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ECOLOGICAL SECURITY EVOLUTION OF BEIJING BASED ON PSR3

ECOLOGICAL SECURITY EVOLUTION OF BEIJING BASED ON PSR3
ECOLOGICAL SECURITY EVOLUTION OF BEIJING BASED ON PSR3

Ecological Security Assessment of Beijing Based on PSR Model

Pei Liang(1) , Du Liming(1)* and Yue Guijie(2)

Department of Survey and Geography Science,Liaoning Project Technology University,Fuxin 123000,China China University of Mining & technology, Beijing 100083,China

Abstract. This paper constructs Beijing's ecological security assessment index system based on pressure-state-response model, using composite index method to evaluate Beijing’s ecological security condition, and has obtained good results. It can be seen from the result that Beijing’s ecological security's composite index reduced from 0.589 in 2004 to 0.540 in 2008, which is in certain insecurity condition. Although the reduced scope is not very big, but it also indicates the condition that Beijing's ecological security is being in a slow downtrend, we should enhance Beijing’s ecological security awareness. Because the fast-developing economy has caused the population pressure, the land pressure, resources and environment pressure of the city enlarge seriously. Facing changing situations of the resources and environment pressure, Beijing had taken action from saving resources and reclaiming proportion of the resources, making good condition of the resources and circumstance. The social and cultural responds security index of Beijing has obviously advanced in the last five years, which explained that people has obviously realized the importance of the city ecological security.

Keywords: City, composite index method, ecological security assessment, Beijing

1.Introduction

The Urban ecosystem is the network architecture has certain function which forms by the reciprocity function of humanity and their periphery biology or non-biotic environment, it is also a special artificial ecosystem established by human in the process of transforming and adapting natural environment. It is different from the natural ecosystem, and it pays great attention to the reciprocity relation of the urban humanity and urban environment. It is a multiplexed system which composed by the nature systematic, the economic system and the social system. The urbanization is an inevitable tendency in the development process of human society. In the course of urbanization, the humanity limit majority wild biology in more and more narrow scope, simultaneously also circled themselves in the artificial environment which composed by the concrete and Various forms of pollution, and has been far away from the rural living conditions that our ancestors have, which has produced all sorts of diseases of civilization. Therefore, improving and protecting the city ecological environment is one of the important topics which must be taken seriously in the process of urban construction and developing.

The research on ecological security mainly focused on country’s level and region’s level at present, and fewer focused on the city criterion, but the urban ecological security is the foundation and the core of the national or the region’s ecologi cal security. City is the fruit of the human culture, and has enormous promotion effect to the development of economical, cultural prosperous, political activities and information dissemination, while it also brought negative effect to human’s living envir onments as well as to ecological security, such as the massive social problems which caused by the urban climatic changes, like the environmental pollution, depletion of natural resources, population explosion in urban

area and so on. As the capital of China, Urban Eco-environment problems of Beijing are more centralized and pressing, the rapid development of urban construction and ecological degradation have created tremendous pressure to Beijing ecological environment(Guo Xiuruiw2005; Xie Hualin,2004). At present, the commonly method used to assess city ecological security is the composite index assessment method, its indicators may change according to the goal of the work, we can select indicators from the ecology pressure, the region ecological condition and spatial condition, the pressure - condition – response condition model, the ecosystem service function and so on(Gu Chuanhui,2001). This paper constructs Beijing’s ecological security indicators system based on the model of pressure - state–response(PSR), adopting the composite index method to estimate the ecological security of Beijing, and has made great progress.

2.Materials and Methods

2.1Data

The data used in this study included remotely-sensed data from satellites and data published in statistics a nd reports. Soil erosion data came from the database” National soil erosion remote sensing investigation” based on the Landsat TM. Other data, including socioeconomic data, data on nature disasters, scientific and technological progress and some written materials(such as documents on eco-environmental protection) were supplied by local statistical bureau and environment, water, land, and education authorities.

2.2The study area

Beijing, located at the eastern edge of the Eurasian continent and belongs to the Bohai sea rim economic circle, is an important city since ancient times. It is situated at 39 ' 54 '' North Latitude, 116 ' 23 '' East Longitude, and stands at northwest edge of the North China Plain with the area of more than 16410.54 km2, act as the economic, political and cultural centre of modern China city. The average elevation of the whole city is 43.5m. The resident population of the city is 17,550,000, density of which is 1069 person in single square kilometer. This area is belonging to the warm temperate zone and half moist continental monsoon climate, which has hot, rainy summer, cold dry winter, short spring and autumn.

Beijing is a comprehensive industrial city, comprehensive economic strength of which is among the top places (places of same level) in the country. But it is noteworthy that Beijing's economic development still had problems, which are mainly about population explosion, the speed of the average per person labor productivity growing in low status compared with other chief cities.

3.Method

3.1Pressure-State-Response (PSR) model

The PSR model is based on the concept of causality: human activities exert pressures on the environment and change the quality and quantity of natural resources which lead to responses in human behavior. Three categories of indicators are distinguished. First, eco-environmental pressure indicators describe pressures on the environment by human activities and climate change. Second, eco-environmental state indicators describe the status quo of the natural environment and ecosystem function. Thirdly, societal response indicators show the degree to which society responds to

eco-environmental changes and concerns. This could be the number and kind of measures taken, the efforts of implementing measures, or the effectiveness of those measures.

3.2Index selected

The 18 independent indicators, representing principal Beijing eco-security traits, were selected in an adapted PSR framework (table1). In possess of selecting these indicators, we have considered related methods about ecological security evaluation which used domestic and foreign at present. The indicators have four levels above all. First is target level, namely composite index; second is project level, including pressure, condition on resources and environment, index about response of humanities and environment; And the third is of the factor level, dealing with factors by which the justification criteria is determinate .The specific result is in Table 1:

3.3

Standardization of Index

The contribution to ecological security of each index of Beijing city can be determined by AHP method. However, this method did not allow us to directly compare indices because each index had different dimensions. All indices must thus be standardized to overcome incompatibilities among the parameters when utilizing the indices. The evaluating indicators can be divided into the positive term target and the negative term target. For some indicators, the bigger the value is, the more security it reflects. For some other indicators, the bigger the value is, the less security it reflects. Therefore, the model takes the following two forms. For the form case,

??

???>=<=i ij i ij i ij i ij ij z x z x z x z x r 11

For the latter case,

??

???<=>=i

ij i ij i ij i ij ij z x z x z x z x r 11

In the formula, r ij is the standardized value of each index included in the assessment; x ij is the actual value; Z i is the symbol value in all actual measurements, respectively. Thus, the value of r ij always lies between 0 and 1. 3.4

Determination of Weights Value

During the process of urban ecological security assessment, the importance of each evaluation factor to target ranges, the value determined by their proportion in the evaluation according to the importance of indicators is the weight value (XIAO Duning, 2002). Assign weights to each factor is another basic issue influencing eco-security. The correctness of the weight value not only affects the efficiency of

evaluation, but also affects the precision of evaluation results. As a user-friendly and practical tool based on simple principles, the analytic hierarchy process(AHP) is capable of codifying expert opinion, and is applicable to problems arising in uncertain environments in which multiple evaluation criteria exist. The analytic hierarchy process is an appropriate method for deriving the weight assigned to each indicator, and been applied widely in environmental evaluation and sustainable management. This paper adopts analytic hierarchy process to determine the evaluation indicator weights, and the specific process is as follows: 1) Establish Decision Matrix

Decision matrix are the signs of comparative importance on factors of the previous level and relevant factors of this level; the judgments are quantitative evaluated by introducing appropriate criterion, general form of which is following(see formula 3(GONG Jian-zhou,2006):

?????

????

????????????????????????=nn n ij n n k B B B B B B B B B A 12222111211 (3)

Numerical values are assigned to judge relative importance of each factor according to expert judgment .To make judgments be quantitative, we usually adopt conventional 1-9 methods of scale (Tab 2) putted forward by Seaty:

Table 2 Seaty criterion

Scale value

Meaning

1 Two factors are of equal importance.

3 Two factors, one is slightly more important than another 5 Two factors, one is obviously important than another. 7 Two factors, one is strongly important than another. 9 Two factors, one is extremely important than another. 2、4、6、8 Middle value of above two neighbored judgments.

reciprocal

αij is gained by factor i compared with j , in contrast, we gained αji =αij -1.

2)Determination of Weights

The determination of weights includes two steps, at first, we should determinate weights of each factor according to decision matrix; second, to assess weights established by Kappa statistic, we should calculate eigenvalues and Consistency ratio ( formula 4). A CR of 0.1 or less is a reasonable level of consistency, or we should arrange decision matrx until we get preferable consistence [1] .Values of each weight is as table 1:

RI n n

CR 1

max --=

λ (4)

CR (consistency ratio) is used to indicate the probability that the matrix judgments were randomly generated, λmax is the largest, or principal eigenvalue of the matrix and n is the order of the decision matrix. RI is the average of the resulting consistency index depending on the order of the matrix given by Saaty (ZHOU Wenhua ,2005;Guo Xiurui,2005). 3.5

Urban Ecological Security Assessment

Composite index of urban ecological security can be calculated with expression (5):

ij ij i a R R ?= i i A R R ?= ∑-?=n

i i R W P 1

(5)

The formulas in expression (5) are respectively first-grade , second-grade, third-grade assessment , αij is the weight value of assessment indicators, R ij is the Standardized matrix of assessment index, W i is the weight value of the 3 items, and n is the number of assessment index. The city is safer when P (composite index of ecological security of city) is bigger. And we can divide ecological security into 4 levels as shown in table 3:

Table 3 Criterion of the city ecological safety

Comprehensiv e assessment value 0~0.2

0.2~0.4

0.4~0.6

0.6~0.8

0.8~1.0

Status

insecurity

Comparative insecurity

Basal security

Comparativ e security

high security

4.

Results and analysis

According to the assessment method raised above, The ecological security results of Beijing are reveling in table 4:

Table 4: Results of Beijing urban ecological security evaluation

It can be seen from the measurable results that Beijing's comprehensive ecological security index reduced from 0.589 in 2004 to 0.540 in 2008, which is being in the basal security condition, although the reducible scope is not very big, but sufficiently explains that Beijing’s city ecological security is being in slow declining trend, we should improve the ecological security warnings of Beijing.

4.1 Analysis of project’s index

From 2004 to 2008, resources and environment pressure index ,resources and environment condition index of Beijing has dropped, and humanities environment response index has improved. This indicated that along with social economic development, people’s demand about resources is increasing (for example the average per person year life water consumption increased from 87 m3 in 2004 to 88.3 m3in 2008; The primary energy daily average consumption quantity increased from 145,000 tons in 2004 to 182,000 tons in 2008); The enlargement of the intensity use of energy will definitely bring bigger harm to environment, which will cause the drop of resources and environment status directly, Industrial waste output of Beijing was 9,887,300 t in 2004, but it had increased to 11,566,900 t in 2008; The social humanities response index has improved, which showed that the city had taken corresponding treatments and preventive measures to resources and ecological environment when met with massive utilization of resources and energy, such as area of natural reserves in Beijing grew nearly 30,000 ha in the last five years. The overall ecological environmental condition is tending towards stability j ust because of government’s adopting the corresponding measures to ecosystem,.

4.2 Analysis of fa ctor’s index

The changing situation of ecological security index of the factor level from 2004 to 2008 is as shown in fig 2; we might see from the chart that the population pressure security index, the land, resources

security index and the water resources security index in Beijing were all dropped during last five years. Which dropped most obviously is the land pressure security index ; correspondingly, the resources quality security indexes and the environmental quality security index and the social humanities respond security index were all improved; and ecological environment response security index change non-obviously. Investigate the reasons have the following kinds:

First, Beijing is the national capital of China, There are witnessed significant advances in economy, culture etc., that will definitely cause the population to gather in large number, which enables the low ecology function construction land and the resident area to increase, while the increase of construction land is mainly from occupying cultivated land, which caused areas of high ecology function arable land, green or forest land to reduce drastically, and breakage to eco-system. According to statistics the data manifestation, cultivated area in Beijing was up to 236437.2 square kilometers in 2004, but only 1095988.81 square kilometers in 2008, which has reduced by half during five years; The composition of population of Beijing is also complex, and the resident population is increasing year by year, while the housing conditions is getting poorer, in addition, there is many transient population in Beijing, The increase of population ,and the development of industry inevitably actuate pressure on water resources. Therefore, the developments of economy which causes the land pressure, the population pressure as well as the water resources pressure to enlarge is an inevitable trend.

Next, while the pressure on resources and environment enlarges gradually, the government has the necessity adopting corresponding measures to save resources, and to raise efficiency of utilization of resources and also adopting corresponding means to ensure retrieve and recycle. From the index level it can be seen that the ecological security index of the ratio of sewage processing, sound treatment rate of garbage, Environment noise as well as attainment rate of the industrial waste water improves, which shows that along with the economical developments and the technical progresses, resources utilizations were more effective in 2008 compared with in 2004, and the environmental condition was also improved to certain extent. The quality of resources and environment reflected current ecological security condition of Beijing; its improving ecological security index showed that the city’s present secure state was good.

Finally, the improvement of social humanities response's security index is an inevitable trend, because the population quality is enhancing, the science and technology is advancing during developments of society and economy, in the future developments, the social humanities response index is tending to develop to be more sounder; The developments of social humanities will also enable the ecological environment to be protected by the government, No decrease of the ecological environment response index itself is a kind of development.

Fig.2 Variations of urban ecological pressure, status and response in Beijing

5.Discussion and conclusions

This paper adopts the composite index method to carry on the appraisal ecological security overall condition in 2004 and 2008 to Beijing, and makes good progress. It may be seen from the evaluation results that Beijing’s ecology is at an unsafe stage, and the overall ecological security index had slightly dropped from 2004 to 2008, the primary cause is the fast development of economy which has caused population pressure, land pressure and the resources pressure of the city to enlarge seriously, Facing changing situations of the resources and environment pressure, Beijing had taken action from saving resources and reclaiming proportion of the resources, making good condition of the resources and circumstance. The social and cultural responds security index of Beijing has obviously advanced in the last five years, which explained that people has obviously realized the importance of the city ecological security.And the government adopts policies and measures favorable for Ecological Security to promote developments of the society). According to the evaluation results, Managements on the amount of land used for construction, and managements on population should be tightened up, The government should put a cap on the amount of land used for construction, control population growth and enhance population quality, The government should make the best use of renewable resource, make greater efforts to strengthen environmental managements and make indexes reach higher level. Ecological Security Assessment of the city is a complex system engineering, which involves many factors, appraisal methods nowadays have their limits on evaluating indicators to select, and the determination of the target weight may have some subjectivity. All these problems are in need of further discussion and study, and the evaluation method should be improved.

References

Guo Xiurui,Yang Ying,Chen Dongsheng. Study on ecological security evaluation of Beijing City.Journal of Safety and Environment, 2005, 5(5):32-34.

Xie Hualin,Li Bo.A study on indices system and assessment criterion of ecological security for city.Journal of Beijing Normal University (Natural Science), 2004,40(5):709-710

Gu Chuanhui,Chen Mulin. A study on the assessment index system of ecological city. Environmental

Protection, 2001(11):24.

ZUO Wei.Study on Regional Ecological Security Assessment Index and Standard. Geography and Territorial Research, 2002,18(1):67.

XIAO Duning.On the basic concepts and contents of ecological security.. .Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology, 2002, 13(3):334-358

ZHOU Wenhua,WANG Rusong.Methodology assessment of urban ecological security-A case study of Beijing,Chinese Journal of Ecology, 2005,24(7):848-852.

GONG Jian-zhou, XIA Bei-cheng, GUO Luo.Assessment and Prediction Models of Urban Ecological Security. Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Sunyatseni, 2006, 45(1):107-111.

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The journey my daughter Cathy has had with her swimming is as long as it is beautiful. Cathy suffered some terrible 16 in her early childhood. After years of regular treatment, she17became healthy. Two years ago, while Cathy was watching the Olympics, a dream came into her sweet little head— to be a swimmer. Last summer, she wanted to18our local swim team. She practiced hard and finally19it. The team practice,20 ,was a rough start. She coughed and choked and could hardly21 her first few weeks. Hearing her coughing bitterly one night, I decided to22her from it all. But Cathy woke me up early next morning, wearing her swimsuit23to go! I told her she shouldn’swimt after a whole night’coughing,s but she refused to24 and insisted she go . From that day on, Cathy kept swimming and didn ’ t 25 a single practice. She had a 26intention within herself to be the best she could be. My ten-year-old was growing and changing right before my eyes, into this27 human being with a passion and a mission. There were moments of28of course: often she would be the last swimmer in the race. It was difficult for Cathy to accept that she wasn29---ever. But that’didnta’ t stop her from trying. Then came the final awards ceremony at the end of the year. Cathy didn’ t expect any award but was stil 30 her friends and praise their accomplishments. As the ceremony was nearing the end, I suddenly heard the head coach31 ,“ The highest honor goes to Cathy!” Looking around, he continued,“ Cathy has inspired32 us and enthusiasm.33skills and talents bring great success, the most valuable asset(财富 )one can hold is the heart.” It was the greatest34of my da ughter’ s life. With all she hadbeen35in her ten years, this was the hour of true triumph( 成功 ). 16.A. failure B. pressure C. loss D. illness 17.A. usually B. finally C. firstly D. frequently 18.A. improve B. train C. join D. contact 19.A. increased B. found C. created D. made 20.A. however B. therefore C. otherwise D. instead 21.A. use B. survive C. save D. waste 22.A. pull B. tell C. hide D. fire 23.A. afraid B. nervous C. ready D. free 24.A. take off B. set off C. give up D. show up 25.A. attend B. miss C. ban D. Start 26.A. rich B. weak C. firm D. kind 27.A. trusted B.determined C.experienced D. embarrassed 28.A. frustration B. delight C. excitement D. surprise 29.A. beginner B.learner C. partner D. winner 30.A. cheer on B. compete with C. respond to D. run after 31.A. admitting B.explaining C.announcing D. whispering 32.A. humor B. will C. honesty D. wisdom 33.A. Although B. Since C. Once D. Because 34.A. discovery B. choice C. influence D. moment 35.A. through B. under C. across D. around My fiance (未婚夫) and I were excited about shopping for our first home. But our funds were 16 , and none of the houses in our price range seemed satisfactory. One agent 17 a house in particular. Although her description sounded wonderful, the price was18our range, so we declined. But she kept urging us to have a look 19. We finally did and it was20at first sight. It was Our Home, small and charming, overlooking a quiet lake. Walking through the rooms and talking with the owners, a nice elderly couple, we felt the warmth and21of the

五年级上册成语解释及近义词反义词和造句大全.doc

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