北京大学实证金融学讲义2CAPM的一些经验结果
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CAPM有效性的实证检验作者:黄飞来源:《金融经济·学术版》2011年第10期摘要:本文利用沪深A股股票收益率,实证检验了CAPM的有效性。
通过应用Fama和MacBeth修正后的两步方法,可以避免股票收益率的异方差现象,使得估计量更加精确。
通过实证检验证明了CAPM并不能解释沪深A股股票收益率的波动。
关键词:CAPM 沪深A股 Fama和MacBeth两步法一、CAPM模型CAPM是诺贝尔经济学奖获得者威廉·夏普于1970年在他的著作《投资组合理论与资本市场》中提出的。
在CAPM模型中,只存在两种风险:系统性风险:不可以通过资产组合方法分散调的风险。
非系统性风险:也被称做为异质风险,该风险属于股票特有的风险,可以通过资产组合的方法来消除。
非系统性风险是股票收益率的组成部分,但是该风险不随着市场波动而发生变化的。
现代投资组合理论指出特殊风险是可以通过分散投资来消除的。
即使投资组合中包含了所有市场的股票,系统风险亦不会因分散投资而消除,在计算投资回报率的时候,系统风险是投资者最难以计算的。
1、CAPM的前提假设CAPM模型是对复杂的现实世界的极端简化,从Markowitz均值——方差组合理论的基础上发展而来。
它的核心假设是包括以下几点:证券市场是有效的,即信息完全对称;存在无风险证券,投资者可以自由地按无风险利率借入或借出资金;投资总风险可以用方差或标准差表示,系统风险可用β系数表示。
所有的投资者都是理性的,他们均依据马科威茨证券组合模型进行均值方差分析,作出投资决策;证券市场是无摩擦的,证券交易没有税收,也没有交易成本,而现实中往往根据收入的来源(利息、股息和收入等)和金额按政府税率缴税。
证券交易要依据交易量的大小和客户的自信交纳手续费、佣金等费用;此外还隐含得假定:每种证券的收益率分布均服从正态分布;交易成本可以忽略不计;每项资产都是无限可分的,这意味着在投资组合中,投资者可持有某种证券的任何一部分。
资本资产定价模式(CAPM)的实证检验资本资产定价模式(Capital Asset Pricing Model,简称CAPM)是金融学中一种重要的理论模型,用于计算资产的预期收益率。
虽然CAPM的应用历史已经有几十年,但其有效性一直备受争议。
许多学者对CAPM进行了实证检验,以评估其有效性。
在实证检验CAPM的有效性时,研究人员通常采用市场模型和多变量回归分析来评估CAPM的预测能力。
市场模型基于CAPM的基本公式,即预期收益率等于无风险利率加上系统风险乘以市场风险溢价。
通过与市场指数的回归分析,可以计算出资产的beta系数,进而估计出其预期收益率。
实证研究经常使用回归模型来检验CAPM的有效性。
回归模型通常以市场收益率作为自变量,收益率差异作为因变量。
通过回归分析,可以计算出资产的beta系数和alpha系数,其中beta系数代表了资产相对于市场的风险敏感度,alpha系数则代表了超额收益。
如果资产的beta系数显著不为零,表明CAPM有效;如果alpha系数显著不为零,则表明CAPM无效。
许多实证研究已经得出了不同的结论。
一些研究发现,CAPM能够较好地解释资产的收益率差异,显示出较高的预测能力。
然而,也有研究发现,CAPM的解释能力并不显著,无法充分解释资产的预期收益率。
有几个原因可能解释这些不一致的实证结果。
首先,CAPM假设市场是完全理性的,投资者都是风险厌恶的,这种假设在现实中并不成立。
其次,CAPM假设资本市场是没有交易费用和税收的,但现实中这些成本是必不可少的。
此外,CAPM还忽略了其他影响资产收益率的因素,如流动性风险、政府干预和市场不完全。
这些限制可能导致CAPM无法有效解释资产的预期收益率。
虽然实证研究的结果并不一致,但CAPM仍然是一个重要的理论模型。
研究人员在继续实证检验CAPM的有效性时,也应考虑到CAPM的局限性,并尝试提出改进模型来更好地解释和预测资产的收益率。
资本资产定价模型(Capital Asset Pricing Model,简称CAPM)是金融学中一种经典的理论模型,用于计算资产的预期收益率。
资本资产定价模型(CAPM)理论及应用一、引言资本资产定价模型(CAPM)是现代金融理论中一个重要的模型,它是用来计算资产期望收益率的经济模型。
本文旨在介绍CAPM的基本理论和应用,并分析其优缺点以及局限。
二、CAPM的基本理论1.资本资产定价模型的基本假设CAPM的基本理论建立在一些关键假设上,包括投资者行为理性、市场无风险率、资产可分散风险、无套利条件等。
这些假设是对市场现象的一种简化和抽象,使得CAPM模型可以应用于实际的金融市场。
2.资产期望收益率的计算公式根据CAPM的理论,资产期望收益率可以通过以下公式计算:E(Ri) = Rf + βi × (E(Rm) - Rf)其中,E(Ri)表示资产的期望回报率,Rf表示无风险回报率,βi表示资产i的系统性风险系数,E(Rm)表示市场的期望回报率。
3.解释CAPM的要素CAPM模型的要素包括无风险回报率、市场风险溢价和资产特异性风险。
无风险回报率是投资者可以不承担任何风险获得的回报率,它通常以国债利率作为衡量。
市场风险溢价是指超过无风险回报率的部分,其大小受市场风险厌恶程度影响。
资产特异性风险是指资产独特的非系统性风险,不可由市场风险衡量。
三、CAPM的应用1.资本预算决策CAPM可用于资本预算过程中的资产定价,帮助企业评估投资项目的预期回报率。
通过比较资产的期望收益率和市场风险溢价,企业可以选择风险收益比最优的项目,提高决策的科学性和合理性。
2.投资组合配置CAPM提供了投资组合配置的依据。
根据CAPM模型计算不同资产的期望回报率和风险系数,投资者可以根据自身风险承受能力和期望回报率需求,构建最优的投资组合。
3.资产定价CAPM可用于估计资产的合理价格。
根据CAPM模型计算资产的期望回报率,结合市场的风险溢价,可以得出资产的合理价格范围,为投资者提供参考。
四、CAPM的优缺点及局限性1.优点CAPM模型是一个简单且易于应用的模型,它基于市场风险和投资者风险厌恶程度,能够较好地解释资产的期望回报率。
资本资产定价模型CAPM在中国资本市场中的实证检验资本资产定价模型CAPM在中国资本市场中的实证检验摘要:资本资产定价模型CAPM是现代金融理论中的重要工具,被广泛应用于全球的资本市场。
本研究旨在通过实证检验CAPM模型在中国资本市场的适用性,以评估CAPM模型在中国市场中的有效性和可靠性。
首先,我们对中国A股市场的股票数据进行收集,以获取所需的资本市场信息。
然后,我们通过计算各只股票的预期收益率和风险,将其与实际观察到的市场收益率进行比较。
最后,我们运用统计分析方法,如回归分析和假设检验,来检验CAPM模型在中国资本市场的适用性。
研究结果显示,中国资本市场中的股票收益率与CAPM模型的预测有着一定的一致性,但也存在一些偏差,说明CAPM模型在中国市场中的适用性有所限制。
这一研究对于了解CAPM模型在中国资本市场中的适用性和提升中国资本市场的投资效率具有重要意义。
关键词:资本资产定价模型、中国资本市场、实证检验、可靠性、有效性一、引言资本资产定价模型(Capital Asset Pricing Model,简称CAPM)是由标普500指数的创始人Sharpe和美国金融学家Linter以及火星技术公司创始人Mossin于1964年提出的。
CAPM模型是现代金融理论的重要组成部分,被广泛应用于全球的资本市场。
该模型通过量化风险和回报之间的关系,提供了一种方法来评价资本市场上的投资风险,并确定和预测资本资产的预期回报率。
在CAPM模型中,资本资产被分为无风险资产和有风险资产,根据有效边界的理论,投资组合的预期回报率由无风险利率和市场风险溢价共同决定。
由于中国资本市场的快速发展和经济变化,CAPM模型在中国市场中的适用性备受关注。
然而,关于CAPM模型在中国市场中的实证检验,目前尚缺乏全面而深入的研究。
本研究旨在通过实证检验CAPM模型在中国资本市场的适用性,以评估CAPM模型在中国市场中的有效性和可靠性。
CAPM模型在金融经济学中的应用作者:文/吴凤羽彭静更新时间:2009-3-18 一、CAPM模型的简介资本资产定价模型(CAPM)是通过寻求投资者为补偿某一给定风险水平的均衡收益率推导出来的。
为了能够推导出只运用单一风险指数(被称为β)对必要收益定价的风险定价模型,资本资产定价模型的推导中做了一些严格的假设。
CAPM模型包含三个组成部分:①总市场风险的定价,成为市场风险溢酬(MRP);②特定投资的风险暴露指数,即β;③无风险收益率()。
CAPM模型认为任何风险投资的必要收益率由下式给出=+(×MRP)其中MRP是持有能代表视察的风险投资(市场组合)组合的期望收益率减去期望的无风险收益率即MRP=- 其中为市场投资组合的平均收益率二、CAPM模型的假设条件1、投资者只关心他们的投资组合收益率的均值和方差;2、市场无摩擦;3、投资者具有共同预期,也就是说所有投资者得出的有关所有可能的投资组合的平均收益率和标准差的结论是一致的。
共同预期的假设意味着投资者将不会通过积极地管理投资组合来超过对手或“战胜市场”。
另一方面,假设条件并不意味着投资者可以随意选择自己的投资组合。
关于平均收益率方差和协方差的科学经验仍然有用,但每一个人在完成他自己的科学检验之后,在每一个可行的投资组合收益率的均值和标准差方面几乎都得出了一致的结论。
三、CAPM模型的应用CAPM模型在经济学中具有广泛的应用,我们比较熟悉的就有股票收益的度量、资本成本的估价、投资组合作用的评估、事件分析以及在VAR中的应用。
这里我们就简短地介绍几种CAPM模型的应用。
(一)资本成本估计问题的应用权益成本在公司资本预算决策和为控制边际效用确定适当收益率的具体工作是不可少的,运用CAPM模型需要三个因素:股票的贝塔系数、市场风险溢酬和无风险收益。
权益资本贝塔系数的一般估计量是超额收益市场模型斜率系数的OLS(最小二乘估计)估计量,即= + + (1)这里i表示资产,而t表示时期t=1,…,T,和分别代表时期t资产i的收益与市场组合所实现的超额收益。
《⾦融学(第⼆版)》讲义⼤纲及课后习题答案详解⼗三章CHAPTER 13THE CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODELObjectivesExplain the theory behind the CAPM.Explain how to use the CAPM to establish benchmarks for measuring the performance of investment portfolios. Explain how to infer from the CAPM the correct risk-adjusted discount rate to use in discounted-cash-flow valuation models. Explain the APT and its relationship to the CAPM.Outline13.1 The Capital Asset Pricing Model in Brief13.2 Determinants of the Risk Premium on the Market Portfolio13.3 Beta and Risk Premiums on Individual Securities13.4 Using the CAPM in Portfolio Selection13.5 Valuation and Regulating Rates of Return13.6 Extensions, Modifications, and Alternatives to the CAPMSummaryThe CAPM has three main implications:In equilibrium, ev eryone’s relative holding of risky assets are the same as in the market portfolio.The size of the risk-premium of the market portfolio is determined by the risk-aversion of investors.The risk premium on any asset is equal to its beta times the risk premium on the market portfolio.Whether or not the CAPM is strictly true, it provides a rationale for a very simple passive portfolio strategy: Diversify your holdings of risky assets in the proportions of the market portfolio, andMix this portfolio with the risk-free asset to achieve a desired risk-reward combination.The CAPM is used in portfolio management primarily in two ways:To establish a logical and convenient starting point in asset allocation and security selectionTo establish a benchmark for evaluating portfolio management ability on a risk-adjusted basis.In corporate finance the CAPM is used to determine the appropriate risk-adjusted discount rate in valuation models of the firm and in capital budgeting decisions. The CAPM is also used to establish a “fair” rate of return on invested capital for regulated firms and in cost-plus pricing.Today few financial scholars consider the CAPM in its simplest form to be an accurate model for explaining or predicting risk premiums on risky assets. However, modified versions of the model are still a central feature of the theory and practice of finance.The APT gives a rationale for the expected return-beta relationship that relies on the condition that there be no arbitrage profit opportunities; the CAPM requires that investors be portfolio optimizers. The APT and CAPM are not incompatible; rather, they complement each other.Solutions to Problems at End of ChapterComposition of the Market Portfolio1. Capital markets in Flatland exhibit trade in four securities, the stocks X, Y and Z, and a risklessgovernment security. Evaluated at current prices in US dollars, the total market values of these assets are, respectively, $24 billion, $36 billion, $24 billion and $16 billion.a. Determine the relative proportions of each asset in the market portfolio.b. If one trader with a $100,000 portfolio holds $40,000 in the riskless security, $15,000 in X, $12,000 in Y, and$33,000 in Z, determine the holdings of the three risky assets of a second trader who invests $20, 000 of a $200, 000 portfolio in the riskless security.SOLUTION:The total value of all assets in the economy is 100 billion dollars. a. The proportions of each asset relative to the value of all assets are, respectively, .24 (X), .36 (Y),b. .24 (Z) and .16 (riskless bond.) The proportions of each risky asset to the total value of all risky assets are, respectively, (2/7) (X), (3/7) (Y) and (2/7) (Z).c. . Ignore the question as it appears in the First Edition of the textbook. Instead, the question should be: If aninvestor has $100,000 with $30,000 invested in the riskless asset, how much is invested in securities X, Y, and Z? The answer to this question is $20,000 in X and Z, and $30,000 in Y.Implications of CAPM2. The riskless rate of interest is .06 per year, and the expected rate of return on the market portfolio is .15 per year.a. According to the CAPM , what is the efficient way for an investor to achieve an expected rate of returnof .10 per year?b. If the standard deviation of the rate of return on the market portfolio is .20, what is the standarddeviation on the above portfolio?c. Draw the CML and locate the foregoing portfolio on the same graph.d. Draw the SML and locate the foregoing portfolio on the same graph.e. Estimate the value of a stock with an expected dividend per share of $5 this coming year, an expecteddividend growth rate of 4% per year forever, and a beta of .8. If its market price is less than the value you have estimated, i.e., if it is under-priced, what is true of its mean rate of return?SOLUTION: a.So one would hold a portfolio that is 4/9 invested in the market portfolio and 5/9 in the riskless asset. b.c. The formula for the CML is9415.)1(06.10.)()1()(=+-=?+-?=x xx x r E x r r E M f 08889.)20(.94==?=M x σσσσσ45.06.)()(+=-+=MfM f r r E r r Ed. The formula for the SML ise. Use constant growth rate DDM and find r using the SML relationIf the market price of the stock is less than this, then its expected return is higher than the 13.2% required rate.()ββ09.06.)()(+=-+=f M f r r E r r E 35.54$04.132.504.510=-=-=-=r g r D P 132.8.09.06.09.06.=?+=+=βr3. If the CAPM is valid, which of the following situations is possible? Explain. Consider each situation independently. a.PortfolioExpected ReturnBeta A 0.20 1.4B 0.25 1.2b.PortfolioExpected ReturnStandard DeviationA 0.300.35B 0.400.25c.Portfolio Expected ReturnStandard DeviationRisk-free 0.100Market 0.180.24A 0.160.12d.Portfolio Expected ReturnStandard DeviationRisk-free 0.100Market 0.180.24A0.200.22SOLUTION:a. Impossible. Since the risk premium on the market portfolio is positive, a security with a higher beta must have ahigher expected return.b. Possible. Since portfolios A & B are not necessarily efficient, A can have a higher standard deviation and alower expected return than B.c. Impossible. Portfolio A lies above the CML, implying that the CML is not efficient. If the standard deviation ofA is .12, then according to the CML its expected return cannot be greater than .14.d. Impossible. Portfolio A has a lower standard deviation and a higher mean return than the market portfolio,implying that the market portfolio is not efficient.4. If the Treasury bill rate is currently 4% and the expected return to the market portfolio over the same period is 12%, determine the risk premium on the market. If the standard deviation of the return on the market is .20, what is the equation of the Capital Market Line?SOLUTION: The risk premium on the market portfolio is .08. The slope of the CML is .08/.2 = .4. Thus, the equation of the CML is:Determinants of the Market Risk Premium5. Consider an economy in which the expected return on the market portfolio over a particular period is .25, the standard deviation of the return to the market portfolio over this same period is .25, and the averagedegree of risk aversion among traders is 3. If the government wishes to issue risk-free zero-coupon bonds with a term to maturity of one period and a face value per bond of $100,000, how much can the government expect to receive per bond? []σσσ4.04.)()(+=++=MfMf r rE r r ESOLUTION:According to the CAPM, E(r M) - r f = Aσ2, so that r f = E(r M) - Aσ2.Substituting into this formula we find: r f = .25 – 3 x .252 = .0625Therefore the revenue raised by the government per bond issued is $100,000 = $94,117.651.06256. . Norma Swanson has invested 40% of her wealth in MGM stock and 60% in Industrial Light and Magic stock. Norma believes the returns to these stocks have a correlation of .06 and that their respective means and standard deviations are: MGM ILMExpected Return (%) 10 15Standard Deviation (%) 15 25a.Determine the expected value and standard deviation of the return on Norma’s portfolio.b.Would a risk-averse investor such as Norma prefer a portfolio composed entirely of only MGM stock? Ofonly ILM stock? Why or why not?SOLUTION:a.The expected return is .13, and the standard deviation is .1649.b. A risk averse investor will not want to hold a portfolio composed entirely of MGM or of ILM stock, becauseone can, in general, achieve the same expected return with a lower standard deviation by combining a portfolio of MGM and ILM with the risk-free asset.7. Consider a portfolio exhibiting an expected return of 20% in an economy in which the riskless interest rate is 8%, the expected return to the market portfolio is thirteen percent, and the standard deviation of the return to the market portfolio is .25. Assuming this portfolio is efficient, determine:a.its beta.b.the standard deviation of its return.c.its correlation with the market return.SOLUTION:/doc/ad5801fd700abb68a982fb59.html e the security market line to infer that the beta of this portfolio is 2.4:.20 = .08 + β(.13 - .08)β = (.20 - .08)/(.13 - .08) = .12/.05 = 2.4/doc/ad5801fd700abb68a982fb59.html e the capital market line to infer that the standard deviation of the yield to this portfolio is .6:.20 = .08+ (.13 - .08) σ = .08+ .2 σ.25σ = .12/.2 = .6c.By definition the following relationships hold:β = cov/σ2Mρ = covσiσMwhere ρ denotes the correlation coefficient. We know that β = 2.4, σM = .25, and σi = .6.So from the definition of β, we get that the cov is 2.4 x .252 = .15. Substituting this into the definition of ρ: ρ = cov = .15 __ = 1σiσM .6 x .25Application of CAPM to Corporate Finance8. . The Suzuki Motor Company is contemplating issuing stock to finance investment in producing a new sports-utility vehicle, the Seppuku. Financial analysts within Suzuki forecast that this investment will have precisely the same risk as the market portfolio, where the annual return to the market portfolio is expected to be 15% and the current risk-free interest rate is 5%. The analysts further believe that the expected return to the Seppuku project will be 20% annually. Derive the maximal beta value that would induce Suzuki to issue the stock.SOLUTION:The project would be on the borderline if its required return were 20% per year. Since the risk-free rate is 5% and the risk premium on the market portfolio is 10%, the required return would be 20% if the beta were 1.5.9. . Roobel and Associates, a firm of financial analysts specializing in Russian financial markets, forecasts that the stock of the Yablonsky Toy Company will be worth 1,000 roubles per share one year from today. If the riskless interest rate on Russian government securities is 10% and the expected return to the market portfolio is 18% determine how much you would pay for a share of Yablonsky stock today if:a.the beta of Yablonsky is 3.b.the beta of Yablonsky is 0.5.SOLUTION:Use the security market line in each case to determine a required rate of return, then infer the current price from the forecasted price of 1,000 roubles and the required rate of return you have determined.a.If beta is 3, the required return is .10+ 3x.08 = .34. You would pay 1,000/1.34 = 746.27 roubles;b.If beta is .5, the required return is .10+ .5x.08 = .14. You would pay 1,000/1.14 = 877.19 roubles.Application of CAPM to Portfolio Management10. Suppose that the stock of the new cologne manufacturer, Eau de Rodman, Inc., has been forecast to havea return with standard deviation .30 and a correlation with the market portfolio of .9. If the standard deviation of the yield on the market is .20, determine the relative holdings of the market portfolio and Eau de Rodman stock to form a portfolio with a beta of 1.8.SOLUTION: By definition:β = cov/σ2Mρ = covσrσMTherefore, β = ρσr/σM. The beta of Rodman stock is therefore .9x.3/.2 = 1.35.The beta of a portfolio is a weighted average of the betas of the component securities. Let A be a fraction of the portfolio invested in Rodman stock to produce a beta of 1.8. Then we have:1.35A + (1-A) = 1.8.35A = .8A = 2.286So the portfolio would have to have 228.6% invested in Rodman stock and a short position in the market portfolio equal to 128.6%.11. The current price of a share of stock in the Vo Giap Clothing Company of Vietnam is 50 dong and its expected yield over the year is 14%. The market risk premium in Vietnam is 8% and the riskless interest rate 6%. What would happen to the stock’s current price if its expected future payout remains co nstant while the covariance of its rate of return with the market portfolio falls by 50%?SOLUTION:Deduce that the expected future price of a share of Vo Giap is 57 dong, so that a reduction in this stock’s beta of 50% implies, by the security market relation, that the required yield on Vo Giap is now 10%, so that its current share price rises by 3.64% toa new value of 51.82 dong.12. Suppose that you believe that the price of a share of IBM stock a year from today will be equal to the sumof the price of a share of General Motors stock plus the price of a share of Exxon, and further you believethat the price of a share of IBM stock in one year will be $100 whereas the price of a share of General Motors today is $30. If the annualized yield on 91-day T-bills (the riskless rate you use) is 5%, the expected yield on the market is 15%, the variance of the market portfolio is 1, and the beta of IBM is 2, what price would you be willing to pay for one share of Exxon stock today?SOLUTION:Expected return = .05 + 2(.15 - .05) = 25%; (100 - x)/x = .25 → x = $80Deduce that the current price of a share of IBM stock is $80, so that the upper bound on the price of a share of Exxon is ($80 -$30 = $50).13. Ascertain whether the following quotation is true or false, and state why:“When arbitrage is absent from financial markets, and investors are each concerned with only the risk and return to their portfolios, then each investor can eliminate all the riskiness of his investments through diversification, and as a consequence the expected yield on each available asset will depend only on the covariance of its yield with the covariance of the yield on the diversified portfolio of risky assets each investor holds.”SOLUTION:False. You cannot eliminate all risk through diversification, only the unsystematic risk.Application of CAPM to Measuring Portfolio Performance14. During the most recent 5-year period, the Pizzaro mutual fund earned an average annualized rate of return of 12% and had an annualized standard deviation of 30%. The average risk-free rate was 5% per year. The average rate of return in the market index over that same period was 10% per year and the standard deviation was 20%. How well did Pizzaro perform on a risk-adjusted basis?SOLUTION:Compute the ratio of average excess return to standard deviation for Pizzaro and compare it to that of the market portfolio: Pizzaro risk-adjusted performance ratio = (.12-.05)/.30 = .233Market portfolio risk-adjusted performance ratio = (.1-.05)/.2 = .250So, on a risk-adjusted basis, Pizzaro did worse than the market index.Challenge ProblemCAPM with only 2 Risky Assets15. There are only two risky assets in the economy: stocks and real estate and their relative supplies are 50% stocks and 50% real estate. Thus, the market portfolio will be half stocks and half real estate. The standard deviations are .20 for stocks, .20 for real estate, and the correlation between them is 0. The coefficient of relative risk aversion of the average market participant (A) is 3. r f is .08 per year.a.According to the CAPM what must be the equilibrium risk premium on the market portfolio, on stocks,and on real estate?b.Draw the Capital Market Line. What is its slope? Where is the point representing stocks located relativeto the CML?c.Draw the SML. What is its formula? Where is the point representing stocks located relative to the SML? SOLUTION: a.The market portfolio consists of half stocks and half real estate. It has a standard deviation of .1414, computedas follows:σ2M = w2σ2s + (1-w)2σ2r+ 2 w(1-w) cov s,rσ2M = 2 x (1/2)2 .22 = .02σM = .1414The equilibrium risk premium on the market portfolio is E(r M)-r f = Aσ2M = 3x.02 = .06.The market portfolio’s expected rate of return is also a weighted average of the expected rates of return on stocks and real estate, where the weights are each 1/2. Stocks and real estate must have the same risk premiumbecause they have the same standard deviation and correlation with the market. Therefore the risk premium on stocks and real estate must be .06, the same as the market portfolio’s risk premium.b.The slope of the CML is .06/.1414 = .424. The point representing stocks is M, it is to the right of the CML.equaling to 1.The formula is: E(r) = r f + (E(r M) –r f).。
《资本资产定价模型的实证研究》篇一一、引言资本资产定价模型(Capital Asset Pricing Model,简称CAPM)是现代金融理论的重要组成部分,用于描述投资组合的期望收益率与风险之间的关系。
该模型在金融学、投资学和财务管理等领域具有广泛的应用。
本文旨在通过实证研究方法,探讨CAPM在中国市场的适用性及有效性。
二、文献综述CAPM自提出以来,已经得到了广泛的实证研究。
早期研究主要集中在发达国家市场,如美国、欧洲等。
随着全球金融市场的不断发展,越来越多的学者开始关注新兴市场国家的CAPM实证研究。
我国学者对CAPM的研究也在不断深入,探讨了CAPM 在中国股市的适用性及风险因素等问题。
然而,由于市场环境、政策法规等因素的影响,CAPM在不同国家和地区的适用性可能存在差异。
因此,本文将通过实证研究方法,进一步探讨CAPM 在中国市场的实际情况。
三、研究方法与数据来源本研究采用实证研究方法,通过收集中国A股市场的相关数据,运用统计分析软件进行数据处理和模型检验。
数据来源主要包括公开的金融数据库、财经网站等。
在研究过程中,首先对CAPM模型进行理论分析,然后构建实证模型,利用收集到的数据进行实证检验。
四、实证模型与结果分析(一)模型构建CAPM模型的基本形式为:E(Ri)=RF+βi(E(RM)-RF),其中E(Ri)为资产i的期望收益率,RF为无风险收益率,βi为资产i的系统风险系数,E(RM)为市场收益率。
在本文的实证研究中,我们将以中国A股市场为研究对象,构建类似的CAPM模型。
(二)实证结果通过收集到的数据,我们运用统计分析软件对CAPM模型进行实证检验。
结果表明,CAPM模型在中国A股市场具有一定的适用性。
具体来说,无风险收益率、系统风险系数与市场收益率等因素对资产期望收益率的影响显著。
此外,我们还发现,不同行业、不同公司的资产系统风险系数存在差异,这表明CAPM模型可以用于评估不同资产的风险和收益。