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财务风险管理中英文资料翻译Financial Risk ManagementAlthough financial risk has increased significantly in recent years, risk and risk management are not contemporary issues. The result of increasingly global markets is that risk may originate with events thousands of miles away that have nothing to do with the domestic market. Information is available instantaneously, which means that change, and subsequent market reactions, occur very quickly. The economic climate and markets can be affected very quickly by changes in exchange rates, interest rates, and commodity prices. Counterparties can rapidly become problematic. As a result, it is important to ensure financial risks areidentified and managed appropriately.Preparation is a key component of risk management.What Is Risk?Risk provides the basis for opportunity. The terms risk and exposure have subtle differences in their meaning. Risk refers to the probability of loss,while exposure is the possibility of loss, although they are often used interchangeably. Risk arises as a result of exposure.Exposure to financial markets affects most organizations, either directly or indirectly. When an organization has financial market exposure, there is a possibility of loss but also an opportunity for gain or profit. Financial market exposure may provide strategic or competitive benefits.Risk is the likelihood of losses resulting from events such as changes in market prices. Events with a low probability of occurring, but that may result in a high loss, are particularly troublesome because they are often not anticipated. Put another way, risk is the probable variability of returns.Since it is not always possible or desirable to eliminate risk, understanding it is an important step in determining how to manage it. Identifying exposures and risks forms the basis for an appropriate financial risk management strategy.How Does Financial Risk?Financial risk arises through countless transactions of a financial nature,including sales and purchases, investments and loans, and various other businessactivities. It can arise as a result of legal transactions, new projects, mergers andacquisitions, debt financing, the energy component of costs, or through the activitiesof management, stakeholders, competitors, foreign governments, or weather. When financial prices change dramatically, it can increase costs, reduce revenues,orotherwise adversely impact the profitability of an organization. Financial fluctuationsmay make it more difficult to plan and budget, price goods and services, and allocatecapital.There are three main sources of financialrisk:1. Financial risks arising from an organization ' s expionsmuraerktoetcphrai cnegse,ssuch as interest rates, exchange rates, and commodityprices.2. Financial risks arising from the actions of, and transactions with, other organizations such as vendors, customers, and counterparties in derivatives transactions3. Financial risks resulting from internal actions or failures of the organization,particularly people, processes, andsystemsWhat Is Financial Risk Management?Financial risk management is a process to deal with the uncertaintiesresultingfrom financial markets. It involves assessing the financial risks facing an organizationand developing management strategies consistent with internal priorities and policies.Addressing financial risks proactively may provide an organization with a competitiveadvantage.It also ensures that management,operational staff, stakeholders, and theboard of directors are in agreement on key issues ofrisk.Managing financial risk necessitates making organizational decisions about risksthat are acceptable versus those that are not. The passive strategy of taking no actionis the acceptance of all risks bydefault.Organizations manage financial risk using a variety of strategies andproducts. Itis important to understand how these products and strategies work to reduceriskwithin the context of the organization toleran'ces arinskdobjectives.Strategies for risk management often involve derivatives. Derivatives are traded widely among financial institutions and on organized exchanges. The value of derivatives contracts, such as futures, forwards, options, and swaps, is derived from the price of the underlying asset. Derivatives trade on interest rates, exchange rates, commodities, equity and fixed income securities, credit, and even weather.The products and strategies used by market participants to manage financial risk are the same ones used by speculators to increase leverage and risk. Although it can be argued that widespread use of derivatives increases risk, the existence of derivatives enables those who wish to reduce risk to pass it along to those who seek risk and its associated opportunities.The ability to estimate the likelihood of a financial loss is highly desirable.However, standard theories of probability often fail in the analysis of financial markets. Risks usually do not exist in isolation, and the interactions of several exposures may have to be considered in developing an understanding of how financial risk arises. Sometimes, these interactions are difficult to forecast, since they ultimately depend on human behavior.The process of financial risk management is an ongoing one. Strategies need to be implemented and refined as the market and requirements change. Refinements may reflect changing expectations about market rates, changes to the business environment, or changing international political conditions, for example. In general, the process can be summarized as follows: 1、Identify and prioritize key financial risks.2、Determine an appropriate level of risk tolerance.3、Implement risk management strategy in accordance with policy.4、Measure, report, monitor, and refine as needed.DiversificationFor many years, the riskiness of an asset was assessedbased only on the variability of its returns. In contrast, modern portfolio theory considers not only an asset ' s riskiness, but also its contributiotno the overall riskiness of the portfolio towhich it is added. Organizations may have an opportunity to reduce risk as aresult of risk diversification.In portfolio management terms, the addition of individual components to a portfolio provides opportunities for diversification, within limits. A diversified portfolio contains assets whose returns are dissimilar, in other words, weakly or negatively correlated with one another. It is useful to think of the exposures of an organization as a portfolio and consider the impact of changes or additions on the potential risk of the total.Diversification is an important tool in managing financial risks. Diversification among counterparties may reduce the risk that unexpected events adversely impact the organization through defaults. Diversification among investment assetsreduces the magnitude of loss if one issuer fails.Diversification of customers, suppliers, and financing sources reduces the possibility that an organization will have its business adversely affected by changes outside management' csontrol. Although the risk of loss still exists, diversification may reduce the opportunity for large adverse outcomes.Risk Management ProcessThe process of financial risk management comprises strategies that enable an organization to manage the risks associated with financial markets. Risk management is a dynamic process that should evolve with an organization and its business. It involves and impacts many parts of an organization including treasury, sales, marketing, legal, tax, commodity, and corporate finance.The risk management process involves both internal and external analysis. The first part of the process involves identifying and prioritizing the financialrisks facing an organization and understanding their relevance. It may be necessary to examine the organization and its products, management, customers, suppliers, competitors, pricing, industry trends, balance sheet structure, and position in the industry. It is also necessary to consider stakeholders and their objectives and tolerance for risk.Once a clear understanding of the risks emerges, appropriate strategies canbe implemented in conjunction with risk management policy. For example, it might be possible to change where and how business is done, thereby reducing the organization ' s exposure and risk. Alternatively, exisetixnpgosures may be managed with derivatives. Another strategy for managing risk is to accept allrisks and the possibility of losses.There are three broad alternatives for managing risk:1.Do nothing and actively, or passively by default, accept all risks.2.Hedge a portion of exposures by determining which exposures can and should be hedged.3.Hedge all exposures possible.Measurement and reporting of risks provides decision makers with information to execute decisions and monitor outcomes, both before and after strategies are taken to mitigate them. Since the risk management process is ongoing, reportingand feedback can be used to refine the system by modifying or improving strategies.An active decision-making process is an important component of risk management.Decisions about potential loss and risk reduction provide a forum for discussion of important issues and the varying perspectives of stakeholders.Factors that Impact Financial Rates and PricesFinancial rates and prices are affected by a number of factors. It is essential to understand the factors that impact markets because those factors, in turn, impact the potential risk of an organization.Factors that Affect Interest RatesInterest rates are a key component in many market prices and an important economic barometer. They are comprised of the real rate plus a component for expected inflation, since inflation reduces the purchasing power of a lender ' s assets .The greater the term to maturity, the greater the uncertainty. Interest rates are also reflective of supply and demand for funds and credit risk.Interest rates are particularly important to companies and governments because they are the key ingredient in the cost of capital. Most companies and governments require debt financing for expansion and capital projects. When interest rates increase, the impact can be significant on borrowers. Interest rates also affect prices in otherfinancial markets, so their impact is far-reaching.Other components to the interest rate may include a risk premium to reflect the creditworthiness of a borrower. For example, the threat of political or sovereign risk can cause interest rates to rise, sometimes substantially, as investors demand additional compensation for the increased risk of default.Factors that influence the level of market interest rates include: 1、Expected levels of inflation 2、General economic conditions 3、Monetary policy and the stance of the central bank 4、Foreign exchange market activity 5、Foreign investor demand for debt securities 6、Levels of sovereign debt outstanding 7、Financial and political stabilityYield CurveThe yield curve is a graphical representation of yields for a range of terms to maturity. For example, a yield curve might illustrate yields for maturity from one day (overnight) to 30-year terms. Typically, the rates are zero coupon government rates.Since current interest rates reflect expectations, the yield curve providesuseful 's expectations oinf tfeurteusret rates. Implied interest rates for forward-starting terms can be calculated using the information in the yieldcurve. For example, using rates for one- and two-year maturities, the expected one-year interestrate beginning in one year The shape of the yield curve is widely analyzed and monitored by marketparticipants. As a gauge of expectations, it is often considered to be a predictor of future economic activity and may provide signals of a pending change in economic fundamentals.The yield curve normally slopes upward with a positive slope, aslenders/investors demand higher rates from borrowers for longer lending terms. Since the chance of a borrower default increases with term to maturity, lenders demand to be compensated accordingly.Interest rates that make up the yield curve are also affected by the expected rate of inflation. Investors demand at least the expected rate of inflation from borrowers, in addition to lending and risk components. If investors expect future inflation to be higher, they will demand greater premiums for longer terms to compensatefor this uncertainty. As a result, the longer the term, the higher the interest rate (all else being equal), resulting in an upward-sloping yield curve.Occasionally, the demand for short-term funds increases substantially, and short-term interest rates may rise above the level of longer term interest rates. This results in an inversion of the yield curve and a downward slope to its appearance. The high cost of short-term funds detracts from gains that would otherwise be obtained through investment and expansion and make the economy vulnerable to slowdown or recession. Eventually, rising interest rates slow the demand for both short-term and long-term funds. A decline in all rates and a return to a normal curve may occur as a result of the slowdown.information about the markets time can be determined.Source: Karen A. Horcher, 2005.“ What Is Financial RiskManagement?”. Essentialsof Financial Risk Management, John Wiley & Sons, Inc.pp.1-22.财务风险管理尽管近年来金融风险大大增加，但风险和风险管理不是当代的主要问题。
金融风险管理英文版本教材Financial Risk Management TextbookTitle: Financial Risk Management: A Comprehensive Guide Author: [Your Name]Edition: 1st EditionPublisher: [Publishing Company]Publication Year: [Year]ISBN: [ISBN number]Table of Contents:1. Introduction to Financial Risk Management1.1 Definition and Importance of Financial Risk Management 1.2 Types of Financial Risks1.3 Objectives of Financial Risk Management2. Market Risk Management2.1 Concept and Measurement of Market Risk2.2 Market Risk Models (Value at Risk, Expected Shortfall)2.3 Hedging Techniques for Market Risk3. Credit Risk Management3.1 Introduction to Credit Risk3.2 Credit Risk Assessment and Evaluation3.3 Credit Risk Mitigation Techniques4. Liquidity Risk Management4.1 Understanding Liquidity Risk4.2 Liquidity Risk Measurement and Monitoring4.3 Liquidity Risk Management Strategies5. Operational Risk Management5.1 Overview of Operational Risk5.2 Identification and Assessment of Operational Risks5.3 Operational Risk Measurement and Control6. Interest Rate Risk Management6.1 Understanding Interest Rate Risk6.2 Measurement and Management of Interest Rate Risk6.3 Strategies for Interest Rate Risk Mitigation7. Foreign Exchange Risk Management7.1 Introduction to Foreign Exchange Risk7.2 Tools and Techniques for Foreign Exchange Risk Management7.3 Currency Hedging Strategies8. Enterprise Risk Management8.1 Overview of Enterprise Risk Management8.2 Framework for Implementing Enterprise Risk Management8.3 Integration of Different Risk Management Approaches9. Risk Management in Financial Institutions9.1 Risk Management in Banks9.2 Risk Management in Insurance Companies9.3 Risk Management in Investment Firms10. Regulatory and Legal Aspects of Financial Risk Management 10.1 Regulatory Environment for Risk Management10.2 Compliance and Legal Issues in Risk Management11. Case Studies in Financial Risk Management11.1 Real-life Risk Management Scenarios11.2 Analysis and Solutions for Risk Management Cases12. Emerging Trends and Challenges in Financial Risk Management12.1 Impact of Technology on Risk Management12.2 Future Challenges and OpportunitiesAppendix: Glossary of Financial Risk Management Terms BibliographyIndexNote: This textbook is intended for educational purposes and provides a comprehensive overview of various aspects of financial risk management. It covers key concepts, theories, and practical strategies to effectively manage and mitigate financial risks in different sectors. The case studies included further enhance the understanding and application of risk management principles.。
金融市场风险防范与管理Chapter 1: Introduction to Financial Market RiskIn today's dynamic global economy, financial markets play a crucial role in enabling the flow of capital and facilitating economic growth. However, these markets are inherently exposed to various risks. Therefore, effective risk prevention and management strategies are essential for maintaining stability and ensuring the smooth functioning of the financial system. This article explores the different types of risks prevalent in financial markets and the measures that can be employed to mitigate these risks.Chapter 2: Market RiskMarket risk refers to the potential losses that can be incurred due to changes in market conditions such as interest rates, exchange rates, and stock prices. It is an inherent risk faced by anyone involved in financial transactions. Market risk can be managed through various techniques, including diversification, hedging, and risk assessment models.Diversification involves spreading investments across different asset classes and sectors to reduce exposure to any single risk factor. This helps to mitigate the impact of adverse market movements. Careful analysis and assessment of market risk through risk models can also aid in determining the potential impact and likelihood of adverse events.Chapter 3: Credit RiskCredit risk is the risk of default on financial obligations by a borrower. It is a significant concern for financial institutions, as defaulting borrowers can create significant financial losses. To manage credit risk, institutions employ several strategies, including thorough credit assessments, collateral requirements, and credit risk transfer mechanisms such as credit derivatives.Credit assessments involve evaluating the creditworthiness of borrowers through an analysis of their financial statements, credit history, and other relevant factors. Collateral requirements, such as demanding assets as security for loans, can act as a buffer against potential losses. Credit risk transfer mechanisms allow financial institutions to transfer the risk to other parties, reducing their exposure.Chapter 4: Liquidity RiskLiquidity risk refers to the inability to buy or sell assets without incurring significant costs or causing disruptions in the market. It arises when there is a lack of market participants willing to transact or when there is insufficient trading volume. Managing liquidity risk involves maintaining sufficient liquid assets, diversifying funding sources, and having contingency plans in place.Maintaining sufficient liquid assets, such as cash or highly liquid securities, ensures that financial institutions can meet their funding needs during periods of reduced liquidity. Diversifying funding sourcesreduces reliance on a single source of funding, mitigating the risk of disruptions. Having contingency plans, such as access to emergency funding facilities, provides a safety net during times of acute liquidity stress.Chapter 5: Operational RiskOperational risk relates to the potential losses arising from inadequate or failed internal processes, people, and systems, or from external events. It encompasses risks associated with fraud, human errors, technology failures, and legal and regulatory non-compliance. Operational risk can be managed through robust internal controls, employee training programs, and implementing advanced technological solutions.Implementing robust internal controls, such as segregation of duties and regular risk assessments, helps to identify and mitigate potential operational risks. Educating and training employees about operational risks and promoting a culture of risk awareness and responsibility are also vital components of mitigating operational risk. Incorporating advanced technological solutions, such as automated systems and artificial intelligence, can enhance operational efficiency and reduce the likelihood of operational failures.Chapter 6: ConclusionIn conclusion, maintaining a robust risk prevention and management framework is critical for securing the stability of financialmarkets. This article has discussed various types of risks prevalent in financial markets, including market risk, credit risk, liquidity risk, and operational risk. By employing appropriate risk mitigation strategies, such as diversification, thorough credit assessments, maintaining sufficient liquidity, and implementing robust internal controls, financial institutions can enhance their resilience to potential risks. Continual monitoring, evaluation, and adaptation of risk management strategies are crucial for addressing the evolving nature of risks in financial markets.。
国外关于风险计算的书籍以下是几本关于风险计算的国外书籍，每本书籍都超过1200字：1. "Risk Management and Financial Institutions" by John C. Hull:2. "Principles of Risk Management and Insurance" by George E. Rejda and Michael McNamara:这本教材适用于风险管理和保险领域的学生和从业人员。
它介绍了风险管理和保险原理，并提供了对风险评估、风险控制和风险转移的详细解释。
此外，该书还讨论了不同类型的保险产品和契约，并介绍了评估风险的统计模型和方法。
3. "Financial Risk Management: A Practitioner's Guide to Managing Market and Credit Risk" by Steve L. Allen:4. "Quantitative Risk Management: Concepts, Techniques and Tools" by Alexander J. McNeil, Rüdiger Frey, and Paul Embrechts:5. "Operational Risk: Modeling Analytics" by Harry H. Panjer and Gordon Willmot:这些书籍都是关于风险计算和管理的经典著作，提供了广泛且深入的理论和实践知识。
无论是从事金融、保险还是其他行业的风险管理工作，这些书籍都是很好的参考资料，帮助读者了解并应对风险管理挑战。
Financial Risk ManagementAlthough financial risk has increased significantly in recent years, risk and risk management are not contemporary issues. The result of increasingly global markets is that risk may originate with events thousands of miles away that have nothing to do with the domestic market. Information is available instantaneously, which means that change, and subsequent market reactions, occur very quickly. The economic climate and markets can be affected very quickly by changes in exchange rates, interest rates, and commodity prices. Counterparties can rapidly become problematic. As a result, it is important to ensure financial risks are identified and managed appropriately. Preparation is a key component of risk management.What Is Risk?Risk provides the basis for opportunity. The terms risk and exposure have subtle differences in their meaning. Risk refers to the probability of loss, while exposure is the possibility of loss, although they are often used interchangeably. Risk arises as a result of exposure.Exposure to financial markets affects most organizations, either directly or indirectly. When an organization has financial market exposure, there is a possibility of loss but also an opportunity for gain or profit. Financial market exposure may provide strategic or competitive benefits.Risk is the likelihood of losses resulting from events such as changes in market prices. Events with a low probability of occurring, but that may result in a high loss, are particularly troublesome because they are often not anticipated. Put another way, risk is the probable variability of returns.Since it is not always possible or desirable to eliminate risk, understanding it is an important step in determining how to manage it. Identifying exposures and risks forms the basis for an appropriate financial risk management strategy.How Does Financial Risk?Financial risk arises through countless transactions of a financial nature, including sales and purchases, investments and loans, and various other business activities. It can arise as a result of legal transactions, new projects, mergers and acquisitions, debt financing, the energy component of costs, or through the activities of management, stakeholders, competitors, foreign governments, or weather. When financial prices change dramatically, it can increase costs, reduce revenues, or otherwise adversely impact the profitability of an organization. Financial fluctuations may make it more difficult to plan and budget, price goods and services, and allocate capital.There are three main sources of financial risk:1. Financial risks arising from an organization’s exposure to changes in market prices, such as interest rates, exchange rates, and commodity prices.2. Financial risks arising from the actions of, and transactions with, other organizations such as vendors, customers, and counterparties in derivatives transactions3. Financial risks resulting from internal actions or failures of the organization, particularly people, processes, and systemsWhat Is Financial Risk Management?Financial risk management is a process to deal with the uncertainties resulting from financial markets. It involves assessing the financial risks facing an organization and developing management strategies consistent with internal priorities and policies. Addressing financial risks proactively may provide an organization with a competitive advantage. It also ensures that management, operational staff, stakeholders, and the board of directors are in agreement on key issues of risk.Managing financial risk necessitates making organizational decisions about risks that are acceptable versus those that are not. The passive strategy of taking no action is the acceptance of all risks by default.Organizations manage financial risk using a variety of strategies and products. It is important to understand how these products and strategies work to reduce risk within the context of the organization’s risk tolerance and objectives.Strategies for risk management often involve derivatives. Derivatives are traded widely among financial institutions and on organized exchanges. The value of derivatives contracts, such as futures, forwards, options, and swaps, is derived from the price of the underlying asset. Derivatives trade on interest rates, exchange rates, commodities, equity and fixed income securities, credit, and even weather.The products and strategies used by market participants to manage financial risk are the same ones used by speculators to increase leverage and risk. Although it can be argued that widespread use of derivatives increases risk, the existence of derivatives enables those who wish to reduce risk to pass it along to those who seek risk and its associated opportunities.The ability to estimate the likelihood of a financial loss is highly desirable. However, standard theories of probability often fail in the analysis of financial markets. Risks usually do not exist in isolation, and the interactions of several exposures may have to be considered in developing an understanding of how financial risk arises. Sometimes, these interactions are difficult to forecast, since they ultimately depend on human behavior.The process of financial risk management is an ongoing one. Strategies need to be implemented and refined as the market and requirements change. Refinements may reflect changing expectations about market rates, changes to the business environment, or changing international political conditions, for example. In general, the process can be summarized as follows:1、Identify and prioritize key financial risks.2、Determine an appropriate level of risk tolerance.3、Implement risk management strategy in accordance with policy.4、Measure, report, monitor, and refine as needed.DiversificationFor many years, the riskiness of an asset was assessed based only on the variability of its returns. In contrast, modern portfolio theory considers not only an asset’s riskiness, but also its contribution to the overall riskiness of the portfolio towhich it is added. Organizations may have an opportunity to reduce risk as a result of risk diversification.In portfolio management terms, the addition of individual components to a portfolio provides opportunities for diversification, within limits. A diversified portfolio contains assets whose returns are dissimilar, in other words, weakly or negatively correlated with one another. It is useful to think of the exposures of an organization as a portfolio and consider the impact of changes or additions on the potential risk of the total.Diversification is an important tool in managing financial risks. Diversification among counterparties may reduce the risk that unexpected events adversely impact the organization through defaults. Diversification among investment assets reduces the magnitude of loss if one issuer fails. Diversification of customers, suppliers, and financing sources reduces the possibility that an organization will have its business adversely affected by changes outside management’s control. Altho ugh the risk of loss still exists, diversification may reduce the opportunity for large adverse outcomes.Risk Management ProcessThe process of financial risk management comprises strategies that enable an organization to manage the risks associated with financial markets. Risk management is a dynamic process that should evolve with an organization and its business. It involves and impacts many parts of an organization including treasury, sales, marketing, legal, tax, commodity, and corporate finance.The risk management process involves both internal and external analysis. The first part of the process involves identifying and prioritizing the financial risks facing an organization and understanding their relevance. It may be necessary to examine the organization and its products, management, customers, suppliers, competitors, pricing, industry trends, balance sheet structure, and position in the industry. It is also necessary to consider stakeholders and their objectives and tolerance for risk.Once a clear understanding of the risks emerges, appropriate strategies can be implemented in conjunction with risk management policy. For example, it might be possible to change where and how business is done, thereby reducing the organization’s exposure and risk. A lternatively, existing exposures may be managed with derivatives. Another strategy for managing risk is to accept all risks and the possibility of losses.There are three broad alternatives for managing risk:1. Do nothing and actively, or passively by default, accept all risks.2. Hedge a portion of exposures by determining which exposures can and should be hedged.3. Hedge all exposures possible.Measurement and reporting of risks provides decision makers with information to execute decisions and monitor outcomes, both before and after strategies are taken to mitigate them.Since the risk management process is ongoing, reporting and feedback can be used to refine the system by modifying or improving strategies.An active decision-making process is an important component of riskmanagement. Decisions about potential loss and risk reduction provide a forum for discussion of important issues and the varying perspectives of stakeholders. Factors that Impact Financial Rates and PricesFinancial rates and prices are affected by a number of factors. It is essential to understand the factors that impact markets because those factors, in turn, impact the potential risk of an organization.Factors that Affect Interest RatesInterest rates are a key component in many market prices and an important economic barometer. They are comprised of the real rate plus a component for expected inflation, since inflation reduces the purchasing power of a lender’s assets .The greater the term to maturity, the greater the uncertainty. Interest rates are also reflective of supply and demand for funds and credit risk.Interest rates are particularly important to companies and governments because they are the key ingredient in the cost of capital. Most companies and governments require debt financing for expansion and capital projects. When interest rates increase, the impact can be significant on borrowers. Interest rates also affect prices in other financial markets, so their impact is far-reaching.Other components to the interest rate may include a risk premium to reflect the creditworthiness of a borrower. For example, the threat of political or sovereign risk can cause interest rates to rise, sometimes substantially, as investors demand additional compensation for the increased risk of default.Factors that influence the level of market interest rates include:1、Expected levels of inflation2、General economic conditions3、Monetary policy and the stance of the central bank4、Foreign exchange market activity5、Foreign investor demand for debt securities6、Levels of sovereign debt outstanding7、Financial and political stabilityYield CurveThe yield curve is a graphical representation of yields for a range of terms to maturity. For example, a yield curve might illustrate yields for maturity from one day (overnight) to 30-year terms. Typically, the rates are zero coupon government rates.Since current interest rates reflect expectations, the yield curve provides useful information about the market’s expectations of future interest rates. Implied interest rates for forward-starting terms can be calculated using the information in the yield curve. For example, using rates for one- and two-year maturities, the expectedone-year interest rate beginning in one year’s time can be determined.The shape of the yield curve is widely analyzed and monitored by market participants. As a gauge of expectations, it is often considered to be a predictor of future economic activity and may provide signals of a pending change in economic fundamentals.The yield curve normally slopes upward with a positive slope, aslenders/investors demand higher rates from borrowers for longer lending terms.Since the chance of a borrower default increases with term to maturity, lenders demand to be compensated accordingly.Interest rates that make up the yield curve are also affected by the expected rate of inflation. Investors demand at least the expected rate of inflation from borrowers, in addition to lending and risk components. If investors expect future inflation to be higher, they will demand greater premiums for longer terms to compensate for this uncertainty. As a result, the longer the term, the higher the interest rate (all else being equal), resulting in an upward-sloping yield curve.Occasionally, the demand for short-term funds increases substantially, and short-term interest rates may rise above the level of longer term interest rates. This results in an inversion of the yield curve and a downward slope to its appearance. The high cost of short-term funds detracts from gains that would otherwise be obtained through investment and expansion and make the economy vulnerable to slowdown or recession. Eventually, rising interest rates slow the demand for both short-term and long-term funds. A decline in all rates and a return to a normal curve may occur as a result of the slowdown.Source: Karen A. Horcher, 2005. “What Is Financial Risk Management?”. Essentials of Financial Risk Management, John Wiley & Sons, Inc.pp.1-22.。
中英文资料翻译Financial Risk ManagementAlthough financial risk has increased significantly in recent years, risk and risk management are not contemporary issues. The result of increasingly global markets is that risk may originate with events thousands of miles away that have nothing to do with the domestic market. Information is available instantaneously, which means that change, and subsequent market reactions, occur very quickly. The economic climate and markets can be affected very quickly by changes in exchange rates, interest rates, and commodity prices. Counterparties can rapidly become problematic. As a result, it is important to ensure financial risks are identified and managed appropriately. Preparation is a key component of risk management.What Is Risk?Risk provides the basis for opportunity. The terms risk and exposure have subtle differences in their meaning. Risk refers to the probability of loss, while exposure is the possibility of loss, although they are often used interchangeably. Risk arises as a result of exposure.Exposure to financial markets affects most organizations, either directly or indirectly. When an organization has financial market exposure, there is a possibility of loss but also an opportunity for gain or profit. Financial market exposure may provide strategic or competitive benefits.Risk is the likelihood of losses resulting from events such as changes in market prices. Events with a low probability of occurring, but that may result in a high loss, are particularly troublesome because they are often not anticipated. Put another way, risk is the probable variability of returns.Since it is not always possible or desirable to eliminate risk, understanding it is an important step in determining how to manage it. Identifying exposures and risks forms the basis for an appropriate financial risk management strategy.How Does Financial Risk?Financial risk arises through countless transactions of a financial nature, including sales and purchases, investments and loans, and various other business activities. It can arise as a result of legal transactions, new projects, mergers and acquisitions, debt financing, the energy component of costs, or through the activities of management, stakeholders, competitors, foreign governments, or weather. When financial prices change dramatically, it can increase costs, reduce revenues, or otherwise adversely impact the profitability of an organization. Financial fluctuations may make it more difficult to plan and budget, price goods and services, and allocate capital.There are three main sources of financial risk:1. Financial risks arising from an organization’s exposure to changes in market prices, such as interest rates, exchange rates, and commodity prices.2. Financial risks arising from the actions of, and transactions with, other organizations such as vendors, customers, and counterparties in derivatives transactions3. Financial risks resulting from internal actions or failures of the organization, particularly people, processes, and systemsWhat Is Financial Risk Management?Financial risk management is a process to deal with the uncertainties resulting from financial markets. It involves assessing the financial risks facing an organization and developing management strategies consistent with internal priorities and policies. Addressing financial risks proactively may provide an organization with a competitive advantage. It also ensures that management, operational staff, stakeholders, and the board of directors are in agreement on key issues of risk.Managing financial risk necessitates making organizational decisions about risks that are acceptable versus those that are not. The passive strategy of taking no action is the acceptance of all risks by default.Organizations manage financial risk using a variety of strategies and products. It is important to understand how these products and strategies work to reduce riskwithin the context of the organization’s risk tolerance and objectives.Strategies for risk management often involve derivatives. Derivatives are traded widely among financial institutions and on organized exchanges. The value of derivatives contracts, such as futures, forwards, options, and swaps, is derived from the price of the underlying asset. Derivatives trade on interest rates, exchange rates, commodities, equity and fixed income securities, credit, and even weather.The products and strategies used by market participants to manage financial risk are the same ones used by speculators to increase leverage and risk. Although it can be argued that widespread use of derivatives increases risk, the existence of derivatives enables those who wish to reduce risk to pass it along to those who seek risk and its associated opportunities.The ability to estimate the likelihood of a financial loss is highly desirable. However, standard theories of probability often fail in the analysis of financial markets. Risks usually do not exist in isolation, and the interactions of several exposures may have to be considered in developing an understanding of how financial risk arises. Sometimes, these interactions are difficult to forecast, since they ultimately depend on human behavior.The process of financial risk management is an ongoing one. Strategies need to be implemented and refined as the market and requirements change. Refinements may reflect changing expectations about market rates, changes to the business environment, or changing international political conditions, for example. In general, the process can be summarized as follows:1、Identify and prioritize key financial risks.2、Determine an appropriate level of risk tolerance.3、Implement risk management strategy in accordance with policy.4、Measure, report, monitor, and refine as needed.DiversificationFor many years, the riskiness of an asset was assessed based only on the variability of its returns. In contrast, modern portfolio theory considers not only an asset’s riskiness, but also its contribution to the overall riskiness of the portfolio towhich it is added. Organizations may have an opportunity to reduce risk as a result of risk diversification.In portfolio management terms, the addition of individual components to a portfolio provides opportunities for diversification, within limits. A diversified portfolio contains assets whose returns are dissimilar, in other words, weakly or negatively correlated with one another. It is useful to think of the exposures of an organization as a portfolio and consider the impact of changes or additions on the potential risk of the total.Diversification is an important tool in managing financial risks. Diversification among counterparties may reduce the risk that unexpected events adversely impact the organization through defaults. Diversification among investment assets reduces the magnitude of loss if one issuer fails. Diversification of customers, suppliers, and financing sources reduces the possibility that an organization will have its business adversely affected by changes outside management’s control. Although the risk of loss still exists, diversification may reduce the opportunity for large adverse outcomes.Risk Management ProcessThe process of financial risk management comprises strategies that enable an organization to manage the risks associated with financial markets. Risk management is a dynamic process that should evolve with an organization and its business. It involves and impacts many parts of an organization including treasury, sales, marketing, legal, tax, commodity, and corporate finance.The risk management process involves both internal and external analysis. The first part of the process involves identifying and prioritizing the financial risks facing an organization and understanding their relevance. It may be necessary to examine the organization and its products, management, customers, suppliers, competitors, pricing, industry trends, balance sheet structure, and position in the industry. It is also necessary to consider stakeholders and their objectives and tolerance for risk.Once a clear understanding of the risks emerges, appropriate strategies can be implemented in conjunction with risk management policy. For example, it might bepossible to change where and how business is done, thereby reducing the organization’s exposure and risk. Alternatively, existing exposures may be managed with derivatives. Another strategy for managing risk is to accept all risks and the possibility of losses.There are three broad alternatives for managing risk:1. Do nothing and actively, or passively by default, accept all risks.2. Hedge a portion of exposures by determining which exposures can and should be hedged.3. Hedge all exposures possible.Measurement and reporting of risks provides decision makers with information to execute decisions and monitor outcomes, both before and after strategies are taken to mitigate them. Since the risk management process is ongoing, reporting and feedback can be used to refine the system by modifying or improving strategies.An active decision-making process is an important component of risk management. Decisions about potential loss and risk reduction provide a forum for discussion of important issues and the varying perspectives of stakeholders.Factors that Impact Financial Rates and PricesFinancial rates and prices are affected by a number of factors. It is essential to understand the factors that impact markets because those factors, in turn, impact the potential risk of an organization.Factors that Affect Interest RatesInterest rates are a key component in many market prices and an important economic barometer. They are comprised of the real rate plus a component for expected inflation, since inflation reduces the purchasing power of a lender’s assets .The greater the term to maturity, the greater the uncertainty. Interest rates are also reflective of supply and demand for funds and credit risk.Interest rates are particularly important to companies and governments because they are the key ingredient in the cost of capital. Most companies and governments require debt financing for expansion and capital projects. When interest rates increase, the impact can be significant on borrowers. Interest rates also affect prices in otherfinancial markets, so their impact is far-reaching.Other components to the interest rate may include a risk premium to reflect the creditworthiness of a borrower. For example, the threat of political or sovereign risk can cause interest rates to rise, sometimes substantially, as investors demand additional compensation for the increased risk of default.Factors that influence the level of market interest rates include:1、Expected levels of inflation2、General economic conditions3、Monetary policy and the stance of the central bank4、Foreign exchange market activity5、Foreign investor demand for debt securities6、Levels of sovereign debt outstanding7、Financial and political stabilityYield CurveThe yield curve is a graphical representation of yields for a range of terms to maturity. For example, a yield curve might illustrate yields for maturity from one day (overnight) to 30-year terms. Typically, the rates are zero coupon government rates.Since current interest rates reflect expectations, the yield curve provides useful information about the market’s expectations of future interest rates. Implied interest rates for forward-starting terms can be calculated using the information in the yield curve. For example, using rates for one- and two-year maturities, the expected one-year interest rate beginning in one year’s time can be determined.The shape of the yield curve is widely analyzed and monitored by market participants. As a gauge of expectations, it is often considered to be a predictor of future economic activity and may provide signals of a pending change in economic fundamentals.The yield curve normally slopes upward with a positive slope, as lenders/investors demand higher rates from borrowers for longer lending terms. Since the chance of a borrower default increases with term to maturity, lenders demand to be compensated accordingly.Interest rates that make up the yield curve are also affected by the expected rate of inflation. Investors demand at least the expected rate of inflation from borrowers, in addition to lending and risk components. If investors expect future inflation to be higher, they will demand greater premiums for longer terms to compensate for this uncertainty. As a result, the longer the term, the higher the interest rate (all else being equal), resulting in an upward-sloping yield curve.Occasionally, the demand for short-term funds increases substantially, and short-term interest rates may rise above the level of longer term interest rates. This results in an inversion of the yield curve and a downward slope to its appearance. The high cost of short-term funds detracts from gains that would otherwise be obtained through investment and expansion and make the economy vulnerable to slowdown or recession. Eventually, rising interest rates slow the demand for both short-term and long-term funds. A decline in all rates and a return to a normal curve may occur as a result of the slowdown.财务风险管理尽管近年来金融风险大大增加，但风险和风险管理不是当代的主要问题。
Although financial risk has increased significantly in recent years, risk and risk management are not contemporary issues. The result of increasingly global markets is that risk may originate with events thousands of miles away that have nothing to do with the domestic market. Information is available instantaneously, which means that change, and subsequent market reactions, occur very quickly. The economic climate and markets can be affected very quickly by changes in exchange rates, interest rates, and commodity prices. Counterparties can rapidly become problematic. As a result, it is important to ensure financial risks are identified and managed appropriately. Preparation is a key component of risk management.Risk provides the basis for opportunity. The terms risk and exposure have subtle differences in their meaning. Risk refers to the probability of loss, while exposure is the possibility of loss, although they are often used interchangeably. Risk arises as a result of exposure.Exposure to financial markets affects most organizations, either directly or indirectly. When an organization has financial market exposure, there is a possibility of loss but also an opportunity for gain or profit. Financial market exposure may provide strategic or competitive benefits.Risk is the likelihood of losses resulting from events such as changes in market prices. Events with a low probability of occurring, but that may result in a high loss, are particularly troublesome because they are often not anticipated. Put another way, risk is the probable variability of returns.Since it is not always possible or desirable to eliminate risk,understanding it is an important step in determining how to manage it. Identifying exposures and risks forms the basis for an appropriate financial risk management strategy.Financial risk arises through countless transactions of a financial nature, including sales and purchases, investments and loans, and various other business activities. It can arise as a result of legal transactions, new projects, mergers and acquisitions, debt financing, the energy component of costs, or through the activities of management, stakeholders, competitors, foreign governments, or weather. When financial prices change dramatically, it can increase costs, reduce revenues, or otherwise adversely impact the profitability of an organization. Financial fluctuations may make it more difficult to plan and budget, price goods and services, and allocate capital.There are three main sources of financial risk:1. Financial risks arising from an organization’s exposure to changes in market prices, such as interest rates, exchange rates, and commodity prices.2. Financial risks arising from the actions of, and transactions with, other organizations such as vendors, customers, and counterparties in derivatives transactions3. Financial risks resulting from internal actions or failures of the organization, particularly people, processes, and systemsFinancial risk management is a process to deal with the uncertainties resulting from financial markets. It involves assessing the financial risks facing an organization and developing management strategies consistent withinternal priorities and policies. Addressing financial risks proactively may provide an organization with a competitive advantage. It also ensures that management, operational staff, stakeholders, and the board of directors are in agreement on key issues of risk.Managing financial risk necessitates making organizational decisions about risks that are acceptable versus those that are not. The passive strategy of taking no action is the acceptance of all risks by default.Organizations manage financial risk using a variety of strategies and products. It is important to understand how these products and strategies work to reduce risk within the context of the organization’s risk tolerance and objectives.Strategies for risk management often involve derivatives. Derivatives are traded widely among financial institutions and on organized exchanges. The value of derivatives contracts, such as futures, forwards, options, and swaps, is derived from the price of the underlying asset. Derivatives trade on interest rates, exchange rates, commodities, equity and fixed income securities, credit, and even weather.The products and strategies used by market participants to manage financial risk are the same ones used by speculators to increase leverage and risk. Although it can be argued that widespread use of derivatives increases risk, the existence of derivatives enables those who wish to reduce risk to pass it along to those who seek risk and its associated opportunities.The ability to estimate the likelihood of a financial loss is highly desirable. However, standard theories of probability often fail in the analysis of financial markets. Risks usually do not exist in isolation, and theinteractions of several exposures may have to be considered in developing an understanding of how financial risk arises. Sometimes, these interactions are difficult to forecast, since they ultimately depend on human behavior.The process of financial risk management is an ongoing one. Strategies need to be implemented and refined as the market and requirements change. Refinements may reflect changing expectations about market rates, changes to the business environment, or changing international political conditions, for example. In general, the process can be summarized as follows:1、Identify and prioritize key financial risks.2、Determine an appropriate level of risk tolerance.3、Implement risk management strategy in accordance with policy.4、Measure, report, monitor, and refine as needed.DiversificationFor many years, the riskiness of an asset was assessed based only on the variability of its returns. In contrast, modern portfolio theory considers not only an asset’s riskiness, but also its contribution to the overall riskiness of the portfolio to which it is added. Organizations may have an opportunity to reduce risk as a result of risk diversification.In portfolio management terms, the addition of individual components to a portfolio provides opportunities for diversification, within limits. A diversified portfolio contains assets whose returns are dissimilar, in other words, weakly or negatively correlated with one another. It is useful to think of the exposures of an organization as a portfolio and consider the impact of changes or additions on the potential risk of the total.Diversification is an important tool in managing financial risks.Diversification among counterparties may reduce the risk that unexpected events adversely impact the organization through defaults. Diversification among investment assets reduces the magnitude of loss if one issuer fails. Diversification of customers, suppliers, and financing sources reduces the possibility that an organization will have its business adversely affected by changes outside management’s control. Although the risk of loss still exists, diversification may reduce the opportunity for large adverse outcomes.Risk Management ProcessThe process of financial risk management comprises strategies that enable an organization to manage the risks associated with financial markets. Risk management is a dynamic process that should evolve with an organization and its business. It involves and impacts many parts of an organization including treasury, sales, marketing, legal, tax, commodity, and corporate finance.The risk management process involves both internal and external analysis. The first part of the process involves identifying and prioritizing the financial risks facing an organization and understanding their relevance. It may be necessary to examine the organization and its products, management, customers, suppliers, competitors, pricing, industry trends, balance sheet structure, and position in the industry. It is also necessary to consider stakeholders and their objectives and tolerance for risk.Once a clear understanding of the risks emerges, appropriate strategies can be implemented in conjunction with risk management policy. For example, it might be possible to change where and how business is done, thereby reducing the organization’s exposure and risk. Alternatively, existingexposures may be managed with derivatives. Another strategy for managing risk is to accept all risks and the possibility of losses.There are three broad alternatives for managing risk:1. Do nothing and actively, or passively by default, accept all risks.2. Hedge a portion of exposures by determining which exposures can and should be hedged.3. Hedge all exposures possible.Measurement and reporting of risks provides decision makers with information to execute decisions and monitor outcomes, both before and after strategies are taken to mitigate them. Since the risk management process is ongoing, reporting and feedback can be used to refine the system by modifying or improving strategies.An active decision-making process is an important component of risk management. Decisions about potential loss and risk reduction provide a forum for discussion of important issues and the varying perspectives of stakeholders.Factors that Impact Financial Rates and PricesFinancial rates and prices are affected by a number of factors. It is essential to understand the factors that impact markets because those factors, in turn, impact the potential risk of an organization.Factors that Affect Interest RatesInterest rates are a key component in many market prices and an important economic barometer. They are comprised of the real rate plus a component for expected inflation, since inflation reduces the purchasing power of a lender’s assets .The greater the term to maturity, the greater theuncertainty. Interest rates are also reflective of supply and demand for funds and credit risk.Interest rates are particularly important to companies and governments because they are the key ingredient in the cost of capital. Most companies and governments require debt financing for expansion and capital projects. When interest rates increase, the impact can be significant on borrowers. Interest rates also affect prices in other financial markets, so their impact is far-reaching.Other components to the interest rate may include a risk premium to reflect the creditworthiness of a borrower. For example, the threat of political or sovereign risk can cause interest rates to rise, sometimes substantially, as investors demand additional compensation for the increased risk of default.Factors that influence the level of market interest rates include:1、Expected levels of inflation2、General economic conditions3、Monetary policy and the stance of the central bank4、Foreign exchange market activity5、Foreign investor demand for debt securities6、Levels of sovereign debt outstanding7、Financial and political stabilityYield CurveThe yield curve is a graphical representation of yields for a range of terms to maturity. For example, a yield curve might illustrate yields for maturity from one day (overnight) to 30-year terms. Typically, the rates are zero coupon government rates.Since current interest rates reflect expectations, the yield curve provides useful information about the market’s expectations of future interest rates. Implied interest rates for forward-starting terms can be calculated using the information in the yield curve. For example, using rates for one- and two-year maturities, the expected one-year interest rate beginning in one year’s time can be determined.The shape of the yield curve is widely analyzed and monitored by market participants. As a gauge of expectations, it is often considered to be a predictor of future economic activity and may provide signals of a pending change in economic fundamentals.The yield curve normally slopes upward with a positive slope, as lenders/investors demand higher rates from borrowers for longer lending terms. Since the chance of a borrower default increases with term to maturity, lenders demand to be compensated accordingly.Interest rates that make up the yield curve are also affected by the expected rate of inflation. Investors demand at least the expected rate of inflation from borrowers, in addition to lending and risk components. If investors expect future inflation to be higher, they will demand greater premiums for longer terms to compensate for this uncertainty. As a result, the longer the term, the higher the interest rate (all else being equal), resulting in an upward-sloping yield curve.Occasionally, the demand for short-term funds increases substantially, and short-term interest rates may rise above the level of longer term interest rates. This results in an inversion of the yield curve and a downward slope to its appearance. The high cost of short-term funds detracts from gains that would otherwise be obtained through investment and expansion and make the economyvulnerable to slowdown or recession. Eventually, rising interest rates slow the demand for both short-term and long-term funds. A decline in all rates and a return to a normal curve may occur as a result of the slowdown.尽管近年来金融风险大大增加，但风险和风险管理不是当代的主要问题。
毕业设计（论文）外文文献翻译文献、资料中文题目：财务风险管理文献、资料英文题目：Financial Risk Management 文献、资料来源：文献、资料发表（出版）日期：院（部）：专业：班级：姓名：学号：指导教师：翻译日期： 2017.02.14财务管理类本科毕业论文外文翻译译文：[美]卡伦·A·霍契.《什么是财务风险管理？》.《财务风险管理要点》.约翰.威立国际出版公司,2005:P1-22.财务风险管理尽管近年来金融风险大大增加，但风险和风险管理不是当代的主要问题。
全球市场越来越多的问题是，风险可能来自几千英里以外的与这些事件无关的国外市场。
意味着需要的信息可以在瞬间得到，而其后的市场反应，很快就发生了。
经济气候和市场可能会快速影响外汇汇率变化、利率及大宗商品价格，交易对手会迅速成为一个问题。
因此，重要的一点是要确保金融风险是可以被识别并且管理得当的。
准备是风险管理工作的一个关键组成部分。
什么是风险？风险给机会提供了基础。
风险和暴露的条款让它们在含义上有了细微的差别。
风险是指有损失的可能性，而暴露是可能的损失，尽管他们通常可以互换。
风险起因是由于暴露。
金融市场的暴露影响大多数机构，包括直接或间接的影响。
当一个组织的金融市场暴露，有损失的可能性，但也是一个获利或利润的机会。
金融市场的暴露可以提供战略性或竞争性的利益。
风险损失的可能性事件来自如市场价格的变化。
事件发生的可能性很小，但这可能导致损失率很高，特别麻烦，因为他们往往比预想的要严重得多。
换句话说，可能就是变异的风险回报。
由于它并不总是可能的，或者能满意地把风险消除，在决定如何管理它中了解它是很重要的一步。
识别暴露和风险形式的基础需要相应的财务风险管理策略。
财务风险是如何产生的呢？无数金融性质的交易包括销售和采购，投资和贷款，以及其他各种业务活动，产生了财务风险。
它可以出现在合法的交易中，新项目中，兼并和收购中，债务融资中，能源部分的成本中，或通过管理的活动，利益相关者，竞争者，外国政府，或天气出现。
外文文献翻译原文及译文文献出处: Sharifi, Omid. International Journal of Information, Business and Management 6.2 (May 2017): 82-94.原文Financial R isk M ana gement for Small and M edium SizedEnter pr ises(SM ES)Omid SharifiMBA, Depa rtment of Commerce and Business Ma nagement,Ka ka tiya University, House No. 2-1-664, Sa ra wa thi nega r,1．ABSTR AC Tmedium sized Enterprises (SME) do also face business risks, Similar to large companies, Small and Mwhich in worst case can cause financial distress and lead to bankruptcy. However, although SME are a major part of the India and also international - economy, research mainly focused on risk management in large corporations. Therefore the aim of this paper is to suggest a possible mean for the risk identification, analysis and monitoring, which can be applied by SME to manage their internal financial risks. For this purpose the financial analysis, which has been used in research to identify indicators for firm bankruptcy, was chosen.The data required for the study was collected from Annual report of the Intec Capital Limited. For the period of five years, from 2008 to 2012.the findings showed the data and the overview can be used in SME risk management.Keywor ds: Annual report, Small and Medium sized Enterprises, Financial Risks, Risk Management.2．INTR UDUC TIONSmall and medium sized enterprises (SME) differ from large corporations among other aspects first of all in their size. Their importance in the economy however is large . SME sector of India is considered as the backbone of economy contributing to 45% of the industrial output, 40% of India’s exports, employing 60 million people, create 1.3 million jobs every year and produce more than 8000 quality products for the Indian and international markets. With approximately 30 million SMEs in India, 12 million people expected to join the workforce in next 3 years and the sector growing at a rate of 8% per year, Government of India is taking different measures so as to increase their competitiveness in the international market. There are several factors that have contributed towards the growth of Indian SMEs.Few of these include; funding of SMEs by local and foreign investors, the new technology that is used in the market is assisting SMEsadd considerable value to their business, various trade directories and trade portals help facilitate trade between buyer and supplier and thus reducing the barrier to trade With this huge potential, backed up by strong government support; Indian SMEs continue to post their growth stories. Despite of this strong growth, there is huge potential amongst Indian SMEs that still remains untapped. Once this untapped potential becomes the source for growth of these units, there would be no stopping to India posting a GDP higher than that of US and China and becoming the world’s economic powerhouse.3. R ESEAR C H QUESTIONRisk and economic activity are inseparable. Every business decision and entrepreneurial act is connected with risk. This applies also to business of small and medium sized enterprises as they are also facing several and often the same risks as bigger companies. In a real businessenvironment with market imperfections they need to manage those risks in order to secure their business continuity and add additional value by avoiding or reducing transaction costs and cost of financial distress or bankruptcy. However, risk management is a challenge for most SME. In contrast to larger companies they often lack the necessary resources, with regard to manpower, databases and specialty of knowledge to perform a standardized and structured risk management. The result is that many smaller companies do not perform sufficient analysis to identify their risk. This aspect is exacerbated due to a lack in literature about methods for risk management in SME, as stated by Henschel: The two challenging aspects with regard to risk management in SME are therefore:1.SME differ from large corporations in many characteristics2.The existing research lacks a focus on risk management in SMEThe following research question will be central to this work:1.h ow can SME manage their internal financial risk?2.W hich aspects, based on their characteristics, have to be taken into account for this?3.W hich mean fulfils the requirements and can be applied to SME?4. L ITER ATUR E R EVIEWIn contrast to larger corporations, in SME one of the owners is often part of the management team. His intuition and experience are important for managing the company. Therefore, in small companies, the (owner-)manager is often responsible for many different tasks and important decisions. Most SME do not have the necessary resources to employ specialists on every position in the company. They focus on their core business and have generalists for the administrative functions. Behr and Guttler find that SME on average have equity ratios lower than 20%. The different characteristics of management, position on procurement and capital markets and the legal framework need to be taken into account when applying management instruments like risk management. Therefore the risk management techniques of larger corporations cannot easily be applied to SME. In practice it can therefore be observed that although SME are not facing less risks and uncertainties than large companies, their risk management differs from the practices in larger companies. The latter have the resources to employ a risk manager and a professional, structured and standardized risk management system. In contrast to that, risk management in SME differs in the degree of implementation and the techniques applied. Jonen & Simgen-Weber With regard to firm size and the use of risk management. Beyer, Hachmeister & Lampenius observe in a study from 2010 that increasing firm size among SME enhances the use of risk management. This observation matches with the opinion of nearly 10% of SME, which are of the opinion, that risk management is only reasonable in larger corporations. Beyer, Hachmeister & Lampenius find that most of the surveyed SME identify risks with help of statistics,checklists, creativity and scenario analyses. reveals similar findings and state that most companies rely on key figure systems for identifying and evaluating the urgency of business risks. That small firms face higher costs of hedging than larger corporations. This fact is reducing the benefits from hedging and therefore he advises to evaluate the usage of hedging for each firm individually. The lacking expertise to decide about hedges in SME is also identified by Eckbo, According to his findings, smaller companies often lack the understanding and management capacities needed to use those instruments.5.M ETHODOL OGYE OF FINANC IAL ANAL YSIS IN SM E R ISK M ANAGEM ENTHow financial analysis can be used in SME risk management?5.1.1 Development of financial r isk over view for SM EThe following sections show the development of the financial risk overview. After presenting the framework, the different ratios will be discussed to finally present a selection of suitable ratios and choose appropriate comparison data.5.1.2.Fr a mewor k for fina ncial r isk over viewThe idea is to use a set of ratios in an overview as the basis for the financial risk management.This provides even more information than the analysis of historicaldata and allows reacting fast on critical developments and managing the identified risks. However not only the internal data can be used for the risk management. In addition to that also the information available in the papers can be used.Some of them state average values for the defaulted or bankrupt companies one year prior bankruptcy -and few papers also for a longer time horizon. Those values can be used as a comparison value to evaluate the risk situation of the company. For this an appropriate set of ratios has to be chosen.The ratios, which will be included in the overview and analysis sheet, should fulfill two main requirements. First of all they should match the main financial risks of the company in order to deliver significant information and not miss an important risk factor. Secondly the ratios need to be relevant in two different ways. On the one hand they should be applicable independently of other ratios. This means that they also deliver useful information when not used in a regression, as it is applied in many of the papers. On the other hand to be appropriate to use them, the ratios need to show a different development for healthy companies than for those under financial distress. The difference between the values of the two groups should be large enough to see into which the observed company belongs.5.1.3.Eva lua tion of r a tios for fina ncia l r isk over v iewWhen choosing ratios from the different categories, it needs to be evaluated which ones are the most appropriate ones. For this some comparison values are needed in order to see whether the ratios show different values and developments for the two groups of companies. The most convenient source for the comparison values are the research papers as their values are based on large samples of annual reports and by providing average values outweigh outliers in the data. Altman shows a table with the values for 8 different ratios for the five years prior bankruptcy of which he uses 5, while Porporato & Sandin use 13 ratios in their model and Ohlson bases his evaluation on 9 figures and ratios [10]. Khong, Ong & Yap and Cerovac & Ivicic also show the difference in ratios between the two groups, however only directly before bankruptcy and not as a development over time [9]. Therefore this information is not as valuable as the others ([4][15]).In summary, the main internal financial risks in a SME should be covered by financial structure, liquidity and profitability ratios, which are the main categories of ratios applied in the research papers.Fina ncial str uctur eA ratio used in many of the papers is the total debt to total assets ratio, analyzing the financial structure of the company. Next to the papers of Altman, Ohlson and Porporato & Sandin also Khong, Ong & Yap and Cerovac & Ivicic show comparison values for this ratio. Thosedemonstrate a huge difference in size between the bankrupt and non-bankrupt groups.Figur e 1: Development of tota l debt/tota l a ssets r a tioData sour ce: Altman (1968), Por por a to & Sandin (2007) and Ohlson (1980), author ’s illustr a tionTherefore the information of total debt/total assets is more reliable and should rather be used for the overview. The other ratios analyzing the financial structure are only used in one of the papers and except for one the reference data only covers the last year before bankruptcy. Therefore a time trend cannot be detected and their relevance cannot be approved.C ost of debtThe costs of debt are another aspect of the financing risk. Porporato & Sandin use the variable interest payments/EB IT for measuring the debt costs. The variable shows how much of the income before tax and interest is spend to finance the debt. This variable also shows a clear trend when firms approach bankruptcy.L iquidityThe ratio used in all five papers to measure liquidity is the current ratio, showing the relation between current liabilities and current assets (with slight differences in the definition). Instead of the current ratio, a liquidity ratio setting the difference between current assets and current liabilities, also defined as working capital, into relation with total assets could be used.Figur e 2: Development of wor king capita l /total assets r a tioData sour ce: Altman (1968) and Ohlson (1980); author ’s illustr a t ioBasically the ratio says whether the firm would be able to pay back all its’current liabilities by using its’current assets. In case it is not able to, which is when the liabilities exceed the assets, there is an insolvency risk.6.C R ITIC AL R EVIEW AND C ONC L USIONWhen doing business, constantly decisions have to be made, whoseoutcome is not certain and thus connected with risk. In order to successfully cope with this uncertainty, corporate risk management is necessary in a business environment, which is influenced by market frictions. Different approaches and methods can be found for applying such a risk management. However, those mainly focus on large corporations, though they are the minority of all companies[13].Furthermore the approaches often require the use of statistical software and expert knowledge, which is most often not available in SME. They and their requirements for risk management have mainly been neglected [17][13].This also includes the internal financial risk management, which was in the focus of this paper. Due to the existing risks in SME and their differences to larger corporations as well as the lack of suitable risk management suggestions in theory, there is a need for a suggestion for a financial risk management in SME. The aim was to find a possible mean for the risk identification, analysis and monitoring, which can be applied by SME to manage their internal financial risks. For this purpose the financial analysis, which has been used in research to identify indicators for firm bankruptcy, was chosen. Based on an examination and analysis of different papers, despite of their different models, many similarities in the applied ratios could be identified. In general the papers focus on three categories of risk, namely liquidity, profitability and solvency, which are in accordance to the maininternal financial risks of SME. From the ratios the most appropriate ones with regard to their effectiveness in identifying risks.译文中小企业财务风险管理研究奥米德沙利菲1、摘要中小型企业( SME) 和大型企业一样，也面临着业务风险，在最糟糕的情况下，可能会导致金融危机，甚至破产。
关于风控的英语作文Title: Risk Management in Financial Institutions。
Risk management is an integral aspect of operations within financial institutions, encompassing a multifaceted approach to identify, assess, and mitigate various forms of risks. In today's volatile and dynamic financial landscape, effective risk management strategies are imperative for safeguarding the stability and sustainability of these institutions. This essay delves into the significance of risk management in financial institutions and explores key strategies employed to mitigate risks.To begin with, risk management serves as a fundamental mechanism for protecting financial institutions against potential threats that could undermine their financial health and reputation. These threats encompass a diverse range of risks, including credit risk, market risk,liquidity risk, operational risk, and compliance risk. Each type of risk poses unique challenges and necessitatestailored risk management measures to address them effectively.Credit risk, for instance, pertains to the potential of borrowers failing to fulfill their repayment obligations, thereby resulting in financial losses for the institution. To mitigate credit risk, financial institutions employ rigorous credit assessment processes, establish credit limits, and diversify their loan portfolios acrossdifferent sectors and regions. Furthermore, they mayutilize credit derivatives and insurance products to transfer some of the credit risks to external parties.Market risk, on the other hand, emanates from fluctuations in interest rates, exchange rates, commodity prices, and equity prices, which can adversely impact the value of financial assets and liabilities. To manage market risk, institutions utilize hedging strategies such as derivatives, options, and futures contracts to mitigate the adverse effects of price fluctuations. Additionally, they employ sophisticated risk measurement models such as Value at Risk (VaR) to quantify and monitor their exposure tomarket risks.Liquidity risk arises from the inability of financial institutions to meet their short-term obligations due to a shortage of liquid assets or an inability to access funding sources. To mitigate liquidity risk, institutions maintain adequate liquidity buffers, diversify funding sources, and establish contingency funding plans to ensure access to emergency funding during periods of market stress.Operational risk encompasses the risk of losses resulting from inadequate internal processes, human error, technological failures, or external events. To address operational risk, institutions implement robust internal controls, conduct regular audits, and invest in advanced technology systems to enhance operational efficiency and resilience.Compliance risk pertains to the risk of non-compliance with laws, regulations, and internal policies, which could lead to legal sanctions, reputational damage, and financial penalties. To mitigate compliance risk, institutionsestablish comprehensive compliance frameworks, conduct regular compliance assessments, and provide ongoingtraining to employees to ensure adherence to regulatory requirements.In addition to these specific risks, financial institutions also face systemic risks arising from interconnectedness within the financial system,geopolitical events, and macroeconomic factors. Systemic risks can have far-reaching implications, affecting the stability of the entire financial system. Therefore, institutions collaborate with regulators and other stakeholders to identify and address systemic risks through enhanced transparency, regulatory reforms, and stress testing exercises.In conclusion, effective risk management is essential for ensuring the resilience and sustainability of financial institutions in today's complex and dynamic operating environment. By adopting a comprehensive approach to identify, assess, and mitigate various forms of risks, institutions can enhance their ability to withstandchallenges and capitalize on opportunities in the ever-evolving financial landscape. Moreover, robust risk management practices contribute to maintaining trust and confidence among stakeholders, thereby fostering long-term success and stability within the financial sector.。
可编辑修改精选全文完整版金融市场的风险管理(英文版)Risk Management in Financial MarketsIntroductionRisk management is a crucial aspect of the financial markets. It involves the identification, assessment, and mitigation of potential risks that may impact an organization's financial well-being. The dynamic nature of financial markets makes effective risk management imperative to ensure stability and sustainability. This article aims to explore the various aspects of risk management in financial markets.Types of RisksFinancial markets face various types of risks, each with its unique characteristics. The most common types of risks in financial markets include credit risk, market risk, liquidity risk, operational risk, and systemic risk.Credit risk refers to the potential loss arising from a borrower's inability to repay a loan or meet its contractual obligations. Financial institutions employ credit risk management techniques, such as credit scoring models and credit derivatives, to assess and mitigate this risk.Market risk encompasses the potential loss due to fluctuating market prices of financial instruments. It includes risks associated with interest rates, currencies, equities, commodities, and derivatives. Market risk management involves using techniqueslike portfolio diversification, hedging, and stress testing to mitigate potential losses.Liquidity risk arises when an institution is unable to fulfill its financial obligations due to an insufficient availability of liquid assets. Effective liquidity risk management involves maintaining adequate liquidity buffers, developing contingency funding plans, and regularly monitoring and stress testing liquidity positions.Operational risk involves the risk of financial loss due to inadequate or failed internal processes, systems, or human error. It includes risks associated with technology failures, fraud, legal and regulatory compliance, and vendor management. Operational risk management involves implementing robust internal controls, conducting regular audits, and training staff on risk awareness.Systemic risk refers to the risk of widespread disruptions or failures in the financial system that could have a significant impact on the overall economy. It can arise from interconnectedness and interdependencies among financial institutions, such as in the case of a financial crisis. Systemic risk management involves regulatory oversight, stress testing, and contingency planning at both the institutional and systemic levels.Risk Assessment and MitigationEffective risk management starts with a thorough and comprehensive risk assessment. This involves identifying and analyzing risks, including their potential impacts and likelihoods of occurrence. Risk assessment enables organizations to prioritize risks and allocate resources accordingly.Once risks are identified, appropriate risk mitigation strategies can be implemented. These strategies may include risk avoidance, risk reduction, risk transfer, or risk acceptance. Risk avoidance involves refraining from activities that pose significant risks. Risk reduction involves implementing measures to minimize the likelihood or impact of risks. Risk transfer involves transferring risks to another party, such as through insurance or hedging. Risk acceptance involves acknowledging and accepting certain risks if their potential impact is deemed acceptable.Risk management frameworks and tools can also assist in the overall risk management process. These frameworks provide a structured approach to managing risks and can help organizations establish appropriate risk management policies, procedures, and controls. Examples of risk management tools include risk registers, risk appetite statements, risk and control self-assessment, and key risk indicators.Continual Monitoring and ReviewRisk management is an ongoing process that requires continuous monitoring and review. Financial institutions need to establish effective risk monitoring systems to detect and assess emerging risks promptly. Regular risk reporting and analysis help organizations stay informed about their risk profiles and take necessary actions.Risk management frameworks should also be periodically reviewed and updated to ensure their effectiveness in addressing evolving risks. As technology advances and market conditionschange, risk management practices need to keep pace to effectively manage emerging risks.ConclusionRisk management is a critical component of the financial markets. The proper identification, assessment, and mitigation of risks are essential for maintaining stability and sustainability. By implementing robust risk management practices, financial institutions can navigate the challenges and uncertainties of financial markets effectively. Continued commitment to risk management ensures the soundness and integrity of the overall financial system.Sure, here's some additional content on the topic:Risk measurement and monitoring are key aspects of risk management in financial markets. Organizations use various metrics and tools to quantify and monitor risks. These include value-at-risk (VaR), stress testing, scenario analysis, and sensitivity analysis. VaR measures the potential loss in a portfolio or position under normal market conditions, with a specified confidence level. Stress testing, on the other hand, involves assessing the impact of extreme and hypothetical market scenarios on a portfolio's value. Scenario analysis involves analyzing the potential outcomes of specific events or market conditions. Sensitivity analysis assesses how changes in underlying factors, such as interest rates or exchange rates, affect the value of a portfolio.Risk management practices also extend to regulatory compliance. Financial institutions need to comply with various regulations and guidelines set by regulatory authorities. These regulations aim tosafeguard the stability and integrity of the financial system and protect consumers. Risk management frameworks help organizations ensure compliance by providing guidelines on risk assessment, reporting, and governance. Regulatory frameworks, such as Basel III, require banks to maintain adequate capital buffers to absorb potential losses and to have robust risk management systems in place.Technology plays a significant role in modern risk management. Advanced analytics tools and algorithms enable organizations to better analyze and understand risks. Artificial intelligence and machine learning can identify patterns and detect anomalies that may indicate potential risks. Risk management systems can also be automated to facilitate real-time monitoring and reporting. Technology-driven risk management helps organizations to improve risk assessment accuracy, increase efficiency, and enable faster decision-making.In addition to external risks, organizations also need to consider internal risks. Internal risks can arise from poor governance, inadequate internal controls, or unethical behaviors. Risk management frameworks often include internal control systems to ensure the effective mitigation of internal risks. These systems involve procedures and policies that promote transparency, accountability, and ethical behavior within the organization. Regular internal audits help assess the effectiveness of internal controls and identify areas for improvement.Risk management is a collective effort that involves all stakeholders in the financial markets. Regulators, financialinstitutions, investors, and market participants all play a role in identifying, assessing, and mitigating risks. Effective risk management requires collaboration and information sharing among these stakeholders. Regulatory authorities set standards and guidelines, financial institutions implement risk management practices, investors conduct due diligence, and market participants adhere to market rules and regulations.In conclusion, risk management in financial markets is vital to ensure stability, sustainability, and trust in the financial system. It involves identifying, assessing, and mitigating various types of risks, including credit risk, market risk, liquidity risk, operational risk, and systemic risk. Risk assessment and mitigation strategies are informed by robust risk management frameworks and tools. Continual monitoring and review of risks help organizations stay informed and responsive to emerging risks. Technology and regulatory compliance also play significant roles in effective risk management. By prioritizing risk management, financial institutions can safeguard their financial well-being and contribute to the overall stability of the financial system.。
原文：Effective risk management in financial institutions Abstract：Risk management is more important in the financial sector than in other parts of the economy. But it is difficult. The basis of banking and similar financial institutions is taking risk in conditions of uncertainty. Describes how the Turnbull report, for which the author was project director, created a new underlying approach to risk. Provides a guide to the way in which the various Turnbull ideas have become the bedrock of risk management and suggests how they can be developed.There can be few, if any, parts of the economy in which risk management is more important than the financial sector. Financial institutions account for a sizeable number of the world’s leading companies and have a criti cal role to play in the economics of every country and thus in world economic order as a whole. Their whole business is centred on taking risks in conditions of uncertainty. The Turnbull Report on risk management and internal control, which is applicable to all listed companies in the UK and which has been widely disseminated internationally, fully recognises this fundamental point. Its focus is on effective risk management and not the elimination of risk. In a modern competitive market economy, business organisations that are risk averse are unlikely to earn satisfactory returns. On the other hand, highly volatile returns are unlikely to find favour with capital markets anxious not to be surprised, particularly by bad news. Moreover, Turnbull is as much about doing the right things and not missing strategic opportunities, as it is about doing things right, essential if a company is to achieve its full potential. Applying Turnbull’s approach may lead to some financial institutions realising that they are not taking enough risk; perhaps a new market can be identified and while there may be clear risks in being the first to enter there may equally be significant first-mover advantages to be gained.A framework, not a rule bookThe Turnbull Report also recognises the dynamic nature of markets in which an organisation operates and seeks to encourage companies to create risk managementsystems that can continually adapt to changing circumstances. To avoid particular controls being seen as an end in themselves even once their usefulness has ceased, the guidance places internal controls firmly in their broader business context: they are only of value to the extent that they help businesses to control the risks that threaten the achievement of their business objectives. In summary, Turnbull offers a framework, rather than a rulebook, which each organisation can apply to its own circumstances to develop an appropriate internal control system.The importance of sound judgementThe fact that Turnbull eschews a tick-box approach has been well received by the business community; however, it does mean that judgement plays a vital role in establishing an effective internal control system, starting at board level. Making sure that judgement is sound is perhaps the greatest single challenge involved in risk management. No system and no amount of internal controls will prevent losses if the judgement on which business decisions are based is poor.Judgement comes into play in initially establishing clearly defined business objectives, identifying the risks to achieving those objectives, prioritising how great a threat those risks pose and then determining appropriate responses in the form of developing internal control systems.Judgement is also called for in terms of applying cost-benefit analysis to the merits of adopting specific controls. It is clearly worthwhile for a bank to undertake credit checks before granting loans but a cost-benefit approach will promote systems that focus staff time on the potentially high risk loans and on developing early warning systems when loans are not performing rather than selecting a one size fits all approach.Identification issuesRisks that threaten a financial institution’s objectives will often range from highly function-specific risks through to strategic, big picture issues. Consider the foreign exchange trading activity in a major bank. There is clearly a risk that an individual trader, left to operate free of internal controls, can run up significant losses. This risk is located in a define d area of the bank’s activities but its potentialwide-ranging impact should not be underestimated. As Barings so visibly demonstrated, operational problems in a financial institution can be life-threatening probably to a greater extent than operational problems in many other businesses.At the other end of the spectrum lie a whole range of market-related strategic risks, for example, the threat that supermarkets will increasingly capitalise on their existing customer relationships to gain a larger share of the retail financial services market, or that closing down bank branches in rural locations will trigger accusations of a lack of social concern and damage the bank’s public image and possibly its brand value even though the decision may be financially supportable. With market concentration growing at national, regional and global levels, it is also essential in many cases not only to select the right strategic partner for growth but also to ensure relevant deals can be successfully concluded. Identifying the take-over candidate or strategic alliance partner is but the start of the process. Care needs to be taken to manage the risk associated with regulatory intervention and to avoid the emergence of a hostile bidder to an agreed deal. As a number of British financial institutions have discovered in recent years, the price in terms of continued independence of a high profile abortive deal can be high.Keep control of your reputationReputational risk is a major issue for the entire financial services sector, given the fundamental need for customers to believe in the stability and security of an organisation’s operations if they are to continue trusting it to handle their affairs. Furthermore, as the pensions mis-selling affair demonstrated there is a need for trust both in the individual institution and in the sector as a whole of which it forms part. This therefore calls on some occasions for collaborative as opposed to solely competitive risk management strategies as may also be the case in, for example, combating credit card fraud or on some IT security issues. In retail banking the reputation of individual banks could become much more of an issue in the years ahead with customers being increasingly tempted to consider the advantages of switching between high street banks, both as a result of the costs of switching being reduced and due to the influx of new market entrants. The recent questioning of the independenceof analysts’ forecasts will also need to be addressed robustly if long-term reputational repercussions are to be avoided.Assessing the importance of risksIdentifying the existence of potential risks does not necessarily mean that action is required to mitigate all of them. Risks must be prioritised, by means of assessing the likelihood of their occurring and the extent of their impact – high likelihood and high impact suggesting high priority for action.Verifying your judgementsWhen identifying and prioritising risks, financial institutions need to have regard to the concept of “verifiability”; in other words, if a different group of people were making the same decisions about the importance of those risks, would they be likely to come to the same conclusion? This is obviously more likely to be the case if a wide range of people from a broad cross-section of the business, both laterally and vertically, is involved in the risk identification and assessment process and if there are no “taboo” subjects which prevent conventional wisdom within the organisation being challenged when necessary.External views of risk must also be fed into the identification and assessment process. What is the market’s view of interest rate developments? How are personal investments expected to change in the coming years? In the case of regulated areas such as financial s ervices, the organisation’s perceived view of how its principal regulator views it will be of interest but also an assessment will be needed of how the overall regulatory environment is likely to develop, including in competition terms, and the impact of international developments such as those being brought about by the Lampfalussy report in the EU.Change managementOne of the key challenges running across the entire process of identifying and assessing risks is that the business and financial world is in a constant state of flux. How is the emergence of Internet banking changing the way that retail customers interact with their bank? How important is 24-hour access to account details? What does this mean for the maintenance of IT systems? Do people really want to be able tochange their bank details using their mobile phone? How do you manage call centres effectively to ensure that this new form of bank/customer interface maintains the bank’s brand values?Some new or changing market conditions will develop gradually over time, while others may sweep the market quickly. Given this dynamic background, the internal control framework must be regularly reviewed and adjusted to take account of changing market conditions. It is management’s role to recommend poli cies for managing risk, the board’s role to review and approve them, and management’s role once more to implement them and report back on their operation.Coping with risk in the midst of change is particularly key when an industry is going through a period of consolidation. Merger and acquisition activity brings inevitable disruption as previously distinct cultures and systems are consolidated into a new combined entity. The risk management implications of such proposals need to be carefully considered before, during and after the merger process.Embedding risksThe ability to respond to changing conditions largely relies on the internal control system being embedded in the bank’s operations. This is a complex process involving a range of activities including the effective communication of, and reporting on, the bank’s risk management policies at all levels, the development of risk training courses, the involvement of staff in responding to early warning systems, channels for reporting suspected control breaches and generally the creation of a positive risk management culture.The process of embedding risks should not, however, be allowed to lead to complacency or passivity within the organisation. The fact that systems are in place, a control manual exists and staff have been trained in risk management as part of their daily activities does not mean that systems are infallible as they will always be dependent, at least to some extent, on the people operating them and, for example, when staff morale is low more mistakes, accidentally or deliberately, are likely to occur.Cultural challengesCulture is also key in terms of creating an environment where dealing losses and real or suspected control breaches can and will be reported. If the prevailing culture is one of blame without just cause, then there is a high chance that individuals will see it as in their own self-interest to try to cover up problems. Many organisations are also now developing “whistleblowing” procedures to ensure concerns can be reported confidentially.Remuneration issuesThe bank’s remuneration policies have an important role in reinforcing or undermining the internal control environment. Take the bonuses paid out at the end of each year. The factors determining the size of the payout are likely, indeed intended, to shape employees’ behaviour. Consider the trader who has had a bad patch and whose bonus is under threat. He/she might react by taking increasingly greater risks in the attempt to reach his/her target. Alternatively, he/she might lose interest in his/her performance until the start of the next bonus period. Either way, the bank’s overall performance could be affected by his/her actions. However, if the bonus is based on long-term performance, then he/she is far more likely to maintain an optimal effort level over the longer term.Management, not eliminationThe Turnbull approach emphasises risk management, not risk elimination. Financial institutions must take risk, but they must do so consciously. Establishing the appropriate cultural framework needs the support of all staff in the process of identifying, monitoring and controlling risks. Risk management must be seen as an ongoing and valued activity with the board setting the example. It is without doubt a challenging agenda.Source: Anthony Carey, 2001.“Effective risk management in financial institutions”. Journal of Risk Finance. February.pp.24-27.译文：在金融机构的有效风险管理摘要：风险管理在金融部门中比经济的其他部分更重要。
Financial Risk Management in a Volatile Global EnvironmentbyFrancis X. DieboldandAnthony M. SantomeroWharton Financial Institutions CenterThe Wharton SchoolUniversity of PennsylvaniaOctober, 19991INTRODUCTIONThe virtual collapse of several Asian markets has triggered a series of aftershocks in the global financial markets. From the alleged contagion that spread the crisis to Russia and South America to the de facto collapse of Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM), the repercussions of these events have led to endless debate. Even as participants in the global marketplace continue to seek answers to basic questions, such as the cause of the events and their implications, the public sector and industry lobbyists have offered remedies.In April 1999, the President’s Working Group on Financial Markets issued a report that recommended a series of measures designed to constrain leverage in the U.S. portion of the financial system. (See Box 1.) Precipitated by the collapse of LTCM, the working group saw their recommendations as a needed response to the situation leading up to capital market vulnerability, regional crises and the financial collapse of some institutions.The President’s report was followed by an industry report from the Counterparty Risk Management Group, a consortium of twelve internationally active commercial and investment banks, which was issued in June 1999. (See Box 2.) The new document recommends ways to strengthen the management of market, counterparty, credit and liquidity risk without regulation and government interference.To some, the government and industry responses to the crisis that began in Malaysia and ended in the offices of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York were seen as timely. To us, they seemed premature, because neither the causes nor the effects of the tumultuous recent financial market events were well understood.2To shed light on the circumstances surrounding the global crisis, and to discuss possible firm-level remedies, the Wharton Financial Institutions Center, in conjunction with the Oliver Wyman Institute, held its second Financial Engineering Roundtable on “The Measurement and Management of Global Financial Risks” last Spring in Philadelphia. The event brought together an array of distinguished academics, risk managers from the major trading houses, and financial consultants to discuss the significant issues surrounding the increased risk of today’s global marketplace. Several of the participants offered their analysis and perceptions on the events of the last year, and several others proposed new risk management tools motivated by those events. Here we offer an overview of both the issues surrounding the global financial crisis and the potential solutions offered to assure the stability of financial firms in the increasingly complex trading environment.HOW EXTREME WAS THE FINANCIAL CRISIS?Perhaps the appropriate place to begin a discussion of the financial crisis is to investigate the size of the events themselves. To most, the collapse of Asian security markets in the fourth quarter of 1997, and the subsequent decline of the EAFA securities worldwide, were seen as extraordinary. There have been a large number of references in the press and/or political announcements to a “10-sigma event,” and the unusual nature of the financial fallout surrounding the 12-month crisis. However, a careful examination of the historical record indicates that much of these assertions are hyperbole. To be sure, the Asian markets collapsed by more than 40 percent in the fourth quarter of 1997, and the Latin American markets finally gave way by almost as much in early 1998. However, the well-known volatility of those markets must be kept in mind. A careful look at IFC data illustrates that the standard deviation of emerging market securities has been very high historically, so that the recent episode is more of a 2- or 3-sigma event than a 10-sigma event, unlikely, but not nearly so3remote a possibility as some evidently believed. In a world of ever-increasing securities prices and a secular decline in interest rates, the collapse may have been viewed with surprise, but it should not be viewed as statistically extraordinary.Just as volatility was high, so too was correlation of the disturbances across emerging markets. But, as with volatility, the high correlation was not unprecedented. It is frequently observed that correlations across markets seem to increase dramatically in crises. The work by Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold and Labys (1999) provides methods for precise measurement and the work of Folkerts-Landau and Garber (1999) shows that this has some nasty consequences. Nonetheless, the extent of the spillover, was startling. Understandably, this has produced a search for the cause or causes of the observed contagion. In short, it would be convenient to find a culprit, or class of individuals, responsible for the events of the last year and the spillover from market to market. WHO CAUSED THE CRISIS?With this in mind, the presumed culprits of the Asian financial crisis were “the unscrupulous investors and currency traders whose hedge funds unleashed a speculative attack on regional currencies and national states.” In the heat of the moment, the speculators were branded “financial market manipulators” and visible members of this community, such as George Soros, were singled out and vilified. Because governments often seek scapegoats during periods of financial collapse, it is not surprising that they tried to make such attributions.However, the data do not support the accusation. The historical record suggests that hedge funds were not dealing with pools of capital large enough to effectively disrupt an entire nation. In addition, the evaluation of available records suggests that this group had not taken strong positions in the crisis, as discussed in Brown, Goetzmann and Park (1998). Rather, small businessmen and the4local citizenry caused the crisis through significant and consistent withdrawals from the national currency. In the end, a lack of confidence led to currency flight.Indeed, confidence was not warranted. In the aftermath, the state of the financial sectors in Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia (not to mention Russia or Mexico) clearly indicated that these financial systems were on the verge of collapse. Rational locals left at a propitious time.THE MARKET’S RESPONSE TO THE CRISISCauses notwithstanding, the crisis produced significant problems in the world financial markets. To casual observers, the problems seemed to roll from one country to the next, with neither rhyme nor reason. Even seasoned participants found the wave of contraction both surprising and troubling. Contagion has always been an area of central concern, and its manifestation in the recent events is perhaps the most troublesome part of the Asian crisis and its aftermath.Little is known, however, about the causes of contagion. Dismissing cults of personality and the villainization of global trading houses, few satisfactory explanations have been offered. The pet explanations of the World Bank and IMF are poor macroeconomic policy, political corruption, and errant central banking. In Kumar, Moorthy and Perraudin (1999), these factors are shown to be relevant, indeed important determinants of currency crises. But, these factors alone do not explain the cross-country and cross-market correlation central to a contagious financial crisis.Looking into this issue, both Kumar, Moorthy and Perraudin (1999) and Glick and Rose (1999) offer evidence that contagion can be explained at least in part by international trade linkages. In essence, the global real goods market spreads the crisis from country to country, with more rapid responses occurring between countries with strong trade linkages. Their evidence for this method of transmission covers multiple crises and proves to be surprisingly robust. This channel seems5particularly relevant for the Asian events, but it seems a strained explanation for the wave of crises beyond that region. Folkerts-Landau and Garber’s contribution offers insight into these events, viewing Russia’s action as a watershed event. They connect the Asian Tigers, Russia, and many of the Latin American economies even though trade links specifically were not especially strong. In the end, however, it remains unclear exactly how crises spread, where they spread, and with what speed.In any event, it seems reasonable to believe that the international linkages, both political and economic, among markets accelerate both the severity of crises and the speed of contagion. Beyond this, over the last decade, we have seen that global traders follow similar trading strategies, observe similar market signals, and often withdraw simultaneously from a troubled market. In such cases, liquidity quickly disappears and risk premia jump, a point of considerable concern to market participants.One aspect of the recent crisis, however, is comparatively new: the gaming that developed across trading houses. If LTCM’s stories are to be believed (see Edwards, 1999), knowledgeable counterparties were able to exploit information on LTCM’s positions to increase the cost of LTCM’s being on the wrong side of the market. Doing so may have increased both volatility and interdependence, producing a substantial increase in market risk. In our view, understanding the longer-run implications of such gaming is crucially important for both industry participants and regulators (not to mention academics).WHAT’S A FIRM TO DO?In the face of the new reality, firms in the global financial marketplace have been scrambling, once again searching for appropriate tools and managerial approaches to guide their organizations. This is occurring against a backdrop of risk managers spending the last decade increasing their focus6on firm-level risk management systems, spending tens of millions of dollars on trading systems, real-time position reporting, and VaR risk management systems. Some have suggested that the financial service industry’s heavy investment in risk management during the last decade has yielded little. We disagree strongly. The Asian crisis and its aftermath should reinforce the need for adequate risk management, not bring them into question. If anything, the recent experiences have highlighted the need for such systems and should redouble risk managers’ commitment to proper implementation.As indicated elsewhere (Oldfield and Santomero, 1997), adequate risk management systems require substantial firm-level commitment. Risk exposures must be identified, measured and managed. To do so, risk managers must have the ability to understand global positions and the exposures inherent in them. This requires sophisticated computer systems linking global positions and updating exposures. The latter requires not only the knowledge of real-time exposures, but also changes in the underlying volatility and correlation exhibited in current market data.Yet, risk management, no matter how sophisticated, does not eliminate risk. Rather, it dimensions and monitors it, in light of current circumstances. One clear lesson from the turbulent times of the recent crisis is the need for frequent updating of underlying risk measurements and appropriate portfolio re-balancing to manage risk. In this context, it is worthwhile to examine the lessons that can be learned from the Asian crisis and its aftermath.LESSONS FROM THE CRISISWith the above background, what can one extract from the recent experiences? While it is tempting to react to the grandstanding of politicians and the pontification of journalists, it appears that the lessons from the Asian crisis are much more mundane. The experiences of the Asian collapse, the Korean contract problems, the Russian default, the Latin American asset revaluation, and the fallout7around LTCM and others, all suggest that the key to survival in the global trading environment is appropriate implementation of well-known risk management solutions. The recently deceased Herb Stein has been quoted as suggesting that, “traditional remedies are called traditional because they have been traditionally recommended, not because they have been traditionally followed.” Risk managers should take this perspective to heart. The solutions that are key to surviving the next financial crisis lie in appropriate application and enhancement of current risk management techniques. The keys to survival are (1) appropriate implementation of standard administrative processes, (2) accurate risk management control systems, and (3) constant assessment of and reaction to current risk exposure.The first of these remedies is usually taken for granted by traders and administrators, yet as Tom Russo so clearly articulated at the conference, taking it for granted can produce disaster: there is no substitute for signed contracts and clear contractual obligations. In addition, the enforceability of certain complex derivative contracts must be well established in both local and international law. See Russo and Vinciguerra (1999). In this respect, the ongoing work of IASCO is an important part of establishing an infrastructure of standardization and enforceability, without which global trading could not exist.The second remedy requires that risk systems be constantly updated. While most large trading houses have invested heavily in the well-known trading risk systems, available from industry vendors, the events of the last year have illustrated the old IT adage, “Garbage in, garbage out.” Although few trading houses put garbage in, many were insufficiently vigilant in their data analysis and insufficiently knowledgeable about the limitations of the trading risk systems employed. Risk dimensions, such as VaR, are only as useful as the assumptions underlying their estimation. The recent experience has8taught us the limitations of such numbers. For some time, we have recognized temporal instability of volatility and cross-correlations as relevant in principle, and now we recognize them as relevant in practice. We have learned also that our list of problems with the risk management status quo includes failure to account for vanishing liquidity in times of crisis, and gamesmanship between trading partners. Recent work has begun to incorporate such effects, as in Bangia, Diebold, Schuermann and Stroughair (1999), who explore “exogenous” liquidity risk due to fluctuations in the bid/ask spread, and Almgren and Chriss (1999), who explore “endogenous” liquidity risk due to large trades moving the market.The third remedy requires real-time comparison of risk system predictions against incoming data, and backtesting them against earlier data, in an effort to detect changes in the market environment or impending high-impact market events. It is always wise, however, to remember that our risk models are just that: models. As such, they are abstract simplifications of a much more complex reality, and they will likely always fail to inform us fully of the risk inherent in trading positions.WHAT NEXT?Recent events in the global capital markets have brought new attention to the risks of financial trading. However, we have seen that the events of the last few years were not that unusual. This reality suggests an added level of responsibility must be borne by risk managers in the financial industry. Losses, systems breakdowns and bankruptcies cannot, and should not, be excused as results of an extraordinary event. This suggests that to the extent that these losses were an unpleasant surprise, risk management systems within the industry require additional investment and improvement. In short, if risk systems failed, they must be improved.9Finally, if risk managers need continuously to improve their assessment of risk, so too do senior executives need to improve their assessment of risk tolerance. In the recent episode, senior management may have been made complacent by the long-running boom in the global marketplace. With trading risk contributing an increasing share of bank profits, they may have both underestimated risk and overestimated their willingness to bear the consequences.The failure to address these two issues would be a mistake. It will lead the industry to a continuation of surprises in reported trading results and could lead to loss of confidence in the system itself. Concerns over the latter could cause pundits to call for regulatory change, added disclosure, or at the very least, greater oversight.10REFERENCESAlmgren, Robert and Neil Chriss, “Value Under Liquidation,” Manuscript, 1999.Andersen, T.G., Bollerslev, T., Diebold, F.X., and Labys, P., “The Distribution of Exchange Rate Volatility,” Manuscript, 1999.Andersen, T.G., Bollerslev, T., Diebold, F.X., and Labys, P., “Understanding, Optimizing, Using and Forecasting: Realized Volatility and Correlation,” Manuscript, 1999.Bangia, A., Diebold, F.X., Schuermann, T. and Stroughair, J., “Liquidity on the Outside,” Risk, 12, 68-73, 1999.Brown, S. J., W. N. Goetzmann and J. M. Park, “Hedge Funds and the Asian Currency Crisis of 1997,” Manuscript, 1998.Counterparty Risk Management Group, “Improving Counterparty Risk Management Practices,”Manuscript, 1999.Edwards, Franklin R., “Hedge Funds and the Collapse of Long-Term Capital Management,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 13, Spring 1999.Folkerts-Landau, David and Peter M. Garber, “Capital Flows from Emerging Markets in a Closing Environment,” Manuscript, 1999.Glick, Reuven and Andrew K. Rose, “Why are Currency Crises Contagious?,” Manuscript, 1999. Kumar, M. S., U. Moorthy and William Perraudin, “Determinants of Currency Crises in Emerging Markets,” Manuscript, 1999.Oldfield, George S. and Anthony M. Santomero, “The Place of Risk Management in Financial Institutions,” Sloan Management Review, Vol. 39 (1), Fall 1997.Mayer, Martin, “Asking for Trouble,” Manuscript, 1999.President’s Working Group on Financial Markets, “Hedge Funds, Leverage, and the Lessons of Long Term Capital Management,” Manuscript, 1999.Russo, Thomas A. and M. Vinciguerra, “Regulation in the Wake of Long-Term Capital’s Rescue,”Journal of the Law of Investment and Risk Management Products, 18, February 1999. Smithson, Charles, “Lessons Learned from the Experiences of the Last Half-Decade,” Manuscript, 1999.11Box 1The President’s Working Group on Financial Markets Recommendations.-More frequent and meaningful information on hedge funds should be made public-Public companies, including financial institutions, should publicly disclose additional information about their material financial exposures to significantly leveraged institutions, including hedge funds.-Financial institutions should enhance their practices for contemporary risk management-Regulators should encourage improvements in the risk management systems of regulated entities -Regulators should promote the development of more risk-sensitive but prudent approaches to capital adequacy.-Regulators need expanded risk assessment authority for the unregulated affiliates of broker-dealers and futures commission merchants-The Congress should enact the provisions proposed by the President’s Working Group to support financial contract netting.-Regulators should consider stronger incentives to encourage offshore financial centers to comply with international standardsBox 2The Counterparty Risk Management Group “Best Practices” Recommendations.-Enhanced information sharing between counterparties.-An analytical framework for evaluating the effects of leverage on market liquidity and credit risk -Improved credit risk estimation techniques-Stronger internal limit setting, collateral margin, and other credit risk management practices -Improved internal risk transparency for senior managements and regulators-Stronger and harmonized market conventions for close-outs and other key credit documentation practices12。
