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2011年6月CFA 2级真题

2011年6月CFA 2级真题
2011年6月CFA 2级真题

CFA level II 2011 【6060/61 北京南京成都上海广州】Morning session 总题数

economics* 6

ethics* 6

fixed income* 6

equity* 12

portfolio* 6

FSA 12

derivative* 6

corporate* 6

Afternoon

总题数

session

economics* 0

ethics* 6

fixed income* 6

equity* 12

FSA 12

derivative* 6

statistics* 6

alternative* 6

corporate* 6

上午不确定题目

道德6 2

经济学 1

财务12 1

公司金融6 3

固定收益6 1

股权12 4

衍生品6 3

Portfolio 6 2

1 .CODE AND ETHICS(+1)

(1)吹牛逼CFA通过了多么牛那个CFA旗号

(此部分只要和业绩、公司经营相联系均错误)

(2)用以前公司用过的系统是否违规

(此题有争议,该系统在原公司曾经用过,是否有独立产权,还是市场上销售系统)

(3)discretionary 和non-discretionary 后者优先交易(两个账户均不违规) Explanation: Disclose the Presence of Tiers of Service - Many organizations offer both discretionary and nondiscretionary advisory service, but because of the differences in those accounts, they might find it necessary for practical reasons to take action in the discretionary accounts first, before they take the same action within the nondiscretionary accounts. Such procedure is not discriminatory since discretionary accounts are paying a premium; however, clients must be fully aware of this practice.

(4)上午别的公司经历让去任什么职位然后你去了去完之后没和老总汇报原来公司没辞职这个时候好像哪个老总让你去研究对方的公司做研究报告、招投标。(此部分涉及conflict of interest, 个人觉得不应该从事研究原公司,另一选项是征求原老板同意)

(5)上午IPO发行股票有人退回来你是基金经理你把股票退回来的一部分自己买了剩下的分了(不合理)

(应首先分给基金下面合适的客户,然后自己再购买)

(6) 下午经济分析数据一共三条判断哪个违规第一个5.4 第二个忘了第三个归总预测6 . (第三个数据无依据) (distinguish between fact and opinion)

(7) 下午投行部让更改报告内容数据,不更改是否违规(不违规)

(8) 选择一个什么类型的基金来着给所有人买了当时基金类型是income oriented 然后他要买AA级别的(suitability违背,投资选择不符合所有账户投资目标)

(9).以前业绩直接呈现在新公司报告上面(一个选项是暗示收益,一个是未说明过去得到,个人觉得应选择暗示收益,表示未来承诺仍有8%收益可能)

(10)自己曾经研究出一个结果,后来参见第三方研究报告后,草草将研究结果修改(选项中有两项,一项是不应该用三方报告,另一项是违反diligence要求)

(应选择diligence)

【V(A).Diligence and reasonable basis要求对第三方的研究报考review,保证independent和objectivity。】

(11) 按时间顺序交易一部分投资者没有轮到(部分同学认为不违反,部分同学认为交易顺序有问题)

(12) IPO购买量不足,要求基金经理购买IPO 股份. (violation) (not pump up)

(market manipulation核心判断点:是否直接对价格或成交量有影响)(推荐、发表意见不算)

2. Economics

(1) one- third rule :

(2) bid*bid (题目问的cross rate 中buy 如何算,并非从银行A 换B,B 换C 用哪个汇率,站在银行角度而非换汇人角度)

(3) 阿三买房子 计入financial account

(4) official reserve 应该减少(如果不是看账面价值,例如-20至-5,实际为减少)

(5) 套利过程 buy low, sell high

(6) 实际汇率计算=

名义汇率*物价比(反向)

3. Corporate finance

Morning:

(1) financial distress :使得net agency cost of equity 减小

(2) a bird in the hand (影响required return of equity ,or cost of equity 现金股利使得re 减小)

(3) share repurchase and debt 哪个 对FCFE 谁有影响呢?(回购不影响,debt 影响)

Explanation: share repurchases, and share issues do not affect FCFF or FCFE (see LOS 42.h . repayment of debt will decrease FCFE in the current year

(4) 二公司仅负债不同,一个公司业绩更好,因为什么因素?(公司治理)

(解释:债务比率增加,增加公司外部监管性,更多所得款用于pay off debt )

(文章还提到manager 和CEO 同一人)

(5) re 计算(用MM 定理中公式)

Re=9% Rd pre-tax=6% tax 是30%, 使用公司1的最优资本结构MV debt/equity ratio 是0.5(10.05%,10.5%,11.4%)

解析:计算过程:9+(3*0.7)*0.5= 10.05

(6) MM conflicts with cletene effect? (no conflict)

Afternoon:

(1) outflow (取代工程)(套公式,无折旧)

(2) EP 计算(负数)

(3) CFAT 计算(套公式)

(4) beta 计算 (1.6/1.4,答案不统一)

(5) 两工程比较(最小二乘法比较NPV ,3年的工程应该是NPV 更大)

(6) opportunity cost 应包括在内,market cost 同等考虑(辨析题)

Sunk cost 排除在外 4. Alternative: (本部分至少4个选C )

(1) market neutral fund 是否可以用Rf 当benchmark

(不可以,benchmark: 30-day Treasury bill rate + a spread of 250 bps )

(2) 商品抗通胀(贬值)的属性

(3) beta 值选的哪个 B 是用一个模型 其中反映在上升和下降两种情况 C 是上升和下降分别计算beta (选B ,用dummy variable)

E D t r r r r d e ?--+=)1]([00

(4) contango+ normal backwardation

(5) F

(6) contango 原因->increase in commodity demand (roll yield 为负的原因)(另一选项为,it should be always positive yield in the past, 错误陈述)

5. Derivatives:

Morning:

(1)计算Future price (应包含CONVERSION FACTOR)

(2)一个SW AP赚了多少M欧元欧元升值选什么? 7.9

(3)commodity 投资收益(9000,13000,16000,多数选9000减了storage cost)

(4)interest rate derivative 计算(cap)(套公式)

(5) payer swaption(选项,终结原衍生工具)

(6) Forward价值大于future 的原因(negative correlation 可能更大)

Afternoon:

(1)swaption计算;

(2)CDS spread 扩大-->payer option 获利

(3)swap fixed rate计算(分别计算两种货币浮动、固定,)

(4)hedge strategy中option 需要的数量

(number= number of stocks/ delta)(26700)

(5)gamma 对hedge 有影响(affect efficiency)

(6)synthetic put/ call 公式记忆

6. Statistics:

(1)R2开根号

(2)两个都有单位根且相关;

(3)t和标准差都取文字叙述里10%的(-8.2) t-test 目标值为-1

(4)F-test ,

(5) RMSE,

(6) AR(1)出现什么什么,是否应该用AR(2)。——AR(1),AR(2)都不能用。

7. Equity:

(1). case analysis

(1)门槛高不高(高,capital intensive)

(2)影响因素个数(1)

【题目解析】

Threat of Entry

The alpine/ski resort industry has significant barriers to entry because the number of locations for such a venture is limited. Costs of resort development are high, and the regulations and permits are difficult to obtain and have to comply with strict environmental standards. Substitute products are goods or services from outside a given industry that perform similar or the same functions as a product that the industry produces[ Hitt, Ireland, Hoskisson, Strategic Management Fifth Edition, Thomson Learning Copyright 2003 pg.60]. Cruises and vacation trips outside of the United States are two main substitutes to the type of vacation package that

Intrawest and direct competitors offer.

The main suppliers of the ski resort industry include companies that specialize in snowmaking machines, ski and snowboard equipment and ski lift.

(3) 哪个因素影响最小(technology)

(4) 正和博弈(关键看pie是否有扩大,两公司非你死我活竞争,同时刺激经济整体发展)(5)tax credit 计算(用dividend,乘末期汇率)

(6) if the government 放松管制,premium(fall)

(2). arbitrage for emerging market (计2题)

(1) Cash and carry arbitrage( F理论值偏差,套利)

(2) bid-ask spread(哪个最不应该应用,看清题干"least like to use",衡量市场活跃度)(其余选项shortfall;volume weighted)

(3)(gamma(local)+1=gamma),5000*(0.2+1)=6000 (题目中说指数和本地汇率正相关,swedish升值则指数上升,相关系数为0.2)

(4) expected dividend= expected increase in EPS *target payout ratio * conversion factor

(5) residual dividend model: residual dividend= increase in equity - planned capital spending* (1- D/A) (减去内源融资部分)

(6) 为何上市公司不偏好国外上市?(国内风险放大化)(其他答案:汇率因素;成本因素)One disadvantage of foreign listing is the increased volatility of the firm's stock due to a stronger response in foreign versus domestic markets to domestic economic news.

(3). Residual income model

(1)terminal year (第五年) RI (=0) (其余选项0, 2.4, 3.2)

(2)RI of the 3rd year: 0.45 (0.45,0.55,0.65)

(3)NWCInv计算,在计算FCFF时是否应扣除cash和notes payable (均应扣除)

【解释】:WCInv: Investment in working capital. It equals to the increase in short-term operating assets net of operating liabilities. Note that working capital for cash flow and valuation purposes is defined to exclude cash and short-term debt (which includes notes payable and the current portion of long-term debt).

?Cash and cash equivalents are not taken into consideration, because it is the change in this account that is explained by FCFF.

?Notes payable and the current portion of long-term debt are also ignored, because these accounts pertain to financing decisions, and FCFF describes operating and investing activities only.

(4) 用dupont analysis 分解计算指标

(5) change in PPE calculation(PPE expenditure)(220, 应减accumulated depreciation)

(6) franchise factor calculation (4.8)(直接套用公式)

(4). ratio analysis (此部分基本为纯财务指标计算) (相关指标计算)

(1)不受到各个国家会计准则影响P/CFO受影响最小(错误选项包括EV/EBITDA)

(2)比较p/s同行业平均水平的高低的吧

(3) Stock repurchase, 调整DDM可行吗?

A) 不行因为不适合DDM

B) 行调整某项

C) XX 具体选项...(选B项)

(此题无争议,DDM这题书上写得很清楚了,可以用,需要调整g)

(4) 还有一个计算是用H-model (直接套用公式)

(5) 根据很多假设的计算SALE*20% 然后一堆其他的%

average ROE法,算2010earning,我算了0.41

(6)g=PRAT (直接四个部分相乘)

8. FSA

(1)FIFO VS LIFO

1. inventory write up 对比率变化(solvency ratio)

2. inventory write up:to smooth income

3.NI(Fifo)=NI+(ENDING-BEGINNING)(1-T)

4.计算held to maturity 的interest expense (book value*6.5%,此处用票面利率)

5.held to maturity B/S 计算

6. Profit instability LIFO liquidation (COGS显著降低,penetrate into older inventory)

(2)sheet analysis

1. CF accrual calculation (套公式)

2.FCFF计算=NI+NCC+int(1-t) –WCINV – FCINV (题里未提到折旧)

3. DEBT/CFO (定性判断)

4. Goodwill calculation (partial goodwill)

5. B1=B0+NI-dividend

6. core operating margin计算(sales-COGS)/sales

(3)PBO部分:

1、关于各种假设因素改变对PBO影响

Discount rate 增加—> PBO降低

2、薪金增长率提高会提高PBO

3、一个是关于stock grant之中的dividend yield/ volatility/ R f(选dividend yield)

(按看涨期权价值公司计算)(问哪个因素提高导致expense减少)

4、Economic expense (100)

5、Funded status 计算(504)(不减调整项,直接算)

6、Overfunded 状况下CFO/CFF (均为CFO划分为CFF)

(4)finance lease VS operating lease

1.ni+dep+in-renting(677)

2.OL变为FL后net working capital turnover rate 变化(CA-CL降低,turnover 上升)(选下降的错了)

3.如果公司从加速折旧改为直线折旧,那么与之前相比,固定资产周转率、营运资本周转率和经营现金流哪个可能增加?(NWC turnover rate增加,其他两个下降)

(解题思路:

直线折旧税金增加,使得企业现金减少,net working capital 减少,最终导致营运资本周转率增加。

直线折旧使得accumulated depreciation减少,fixed asset 价值增加,fixed asset turnover 减少。

直线折旧使得TAX SHIELD 减小,税金增加,CFO减少。)

4.FL变为OL后,ROE如何变化?(变大) (expense 下降,NI上升,ROE上升)

5.OL变为FL后,EBIT / interest (相同)(此题需要具体计算,无法定性分析)

6.为什么企业偏好使用FL,(答案:改进CFO)(其余选项债务比率…)

9. Fixed income

Morning:

1.revolving period还款为0

2.z-accrual (reinvestment risk)

3.PACII 原题重现:是在不同的interest volatility 下7%,13%,21%,列了一堆tranche (PAC,support,Z-accrual)的OAS,Z-spread,duration 问哪个有best value?这个选pac2吧。初始状态是13%上下调整到7,和21,pac2的价格下浮最小,上浮最大。

4.SMM*(original- scheduled)*conversion factor

5.75 (shift mechanism) (选项75,84,90)

6.如果25-36个月里,repaid数额是75,亏损30,A3tranch是多少(40)(选项38.1,40,…)(overcollaterization 先弥补亏损,之后按顺序吸收)

【Explanation:倒数第三个subordinate tranche 选40,30M的loss被下面两个Subordinate tranches吸收掉20,所以这个倒数第三的tranche从原来的50扣掉10】

Afternoon:

1.可转债运算straight value

2. emerging market的discount rate(39%)

3.conversion premium

4. long term比short-term 的credit risk要大

credit risk may be more important for long-term

5.

6.V olatility 增加:v callable 小putable 大

10. Portfolio investment

(1) 组合风险计算(8.38%)

(2)CAPM算的和required的对比,是高估还是低估(推算股票是否正确定价)

(3) extended CAPM假设条件(第一个不对,第二个对。投资无国界划分,错误)

(4) sharpe ratio 两个组合相同(同样好)(计算sharpe ratio)

(5)(低相关,高波动)

(6) 加入第三个资产之后是否有所改进(是,同收益状况下比较标准差)

A+B(包含eurozone bond and equity),换成A+B+C(包含eurozone bond and equity, 和另一个bond),其中ACsharp ratio同,二者分别和B的correlation均为0.8同,组合是否有改进。(答案:算出来收益未变,但标准差降低.,有改进)

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