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中国产业的出口竞争力评估外文文献翻译最新译文

中国产业的出口竞争力评估外文文献翻译最新译文
中国产业的出口竞争力评估外文文献翻译最新译文

文献出处:Fetscherin M, Alon I, Johnson J P. Assessing the export competitiveness of Chinese industries[J]. Asian Business & Management, 2010, 9(3): 401-424.

原文

Assessing the export competitiveness of Chinese industries

Marc; Ilan; Johnson

Introduction

Competitiveness has been assessed and studied at various levels: country (Jones, 1994; Murtha and Lenway, 1994; Enright et al , 1999), region (Uysal et al , 2000), industry (Roth and Morrison, 1992; Mitchell et al, 1993; Contractor et al, 2005; Fetscherin and Alon, 2007) and network/group (Peng et al, 2001). Country-level assessments are provided in The Global Competitiveness Report(World Economic Forum, 2008), the World Competitiveness Yearbook(Institute for Management Development, 2008) and elsewhere (Eckhard, 2006), but are often too general to be applied to a single country (Krugman, 1994). In contrast, individual company cases and studies are too specific and may not be applicable to an entire industry or to all industries from a single country (Peng et al , 2001). Analyzing competitiveness at the industry level, however, provides greater detail and a better understanding of the competitive dynamics of an industry than the country or company level, for several reasons: (i) examining the degree of specialization for a given industry can identify the comparative (dis)advantage of a national industry; (ii) industry-specific analysis permits international comparisons of an industry's degree of specialization and rate of growth; and (iii) an industry-level analysis permits comparisons with other industries.

One dimension of industry competitiveness is export competitiveness. A key indicator of the extent of export competitiveness of an industry is the degree of its participation in international trade. According to data published by the World Trade Organization (WTO, 2007), the volume of world merchandise trade in 2006 grew by 8 per cent to about US$11.8 trillion, compared to world gross domestic product growth of

just 3.5 per cent. In the past two decades, world trade has grown much faster than world GDP, suggesting that the international economy is a source of dynamism and opportunity.

The theory of comparative advantage (Smith, 1776; Ricardo, 1871; Ohlin, 1933; Heckscher, 1949) underscores the importance of specialization and trade in enhancing productivity and consumer well-being. Smith (1776) argued that, under free unregulated trade, each nation should specialize in the production of the goods that it can make most efficiently, and import those goods in which it has a comparative disadvantage. In order to sustain export competitiveness in an industry, companies operating within that industry must understand the concept of revealed comparative advantage, because it allows them to understand and benchmark their position within an industry in terms of, for example, specialization, growth rate and export market share. How to model the export competitiveness of an industry has hitherto remained unresolved, however, particularly when comparing across industries within one country. The purpose of this article is to present a framework that measures, illustrates and compares the export competitiveness of an industry compared to other industries from the same country. Although this framework can also be applied to compare a single industry across various countries, cross-country comparison is not the focus of this article.

China?s globalization has been one of the most dramatic economic evelopments of recent decades (Alon and McIntyre, 2008). During the period 1979–2005, China?s annual growth rate averaged 9.6 per cent, and its integration into the world trading system has been remarkable. Its share in world merchandise trade increased from less than 1 per cent in 1979 to 7.4 per cent in 2005. In the same year, China became the third largest trading nation after the United States and Germany (Greene et al, 2006). The expansion of China?s international trade has been the key to its rising prominence in the world economy, and China?s economy has a strong potential to becom e the world?s top exporter by the beginning of the next decade (Greene et al, 2006). Current

studies investigating and assessing Chinese export competitiveness can be grouped into two main research streams. One stream focuses on the relationship between FDI and China?s trade performance (for example Liu et al, 2001; Khun and Xing, 2007; Xing, 2007). This is an important topic, and most of these studies use the country as the unit of analysis, although some studies use China?s provinces. The other stream focuses on the export performance of industries (for example Greene et al, 2006; Van Assche et al, 2008). As the unit of analysis of this study is the industry, its contribution is to the second stream of research.

Greene et al (2006) provide an overview of C hina?s trade policy environment and examine China?s impact on world prices and the deterioration of its own terms of trade. The study by Van Assche et al (2008) focused on export market share only and concluded that China continues to have a comparative advantage in low-technology activities and a comparative disadvantage in high-technology activities. Our study contributes to this literature by providing a multi-dimensional framework that allows us to measure, identify and compare which Chinese industries have a comparative advantage/disadvantage, which are growing faster or slower than the world average, and their relative importance in international trade.

Measuring export competitiveness

The industry is the location where firms win or lose market share and it is the industry level that permits an examination of the dynamic nature of industrial evolution and reformation in the global business environment (Passemard and Kleiner, 2000). In the academic literature, there is still a general paucity of research on industry export competitiveness, with previous studies consisting mostly of examinations of a single domestic industry and the use of subjective measures (Makhija et al , 1997). Multiple measures have been suggested: Mandeng (1991) examined the size or increase of export market share, while others have used export competitiveness (for example Balassa, 1965; Balassa and Bauwens, 1987), price ratios (for example Durand and Giorno, 1987) and cost competitiveness (for example Siggel and Cockburn, 1995). Our conceptualization of export competitiveness attempts to combine appropriate elements

from previous studies and follows the recommendation of Buckley et al (1992) and Porter (1990) for the use of multiple indicators. Specifically, the framework that we present here contributes to existing literature as it not only uses multi-dimensional measures, but also allows an examination of industry export competitiveness using either an intra- or inter-country analysis. The use of multiple dimensions is superior to the use of single measures as it puts into better perspective an industry's export competitiveness (Balassa Index), dynamism (growth rate) and importance (export market share) in comparison with other industries. For example, an industry that is highly specialized but not important in terms of export market share can be compared with one that might be less specialized but has a larger world export market share. Having only one dimension might lead to a wrong assessment and conclusion. The proposed framework tries to address some of those issues.

Industry specialization (IS )

The concept of comparative advantage has been widely accepted as one of the foundations for international trade. A country has a pattern of specialization that is determined by what goods it exports and the volume of each good it exports, both of which change over time (Vernon, 1966; Hoskisson and Yiu, 2003; Kelleher, 2003). Krugman (1994) argues that international trade is not a zero-sum game and that the rise or fall of particular industries and nations reflects changing factor endowments and the need to shift to new areas of competitive advantage. When a nation enjoys a comparative advantage in a particular industry, it is natural that firms make investments in order to profit from this advantage, resulting in a relatively high degree of specialization within that industry (Dunning, 1993). A commonly used measure of industry specialization, based on export data, is revealed comparative advantage, often referred to as the Balassa Index ( BI ) (Balassa, 1965). Richardson and Zhang (1999) used the Balassa Index for the United States to analyze variations in patterns of trade across time, sectors and regions. They found that patterns differed by region and over time and also for different levels of aggregation of the export data.

Industry growth (IG )

Studies of industry competitiveness have tended to take a static rather than dynamic or longitudinal perspective, and have provided little insight into globalization trends. As we want to assess the past, present and future export competitiveness of Chinese industries, an assessment of industry trends can shed light on the manner in which Chinese industry as a whole is globalizing and at what pace (Makhija et al, 1997). Our framework includes industry export growth because, over time, a country may start to specialize more in some industries and less in others, thus changing its pattern of specialization. This also highlights the difference between dynamic and static industries. Some studies (for example Hinloopen and van Marrewijk, 2001; Alessandrini et al, 2007) measure this change of pattern of specialization by using Shorrocks? (1978) mobility index. However, the mobility index does not provide sufficiently detailed information, as it just ranks industries or sectors of a country according to export volume, groups them into quintiles and calculates the net change between quintiles; industries that do not have a net change between quintiles are considered to be static rather than dynamic. Other studies (for example Baldwin and Gu, 2004; Amador et al, 2006; Cooper, 2006) have used a simpler but perhaps more precise measure of changes in specialization by calculating the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of exports in certain sectors over a certain period of time. It can be assumed that export growth in a given industry and country, particularly growth that is higher than the average global industry growth, implies a greater degree of globalization for that industry. However, this measure suffers from the weakness that domestic production and consumption, which are important for competitiveness, are omitted. Nevertheless, given the focus of our framework on export competitiveness, this weakness is not significant. Therefore, we use CAGR as a measure of growth in exports.

Methodology and data collection

We used data from the UNCTAD and the WTO for the years 2001-2005. The 5-year time period in our data allows for an analysis of changing global dynamics, especially important in the case of China. During the period of our investigation, China

undertook many market reforms and joined the WTO in 2001, events which changed the competitive position of its industries.

We first provide a brief overview of the overall pattern of international trade for China compared to other Asian countries. Then, for the 97 Chinese industries, we calculate the degree of industry specialization and the industry growth rate in terms of exports over the selected period of time. Finally, we apply our framework to assess the degree of export competitiveness of the various industries in China.

Results

International trade comparison

Table 1 provides an overview of the total export value in US dollars for various countries from Asia for the years 2001-2005 as well as the corresponding CAGR.

Overall, during the period 2001–2005, all countries in Table 1 registered a positive CAGR in terms of exports, ranging from 10 per cent in the case of Japan to 30 per cent in case of China (with India the next highest, with 4 per cent). In absolute terms, the highest value of exports for the main Asian countries in 2005 was recorded by China with US$762 billion, followed by Japan with US$595 billion and Hong-Kong (SAR) and South Korea with US$292 billion and US$284 billion, respectively. In the same year, India had only US$103 billion worth of exports, positioning it as a relatively weak exporting country.

It also shows that countries from Asia, and specifically China, continue to gain importance in the global market as, for most of these countries, the average growth rate of exported products is higher than the average global export growth rate of 14 per cent between 2001 and 2005. The main product groups exported by China were 'Electrical, electronic equipment' (US$172.3 billion); 'Boilers, machinery, nuclear reactors' (US$149.6 billion); 'Articles of apparel, accessories not knit or crochet' (US$35 billion); 'Articles of apparel, knit and crochet' (US$30.8 billion) and 'Optical, photo, technical, medical apparatus' (US$25.4 billion).

However, understanding international trade data in terms of absolute and relative

values at the country level is necessary (Table 1), it is insufficient for assessing the export competitiveness of industries because it lacks specificity and comparative data at the industry level across multiple indicators. Our proposed framework will take these factors into account and this will be discussed in the next section.

Industry export competitiveness

We calculated values for the three key variables for each of the 97 Chinese industries. Figure 2 - See PDF, provides an overview of the different industries from China and their degree of export competitiveness in terms of industry specialization, growth and size. The reference point for the Balassa Index (horizontal axis) was a threshold value of 1 (which, as mentioned before, has been used in previous studies); while for industry growth (vertical axis), the reference point was the world average export growth of 14 per cent for the period 2001-2005.

One interesting result is that the majority of Chinese industries (73 per cent) are categorized as …dynamic?, either domestic (39 per cent) or global (34 percent), both having a higher than average export growth rate (30 and 28 percent, respectively) compared to the world average of 14 per cent. For the period of the investigation, most Chinese industries grew faster than their world counterparts, not surprisingly, given the higher relative GDP growth of China in general.

In China, the 'global static' category consists of light manufacturing, such as travel goods, clocks, umbrellas, textiles and commodities such as wool, silk, bird skin, and salt, earth and stone. China has established a specialization in international markets for these types of products, thus exhibiting a high Balassa Index, but the growth rate of these industries lags behind the world average.

Conclusions and Future Research

The purpose of this study was to present a novel framework that allows us to measure, illustrate and compare the export competitiveness of industries. The framework is innovative as it takes into account multiple measures: (i) the degree of industry specialization, (ii) the industry export growth rate and (iii) the export market

share. Using these variables, this model provides a basis for intra-country comparisons of industries of various competitive postures. It could also be used for inter-country comparisons of one industry among countries (not shown in this article). The use of multiple variables in the framework provides more meaningful information than the single variable analyses which previous studies have generally used (for example Van Assche et al, 2008). The use of multiple measures, such as specialization, growth rate and export market share of an industry, allows us to put into perspective the competitiveness, dynamism and importance of one industry compared to others. Our framework also allows for a comparative analysis of sub-industries or product groups depending on the data set used

The proposed framework has been applied to China, a leading emerging economy and one of the largest trading nations in the world. Most of China?s industries (73 per cent) are dynamic, showing above-average export growth rates. Many reasons account for this rapid growth, including market liberalization, falling trade barriers and a favorable exchange rate. Our results show that most Chinese industries have increased their specialization over time, which is in line with various OECD studies (for example Greene et al, 2006). However, our study further reveals t hat less than half of these …dynamic? industries are globally competitive, according to the Balassa Index. China therefore still has a long way to go in fortifying its position as a leader in world exports across a spectrum of various industries.

Two important relationships are confirmed by our study. First, there is a positive and significant correlation between degree of specialization and relative market share, and, secondly, there is no significant correlation between degree of specialization and export growth rate. In other words, industry specialization may affect the relative market share of Chinese exports, but not their rate of growth. Overall, 46 per cent of Chinese industries are categorized as …global? in our framework, with a world export market share of between 19 and 24 percent. This finding indicates that these industries are not only strong global players, but are also influencing the international competitive landscape. Over 70 per cent of those industries are also …dynamic?, with

exports growing on average at about 28 per cent annually, compared to the remaining 30 per cent, which are …static? and growing at 11 per cent on average over the period 2001–2005. This result further suggests that the more an industry is specialized, the higher its world market share in terms of exports.

译文

中国产业的出口竞争力评估

马克;伊兰;约翰逊

引言

专家学者们对竞争力已经进行了多方面的研究:有国家层次的竞争力评估(琼斯,1994;恩莱特等,1999),有地区层次竞争力的评估(索尔等,2000)、也有对行业竞争力的评估(罗斯和莫里森,1992;米切尔等,1993;菲斯坦因和艾伦,2007)等。对国家层面竞争力的评估形成了全球竞争力报告(2008年世界经济论坛),世界竞争力年鉴》(管理发展研究所,2008年),但国家层面的竞争力报告往往过于空泛,仅仅适用于某一个国家(克鲁格曼,1994)。相比之下,公司竞争力方面的研究则太具体,也不是很适用于整个行业或从一个国家的所有行业的竞争力分析。相比于国家或公司层面的竞争力分析,产业面竞争力的分析,则为我们提供了一个更详细的竞争动态,主要是因为以下几个原因:(1) 通过研究某一个国家的产业的专业化程度,就可以判断这个国家的工业的优势和劣势;(2)通过对特定产业的分析,就可以知道这一行业的专业化程度和增长率;(3) 产业层次的竞争力分析许,可与其他产业进行对比分析。

产业竞争力的组成部分之一就是出口竞争力。一个产业的出口竞争力的关键指标,反映了了其参与国际贸易的程度。根据世界贸易组织(WTO,2007)公布的数据显示,2006年全球商品贸易的数量增长了8%,达到了约11.8万亿美元,而全球国内生产总值(GDP)增长仅为3.5%。在过去的二十年里,世界贸易的增长速度超过了世界GDP的增长速度,这表明国际贸易经济,是活力和机会的源泉。

比较优势理论(史密斯,1776;里卡多,1776;欧林,1933;赫克舍,1949)强调了专业化和贸易对于提高产量和消费者福利的重要性。史密斯(1776)认为,在自由不

受监管的贸易环境中,每个国家都应该生产专门的货物,它可以最有效地顺利出口,并且低价进口别的商品,这样就带来了一个比较劣势。为了保持行业的出口竞争力,该行业的公司必须要很好地理解比较优势的概念,因为它能够让他们理解如何做去保持在行业中的优势竞争地位。例如:专业化、增长率和出口市场份额。那么如何去做才能保证行业的出口竞争力呢,迄今为止,这一问题仍然没有得到解决,特别是当一个国家跨产业化经营的时候。本文的目的是提供一个框架,以及为保持行业出口竞争力提出了一些措施。将一个产业的出口竞争力与来自同一个国家的其他行业,进行一个比较分析。虽然这个框架主要适用于比较单一的产业,不过,对不同国家的比较不是本文分析的重点。

近几十年来,中国的经济发展,及其全球化一直是最引人注目的(艾伦和麦金太尔,2008)。1979 - 2005年期间,中国的年增长率平均为9.6%,以及其融入世界贸易体系的成效也是显著的。其进出口贸易占世界商品贸易的比重从1979年的不到1%增长到2005年的7.4%。同年,中国成为世界上第三大贸易国,仅次于美国和德国(格林等人,2006)。中国的国际贸易的不断扩大,也是其世界经济的地位不断提升的关键所在,中国的经济发展有很强的潜力,在下一个十年的开始,有可能会成为世界最大的出口国(格林等人,2006)。目前学术界对中国出口竞争力的研究调查和评估可以分为两个主要流派:一个是主要关注FDI和中国的贸易表现之间的关系(例如刘等,2001;坤兴,2007;兴,2007年)。这是一个重要的话题,尽管一些研究将中国的一些省份作为分析对象,但是大多数的这些研究都使用国家作为分析单元。另一种流派的研究重点,则是关注行业的出口表现(例如:格林等人,2006; 凡阿彻等额人,2008)。本文的研究,即属于第二个流派。

格林等人(2006)对中国的贸易政策环境,对中国进行审查对世界贸易造成的影响,以及对自己国家的贸易条件恶化情况,做了一个概述。凡阿彻等人(2008)的研究,仅集中在出口市场份额上,其得出的结论是,中国的出口继续集中在技术含量低的出口贸易活动上,再者上面有比较优势,但是在的高科技出口活动商处于劣势。我们的研究结果对该领域的研究是很有助益的,通过提供一个多维的框架,使我们能够评估、识别和比较中国的产业出口比较优势/劣势,增长速度是高于还是低于世界平均水平,以及在国际贸易中,中国出口贸易活动对国际贸易整体来说,是否是相对重要的。

出口竞争力的评估

产业是公司赢得或失去市场份额的地方。在当前的学术界缺乏产业出口竞争力方面的研究,以往的研究大多是单一的国内产业。曼德(1991)年的研究,他建议:要多研究出口的规模或市场份额的增加,而其他人主要研究的是出口竞争力(例如:巴拉撒,1965; 鲍文斯,1987);价格比率(例如:杜兰德和焦尔诺,1987)以及成本竞争力(例如:西格尔,1995)。我们关于出口竞争力的概念,具体地说,这里提供的分析框架,都是有助于现有的研究工作的。因为它允许对产业的出口竞争力进行内部或跨国的分析。使用多个维度的分析模型优于单一的分析方法,因为它将能从更好的角度来看一个行业的出口竞争力(巴拉撒指数)、活力(增长率)和重要性(出口市场份额)。

产业专业化

比较优势的概念已被广泛接受,它是国际贸易的基础之一。一个国家有其自己特色的产业专业化模式。克鲁格曼(1994)认为,国际贸易并不是一个零和游戏,特定行业的上升或下降反映了竞争优势的变化。当一个国家拥有一个专业化程度很高的产业,享有竞争力方面的比较优势是很自然的,而公司为了保持这一比较优势会进一步投资,这又导致一个相对高度的专业化。常用的衡量产业专业化的方法,主要是基于出口数据,通常被称为Balassa指数(BI)。理查森和张(1999)使用Balassa指数来分析美国贸易模式随时间,行业和地区而发生的变化。他们发现不同的地区和随着时间的推移会呈现出不同层次的出口数据聚合。

行业增长(IG)

对产业竞争力的研究大多数都倾向于静态的而非动态的或纵向的研究,这样一来,就难以提供全面的信息,以了解全球化的趋势。我们要评估过去,现在和未来中国的产业出口竞争力,对行业发展趋势的评估是很很重要的,它可以揭示中国行业的发展方式,作为一个整体来进行全球化以及以什么速度来发展(马西加等,1997)。我们的分析框架包括对行业出口增长的分析,因为随着时间的推移,一个国家可能会更多的开始关注某些行业的具体情况,并适时地改变其专业化的模式。这也突出了动态和静态产业之间的区别。一些研究(例如西诺和马西加,2001;亚历山大里克等,2007),(完整译文请到百度文库)通过夏洛克斯”(1978)流动性

中英文文献翻译

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Component-based Safety Computer of Railway Signal Interlocking System 1 Introduction Signal Interlocking System is the critical equipment which can guarantee traffic safety and enhance operational efficiency in railway transportation. For a long time, the core control computer adopts in interlocking system is the special customized high-grade safety computer, for example, the SIMIS of Siemens, the EI32 of Nippon Signal, and so on. Along with the rapid development of electronic technology, the customized safety computer is facing severe challenges, for instance, the high development costs, poor usability, weak expansibility and slow technology update. To overcome the flaws of the high-grade special customized computer, the U.S. Department of Defense has put forward the concept:we should adopt commercial standards to replace military norms and standards for meeting consumers’demand [1]. In the meantime, there are several explorations and practices about adopting open system architecture in avionics. The United Stated and Europe have do much research about utilizing cost-effective fault-tolerant computer to replace the dedicated computer in aerospace and other safety-critical fields. In recent years, it is gradually becoming a new trend that the utilization of standardized components in aerospace, industry, transportation and other safety-critical fields. 2 Railways signal interlocking system 2.1 Functions of signal interlocking system The basic function of signal interlocking system is to protect train safety by controlling signal equipments, such as switch points, signals and track units in a station, and it handles routes via a certain interlocking regulation. Since the birth of the railway transportation, signal interlocking system has gone through manual signal, mechanical signal, relay-based interlocking, and the modern computer-based Interlocking System. 2.2 Architecture of signal interlocking system Generally, the Interlocking System has a hierarchical structure. According to the function of equipments, the system can be divided to the function of equipments; the system

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