SCC_3_Lerchenmueller_2005_04_27_Paper

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ABSTRACT FLATCON® systems are high concentrating photovoltaic units using point focussing Fresnel lenses and multi-junction solar cells. FLATCON® concentrator modules equipped with dual-junction solar cells reached efficiencies of 22,7% under realistic operation conditions. A thorough analysis of production cost was carried out for a 20 MW production line. This paper shows the results of the cost analysis and the calculations of levelized electricity costs (LEC) in comparison to conventional flat plate PV modules: For large systems at sites with high direct solar radiation the FLATCON® technology is expected to have a clear competitive advantage. In February 2005 the company Concentrix Solar GmbH was founded as a spin-off company of Fraunhofer ISE to manufacture concentrator systems based on the FLATCON® technology. 1. Market perspectives for concentrators The growth of the market for PV systems is impressive: Despite all economic cycles the market for PV installations grew almost constantly. With an average growth rate of 33% over the last 10 years, in 2004 the magic »1 GW line« of manufactured PV modules was crossed. Assuming a 30% growth rate for the next years, the annual market will be 5 GW by the year 2010 [1]. At the same time the European market gets more and more important. With Spain and Germany there are already two European countries with attractive feed-in laws and the European Commission has defined ambitious targets for renewable energies. Today the average size of PV systems is below 10 kW. However, recently a clear tendency towards larger PV installations can be observed. PV power plants up to the MW class are more frequently realized, for examபைடு நூலகம்le in Germany: In 2004 seven multi-megawatt solar power plants have been set up. Looking at the development of system size over time it becomes clear that large installations will become more and more important. We think that by 2010 50% of all installations can be over 20 kW and 20% of the installations can be over 100 kW. So this is an excellent opportunity for concentrator PV to enter the market, since the target market for concentrating PV is not the roof-top 10 kW market but the PV power plant market from 100 kW to several MW. There are many companies around the world now
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Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems ISE Heidenhofstraße 2, 79110 Freiburg, Germany bett@ise.fraunhofer.de focussing on concentrator modules with III-V solar cells, trying to bring this new cell technology form space to earth. [2 - 6] 2. The FLATCON-Technology Early in the year 2005 the company Concentrix Solar GmbH was founded as a spin-off company of Fraunhofer ISE to manufacture concentrator systems based on the FLATCON® technology. The FLATCON technology has been developed during the last years at Fraunhofer ISE in a co-operation with the Ioffe-Institute, St. Petersburg [7, 8]. This technology uses point focusing Fresnel lenses and multijunction solar cells of III-V-semiconductor material to convert direct light into electricity. The system was designed for an optical concentration ratio of 500. With the use of dual-junction solar cells, concentrator-modules with efficiencies of 22,7% under realistic operation conditions have been built [9]. With the recently available triplejunction solar cells with a cell efficiency over 35% [10] module efficiencies between 25% and 28% can be expected [11].
4. Comparison to flat plate PV To assess the potential of the technology, a cost comparison between flat-plate PV and the FLATCON® concentrator system was carried out. This comparison was performed with regard to the LEC which is determined by the annual depreciation for the initial investment into the PV power plant, the operating and maintenance costs (O&M) and the annual energy output. As a fully automated production line is not available today, the comparison was done with assumptions for the year 2010, calculating with 2,5 €/Wp as a system price of the FLATCON®-System. By then system price for flat-plate PV will be around 3,1 €/Wp. Since the concentrator system has to be a moving system, normal flat-plate-O&M-costs were doubled for the FLATCON® system. For flat-plate PV 1% of the initial investment was considered to cover the O&M costs and 2% was used for the concentrator system. The LEC calculations showed that for sites with moderate solar resources like Munich, Freiburg or Paris the flat-plate system is superior, whereas at sites with high direct solar radiation the FLATCON® technology is expected to have an advantage over flat-plate systems: 15% lower LEC for good sites in Spain and 20% for sites in Arizona or northern Africa.