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XX国内外当前世界经济形势论文(2)摘要：中国经济发展正处于关键转折时期。
从时代背景看，处于“工业化和城市化‘双中期’区间”;从国际背景看，存在中国经济内外平衡问题，中国经济xx年增长10.5%，20XX年增长可能达到9.5%左右。
关键词：经济协调企业决策工业化城市化储备汇率中国经济发展正处于关键转折时期，正处在与联系越来越紧密时期，这就使得我国企业家在做重大决策时，不得不既考虑国内经济环境，也要考虑国际经济变化，还要观察国内外经济的相互影响。
这里，本文就我国经济所处的大阶段、国内外经济的协调、我国经济增长近期预期及挑战等，做一简要的分析。
一、企业决策的时代背景：中国经济发展正处于“工业化和城市化‘双中期’区间”经济发展包括经济增长及由此而产生的社会、及政治结构变化。
我们根据国内外关于经济发展阶段的理论和中国发展阶段的现实，选择了工业化和城市化作为核心指标，同时对比美国经济发展历程，得出我国经济发展处于“工业化和城市化‘双中期’区间”的判断，并在此基础上分析了“‘双中期’区间”中国经济发展的五大特征，概括出我国经济发展的双重性规律，提出了中国经济发展的战略思路。
1、中国经济发展正处于“工业化和城市化‘双中期’区间”作为一个发展中大国，我们认为中国经济发展单纯用工业化阶段或城市化阶段都难以完整地概括，必须同时考虑工业化与城市化。
首先，我们根据对中美经济史的对比分析，得出中国接近于美国工业化中期阶段的结论。
我国第二产业占GDP比重对应于美国1950-1960年的水平，即美国工业化后期阶段，就业比重对应于美国1900年的水平，即其工业化初期阶段;而我国第三产业就业相当于美国1900年，即工业化初期的水平，三产产值占GDP比重相当于美国1870年以前的水平，还达不到工业化初期水平。
只能近似地说，中国现阶段经济处于“工业化中期区间”。
在现有的国内外经济发展阶段理论中，钱纳里的工业化阶段理论是目前应用最广泛的。
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current prices Afghanistan Gross domestic product, current pricesDemocratic Republic of the Congo Gross domestic product, current prices South Sudan Gross domestic product, current prices Mozambique Gross domestic product, current prices Cambodia Gross domestic product, current prices Bosnia and Herzegovina Gross domestic product, current prices Georgia Gross domestic product, current prices Gabon Gross domestic product, current prices Botswana Gross domestic product, current prices Mongolia Gross domestic product, current prices Honduras Gross domestic product, current prices Republic of Congo Gross domestic product, current prices Jamaica Gross domestic product, current prices Senegal Gross domestic product, current prices Brunei Darussalam Gross domestic product, current prices Zimbabwe Gross domestic product, current prices Iceland Gross domestic product, current prices Burkina Faso Gross domestic product, current prices Namibia Gross domestic product, current prices Mauritius Gross domestic product, current prices Lao P.D.R.Gross domestic product, current prices Albania Gross domestic product, current prices Madagascar Gross domestic product, current prices Mali Gross domestic product, current prices Chad Gross domestic product, current prices Nicaragua Gross domestic product, current prices FYR Macedonia Gross domestic product, current prices Equatorial Guinea Gross domestic product, current prices Tajikistan Gross domestic product, current prices Armenia Gross domestic product, current prices Haiti Gross domestic product, current prices Rwanda Gross domestic product, current prices Moldova Gross domestic product, current prices Benin Gross domestic product, current prices Malta Gross domestic product, current prices Kyrgyz Republic Gross domestic product, current prices Niger Gross domestic product, current prices The Bahamas Gross domestic product, current prices Guinea Gross domestic product, current prices Kosovo Gross domestic product, current prices Suriname Gross domestic product, current prices Mauritania Gross domestic product, current prices Sierra Leone Gross domestic product, current prices Timor-Leste Gross domestic product, current prices Barbados Gross domestic product, current prices Eritrea Gross domestic product, current prices Malawi Gross domestic product, current prices Togo Gross domestic product, current prices Montenegro Gross domestic product, current prices Swaziland Gross domestic product, current prices Fiji Gross domestic product, current prices Burundi Gross domestic product, current prices Bhutan Gross domestic product, current pricesLesotho Gross domestic product, current prices Maldives Gross domestic product, current prices Central African Republic Gross domestic product, current prices Cape Verde Gross domestic product, current prices Liberia Gross domestic product, current prices Djibouti Gross domestic product, current prices San Marino Gross domestic product, current prices Belize Gross domestic product, current prices Antigua and Barbuda Gross domestic product, current prices St. Lucia Gross domestic product, current prices Seychelles Gross domestic product, current prices The Gambia Gross domestic product, current prices Solomon Islands Gross domestic product, current prices Guinea-Bissau Gross domestic product, current prices Vanuatu Gross domestic product, current prices Grenada Gross domestic product, current prices St. Kitts and Nevis Gross domestic product, current prices St. Vincent and the Grenadines Gross domestic product, current prices Comoros Gross domestic product, current prices Samoa Gross domestic product, current prices S鉶 Tom?and Pr韓cipe Gross domestic product, current prices Dominica Gross domestic product, current prices Tonga Gross domestic product, current prices Micronesia Gross domestic product, current prices Marshall Islands Gross domestic product, current prices Kiribati Gross domestic product, current prices Tuvalu Gross domestic product, current 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See notes for: Gross domestic product, current prices (National currency).1980198119821983198419851986198719882.127 2.061 2.132 2.134 2.25 2.43.049 3.6584.21812.9816.65217.41518.64919.17121.17725.42832.49716.538 2,788.153,126.853,253.183,534.603,930.934,217.484,460.054,736.355,100.43 303.365286.979281.28301.803310.686307.017297.59323.973404.149 1,086.991,201.471,116.841,218.111,294.611,384.532,051.062,485.243,015.39 826.142695.074671.155669.573630.853639.695913.6411,136.931,225.73 148.915171.141182.97146.702145.992231.757268.846292.624326.902 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a 691.253608.535577.691552.891523.281547.856759.844918.8581,003.21 542.452520.036492.334466.362441.025468.958570.884704.094855.776 181.416195.861202.861219.166220.154227.873250.595276.155302.221 470.04426.26421.268437.165431.921446.033631.723792.881878.449 274.425306.856314.233340.677354.297363.032376.462430.211508.42 162.879188.357186.997179.428197.081174.336181.427213.04271.03364.38572.39977.52485.96294.94598.502113.737143.378192.113226.56290.984211.17172.16203.027215.443149.166163.581200.119 224.368198.921192.168168.068167.607176.59244.343309.571363.70786.3196.35198.91689.65991.81491.52783.91579.51488.27994.25895.49686.76682.91180.64290.38101.797117.176122.128 177.197149.508144.847141.021131.26133.171185.595227.326243.118 163.968183.561152.594128.604119.054103.68186.70785.40687.957 131.305119.848105.56197.039100.915105.705139.921170.458192.59342.22549.14349.61654.11560.97463.16777.629103.372122.027 112.531103.06105.633105.254100.502101.9146.074182.939197.90856.61953.64765.18775.40675.50770.77573.67763.71468.61232.35334.84836.59140.04341.79938.943.09750.53561.66763.71462.86761.8560.7861.09964.25777.20292.448100.057 209.031169.7784.302103.996116.76688.193106.051108.731127.358 121.97510188.86484.00280.24883.439115.638143.641156.17246.38250.53254.11253.78353.12148.45948.52550.51154.45593.772106.589133.393162.432168.41179.86483.33695.98684.16780.10669.41369.40270.31566.3367.93196.391120.541132.22324.56725.08426.88230.06534.05231.327.82331.70334.74780.54782.79775.93984.68774.93757.27365.42485.79292.23535.95439.49541.1536.79734.76833.90933.0936.77841.97540.41545.00241.84838.34538.01237.3129.56832.46632.99929.25231.41132.67830.23333.85636.06841.52651.22660.49960.59362.31253.93436.50826.47625.96620.56321.91224.31129.30734.725.87321.01620.43717.52418.83922.21926.19369.84378.3698079.67557.82759.86760.87846.85560.37922.37124.49928.98635.4339.83746.4551.42973.57188 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a20.64924.95224.8119.29119.88417.20625.81442.62833.72769.70960.37458.93759.20557.71561.20486.366107.366113.23 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a12.04614.32315.81217.93519.44718.46318.73221.55226.47822.63724.14625.83828.76527.24725.32131.17137.23246.06453.05251.93552.46150.33252.22955.2972.39190.191107.34628.63230.83831.30332.33933.76234.94136.43238.98342.24153.64149.50151.65546.70345.48345.13353.10361.78571.951 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a21.00720.02420.89720.21619.49820.76227.84133.00736.167.8298.6617.597 6.468 6.704 6.272 4.95 5.216 5.004。
2021年全国国民经济和社会开展总体情况一、综合初步核算，全年国生产总值900309亿元，比上年增长6.6%。
其中，第一产业增加值64734亿元，增长3.5%；第二产业增加值366001亿元，增长5.8%；第三产业增加值469575亿元，增长7.6%。
第一产业增加值占国生产总值的比重为7.2%，第二产业增加值比重为40.7%，第三产业增加值比重为52.2%。
全年最终消费支出对国生产总值增长的奉献率为76.2%，资本形成总额的奉献率为32.4%，货物和效劳净出口的奉献率为-8.6%。
人均国生产总值64644元，比上年增长6.1%。
国民总收入896915亿元，比上年增长6.5%。
全国万元国生产总值能耗[4]比上年下降3.1%。
全员劳动生产率为107327元/人，比上年提高6.6%。
年末全国大陆总人口139538万人，比上年末增加530万人，其中城镇常住人口83137万人，占总人口比重〔常住人口城镇化率〕为59.58%，比上年末提高1.06个百分点。
户籍人口城镇化率为43.37%，比上年末提高1.02个百分点。
全年出生人口1523万人，出生率为10.94‰；死亡人口993万人，死亡率为7.13‰；自然增长率为3.81‰。
全国人户别离的人口[6]2.86亿人，其中流动人口2.41亿人。
年末全国就业人员77586万人，其中城镇就业人员43419万人。
全年城镇新增就业1361万人，比上年增加10万人。
年末全国城镇调查失业率为4.9%，比上年末下降0.1个百分点；城镇登记失业率为3.8%，下降0.1个百分点。
全国农民工总量28836万人，比上年增长0.6%。
其中，外出农民工17266万人，增长0.5%；本地农民工11570万人，增长0.9%。
全年居民消费价格比上年上涨2.1%。
工业生产者出厂价格上涨3.5%。
工业生产者购进价格上涨4.1%。
固定资产投资价格上涨5.4%。
农产品生产者价格下降0.9%。
12月份70个大中城市新建商品住宅销售价格月同比上涨的城市个数为69个，下降的为1个。
