million in wages, so total wages in the economy equal $90 million. The coal producerreceives $75 million in revenue for selling 15 million tons at $15/ton. The coal producerpays $50 million in wages, so the coal producer’s profits are $25 million. The steel producerreceives $200 million in revenue for selling 10 million tons of steel at $20/ton. The steelproducer pays $40 million in wages and pays $125 million for the 25 million tons ofcoal that it needs to produce steel. The steel producer’s profits are therefore equal to$200 million − $40 million − $125 million = $35 million. Total profit income in theeconomy is therefore $25 million + $35 million = $60 million. GDP therefore is equal towage income ($90 million) plus profit income ($60 million). GDP is therefore $150 million.(b) There are no net factor payments from abroad in this example. Therefore, the current accountsurplus is equal to net exports, which is equal to (−$10 million).(c) As originally formulated, GNP is equal to GDP, which is equal to $150 million. Alternatively, ifforeigners receive $25 million in coal industry profits as income, then net factor payments fromabroad are (−$25 million), so GNP is equal to $125 million.3. Wheat and Bread12 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Edition(a) Product approach: Firm A produces 50,000 bushels of wheat, with no intermediate goods inputs.At $3/bu., the value of Firm A’s production is equal to $150,000. Firm B produces 50,000 loaves of bread at $2/loaf, which is valued at $100,000. Firm B pays $60,000 to firm A for 20,000bushels of wheat, which is an intermediate input. Firm B’s value added is therefore $40,000.GDP is therefore equal to $190,000.(b) Expenditure approach: Consumers buy 50,000 loaves of domestically produced bread at $2/loafand 15,000 loaves of imported bread at $1/loaf. Consumption spending is therefore equal to$100,000 + $15,000 = $115,000. Firm A adds 5,000 bushels of wheat to inventory. Wheat isworth $3/bu., so investment is equal to $15,000. Firm A exports 25,000 bushels of wheat for$3/bu. Exports are $75,000. Consumers import 15,000 loaves of bread at $1/loaf. Imports are$15,000. Net exports are equal to $75,000 − $15,000 = $60,000. There is no governmentspending. GDP is equal to consumption ($115,000) plus investment ($15,000) plus net exports($60,000). GDP is therefore equal to $190,000.(c) Income approach: Firm A pays $50,000 in wages. Firm B pays $20,000 in wages. Total wagesare therefore $70,000. Firm A produces $150,000 worth of wheat and pays $50,000 in wages.Firm A’s profits are $100,000. Firm B produces $100,000 worth of bread. Firm B pays $20,000in wages and pays $60,000 to Firm A for wheat. Firm B’s profits are $100,000 − $20,000 −$60,000 = $20,000. Total profit income in the economy equals $100,000 + $20, 000 = $120,000.Total wage income ($70,000) plus profit income ($120,000) equals $190,000. GDP is therefore$190,000.Chapter 2 Measurement 13 4. Price and quantity data are given as the following.Year 1Good QuantityPrice$1,000Computers 20Bread 10,000$1.00Year 2PriceGood QuantityComputers 25$1,500$1.00Bread 10,000(a) Year 1 nominal GDP 20$1,00010,000$1.00$30,000=×+×=.Year 2 nominal GDP 25$1,50012,000$1.10$50,700=×+×=.With year 1 as the base year, we need to value both years’ production at year 1 prices. In the base year, year 1, real GDP equals nominal GDP equals $30,000. In year 2, we need to value year 2’s=×+×=. The output at year 1 prices. Year 2 real GDP 25$1,00012,000$1.00$37,000percentage change in real GDP equals ($37,000 − $30,000)/$30,000 = 23.33%.We next calculate chain-weighted real GDP. At year 1 prices, the ratio of year 2 real GDP to year1 real GDP equals g1= ($37,000/$30,000) = 1.2333. We must next compute real GDP using year2 prices. Year 2 GDP valued at year 2 prices equals year 2 nominal GDP = $50,700. Year 1 GDPvalued at year 2 prices equals (20 × $1,500 + 10,000 × $1.10) = $41,000. The ratio of year 2 GDP at year 2 prices to year 1 GDP at year 2 prices equals g2=chain-weighted ratio of real GDP in the two years therefore is equal to 1.23496g==.cThe percentage change chain-weighted real GDP from year 1 to year 2 is therefore approximately23.5%.If we (arbitrarily) designate year 1 as the base year, then year 1 chain-weighted GDP equalsnominal GDP equals $30,000. Year 2 chain-weighted real GDP is equal to (1.23496 × $30,000) = $37,048.75.(b) To calculate the implicit GDP deflator, we divide nominal GDP by real GDP, and then multiplyby 100 to express as an index number. With year 1 as the base year, base year nominal GDPequals base year real GDP, so the base year implicit GDP deflator is 100. For the year 2, theimplicit GDP deflator is ($50,700/$37,000) × 100 = 137.0. The percentage change in the deflator is equal to 37.0%.With chain weighting, and the base year set at year 1, the year 1 GDP deflator equals($30,000/$30,000) × 100 = 100. The chain-weighted deflator for year 2 is now equal to($50,700/$37,048.75) × 100 = 136.85. The percentage change in the chain-weighted deflatorequals 36.85%.14 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Edition(c) We next consider the possibility that year 2 computers are twice as productive as year1 computers. As one possibility, let us define a “computer” as a year 1 computer. In this case,the 25 computers produced in year 2 are the equivalent of 50 year 1 computers. Each year 1computer now sells for $750 in year 2. We now revise the original data as:Year 1PriceGood QuantityYear 1 Computers 20 $1,000Bread 10,000$1.00Year 2PriceGood QuantityYear 1 Computers 50 $750$1.10Bread 12,000First, note that the change in the definition of a “computer” does not affect the calculations ofnominal GDP. We next compute real GDP with year 1 as the base year. Year 2 real GDP in year×+×= The percentage change in real GDP is1 prices is now 50$1,00012,000$1.00$62,000.equal to ($62,000 − $30,000)/$30,000 = 106.7%.We next revise the calculation of chain-weighted real GDP. From above, g1 equals($62,000/$30,000) = 206.67. The value of year 1 GDP at year 2 prices equals $26,000. Therefore, g2 equals ($50,700/$26,000) = 1.95. 200.75. The percentage change chain-weighted real GDPfrom year 1 to year 2 is therefore 100.75%.If we (arbitrarily) designate year 1 as the base year, then year 1 chain-weighted GDP equalsnominal GDP equals $30,000. Year 2 chain-weighted real GDP is equal to (2.0075 × $30,000) =$60,225. The chain-weighted deflator for year 1 is automatically 100. The chain-weighteddeflator for year 2 equals ($50,700/$60,225) × 100 = 84.18. The percentage rate of change of the chain-weighted deflator equals −15.8%.When there is no quality change, the difference between using year 1 as the base year and usingchain weighting is relatively small. Factoring in the increased performance of year 2 computers,the production of computers rises dramatically while its relative price falls. Compared withearlier practices, chain weighting provides a smaller estimate of the increase in production and a smaller estimate of the reduction in prices. This difference is due to the fact that the relative price of the good that increases most in quantity (computers) is much higher in year 1. Therefore, theuse of historical prices puts more weight on the increase in quality-adjusted computer output.Chapter 2 Measurement 15 5. Price and quantity data are given as the following:Year 1GoodQuantity(million lbs.)Price(per lb.)Broccoli 1,500 $0.50 Cauliflower 300 $0.80Year 2GoodQuantity(million lbs.)Price(per lb.)Broccoli 2,400 $0.60Cauliflower 350 $0.85(a) Year 1 nominal GDP = Year 1 real GDP 1,500million$0.50300million$0.80=×+×= $990million.Year 2 nominal GDP 2,400million$0.60350million$0.85$1,730.5million=×+×=Year 2 real GDP 2,400million$0.50350million$0.80$1,450million.=×+×=Year 1 GDP deflator equals 100.Year 2 GDP deflator equals ($1,730.5/$1,450) × 100 = 119.3.The percentage change in the deflator equals 19.3%.(b) Year 1 production (market basket) at year 1 prices equals year 1 nominal GDP = $990 million.The value of the market basket at year 2 prices is equal to 1,500million$0.60300million×+×$0.85= $1,050 million.Year 1 CPI equals 100.Year 2 CPI equals ($1,050/$990) × 100 = 106.1.The percentage change in the CPI equals 6.1%.The relative price of broccoli has gone up. The relative quantity of broccoli has also gone up. The CPI attaches a smaller weight to the price of broccoli, and so the CPI shows less inflation.6. Corn producer, consumers, and government.(a) (i) Product approach: There are no intermediate goods inputs. The corn producer grows30 million bushels of corn. Each bushel of corn is worth $5. Therefore, GDP equals$150 million.(ii) Expenditure approach: Consumers buy 20 million bushels of corn, so consumption equals $100 million. The corn producer adds 5 million bushels to inventory, so investment equals$25 million. The government buys 5 million bushels of corn, so government spendingequals $25 million. GDP equals $150 million.16 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Edition(iii) Income approach: Wage income is $60 million, paid by the corn producer. The corn producer’s revenue equals $150 million, including the value of its addition to inventory. Additionsto inventory are treated as purchasing one owns output. The corn producer’s costsinclude wages of $60 million and taxes of $20 million. Therefore, profit income equals$150 million − $60 million − $20 million = $70 million. Government income equals taxespaid by the corn producer, which equals $20 million. Therefore, GDP by income equals$60 million + $70 million + $20 million = $150 million.(b) Private disposable income equals GDP ($150 million) plus net factor payments (0) plusgovernment transfers ($5 million is Social Security benefits) plus interest on the government debt ($10 million) minus total taxes ($30 million), which equals $135 million. Private saving equalsprivate disposable income ($135 million) minus consumption ($100 million), which equals$35 million. Government saving equals government tax income ($30 million) minus transferpayments ($5 million) minus interest on the government debt ($10 million) minus governmentspending ($5 million), which equals $10 million. National saving equals private saving($35 million) plus government saving ($10 million), which equals $45 million. The governmentbudget surplus equals government savings ($10 million). Since the budget surplus is positive, the government budget is in surplus. The government deficit is therefore equal to (−$10 million).7. Price controls.Nominal GDP is calculated by measuring output at market prices. In the event of effective pricecontrols, measured prices equal the controlled prices. However, controlled prices reflect an inaccurate measure of scarcity values. Nominal GDP is therefore distorted. In addition to distortions in nominal GDP measures, price controls also inject an inaccuracy in attempts to decompose changes in nominal GDP into movements in real GDP and movements in prices. With price controls, there is typically little or no change in white market prices over time. Alternatively, black market or scarcity value prices typically increase, perhaps dramatically. Measures of prices (in terms of scarcity values)understate inflation. Whenever inflation measures are too low, changes in real GDP overstate the extent of increases in actual production.8. Underground economy.Transactions in underground economy are performed with cash exclusively, to exploit the anonymous nature of currency. Thus, once we have established the amount of currency held abroad, we know the portion of $2,776 that is held domestically. Remove from it what is used for recorded transactions, say by using some estimate of the proportion of transactions using cash and applying this to observed GDP. Finally apply a concept of velocity of money to the remaining amount of cash to obtain the size of the underground economy.9. As for the government sector, the value added in the FIRE sector is difficult to determine with theproduct or the expenditure approach. Thus, this income approach seems most appropriate. However, if wages and profits are not representative of value added, this approach also yields erroneousnumbers. This is especially the case if FIRE income was obtained by hurting costumers, who thereby received no value added. GDP is then overvalued.10. Not all transactions are made with checks or wire transfers. Anything that is paid with cash is notrecorded through Fedwire. Also any transactions with checks between two clients of the same bank do not need to be cleared through Fedwire.Chapter 2 Measurement 17 11. S p − 1 = CA + D(a) By definition:p d S Y C Y NFP TR INT T C =−=+++−−Next, recall that .Y C I G NX =+++ Substitute into the equation above and subtract I to obtain:()()p S I C I G NX NFP INT T C INX NFP G INT TR T CA D−=+++++−−−=++++−=+(b) Private saving, which is not used to finance domestic investment, is either lent to the domesticgovernment to finance its deficit (D ), or is lent to foreigners (CA ).12. Computing capital with the perpetual inventory method.(a) First, use the formula recursively for each year:K 0 = 80K 1 = 0.9 × 80 + 10 = 82K 2 = 0.9 × 82 + 10 = 83.8K 3 = 0.9 × 83.8 + 10 = 85.42K 4 = 0.9 × 85.42 + 10 = 86.88K 5 = 0.9 × 86.88 + 10 = 88.19K 6 = 0.9 × 88.19 + 10 = 89.37K 7 = 0.9 × 89.37 + 10 = 90.43K 8 = 0.9 × 90.43 + 10 = 91.39K 9 = 0.9 × 91.39 + 10 = 92.25K 10 = 0.9 × 92.25 + 10 = 93.03(b) This time, capital stays constant at 100, as the yearly investment corresponds exactly to theamount of capital that is depreciated every year. In (a), we started with a lower level of capital, thus less depreciated than what was invested, as capital kept rising (until it would reach 100).13. Assume the following:10540308010520D INT T G C NFP CA S =======−= (a) 201080110d p Y S CS D C=+=++=++=18 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Edition (b) 103054015D G TR INT TTR D G INT T =++−=−−+=−−+=(c)208030130S GNP C G GNP S C G =−−=++=++= (d)13010120GDP GNP NFP =−=−= (e)Government Surplus 10g S D ==−=− (f)51015CA NX NFP NX CA NFP =+=−=−−=− (g) 12080301525GDP C I G NX I GDP C G NX =+++=−−−=−−+=14. First some preliminaries. As the unemployment rate is 5% and there are 2.5 million unemployed, itmust be that the labor force is 50 million (2.5/0.05). Thus, the participation rate is 50% (50/100), the labor force 50 million, the number of employed workers 47.5 million (50-2.5), and theemployment/population ratio is 47.5% (47.5/100).。
第3章经济周期的衡量一、复习题1.经济周期的主要特征是什么?答:经济周期的主要特征是:经济周期围绕着实际GDP的趋势波动。
用与现实的实际GDP非常吻合的平滑曲线来表示实际GDP的趋势,这种趋势意味着部分实际GDP可归因于长期增长因素。
其余未分析的,即对趋势的偏离,则用经济周期活动来表示。
表示实际GDP增长趋势的曲线围绕着趋势上下变动,低谷是对趋势的最大负偏离,高峰是对趋势的最大正偏离,从而形成衰退与繁荣的经济周期波动。
2.除持续性外,GDP偏离趋势的三个重要特征是什么?答:GDP偏离趋势的三个重要特征是:(1)实际GDP偏离趋势的时间序列很不稳定。
(2)实际GDP围绕趋势波动的幅度没有规律性。
一些高峰和低谷意味着对趋势的巨大偏离,而另一些高峰和低谷则意味着对趋势的小幅偏离。
(3)实际GDP围绕趋势波动的频率没有规律性。
实际GDP中高峰和低谷之间的时间跨度变化很大。
3.解释预测长期GDP为何困难。
答:预测长期GDP困难的原因:(1)实际GDP围绕趋势波动的幅度没有规律性。
一些高峰和低谷意味着对趋势的巨大偏离,而另一些高峰和低谷则意味着对趋势的小幅偏离。
(2)实际GDP围绕趋势波动的频率没有规律性。
实际GDP中高峰和低谷之间的时间跨度变化很大。
(3)实际GDP偏离趋势的时间序列很不稳定。
总之,实际GDP波动的不稳定使这些波动难以预测,而且不稳定性也使得转折点何时发生难以预测,而波幅和频率的无规律则意味着难以预测衰退和繁荣的强度和时间长短。
4.总体经济变量的联动为何重要?答:尽管实际GDP波动具有不规律的形式,但宏观经济诸变量一起波动的格局显示出了较强的规律性,这些波动格局称为联动。
通过以时间序列图或散点图的形式为两个经济变量偏离其趋势的百分比作图,或通过计算偏离趋势的百分比标准差,就可判别联动。
联动性很重要,因为联动性的规律表明,经济周期是大同小异的。
经济周期的这一性质可能产生分析经济周期的一般理论,这一可能的新理论不同于以往的理论,即:将每一个经济周期都看作是一系列独特条件的结果再进行经济周期的研究。
1 / 37第1章 导 论1.1 复习笔记一、宏观经济学1.宏观经济学的研究对象宏观经济学的研究对象是众多经济主体的行为。
它关注的是消费者和企业的总体行为、政府的行为、单个国家的经济活动总水平、各国间的经济影响,以及财政政策和货币政策的效应。
2.宏观经济学与微观经济学的联系与区别(1)联系微观经济学家与宏观经济学家都在使用非常相似的研究工具。
宏观经济学家用来描述消费者与企业的行为、目标与约束,以及他们之间如何相互影响的经济模型,是根据微观经济学原理建立起来的,而且在分析这些模型和拟合数据时通常都用微观经济学家所用的方法。
2 / 37(2)区别宏观经济学的研究对象有别于微观经济学,宏观经济学侧重于总量研究,强调的问题主要是长期增长和经济周期。
微观经济学主要针对单个消费者或者企业的行为选择。
二、国内生产总值、经济增长与经济周期1.国内生产总值(gross domestic product ,GDP )国内生产总值是一国在某一特定时期在境内生产的产品和服务的数量。
GDP 也表示那些对国内产出作出贡献的人挣得的收入总量。
实际GDP 是针对通货膨胀进行调整后的总产出衡量指标。
2.经济增长(long-run growth )经济增长率是一个国家当年国内生产总值对比往年的增长率。
经济正增长一般被认为是整体经济景气的表现。
长期增长是指一国长期的生产能力和平均生活水平的提高。
3.经济周期(business cycles )经济周期是指总体经济的短期上下波动,或经济的繁荣与衰退。
3 / 37三、宏观经济模型1.宏观经济模型及其假设宏观经济模型是用来解释长期经济增长、经济周期存在的原因、以及经济政策在宏观经济中应发挥的作用的模型。
确切的说,宏观经济模型的基本构造是用来描述下列特征的:(1)经济中相互影响的消费者与企业。
(2)消费者希望消费的一组商品。
(3)消费者对商品的偏好。
(4)企业生产商品可采用的技术。
(5)可利用的资源。
威廉森《宏观经济学》课后习题(衡量)【圣才出品】第2章衡量⼀、复习题1.衡量GDP的三种⽅法是什么?答:衡量GDP的三种⽅法包括⽣产法、收⼊法和⽀出法。
(1)⽣产法⽣产法也被称作增加值法,是将经济中全部⽣产单位⽣产的产品和服务的增加值加总来计算GDP。
为了⽤⽣产法核算GDP,⾸先将经济体⽣产的所有产品和服务价值相加,然后减去为实现总增加值⽽投⼊⽣产的所有中间产品的价值,以避免重复计算。
(2)⽀出法就⽀出法⽽⾔,GDP是指⽤于经济体⽣产最终产品和最终服务⽅⾯的总⽀出。
不计算⽤于中间产品的⽀出。
总⽀出的计算公式是:总⽀出=C+I+G+NX。
式中,C为消费⽀出;I为投资⽀出;G为政府⽀出;NX为净出⼝,即出⼝产品和服务的总额减去其进⼝的总额。
(3)收⼊法⽤收⼊法计算GDP,要将各经济主体因参与⽣产⽽获得的全部收⼊加总。
收⼊包括企业实现的利润。
收⼊包括雇员报酬(⼯资、薪⾦和津贴)、业主(⾃营企业的所有者)收⼊、租⾦收⼊、公司利润、净利息、企业间接税(企业缴纳的⼯资税和销售税)和折旧(固定资本损耗)。
折旧是在考虑的时期内⽣产性固定资本(⼯⼚和设备)损耗的价值。
由于计算利润时剔除了折旧,因⽽在计算GDP时需要将此再加进来。
2.解释增加值的概念。
答:⽤⽣产法核算GDP,⾸先应将经济体⽣产的所有产品和服务价值相加,然后减去为实现总增加值⽽投⼊⽣产的所有中间产品的价值,最终得到总增加值。
(1)从私⼈⽣产的⾓度⽽⾔,即对于每个⽣产商,增加值等于总⽣产价值减去中间投⼊的成本。
以饭店服务为例,不应把提供饭店服务过程中投⼊的椰⼦价值算作GDP的⼀部分,⽽是应作为中间产品从GDP中减去,进⽽得到⽣产增加值。
(2)对政府⽣产⽽⾔,由于政府提供的⽣产⼀般⽆法按市场价格销售,以防务的提供为例,其对GDP的贡献就等于提供防务时所需要的劳动⼒的投⼊成本,由此⽽得到提供防务时的国民⽣产增加值。
3.收⼊-⽀出恒等式为什么重要?答:收⼊⽀出恒等式重要的原因:(1)收⼊⽀出恒等式提供了两种单独衡量经济总产出的⽅式,即收⼊法和⽀出法。
Chapter 4Consumer and Firm Behavior: The Work-Leisure Decision and Profit MaximizationTextbook Question SolutionsQuestions for Review1. Consumers consume an aggregate consumption good and leisure.2. Consumers’ preferences are summarized in a utility function.3. The first property is that more is always preferred to less. This property assures us that a consumptionbundle with more of one good and no less of the other good than any second bundle will always be preferred to the second bundle.The second property is that a consumer likes diversity in his or her consumption bundle. Thisproperty assures us that a linear combination of two consumption bundles will always be preferred to the two original bundles.The third property is that both consumption and leisure are normal goods. This property assures us that an increase in a consumer’s income will always induce the individual to consume more of both consumption and leisure.4. The first property of indifference curves is that they are downward sloping. This property is a directconsequence of the property that more is always preferred to less. The second property ofindifference curves is that they are bowed toward the origin. This property is a direct consequence of consumers’ preference for diversity.5. Consumers maximize the amount of utility they can derive from their given amount of availableresources.6. The optimal bundle has the property that it represents a point of tangency of the budget line with anindifference curve. An equivalent property is that the marginal rate of substitution of leisure forconsumption and leisure is equal to the real wage.7. In response to an increase in dividend income, the consumer will consume more goods and moreleisure.8. In response to an increase in the real value of a lump-sum tax, the consumer will consume less goodsand less leisure.28 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Edition9. An increase in the real wage makes the consumer more well off. As a result of this pure income effect,the consumer wants more leisure. Alternatively, the increase in the real wage induces a substitution effect in which the consumer is willing to consume less leisure in exchange for working more hours (consuming less leisure). The net effect of these two competing forces is theoretically ambiguous.10. The representative firm seeks to maximize profits.11. As the amount of labor is increased, holding the amount of capital constant, each worker gets asmaller share of the fixed amount of capital, and there is a reduction in each worker’s marginalproductivity.12. An increase in total factor productivity shifts the production function upward.13. The representative firm’s profit is equal to its production (revenue measured in units of goods) minusits variable labor costs (the real wage times the amount of labor input). A unit increase in labor input adds the marginal product of labor to revenue and adds the real wage to labor costs. The amount of labor demand is that amount of labor input that equates marginal revenue with marginal labor costs.This quantity of labor, labor demand, can simply be read off the marginal product of labor schedule.Problems1. Consider the two hypothetical indifference curves in the figure below. Point A is on both indifferencecurves, I1 and I2. By construction, the consumer is indifferent between A and B, as both points are on I2. In like fashion, the consumer is indifferent between A and C, as both points are on I1. But atpoint C, the consumer has more consumption and more leisure than at point B. As long as theconsumer prefers more to less, he or she must strictly prefer C to A. We therefore contradict thehypothesis that two indifference curves can cross.2. u al bC=+(a) To specify an indifference curve, we hold utility constant at u Next rearrange in the form:u aC l=−b bChapter 4 Consumer and Firm Behavior: The Work-Leisure Decision and Profit Maximization 29 Indifference curves are therefore linear with slope, −a /b , which represents the marginal rate ofsubstitution. There are two main cases, according to whether /a b w > or /.a b w < The top panelof the left figure below shows the case of /.a b w < In this case the indifference curves are flatterthan the budget line and the consumer picks point A, at which 0l = and .C wh T π=+− Theright figure shows the case of /.a b w > In this case the indifference curves are steeper than thebudget line, and the consumer picks point B, at which l h = and .C T π=− In the coincidentalcase in which /,a b w = the highest attainable indifference curve coincides with the indifference curve, and the consumer is indifferent among all possible amounts of leisure and hours worked.(b) The utility function in this problem does not obey the property that the consumer prefers diversity,and is therefore not a likely possibility.(c) This utility function does have the property that more is preferred to less. However, the marginalrate of substitution is constant, and therefore this utility function does not satisfy the property ofdiminishing marginal rate of substitution.3. (a) Using the formulas in the example from the textbook, one obtains:l = C = (0.75 × 16 − 0.8 − 6)/(1 + 0.75) = 3.89Given the numbers given, we can precisely determine the coordinates of the points in the figureabove: A is (0,6.8), B is (3.89,3.89), D is (9,07,0), with the slope of ABD being − 0.75.30 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Edition (b) With the new wage, we obtain: l = C = (1.5 × 16 − 0.8 − 6)/(1 + 1.5) = 7.52where A, B and D have the same coordinates as above, and E is (0, 12.8), F is (7.52, 7.52), H is(12.53,0), and the slope of EFH is − 1.5. As there are no substitution effects when goods areperfect complements, the entire move from point B to point F is due to the income effect.4. When the government imposes a proportional tax on wage income, the consumer’s budget constraintis now given by:(1)(),C w t h l T π=−−+−where t is the tax rate on wage income. In the figure below, the budget constraint for t = 0, is FGH.When t > 0, the budget constraint is EGH. The slope of the original budget line is –w , while the slope of the new budget line is −(1 − t )w . Initially the consumer picks the point A on the original budget line. After the tax has been imposed, the consumer picks point B. The substitution effect of the imposition of the tax is to move the consumer from point A to point D on the original indifference curve. The point D is at the tangent point of indifference curve, I 1, with a line segment that is parallel to EG. The pure substitution effect induces the consumer to reduce consumption and increase leisure (work less). T he tax also makes the consumer worse off, in that he or she can no longer be on indifferencecurve, I 1, but must move to the less preferred indifference curve, I 2. This pure income effect moves the consumer to point B, which has less consumption and less leisure than point D, because bothconsumption and leisure are normal goods. The net effect of the tax is to reduce consumption, but the direction of the net effect on leisure is ambiguous. The figure shows the case in which the substitution effect on leisure dominates the income effect. In this case, leisure increases and hours worked fall. Although consumption must fall, hours worked may rise, fall, or remain the same.Chapter 4 Consumer and Firm Behavior: The Work-Leisure Decision and Profit Maximization 315. The budget constraint has a kink due to the tax deduction and is represented in the following figuresby ABDh. Reducing the tax deduction pushes the budget constraint to FEDh.First consider a consumer who does not pay taxes. In the old regime, he would have an optimalbundle somewhere between B and D. Two things can happen. If the bundle is between E and D, there is no change. If it is between B and E, say at H, then the household will reoptimize with the new tax deduction. The new bundle is then either somewhere between E and F, and the MRS equals w(1 −t).Or we obtain a corner solution at E, and the MRS is somewhere between w and w(1 −t). The move from H to E is due to the income effect, and if there is an optimal strictly between E and F, the move from E to that point is due to the substitution effect.32 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth EditionFor a consumer who pays taxes, his wage, and thus is MRS does not change. Thus the move from H to J is a pure negative income effect.6. The increase in dividend income shifts the budget line upward. The reduction in the wage rate flattensthe budget line. One possibility is depicted in the figures below. The original budget constraint HGL shifts to HFE. There are two income effects in this case. The increase in dividend income is a positive income effect. The reduction in the wage rate is a negative income effect. The drawing in the top figure shows the case where these two income effects exactly cancel out. In this case we are left witha pure substitution effect that moves the consumer from point A to point B. Therefore, consumptionfalls and leisure increases. As leisure increases, hours of work must fall. The middle figure shows a case in which the increase in dividend income, the distance GF, is larger and so the income effect is positive. The consumer winds up on a higher indifference curve, leisure unambiguously increases, and consumption may either increase or decrease. The bottom figure shows a case in which theincrease in dividend income, the distance GF, is smaller and so the income effect is negative. The consumer winds up on a lower indifference curve, consumption unambiguously decreases, andleisure may either increase or decrease.Chapter 4 Consumer and Firm Behavior: The Work-Leisure Decision and Profit Maximization 33 7. This problem introduces a higher, overtime wage for hours worked above a threshold, q. Thisproblem also abstracts from any dividend income and taxes.(a) The budget constraint is now EJG in the figure below. The budget constraint is steeper for levelsof leisure less than h − q, because of the higher overtime wage. The figure depicts possiblechoices for two different consumers. Consumer #1 picks point A on her indifference curve, I1.Consumer #2 picks point B on his indifference curve, I2. Consumer #1 chooses to work overtime;consumer #2 does not.(b) The geometry of the figure above makes it clear that it would be very difficult to have anindifference curve tangent to EJG close to point J. In order for this to happen, an indifferencecurve would need to be close to right angled as in the case of pure complement. It is unlikely that consumers wish to consume goods and leisure in fixed proportions, and so points like A and Bare more typical. For any other allowable shape for the indifference curve, it is impossible forpoint J to be chosen.(c) An increase in the overtime wage steepens segment EJ of the budget constraint, but has no effecton the segment JG. For an individual like consumer #2, the increase in the overtime wage has no effect up until the point at which the increase is large enough to shift the individual to a point like point A. Consumer #2 receives no income effect because the income effect arises out of a higher wage rate on inframarginal units of work. An individual like consumer #1 has the traditionalincome and substitution effects of a wage increase. Consumer #1 increases her consumption, but may either increase or reduce hours of work according to whether the income effect outweighsthe substitution effect.8. Lump-sum Tax vs. Proportional Tax. Suppose that we start with a proportional tax. Under theproportional tax the consumer’s budget line is EFH in the figure below. The consumer choosesconsumption, *,C and leisure, *,l at point A on indifference curve I1. A shift to a lump-sum taxsteepens the budget line. The absolute value of the slope of the budget line is (1),− and t has fallent w to zero. The imposition of the lump-sum tax shifts the budget line downward in a parallel fashion. By construction, the lump-sum tax must raise the same amount of revenue as the proportional tax. The consumer must therefore be able to continue to consume *C of the consumption good and *l of leisure after the change in tax collection. Therefore, the new budget line must also pass through point A.The new budget line is labeled LGH in the figure below. With the lump-sum tax, the consumer can34 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Editiondo better by choosing point B, on the higher indifference curve, I2. Therefore, the consumer is clearly better off. We are also assured that consumption will be greater at point B than at point A, and that leisure will be smaller at point B than at point A.9. Leisure represents all time used for nonmarket activities. If the government is now providing forsome of those, like providing free child care, households will take advantage of such a program,thereby allowing more time for other activities, including market work. Concretely, this translates ina change of preferences for households. For the same amount of consumption, they are now willing towork more, or in other words, they are willing to forego some additional leisure. On the figure below, the new indifference curve is labeled I2. It can cross indifference curve I1 because preferences, as we measure them here, have changed. The equilibrium basket of goods for the household now shifts from A to B. This leads to reduced leisure (from l*1 to l*2), and thus increased hours worked, and increased consumption (from C*1 to C*2) thanks to higher labor income at the fixed wage.Chapter 4 Consumer and Firm Behavior: The Work-Leisure Decision and Profit Maximization 3536 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Edition 10. The firm chooses its labor input, N d , so as to maximize profits. When there is no tax, profits for thefirm are given by(,).d d zF K N wN π=−That is, profits are the difference between revenue and costs. In the top figure on the following page,the revenue function is (,)d zF K N and the cost function is the straight line, wN d . The firm maximizes profits by choosing the quantity of labor where the slope of the revenue function equals the slope of the cost function:.N MP w =The firm’s demand for labor curve is the marginal product of labor schedule in the bottom figure onthe following page.With a tax that is proportional to the firm’s output, the firm’s profits are given by:(,)(,)(1)(,),d d d d zF K N wN tzF K N t zF K N π=−−=−where the term (1)(,)d t zF K N − is the after-tax revenue function, and as before, wN d is the costfunction. In the top figure below, the tax acts to shift down the revenue function for the firm and reduces the slope of the revenue function. As before, the firm will maximize profits by choosing the quantity of labor input where the slope of the revenue function is equal to the slope of the cost function, but the slope of the revenue function is (1),N t MP − so the firm chooses the quantity oflabor where(1).N t MP w −=In the bottom figure below, the labor demand curve is now (1),N t MP − and the labor demand curvehas shifted down. The tax acts to reduce the after-tax marginal product of labor, and the firm will hire less labor at any given real wage.Chapter 4 Consumer and Firm Behavior: The Work-Leisure Decision and Profit Maximization 37 11. The firm chooses its labor input N d so as to maximize profits. When there is no subsidy, profits forthe firm are given by(,).d d zF K N wN π=−That is, profits are the difference between revenue and costs. In the top figure on the following pagethe revenue function is (,)d zF K N and the cost function is the straight line, wN d . The firm maximizes profits by choosing the quantity of labor where the slope of the revenue function equals the slope of the cost function:.N MP w =The firm’s demand for labor curve is the marginal product of labor schedule in the bottom figurebelow.With an employment subsidy, the firm’s profits are given by:(,)()d d zF K N w s N π=−−where the term (,)d zF K N is the unchanged revenue function, and (w – s )N d is the cost function. Thesubsidy acts to reduce the cost of each unit of labor by the amount of the subsidy, s . In the top figure below, the subsidy acts to shift down the cost function for the firm by reducing its slope. As before, the firm will maximize profits by choosing the quantity of labor input where the slope of the revenue function is equal to the slope of the cost function, (t – s ), so the firm chooses the quantity of labor where.N MP w s =−In the bottom figure below, the labor demand curve is now ,N MP s + and the labor demand curve hasshifted up. The subsidy acts to reduce the marginal cost of labor, and the firm will hire more labor at any given real wage.38 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Edition 12. Minimum Employment Requirement. Below *,N no output is produced. Thereafter, the productionfunction has its usual properties. Such a production function is reproduced in the first two figures below. At high wages, the firm’s cost curve is entirely above the revenue curve, so the firm hires nolabor, to prevent incurring losses. Only if the wage rate is less than ˆwwill the firms choose to hire anyone. At ˆ,w w= the firm chooses *,N just as it would in the absence of the constraint. Below ˆ,w the labor demand curve is unaffected. The labor demand curve is reproduced in the bottom figure.Chapter 4 Consumer and Firm Behavior: The Work-Leisure Decision and Profit Maximization 39 13. The level of output produced by one worker who works h – l hours is given by(,).s Y zF K h l =−This equation is plotted in the figure below. The slope of this production possibilities frontier is simply .N MP −14. As the firm has to internalize the pollution, it realizes that labor is less effective than it previouslythought. It now needs to hire N (1 + x ) workers where N were previously sufficient. This is qualitatively equivalent to a reduction of z , total factor productivity. The figure below highlights the resulting outcome: the firm now hires fewer people for a given wage and thus its labor demand is reduced.40 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Edition 15. 0.30.7Y zK n =(a) 0.7.Y n = See the top figure below. The marginal product of labor is positive and diminishing. (b) 0.72.Y n = See the figures below. (c) 0.30.70.72 1.23.Y n n =≈ See the figures below. (d) See the bottom figure below.0.30.30.30.30.31,10.72,1 1.41,220.70.86N N N z K MP n z K MP n z K MP n n −−−−==⇒===⇒===⇒=×≈。
Chapter 10A Real Intertemporal Model with InvestmentTextbook Question SolutionsQuestions for Review1. An increase in the real interest rate makes future leisure less expensive than current leisure. Therefore,current labor supply increases when the real interest rate increases. An increase in the real interest rate also makes future consumption less expensive than current consumption. Therefore, current consumption falls when the real interest rate increases. Alternatively, an increase in the real interest rate raises the rate of return on savings. The consumer can save more both by working more andconsuming less in the current period.2. The primary determinants of current labor supply are the current real wage, the real interest rate, andlifetime wealth.3. Current labor demand is exclusively governed by the current-period marginal product of laborschedule. Therefore, labor demand depends on total factor productivity and the current-periodcapital stock.4. The representative firm maximizes the present value of its profits.5. The representative firm should invest until the point at which the net marginal product of capitalequals the real rate of interest.6. The current capital stock does not affect the optimal amount of capital that the firm wants in placenext period. However, if the firm has more capital in the current period, a lower amount ofinvestment is needed to achieve the desired amount of capital.7. An increase in future total factor productivity raises the net marginal product of capital, and thereforeinvestment increases.8. The government must equate the present value of government spending with the present value oftaxes. The government may run a deficit in the current period, but if it does so it must run a surplus in the future period.9. Changes in the lifetime wealth of consumers, changes in current-period total factor productivity, andchanges in the current capital stock all shift the output supply curve.10. Changes in current and future government spending and the present value of taxes shift the outputdemand curve. Changes in expected future income, future total factor productivity, and the current capital stock also shift the output demand curve.90 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Edition11. In a competitive equilibrium, output supply is equal to output demand and labor supply issimultaneously equal to labor demand. The point of intersection of the output supply curve and the output demand curve allows us to find the competitive equilibrium levels of aggregate output and the real rate of interest.12. A temporary increase in government purchases increases the real interest rate, increases aggregateoutput, increases employment, decreases the real wage, decreases consumption, and decreasesinvestment.13. A permanent increase in government purchases does not modify the real interest rate, increasesaggregate output, increases employment, decreases the real wage, and does not change investment and consumption.14. A decrease in the current capital stock increases the real interest rate, decreases the real wage,decreases consumption, and increases investment. However, the effects on output and employment are ambiguous. The decrease in the capital stock lowers the marginal product of labor and shifts labor demand to the left. The decrease in lifetime wealth shifts labor supply to the right. According to which of these effects is strongest, employment may either decrease or increase. If employment falls, then we have fewer workers and less capital, so output must decline. However, if there is a sufficiently large increase in employment, the increase in employment more than makes up for the lost capital, and output may rise. In terms of output supply and demand, less capital shifts output demand to the right due to the increase in investment, while the reduction in capital also shifts output supply to the left. The effect on output depends on which of these competing forces is strongest. 15. A temporary increase in total factor productivity decreases the real interest rate, increases aggregateoutput, increases employment, increases the real wage, increases consumption, and increasesinvestment. These results are consistent with the facts that employment, real wages, investment, and consumption are all procyclical.16. An increase in future total factor productivity increases the real interest rate, increases aggregateoutput, increases employment, decreases the real wage, decreases consumption, and increasesinvestment. There are two principle differences between changes in current and future total factor productivity. First, an increase in future total factor productivity does not help with currentproduction. Therefore, if the productivity effect is in the future, the increase in current output requires an increase in current employment and employment may only increase if the current real wagedecreases. Second, an increase in future total factor productivity affects current investment demand, while an increase in current total factor productivity does not. This accounts for the fact that thecurrent increase in z lowers the real interest rate, while the future increase in z increases the realinterest rate. This rise in the real interest rate also accounts for the fact that consumption rises when current z rises and falls when future z rises.17. As seen in Chapter 9, credit market uncertainty translates into larger interest rate spreads. This meanthat the marginal product of capital needs to be higher, and investment demand drops.Chapter 10 A Real Intertemporal Model with Investment 91 Problems1. There are two effects of an increase in the depreciation rate. First, there is the direct effect, whichimplies that, given the marginal product of capital in period two, ,KMP ′the net marginal product of capital, ,KMP d ′− will decrease when the depreciation rate increases. For any given real interest rate, this effect lowers investment demand, and so the investment demand schedule shifts to the left. This direct effect is the result of the fact that a higher depreciation rate implies that the scrap value of the capital the firm invests in will be lower at the end of period two.In addition to this direct effect, there is also an indirect effect of the depreciation rate on investment.Since (1),K'd K I =−+ given the initial capital stock, K , the quantity of capital in period two will be smaller, for any I , if the depreciation rate is higher. Therefore, when d increases, the investmentschedule shifts to the right. The direct and indirect effects work in opposite directions, and so, given the real rate of interest, investment may either rise or fall with an increase in the depreciation rate.2. The problem supplies the following production function, where future output only depends on thelevel of second-period capital, in this case the number of trees.Future Trees Future Output 15 155.016 162.017 168.018 173.019 177.020 180.021 182.022 183.823 184.824 185.2 25 185.4(a) The production function is depicted below.92 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Edition (b) The marginal product of capital schedule is computed from the previous table. In table form:Future Trees Future Output ′K MP 15 155.0 —16 162.0 7.017 168.0 6.018 173.0 5.019 177.0 4.020 180.0 3.021 182.0 2.022 183.8 1.823 184.8 1.024 185.2 0.425 185.4 0.2These data are plotted in the figure below.(c) Tom’s first-year profits are equal to .Y I π=− The present value of second-year profits is equal to (1)(1).(1)2Y'd K'Y'd K 'r π′−−−−==+ These calculations are given in the column V , below.Chapter 10 A Real Intertemporal Model with Investment 93 (d) The net marginal product of capital is equal to 0.1.KK MP d MP ′′−=− These calculations are also included in the table below.Future Trees Future Output Required I V ′KMP d − 15 155.0 −3 267.25 — 16 162.0 −2270.20 6.9 17 168.0 −1 279.65 5.918 173.0 0 274.60 4.919 177.0 1 276.05 3.920 180.0 2 277.00 2.921 182.0 3 277.45 1.922 183.8 4 277.80 1.723 184.8 5 277.75 0.924 185.2 6 277.50 0.325 185.4 7 276.95 0.1(e) Tom’s optimal level of V is equal to 277.80. To earn this amount of profit, Tom needs to plant 4new trees. Note that at 4, 1.7 1.0.K I MP d r ′=−=>= Planting the 4th tree is therefore profitable.However, at 4, 0.91.0.K I MP d r ′=−=<= Planting the 5th tree is not profitable. The maximum V is therefore attained at the last tree for which .KMP d r ′−> 3. The costs of the output subsidy and the investment subsidy would each require an increase in other(lump-sum) taxes to satisfy the government budget constraint with unchanged government purchases. This increase in taxes reduces consumer wealth and so labor supply shifts to the right and output supply also shifts to the right. This effect tends to increase output and decrease the real interest rate. In the case of the output subsidy, the decrease in the real interest rate increases both consumption spending and investment spending to match the increase in output. In the case of the subsidy toinvestment, there is also a shift to the right in the output demand curve. This effect provides anadditional increase in output. Also the increase in the real interest rate (or the smaller-sized decrease in the real interest rate) reduces consumption spending so that more of the increase in output goes to investment spending and less goes to consumption spending. Therefore, the investment subsidy is likely to be more effective in increasing investment.4. The new second-period profits of the firm are now (1).K Y w N d p K π′′′′′=−+−(a) The new marginal benefit from investment is now()(1(1))/(1)KK MB I MP d p r ′′=+−+ As the marginal cost from investment remains at one, the new investment rule is then(1)(1)K K MP r d p ′′=+−−94 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Editionp′ the marginal product of future capital needs to be reduced, thus more(b) With an increase in ,Kfuture capital is needed and investment rises. Indeed, as the liquidation value of capital goes up,you want to invest more in capital. Thus investment is positively correlated with stock prices.5. Slope of the output demand curve.(a) A reduction in the real interest rate increases consumption and investment spending. This is theprimary reason for the downward slope of the output demand curve. However, as output rises,there is a further increase in consumption spending according to the size of the marginalpropensity to consume. The larger the marginal propensity to consume, the flatter is theaggregate demand curve.(b) The intertemporal substitution effect on consumption is one of the primary reasons why demandrises at lower interest rates. The larger the sensitivity of consumption spending to the real rate ofinterest, the flatter is the output demand curve.(c) The responsiveness of investment demand to the real rate of interest is one of the primary reasonswhy demand rises at lower interest rates. The larger the responsiveness of investment demand tothe real rate of interest, the flatter is the output demand curve.6. (a) As government expenses are unchanged, future taxes need to increase to satisfy the intertemporalbudget constraint of the government. We are therefore in the context of the Ricardian equivalence.Thus, neither of the real interest rate, aggregate output, employment or the real wage is affected.Chapter 10 A Real Intertemporal Model with Investment 95 (b) We are now violating the conditions of the Ricardian equivalence. There is potentially an impact.Indeed, the endowment point is moving towards the right, and some borrowers now become lenders, and thus face a lower interest rate. This leads to a positive income effect (and thus an increase in current consumption demand and a decrease in labor supply) and a substitution effect that increases demand for current goods. In then end, consumption demand increases and labor supply decreases.The implications are that the interest rate increases, thus leading to a second shift in the labor supply, an increase that has to be larger than the initial decrease, as equilibrium out is up. In the end, aggregate output, consumption, labor and the real interest rate are all up, while the real wage is down.96 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Edition7. Slope of the output supply curve.(a) The figure below depicts the effect of an increase in labor supply, due to an increase in the realinterest rate, on the equilibrium level of employment. The diagram shows two alternate labordemand curves with differing slopes. Note that the equilibrium level of employment increasesmore when the marginal product of labor declines at a slower rate with increases in the level ofemployment. Therefore, when the marginal product of labor declines at a faster rate as thequantity of labor used in production increases, there is a smaller increase in employment andtherefore a smaller increase in output supply. The output supply curve is steeper in this case.(b) When the substitution effect of an increase in the real rate of interest decreases, there is a smallereffect on equilibrium employment of an increase in the real interest rate. Therefore there is asmaller increase in output supply. The output supply curve is steeper in this case.8. Labor supply shifts to the right, so output supply also shifts to the right. Consumption demand alsoincreases, so the output demand curve must also shift to the right. Output must increase although the real rate of interest may rise or fall. In light of the increase in output, equilibrium employment must increase. A higher level of employment, in the absence of a shift in the labor demand curve, assures us that the real wage rate must also fall. Investment rises if the real rate of interest declines, and investment falls if the real rate of interest increases. Because output has increased, consumption will rise as long as investment remains the same or declines. Consumption falls only in the case of a decline in the rate of interest of sufficient size to increase investment by more than the increase in output.(a) To summarize: ,,,?,?,?, but most likely increases.↑↑↓Y N w r I C(b) As one possibility, at low levels of nutrition, it may be infeasible for the consumer to work verymuch (a very high MRS l, C). In this case, an increase in nutrition would make the consumer more willing (and able) to work more and consume more. One could also imagine some change in the technology of using leisure that is more goods intensive. In this case the value of leisure is lowwithout a lot of consumption goods.9. A temporary increase in z increases output and employment, raises the real wage, and lowers thereal rate of interest. Consumption and investment both increase. An increase in future total factor productivity, z′, shifts the current-period output demand curve to the right. Current output andemployment increase, and the real interest rate increases. Since the current-period labor demand curve does not shift, the shift in labor supply due to the lower real interest rate causes the realwage rate to decline.Chapter 10 A Real Intertemporal Model with Investment 97A permanent increase in total factor productivity simply combines the effects of the temporary andpermanent changes in z. Current output and employment unambiguously increase. The real wage rate may either rise or fall. The real interest rate may either rise or fall. As long as the direct effect of the MP′ outweighs any indirect effect due to a possible increase in the real interest rate, then increase inKinvestment will increase. As long as the direct effects of the increases in current and future income dominate any indirect effect of a possible rise in the real interest rate, then consumption will alsoincrease.10. The increase in z′ shifts the output demand curve to the right, but has no effect on the output supplycurve. The increase in K shifts the output demand curve to the left, and shifts the output supply curve to the right. The combined effects shift the output supply curve to the right. The shift in the output demand curve is uncertain. An increase in the current capital stock lowers investment spending. An increase in future total factor productivity increases investment spending. As one possibility, suppose that the effect of the prospective increase in total factor productivity is that investment increases. In this case, both the output supply curve and the output demand curve shift to the right. Output rises unambiguously, but the effect on the real interest rate is uncertain.If a lack of capital were the only reason for low output in poor countries, then we would expect that the real interest rates in poor countries would be higher than the real interest rates in rich countries.This is not the case. Alternatively, if poor countries are poor both because they have less capital and because they have worse prospects for future investment, then this explanation of the differencebetween poor and rich countries need not be in conflict with observed differences in real interest rates.11. A temporary increase in the price of energy is best modeled as a reduction in current-period totalfactor productivity. Such a disturbance shifts output supply to the left. Therefore, output falls and the real interest rate increases. In question 3, above, we showed that a larger value for the marginalpropensity to consume implied a flatter output demand curve. In the figure below, we show the shift in output supply with two alternative output demand curves. When the marginal propensity toconsume is high, the output demand curve is flat and the reduction in z results in a large reduction in output and a small increase in the real interest rate. When the marginal propensity to consume issmaller, there is a smaller reduction in output, and a larger increase in the real interest rate.98 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Edition12. A hurricane destroys a significant amount of capital. This disturbance may be analyzed as anexogenous decrease in the stock of capital. The production function shifts downward. Labor demand shifts to the left. These effects result in a leftward shift in the goods supply curve. The loss in capital also increases the expected marginal product of capital, and so the goods demand curve shifts to the right. The figures below depict the case in which equilibrium output decreases.(a) The analysis of the effects of the hurricane suggests that it is reasonable to expect a decrease innational income. However, because the model is based upon maximizing principles, it is likelythat the reduction in national income represents an optimal response to the reduction in thecapital stock. There is therefore no presumption that policy will improve the situation.Chapter 10 A Real Intertemporal Model with Investment 99 ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Addison Wesley(b) An appropriate-sized increase in government spending can restore the economy to the originallevel of output, *1.Y A temporary increase in government spending generates a negative wealtheffect shifting the labor supply curve to the right. The temporary increase in governmentspending also shifts the output demand curve to the right. The figure below depicts a case in which the increase in government spending exactly returns the economy to the original level ofoutput.Output is unchanged. The real interest rate increases. Employment must increase. In order toproduce the same amount of output an increase in employment is needed to substitute for the lost capital.(c) A more sensible rationale for an increase in government spending would be based upon needs toreplace government-provided capital. That is, the government might want to increase spending to replace roads, sewer systems, and other infrastructure.13. A short war is best modeled as a temporary increase in government spending. Such a disturbanceshifts the output demand curve to the right because the increase in current-period governmentspending will be larger than the reduction in consumption demand due to the decline in consumers’ lifetime wealth. The output supply curve also shifts to the right because of the reduction inconsumers’ lifetime wealth. Output and employment unambiguously increase. Because the increase in government spending is only temporary, the effect on lifetime wealth is likely to be small, so the demand curve shifts farther than the supply curve. Therefore, the interest rate most likely increases.100 Williamson • Macroeconomics, Fourth Edition ©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Addison WesleyIn order to more clearly see how the size of the intertemporal substitution effect on consumptioncomes into play, let us assume that the lifetime wealth effect is small enough to be ignored. In this case we need only be concerned with the shift in output demand and not the shift in output supply. The flatter output demand curves correspond to the case in which the interest rate effect onconsumption is stronger. As the figure below depicts, the increase in output in this case is smaller. The intuition is as follows. When consumption is very sensitive to changes in the interest rate, it takes a smaller increase in the interest rate to crowd out demand to fit the increased G . With a smaller increase in the real interest rate, there is a smaller shift in labor supply, and so there is a smallerincrease in employment and output.14. The increase in aggregate credit uncertainty leads to an increase in interest spreads. This reducesconsumption demand and increases the labor supply, as current goods (consumption and leisure) are less used. The impact on consumption can be counteracted by increasing government expenses. But let us not forget that this means that taxes will need to increase this period or next, leading to anegative income shock for households. This depresses consumption demand further, but not as much as the push in G, and increases further the labor supply. So the government needs to increase G even more. How much depends how much the output supply increased as a consequence of the increase in the labor supply. As now the interest rate has dropped and we have the same output as before, thereneeds to be a shift back of the labor supply to its original level.Chapter 10 A Real Intertemporal Model with Investment 101 Is this good policy? In the end, households end up in the same situation as before for the current period. However, they still face a higher tax burden and their second period consumption and leisure will suffer.©2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Addison Wesley。